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While FED depends on Data NVDA stocks clearly predict Zero RatesNvidia reported another blowout earnings report in its first-quarter results, and its stock is soaring to record highs above $1,000 per share on Thursday. The company reported revenue and profit that surpassed analyst estimates and offered second-quarter revenue guidance that was well ahead of Wall Street's expectations. On top of that, the company announced a 10-for-1 stock split and increased its quarterly dividend by 150% to $0.10 per share. Wall Street analysts were impressed by the results, with a slew of price target increases hitting the tape this Thursday morning. Goldman Sachs (GS): "New products to drive sustained growth in Data Center" ⚡ Analysts at Goldman Sachs pointed out that the company delivered accelerated year-over-year revenue growth, with its Data Center business growing revenue at 427%. JP Morgan (JPM): "Demand continues to outstrip supply into CY25". ⚡ Analysts at JPMorgan said they were impressed that Nvidia is seeing more and more industries participate in the demand for its H100 AI chips. Bank of America (BA): "Now see $50+ EPS power in two years". ⚡ Analysts at Bank of America said Nvidia's first-quarter earnings report suggests a smooth transition to the company's next-generation Blackwell chips, and that's going to lead to massive revenue gains. Wedbush: "AI revolution just getting started" ⚡ Analysts at Wedbush said the "AI gold rush" is just getting started as a "tidal wave" of spending on AI chips hits the entire tech sector. Nonetheless, this story is a little bit another, rather than Goldilocks tales. With more than 25 years of NVDIA shares trading, and an amazing 237000 % profit since NVDA IPO inception in January, 1999, in nowadays it costs approximately as low as 0.20x to S&P500 stock index (SPX equal appr. to 5 (five) NVDA shares in this time). The main technical graph is a differentials exposure between 5 NVDA shares and SP500 index. Well.. there're you see 3 clear cases of NVDA shares advantage over the past 25 years: • Early 2000's when US Interest Rates turned Zero. • 2007-09 when US Interest Rates again turned Zero. • Early 2020's when US Interest Rates once again turned Zero. While FED officials depends on Data, maybe (just maybe) NVDA stocks indeed clearly predict deflationary winds and US Interest Rates at Zero again. Thanks for happy reading. 😎 Cheers, Pandorra
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Pandorra
Golden Doomsayer judgment is that inflation still highGold prices traded higher midafternoon on Wednesday as a report showed US inflation is still high. Gold for June delivery was last seen up, again near US$2,400 per ounce. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday reported the April consumer-price index rose by 0.3% from March. Shelter, gas prices remain sticky. Notable call-outs from the inflation print include the shelter index, which rose 5.5% on an unadjusted, annual basis, a slowdown from March. The Shelter index (the largest US CPI component with near 32% weight) rose 0.4% month over month and was the largest factor in the monthly increase in core prices, according to the BLS. Sticky shelter inflation is largely to blame for higher core inflation readings, according to economists. In technical terms, Gold prices are on positive path, firmly above 26- and 52-weeks SMA, while 50/200-weekly SMA Golden Cross that occurred in 2017, still works pretty well, helps year after year to robust gain in yellow metal. Technical perspectives are near 2550 and 2800 per XAUUSD ounce in this time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pandorra
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 17, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 10th, it was observed that the market successfully retested the Key Resistance at 5260 and the Outer Index Rally at 5280. It is suggested that the Outer Index Rally at 5342 will be reached after hitting the newly established Key Resistance at 5314, followed by a potential move to the primary down target Mean Support at 5221. Additionally, there is a possibility of further advancement towards the Inner Index Rally at 5408 and the next Outer Index Rally at 5460, with the secondary triggering points at destination points.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 17, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar made a spectacular surge on the upside to our Inner Currency Rally 1.084 and a lot more. Current market conditions suggest that the Eurodollar may continue upward momentum to complete our Inner Currency Rally 1.091 via the newly created Mean Res 1.089. On the downside, the currency is prone to go down to Mean Sup 1.082 and possibly Mean Sup 1.076.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 10, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar fluctuated around our significant Mean resistance level of 1.080. There are projections that the currency may experience an upward surge and complete the Inner Currency Rally of 1.084 before undergoing a downward transition to the Mean Support level mark of 1.074 and possibly further down to designated targets. However, it is also possible that the Eurodollar might go down to hit the Mean Support level of 1.074 from its current position.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 3, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced significant volatility during this week's trading session, with an upward movement that surpassed our Mean Resistance level at 1.075. As a result, a new resistance mark has been established at 1.080. However, it is projected that the currency will experience a downward transition to the Mean Support level mark of 1.066. It will dip further to retest the previously completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.060. Furthermore, the currency is anticipated to continue its downward trajectory, reaching our next Inner Currency Dip level at 1.054.
