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Inflectionpoints

US10Y - US Ten Year Yields WeeklySome weekly consolidation; Possible yields haven't topped yet. These inflection points lead to weekly and monthly trend changes which I will be looking for a potential spike as momentum shifts back down and rates test the keltner channel mid or upper line. There is also a possibility that rates breakout of the resistance (trend change) of this bullish leg from 2020. The Red line on the keltner channel oscillator at the bottom. I expect more black swan events to occur as chaos ramps up in the next year.
TVC:US10Y
by Mikhiavelli
GBPNZD strong momentum playThere's strong downward momentum observed on the HTF, with price forming a double top followed by a downward move. Currently, there's a consolidation phase just through the previous swing low. I'm awaiting further confirmation before considering my next move. Given the potential inflection point at hand, it's crucial to wait for clear confirmation signals. I'm specifically looking for a more structured consolidation bear-flag pattern on the hourly timeframe (H1) before setting my EO. *********** Glossary: VA – Value Area Liq.P – Liquidity Point BO – Break-Out EO – Entry Order H1 – Hourly Time-frame M15 – 15min Time-frame LTF – Lower Time-frame HTF – Higher Time-frame Magenta horizontal Ray – Area of Interest Magenta rectangle – Gap / Area of Significance ***********
Short
by kalganid
Sure the markets have been terrible. This is my first non-crypto idea on my channel. I have switched some of my trading over to stocks because I can both long and short the market, so from now on you will see more varied analysis, not just crypto! We all know how devastating the market has been lately. But is there more down to go? Are we at an inflection point? I am making the case that for the time being, we should be trending up. The markets can only take so much before the overall sentiment changes. It's like the war in Ukraine. It was so horrific when it started, and it is still horrific. But how is the public thinking about it now? Is it making the headlines? We are all coping with the new normal in life and it is time to move forward! If my current up signal is correct, and it was correct at the top of the market before the 6 month retracement, then it is time to look up. Wishing you the best.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jbrelin
UPDATE - Adam+Eve / Cup+HandleJust an update for my previous chart. Price cascaded into the lower portion of yellow box as well as the "bull bounce zone" instead of catching support in the middle confirming BULLISH C+H potential. Now very close to the macro trend inflection point hinting at possible larger moves on HTF. Expecting continued downside after a possible small relief rally. Positive macro economic news or strength in traditional markets (SPY and NAS) might make me lean more neutral.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by PatternRecognition1
BTC/USDHourly chart, forming a W for the time coming off the 30k level. (a) We have hourly W top test into lows from January resistance, having just broke it 2 days ago as support. (b) Break down on hourly and retest trendline double low, break that and we are headed for MAJOR WEEKLY technical level. (c) W plays out and breaks out above January lows, likely if it breaks out, will pull back to retest 33k level. (d) Following the breakdown of (b), weekly level is tested and can go into extreme fear, free fall environment. The outlooks here are just my own, how I view current conditions.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by Cheesy-Bean_and_Rice-Burrito
How I Trade Support and ResistanceIn this video made for Best of Us Investors I talk about my most fundamental trading component; trading and investing off Support and Resistance Levels. I also talk about how I combine this with my other fundamental component of 50% Retracement Levels. We look at live examples of NYSE:ZIM and NYSE:KO and look back in history for case studies of NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:AMZN , and NASDAQ:TSLA to see just how powerful this tool can be for high probability, low drawdown, profitable trades and investment entries!
