Nasdaq - Another +50% From Here!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) just broke out of a major channel:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It really seems like the Nasdaq is about to repeat the breakout behaviour of 2020. However, last month the Nasdaq showed some significant signs of weakness and vulnerability. The next couple of months will be very decisive, but the past of least resistance still seems towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $25.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Indicestrading
Bearish reversal?S&P500 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 5,673.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 5,738.69
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 5,548.54
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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S&P500 - Was this already the all time high?SP:SPX is still massively bullish on the smaller timeframes despite retesting strong resistance.
Sometimes trading can be soo simple but yet rewarding. You simply have to buy the S&P500 at support and sell your position at resistance. At the moment, the S&P500 is once again retesting a resistance trendline, which has been pushing price lower for more than 14 years and there is just an extraordinary high chance that we will again see a rejection. Don't say I did't warn you!
Levels to watch: $5.600, $4.800
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Nasdaq - (Bullish) Clarity in two days!TVC:NDQ is now retesting a very important inflection level and maybe attempting a breakout.
Parabolic rise or -20% correction over the next couple of months. So far there is a lot of uncertainty as to whether the Nasdaq will manage to break above the current resistance trendline. We simply have to wait for this monthly candle closure as well as the monthly candle closure of July until we can make a clear prediction. So far, everything is still possible!
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Dow Jones - All time high and 20% rally?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Dow Jones has been trading in a rising channel formation. We had the first retest of support and resistance back in 2011 and ever since this was a massively profitable channel pattern. With the recent breakout above the $35.000 resistance level, the Dow Jones clearly looks like the next target is once again the upper resistance of the channel.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Dow Jones - Textbook trading setup!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
There is one major long term pattern which we have been looking at for a very long time - a rising channel formation. Just a couple of months ago the Dow Jones retested the lower support trendline and created a beautiful triangle breakout while rejecting towards the upside. If we now get a retest of the breakout level which is then acting as support, a major continuation higher is quite likely.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
HK50 / HongKong50 Bullish plan to RobberyOla Chicos,
This is our master plan to Rob HK50 in Bullish side am currently Looting some profits in Hongkong50. Guys U can enter at any time any point before the high voltage electric trap area, Our target is Trap area. We can escape before the area its very safe.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation range
Support – 38,550
Resistance – 39,165
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 daily.
Yesterday's CPI didn't cause any serious moves but did show that inflation remains stubborn. Today, we have run over what we are watching on the US30 and the current main levels that are forming a price pattern.
Will we see a new test and break of resistance, or could we be in for further consolidation?
Good trading.
Nasdaq - Now Is The TimeHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than 10 years the Nasdaq has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation and retested the lower support the last time in 2023. This retest was followed by an expected 65% pump. Considering that Nasdaq is now retesting resistance as mentioned in the analysis, I do expect a short term pullback to retest the next support level below current market price.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
DOW JONES: Still bullish inside the Channel Up.Dow Jones has turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.990, MACD = 135.700, ADX = 29.049) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and is on a lengthy consolidation phase inside the two month Channel Up. The 4h RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, which doesn't mean much unless the 4H MA200 breaks, as the very same divergence emerged during the December - January consolidation. If the 4H MA200 breaks, we will prepare our short under the S1 level and target the top of the S2 zone (TP = 37,200). Until then, the Channel Up favors buying (TP = 39,500).
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NASDAQ: Short term sell initiatedNasdaq is approaching technical neutrality on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 57.511, MACD = 191.510, ADX = 25.356) as it got rejected near the top of a Double Channel Up pattern. The 1D RSI is printing a technical sequence resembling the July 31st 2023 LH, which was the start of a short term correction. Along those lines, we are opening a short, aimed at the 1D MA100 (TP = 16,850).
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DAX: Channel Up keeps it bullish. Strong correction if it breaksDAX is trading inside a Channel Up pattern since October 27th and it has been intact for so long that the 1D timeframe remains overbought (RSI = 78.050, MACD = 373.200, ADX = 82.264). Since it is holding the 4H MA50 over the bottom of the Channel Up, we remain bullish aiming at a +4.66% rise (TP = 17,400), which is the lowest it has registered inside this pattern. If the price crosses under the Channel Up however, we will short aiming near the S1 level (TP = 16,000), which can test the 1D MA50.
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S&P500: Ascending Triangle trading plan.S&P500 is trading inside an Ascending Triangle pattern with the price over the July 27th Top (R1) and bullish on the 4H technical outlook (RSI = 63.128MACD = 5.390, ADX = 23.122). Until the HH and more importantly the R2 level break, we will be bearish, targeting the S1 (TP = 4,550). Below the S1, the 4H MA200 is the target (TP = 4,480). If the price crosses over the R2 level, be ready for an end of year rally to the January 12th 2022 Top (TP = 4,749.50).
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RUSSELL 2000: Short term pullback possible but buy for 1910.Russell 2000 crossed again today overo the 1D MA200 and it remains to be seen if it succeeds at closing above it. After the November 15th crossing but failure to close over it, a repeat may materialize a pullback of at least -4.50%, in similar fashion as the 1D MA200 rejections of May 23rd 2023 and November 1st 2022.
Technically that's possible as on the greater picture, the index is still neutral on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.610, MACD = -19.910, ADX = 34.284) sitting almost halfway of the giant consolidation/ Rectangle pattern of the past year and a half.
