Indicies
The W1DOW maker is looming. BEAR MARKET watch.
Look at that August Monthly hammer candle after the Yen carry trade wobble.
The Global Dow jones index is at an all time new high
This rise is BASED on a wall of #FIAT capital that has been clicked and borrowed into existence.
And speculation of an AI revolution
But Money creation is not wealth creation.
An general AI will be deflationary, as more decisions outsourced from Humans to the "mainframe" :0
Most of my idea's I have shared on assets have been to the upside even after bearish down moves. Stocks, Gold & Crypto. Right Back in 2020 I shared a thesis of a Roaring 20's echo meltup and here we are melting up ...
Yet the party must end sometime
so we watch and have one foot in and foot out from this point.
Secular Bull markets have a lifespan of 15-18 years ...
and this one has required multiple rounds of QE (liquidity injections) to achieve this run.
So we will are looking for #BTC hit $100k the Russell 2000 to make new high's, before setting the stage for a bear market that could be quite extraordinary.
Nvidia Is waaay too hotEven though it is possible for price to go beyond the 3rd STD, It usually doesn't remain there for long before it has to cycle back to test lower levels. However, hype stocks can lead people to keep buying in fear of missing out. We all know that is a rookie mistake. That's why, even though NVIDIA is an awesome company, I would instead prefer to buy at a discount.
No one knows what price will do tomorrow. But it's best to have the odds on our side. And when a situation seems risky, even though it's promising, it's usually the best just to step back. Even if you have to let go a great opportunity where price rises, you will still be better off. Because a strategy consisting of chasing the trend will inevitably end poorly. The correct approach is trying to find opportunities where the price isn't too hot, and you believe in the future of the company.
One must look for ways to determine if a new trend is forming. Not trying to catch the current one. If the price is already in a clear trend, it's best not to jump in right away, but look for a cool off before taking a position. Also, when considering individual stock's it's important to study the related indices as they will give more context to where the stock is in contrast to its pears with similar situations.
By looking at the CME_MINI:ES1! and CME_MINI:ES1! It's noticeable that these indices are also overheating. Just to be clear, I don't believe we are at the peak yet, but we will soon be there. Just be patient, don't tell price what to do, let it hit you about its next move and prepare for all scenarios.