NYSE:KOEducation
by norok
7
BTCUSD Analysis By AVNGL (SECOND TRY)This second analysis test on BTC/USD It is trying to expose in a simplified way thetrend changes in daily candles for the basic understanding of this very funny and volatile wave market. Remember that the markets have to be studied for their cyclical and undulating nature, in the price/emotion relationship. --- (ANNOUNCMENT) & (REMINDER): Last Sunday I could not publish the largest analysis that I have saved and the first to expose with greater seriousness, however next Sunday I will be ready with better and more details for any type of market studen --- II hope to be of help. A huge greeting, and have a good week.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by AVNGL01
Correlated assets, Great impact. Here ladies and gentleman we have the US dollar and GLD futures. In DXY we are currently in a nice little wedge and already breaking to the downside. Below are 2 highlighted supports that I'm seeing that could potentially be reversal points since the dollar has been in the upside since May. We all know what this means for equities:) In gold we are looking at a bearish descending triangle with a little bit more push to the upside of about 3% or so before resuming to the downside. Personally I think for the dollar to reverse to support 2 that gold would go higher and push out to the upside of the triangle. time will tell, That's all folks
TVC:DXY
by moonman777
2
ETH: critical MA junctureinsert your: flippening / altszn. Will Eth rally to save the entire crypt market, seeing as it is being used to launder money through useless jpegs? beats me, sounds more like cryptokiddies 2.0 with a useless 'gas saving' eip1559 update that makes network overload a real and dangerous threat to this ecosystem. imagine the strings of liquidations because some 'nefarious' parties decided to all mint NFTs and congest the network with outrageous fees. Trading Disclaimer: All trades and ideas posted from this account, including setups, are given for educational purposes only. 95% of trades never win, and instead realize losses. Trading involves risk, there are zero guarantees that you will win any given trade, including this one or others related to it or this account. If you follow any setups, you do so at your own risk, taking full responsibility of any actions and / or outcomes. Nothing posted is to be taken as financial advice. The information and opinions presented by this account should not be construed as investment or trading advice, and is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to take actionable trading on any asset, cryptocurrency, securities, or any other tradable digital asset. All content presented is for entertainment and education. No Financial Advice. Past performances are not a guarantee of future outcomes and or results: trading involves strategizing probabilities, there are no expectations on any given trade. Always do your own research and consult a team of professionals from finance and law before proceeding with any type of action in personal finance. All information provided by this account is a general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice or financial advice. None of the information communicated in this accounts tradingview publishings are financial advice and/or incentives, solicitng, advertising, manipulation tactics, and any other malicious behaviour - no, solely for entertainment purposes ONLY.
CME:ETH1!
by The_Clown_of_Smyrna
You have an edge over algos in trading counter-momentum newsThe conventional wisdom out there among traders is that by the time you read a news headline, the algorithms have already priced it in. That's really not true, especially in cases where the news goes against strong upward momentum. The algorithms aren't going to place big bets against momentum. This is a case where you, as a human trader, have an edge over algorithms, because you're better at making predictions based on qualitative news reports that can't be neatly quantified and plugged into a forecasting model. Look at how lumber futures responded to news that a federal judge had struck down the moratorium on evictions. (8 million renters are underwater on their rent to the tune of five and a half thousand dollars each, so this could put a lot of housing inventory on the market all at once.) Momentum weakened for a few days, but lumber continued upward. An increase in bond rates didn't stop the upward movement either. Only the next day, when the US dollar hit a support level, did lumber finally plummet. And even then, it rallied for a day before falling off a cliff again. Momentum doesn't die easily, but when it finally dies, it dies hard. (Note that Friday evening a federal judge agreed to let the eviction moratorium stay in effect while the government pursues an appeal, so we could see a short-term bottom this week-- but again, it could take a few days for the tide to turn.) Let's look at another example. On February 7, 2020 it became absolutely clear to me just how bad Covid was going to be, and I pulled all my money out of the market. To my surprise, the S&P 500 just kept going up-- for nearly two weeks! In fact, I even bought a few shares on February 18, thinking, "I guess stocks just aren't going to react to this." Then I sold again on February 20 when it looked like the momentum finally might stall. And thank God I did, because what followed was a bloodbath like nothing I've witnessed before. What I learned from this experience was that when you see a news event that ought to be an inflection point for a high-momentum security, you may need to exercise some patience. Short-dated puts aren't necessarily going to get the job done, because the price may not immediately react as you expect. But if you have the conviction and the patience and you choose your moment wisely, these sorts sorts of trades can offer big, big gains.