Consequently, we will welcome any pullback as a buy opportunity, but we are already bullish, aiming at the R1 level (TP = 1,910).
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DOW JONES showing a Bearish Divergence. Expect correction soon.Dow Jones is extending the rally since the October 27th bottom, which was a HL of the dominant Channel Up pattern. The 1D technical outlook is overbought (RSI = 71.474, MACD = 390.490, ADX = 67.776) but the difference maker on the technical field is the CCI metric. Being also overbought over 100.00, it is showing a Bearish Divergence, which was present on the last three short term corrections since the March 15th Channel Up HL.
Common characteristic on all three was that the High was formed halfway through the CCI Bearish Divergence and the correction that followed always hit the 1D MA50. Consequently, we expect a correction to start as soon as next week, that will target the 1D MA50, before the Christmas rally begins.
Currently the estimated pullback target is at 34,450.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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NASDAQ: Final phase of rise is starting. Santa's rally.Nasdaq has been rising since October 26th and the bottom on the HL trendline of the year long Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook is bullish after turning overbought on Monday (RSI = 68.584, MACD = 265.250, ADX = 67.453). So far its structure is much like the rise at the start of the Channel Up during the whole month of January.
That one peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extenstion from the last LH, while the 1D RSI turned flat above the overbought margin and reversed. However the 1.5 Fib made a +20% rise. The November rally is already fractionally over the 1.5 Fib with the RSI also reversed after being overbought but the +20% extension is far from being completed. It will be done at 16,870. Consequently if we don't get a strong rejection by Monday (tomorrow is early close), we will buy any 1D candle closing over the 1.5 Fib and aim at near +20% (TP = 16,850).
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DOW JONES: The top is close. Pullback expected.Dow Jones is unfolding the second rally sequence of the 1 year Channel Up and has reached today the 0.786 Fibonacci level of July's High. The 1D technical outlook is about to turn overbought (RSI = 68.650, MACD = 236.580, ADX = 32.415) and as the rally approaches the R1 level (35,100) as well as being almost on the +9.05% range from the bottom, we are looking towards a late April peak formation and pullback.
The pullback is expected to be at a -2.75% minimum, like June 23rd that reached the 1D MA50. Sell, TP = 34,300.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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S&P500: Over July's Channel Down. Big bullish breakout.S&P500 crossed over the Channel Down that started in late July, turned bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.269, MACD = 21.240, ADX = 31.244) and ahead of the U.S. CPI report is targeting the R2 level. If today's 1D candle closes over the top of the Channel Down, aim at the R2 without a pullback (TP = 4,530). If it closes under it, buy after a pullback near the 1D MA50, with the same target.
Long term, we are targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 4,690), as this is the technical target of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which was validated by the 1D RSI Double Bottom on October 27th.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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NASDAQ: Short term sell opportunity.Nasdaq hit our TP = 15,000 as since our last idea (chart at the bottom) we took full advantage of the whole LH leg of the Channel Down. With the 1D technical outlook now just slightly bullish (RSI = 56.567, MACD = -24.590, ADX = 32.703) despite the seven day rally, we are looking towards a short term pullback that will test the buying strength and investor commitment towards a long term rise.
Consequently we are going short here, on the RSI rejection on R1, targeting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 14,750).
See how well our prior idea has worked:
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Dow Jones (DJI) -> Back To The TrendlineMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Dow Jones.
At the moment the Dow Jones is retesting its previous all time high which is roughly at the $35.500 level and the index is already starting another bearish rejection.
If we see a retracement back to the lower bullish trendline of the rising channel which is sitting at the $30.000 level, this will be a textbook bullish continuation setup on the Dow Jones.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Nasdaq -> Please Look At The Odds!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪
After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement, previous monthly support and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%.
With the Nasdaq now retesting the next weekly resistance at the $15570 level I do expect a short term rejection again away from the resistance but then eventually the creation of new all time highs on the technology index.
Looking at the obvious rising channel on the daily timeframe you can see that on Friday the Nasdaq once again rejected support and there is in my opinion currently a 50% chance that we will still see a major correction but objectively looking at the index there is no sign of weakness yet.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
China A50 holds 12400 with conviction. Bullish breakout pending?The China A50 trades within a bearish channel on the daily chart, although we strongly suspect it wants to break out of it to the upside.
If you look at the steady stream of weak data coming out of China over the past few months, why is the China A50 not breaking to new lows? In fact, each time the market has pulled back to the 12,400 area since early June buyers have stepped in. And they returned in force yesterday to produce a strong bullish engulfing candle at support.
Bulls could either wait for a break of the 12,857 high to confirm breakout. But if confident that some sort of ‘plunge protection team’ is defending the 12,400 level, any pullback towards it may prove to be a gift for bulls who are anticipating a countertrend breakout.
NI225 has closed positive for 9 consecutive weeks !NI225 has closed positive for 9 consecutive weeks !
Is it about to reverse?
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of the Nikkei Stock Index from the end of 2019 to the present. The graph overlays the line between the low point in 2020 and the low point in March 2023, the line between the low point in 2023 and the sub low point, as well as the horizontal line of the short start position in September 2021 and the horizontal line of the long start position in April 2023. As shown in the figure, the Nikkei Index has closed positive for 9 consecutive weeks and has exceeded its limit! In the next week, as the strongest Nikkei index in the near future, there is a high probability that it will lead the global stock index to retreat, probably by stepping back on the top diagonal line in the chart, and then choosing a direction!