Inefficiency
BUY GOLDGold is in a bullish trend after breaking market structure on the daily timeframe . Price just needs to retrace back to 1800 zone/ orderblock that formed after BMS, and then we'll load buys to 1850/1869 to fill up the imbalance.
Another interesting area to look for a buy is around 1814 area with stops at 1809
A Final Short. Price did go down after coming in contact with the trendline previously but NFP caused a move that most probably has to be covered back and price may touch the major demand to fill the imbalance caused. We need to be aware of the good price action sign here because the price can also be seen to come in contact with a significant support and resistance zone here.
GBPUSD LongsGBPUSD high & low timeframes are providing a potential long position for the coming week.
What we have here is a market that is trapped between two large psychological levels - 1.4100 & 1.3800.
From a bounce at 1.3800 the market has been shifting direction from downside to upside with its momentum and a lot of liquidity sitting above 1.4000 could draw prices higher this week. I am looking for the market to move over 1.4000 and potentially push an additional 100 pips into 1.41000.
Right now I am focusing on the demand zone & key level 1.38750 for my entry zone to bring this market higher.
Trade safe & manage risk as always.
AUDUSD - Institutional Liquidity - Understand the WhyImagine understanding how to execute with precision?
Imagine understanding the Why behind the markets....
Liquidity, Footprints, Level ll which is all considered within the framework of 'smart money concepts'
December is traditionally known for the lack of liquidity and reduced volume in turn which causes increased volatility. Traditionally many including myself trade less throughout December and I tend to wrap my trading up around The second week of the month to spend time with my family, friends and loved ones. As we all know from an institutional stand point the seasonal holiday tends to be the month many take off to do the same but other than the above do you ever wonder why? ...... Bonus Month. PnL on institutions books are calculated for the year end and of course subjective to performance the portfolio manager & team are paid in accordance with the 'Net ROI (Factoring in either the hurdle rate or the watermark)
Now the above is somewhat irrelevant but it's important to understand the Why..... So lets now take a look at understanding the Why behind this AUD/USD Short on 28th December 2020 at 08:44am shortly after the London/European open, But, first here are the performance metrics and values;
Percentage ROI: +15.87%
Initial Risk: 1% (factoring in RT Commissions)
Stop Loss: 3 Pips
Drawdown: 0.9 Pips
Trade Duration: 7 Hours (Trade hit TP2 @ 15:46 UK GMT)
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So lets take a look at the trade Breakdown
Weekly Timeframe:
The Weekly going back to 2001 has since been in a bullish uptrend, creating Higher Highs & Higher Lows until 2014 after it printed a Lower Low and failed to purge liquidity and create a Higher High. Price continued to create Lower Highs and Lowers Lows, Building Liquidity on it's way down. In March 2016 we Broke Major structure to the downside and printing a new structurally significant Low, Taking Liquidity. to allow for a Push to the upside, lifting offers, seeking the Institutional level & footprint which was yet to be 'Mitigated' from May / June 2018.
Daily Chart:
Price as we can see on the Daily timeframe is extremely efficient within the market structure & sub-structure. Building & Creating Liquidity to be targeted / purged and swept !
1Hour:
On December 21st 2020 we gapped down with intent and momentum creating multiple Breaks of structure to the downside, then correctively over the next 6 days moved back up to not only fill gap liquidity but tap into the Order Block left, Seen clearly..... Which was the beginning of our short trade ......
Potential EU 1:40Dollar weakness to continue!?
4 Hourly OB, Weekly 50% and all the liquidity is stacking. Massive targets, will be a long hold but if we can get in and hold it will be for sure worth it. Reason I'm choosing the lower OB is the confluence of the weekly and buying at a discount rather than premium.
AUDUSD "Reversal" In play4H Inefficiency > Daily Inefficiency.
This upwards channel is slowly losing momentum. It managed to drop pretty quickly but the climb back to the 4H inefficiency has been extremely long awaited hence the expectation to break this channel.
Will set multiple targets for this trade if we do get triggered in.
AUDCAD 4H Inefficient Pricing - 1:10 Risk Reward TradeThis is a very small trade in terms of pips however the potential percentage is huge. There is an inefficiency shown on my analysis and this must be filled before pushing down from this head and shoulders formation.
There are many ways you can incorporate multiple styles together.
Using "smart money" with standard chart patterns and fibonacci can be a great combination!
Focus on learning to understand how the markets move and you'll learn to manipulate Risk Reward in ways you'd never imagine.
Long-term Gold - Gap hunting.Confluence with multiple methods of TA.
Volume shows strength.
Moving Average 50 with -50 offset is the best indicator of trend when paired with structural analysis.
MACD crossing bullish; big divergence and continuation signal.
Bullish Channel established.
This is not a buy signal, this is strategy testing.