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Upon completing the Outer Index Dip 5045, per the Daily Chart Analysis for the week of April 12, Spooz witnessed a decline in this week's trading session, leading to the Key Support level of 4950. The current market trends indicate that the index will experience an upward Dead-Cat rebound, targeting our Mean Resistance level of 5057. However, the downside risks cannot be ignored, and the index may continue its decline to reach the strategic Outer Index Dip at 4865, which is expected to act as a catalyst for reigniting its bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has completed our Inner Currency Dip of 1.060. However, further selling pressure is reviling a decline to the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.054. Ultimately, the Eurodollar is expected to reach an Inner Currency Dip of 1.045. It is worth emphasizing, however, that an interim Dead-Cat rebound to the Mean Resistance level of 1.072 may be feasible before the Eurodollar resumes its downward trajectory.
by TradeSelecter
Nasdaq-100 Index. Meet and Greet March Quarter Earnings Season.US stock indices, including the benchmark American economy S&P500 index (SPX) and US BigTech Nasdaq-100 index (NDX), are retreating from their yearly highs, moving to a more aggressive decline last Friday, April 12. Investors digest the first portion of earnings reports for March quarter 2024 - traditionally starting with financial sector Earnings reports. New Earnings season has begun! Perfect! Well... sounds good. Anyway... JPMorgan (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) reported first-quarter earnings that beat forecasts, but a large number of persistent inflation pressures are still building and continuing. JPMorgan CEO James "Jamie" Dimon warned that while the stock market is healthy and most economic indicators look favorable, there are still significant risks that could arise at any time. "Looking ahead, we remain alert to a number of significant uncertain forces. First, the global landscape is troubled, horrific wars and violence continue to cause suffering, and geopolitical tensions are rising. Second, there appear to be a large number of persistent inflationary pressures. Pressure that is likely to continue," - Dimon said on the conference call. On the inflation front, US import prices rose for the third straight month in March, slightly above the consensus forecast of 0.4% month-on-month. Almost all of the rise in import prices was driven by the recent rise in oil prices. The fight against inflation - which has transformed into a classic chronic illness from a relatively minor cyclical problem driven by a low Covid-19 base - appears to have reached a stalemate, and the first rate cut will not occur until December, Bank of America (BAC) now says. Despite the fact that at the beginning of 2024, the market was almost 100% confident that at least one rate cut would take place by the June FOMC meeting, and by the December meeting, the number of rate cuts could reach three. Monetary easing by June is looking more and more like an unattainable dream, tempered by the latest data. Recent inflation data, while in line with expectations, doesn't give the Federal Reserve much reason to rush. But if the central bank doesn't cut rates by June, it will likely delay any cuts until March 2025, Bank of America strategists said. In reality, long-term forecasting of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy curve is not an easy task, given that only forecasts for the next FOMC meeting, which is scheduled for May 1, and for which the market does not factor in a change in interest rates, can be relatively reliable. Of much greater significance is that the same arguments and theses that are presented in the reports of the largest American banks - the locomotive of the American economy - may find their repetition or imitation in Earnings reports for Q1'2024 of dozens and hundreds of other companies over the next two-three months. Technically, the main chart of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) featured in the idea is in a long-term positive trend of a weakly rising channel, above its 5-year SMA. At the same time, taking into account the possibility of escalation of macroeconomic and political risks, one cannot exclude the prospect of its decline to the lower border of the channel - down to the levels of 12,500 - 13,000 points. Also lets take into account the fact that the entire 10-12 percent Nasdaq-100 increase from Q4'21 highs to nowadays can be easily represented as the transposition of a 200% increase in the shares of only one company - Nvidia (with its near 6% allocation in the index), - which increased in price from $320 to over $960 per share over the same period of time - from Q4'21 by Q1'24.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Pandorra
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Spooz continue to experience a severe drop in this week's trading session, hitting our two Mae Sup levels: 5150 and 5120, respectively. The current price action indicates that the market will pursue an upside movement to target our Mean Res 5208 and beyond. On the downside, Spooz may continue on a downward spiral to the Mean Support level of 5070 and Outer Index Dip at 5045, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has completed an Inner Currency Dip of 1.065. This momentum is expected to generate further selling pressure, resulting in a decline to the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.054. Ultimately, the Eurodollar is expected to reach an Inner Currency Dip of 1.045. It is worth emphasizing, however, that an interim rebound to the Mean Resistance level of 1.075 may be feasible before the Eurodollar resumes its downward trajectory.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's trading session Bitcoin completed the forthcoming Inner Coin Rally 72500, and as expected, the coin retraced to our designated Mean Sup 65600. Bitcoin is in the process of rebounding back to the 72500 scene of crime. On the downside, the market potential decline may occur, resulting in Bitcoin falling to Key Sup 61300 and an Inner Coin Dip 57200. The bull stage movement will arise from current price action or Key Sup 61300 and an Inner Coin Dip 57200, respectively.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 index experienced a severe drop below our Mean Sup 5203; however, the market rebounded swiftly and returned to an active crime scene. The current upward trend indicates that it will reach the target of Key Res 5260 and, subsequently, Outer Index Rally 5280, the long-awaited target. On the downside, Spooz may revisit the newly created Mean Support level of 5150, which is expected to act as a launching point to reignite its bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has broken through our Mean Support level of 1.077 and has quickly risen to hover around the Mean Resistance level of 1.084. This momentum is expected to generate further selling pressure, resulting in a decline to the Mean Support level of 1.074. Ultimately, the Eurodollar is expected to reach an Inner Currency Dip of 1.065. However, it is essential to note that an intermediate fluctuation at the Mean Resistance level of 1.084 may require action.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's price action, Bitcoin rapidly moved towards a Mean Support level of 66700 and, in the process, established a new Mean Support level of 65600. This new level is being used as a base to ignite the bullish trend further. Currently, the market is experiencing consolidation, with the expectation of moving toward reaching the Key Resistance level of 73200 and beyond. However, a potential decline may occur, resulting in Bitcoin falling to the Mean Support level of 65600.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter