S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index displayed severe downward movement during the current week's trading session as we blasted through Key Sup 5238 and completed our long-time flagged target, Inner Index Dip 5131. The resilient rebound occurs, and the current market price action rests at Mean Res 5345. The likelihood of interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 5280 exists before the index resumes its upward trajectory. However, the prevailing price action suggests a sustained uptrend toward the Inner Interim Index Rally 5443, possibly extending to Mean Res 5525. However, these attained targets are likely to exert downward pressure.
Infation
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 10, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Spooz downward spiral continued this week - Mean Supports 3955 and 3890 were hit extensively. The downward spiral to the Interim Inner Index Dip 3820 will continue this upcoming week and possibly trigger a significant retest of the Key Sup and Interim Inner Index Dip 3785. The main upside target is designated to Mean Res 3927 from 3820 and/or 3785 price point
✔️ Sell the Rumors- Buy the News 👨🏫✔️✔️✔️So finally the rumors of an increased rate hike was the time to go short (sell) and the actual results was the news to buy...
Usually we say 'Buy the Rumors- Sell the News' but this time it was the other way around.
⚠️🇺🇸🍿👀 Below i will inform you about the FEDS press conference, especially the best ones.
- Real GDP growth accelerated this quarter ✔️ good news
- participants lowered their economic activity forecasts with an average real GDP growth forecast below 2% to 2,4 ✔️ ok
- we will continue to significantly reduce the balance sheet and reiterate that a rate hike at the meetings is appropriate ✔️ ok
- inflation surprised (lol) and we will change forecasts ✔️ normal, expected
- raising by 75 is our flexible and responsive approach to data (inflation) ✔️ ok , priced in?
- the economy is very strong and well positioned to implement tighter monetary policy ✔️ Great to hear
Question: What is the prognosis? Everything depends on the data. ✔️ told you employment data is Key
- we are quickly raising rates to a normal level, 50-75 are discussed in July ✔️ ok
- a rate of 3%-3.5% is suitable for reducing inflation ✔️✔️✔️ GREAT! CME prognosis was for 4-5%
- we want to see a serious decline in monthly inflation figures ✔️ good luck, make friends with Putin
- the goal is to bring inflation down to 2% and to keep the labor market strong ✔️ bla bla..will take time you need to control energy prices
so..overall good things were said. Especially that rates will not be over 3,5%. great news really
BTC TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Professor expects 24400.. we will see what happens then. For now I am bullish
One Love
Despite the threat of recession, inflation is rising.Normally inflation falls when there's a recession, but this time that is not happening. Central banks (including the FED) have pumped too much liquidity into the system over recent years and even with the threat of recession, we're seeing some scary inflation data.
From the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: "For the year ended January 2020, within final demand foods, prices for fresh and dry vegetables increased 21.4 percent, while prices for pork increased 14.9 percent. Over that period, prices for eggs for fresh use decreased 22.1 percent and prices for fresh fruits and melons decreased 9.3 percent.
Within energy, prices for gasoline increased 23.1 percent and prices for home heating oil and distillates increased 12.0 percent for the year ended January 2020. Prices for liquefied petroleum gas decreased 32.5 percent."
Declining inflation expectations are wrong and will turn up when more data keeps coming.