Editors' picks
L
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
57
Break Hard?I've had the larger channel in for weeks. As you can see, we've bounced along the lower bound for a while finally breaking through solidly in the past 24 hours. The question is: does the lower bound support become resistance? I've included a few extra lines more pertinent to the next 72 hours. It appears that we are at an inflection point. I see a possible head and shoulders developing on the 4hr but the trend seems bullish. That said, we have a gap in CME futures between 54000-55000 (ish). The (potential) right shoulder is presenting lower highs and lower lows with respect the the (potential) head and volume is decidedly bearish which would lead me to a 50100 target in BTCUSD, a breakout to the upside would portend new highs, but only time will tell. Note: CME futures are closed until the Sunday Globex open due to Good Friday. What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by jwreynoso
$BTCUSD - Watch the Monthly closeBefore we get into this idea, please note that performance is not guaranteed. I recommend doing your own research before entering any trade. Your upvotes & comments are appreciated. Just a quick update on COINBASE:BTCUSD , on the Monthly timeframe. As I discussed in todays COINBASE:ETHUSD update, BTC has not closed above $9340 in 9 months. The upcoming monthly close (2 days & 17 hours from the time of writing this update) will tell us a lot about where the corn wants to go. Previous failed attempts at closing above $9340 have resulted in drops to the $6300 and even $3700 region. The last time we did close a month above $9340, we saw the corn fly as high as the $13,000s. Essentially, whether we close above or below $9340 is a big deciding factor for the coming months. Be sure you watch it closely. Good luck traders. - Jelle
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoJelleNL
Bitcoin: Bear Party? Don't Ignore These Support Levels.#Bitcoin has established a new lower higher off the 7K resistance area, BUT is this a signal for bears to run rampant? In this video I explain why the following support levels should not be ignored since there is a greater probability of a higher low developing. This can be particularly insightful for those who are not sure whether staying in a long position makes sense. We use patterns of order flow to gauge probabilities and then apply what we learn within the boundaries of our LONG only swing trade strategy. We rely purely on TECHNICAL analysis, not biased news or irrelevant opinions. Keep in mind, you do not have to agree with this evaluation, I just hope to provide a road map of potential inflection points. How Bitcoin reacts at these points will be determined by the price action unfolding at that time. 1. The fact that the key resistance at 6425 was compromised is a structural change that is NOT obvious, particularly to those who focus on small time frames. For our strategy, it means that the bearish weight presented by the recent sell off (10400 to 3800) is less. This increases that chance that the next bearish retrace is followed by a higher low or failed low, rather than a lower low. 2. The first inflection point is the 5800 level support. This is the .382 retrace relative to the recent bullish swing. This does NOT mean price WILL reverse precisely here, but it is an area where we can ANTICIPATE a change in order flow. IF Bitcoin presents the change, and provides a continuation pattern to go long, we will be prompted to share a new swing trade long idea. 3. The second inflection point is the 5K AREA. This support zone is relative to the recent bullish swing as well, which is smaller in magnitude. The key here is how price behaves IF it probes this low. If the lower boundary is cleared with little effort, THEN a lower low becomes likely. Otherwise, based on the price action at the MOMENT, it makes sense to anticipate a bullish reversal pattern in this area which will again, prompt us to share a swing trade long idea. Timing markets is NOT about predicting, it is about anticipating and ADJUSTING. Charts can help to a point, but unless you are an insider, there is a high degree of randomness that we must always consider. In reality, the lines on a chart do not mean anything unless you ACCEPT and UNDERSTAND a key concept about how markets work: logic does NOT drive prices. This means in order to win, you must evaluate market information from a behavioral perspective.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
13
BTCUSD 200 MA Mechanics ThesisBTCUSD has failed at the 200 DMA three times already since it was lost. However, the 200 DMA is still rising due to the 47 day run from $6,000 to $20,000 still being included in the MA calculation. A rising 200 DMA is much more difficult to breach than a down-sloping one, leading me to believe that the upcoming inflection point in the 200 DMA will shortly precede the true inflection point for BTC and the crypto market as a whole. tldr; 1. The probability of an instrument breaching a down-sloping 200 DMA is much greater than that with an up-sloping 200 DMA 2. In 47 days the peak of December 2017's run will no longer be included in the MA calculation, thus creating an inflection in the 200 DMA 3. Due to the sharpness of BTC's decline in early 2018, the 200 DMA will have a steep downward slope following the inflection. 4. BTC breaching this steep 200 DMA is a high probability indication of a long term inflection in price for BTC and the broader crypto market.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by Pivotal_Capital
BITCOIN (Upcoming Point of Inflection???)Hello All - Crazy Times in the Crypto World - Some very important Trend Lines are approaching and I am very excited to see how the market reacts at these points - Specifically, the Upper Red Major Downtrend Line as well as the Upper Cyan Speculative UpTrend Line - I feel like we're in a teetering point here where this market COULD go HUGE in EITHER direction. My general sentiment is BEARish and I think we're in store for more MAJOR downturns before this gets better. There is just not a good vibe in the crypto world to support influx of NEW money to propel this market to higher highs. That is my humble opinion - but lets see what happens at this upcoming point of infliction. LEGEND Orange Line - Speculative Down Trend Line Cyan - Speculative UpTrend Lines Red - Proven Major Downtrend Channel Lines White - Previous Resistance and Support Lines As always, intelligent disagreement highly appreciated. www.bitmex.com
BITMEX:BTCUSD.P
by WillNixTrading