EURUSD potential Forecast POST NFP | 7th November 2022Hi there guys,
I mainly use ICT + Smart Money Concepts for my trading.
Analysis
- Last week due to the release of NFP data, price tapped into the H4 Demand zone before bouncing up with price currently trading at 0.99589 at time of writing.
- I also noted out the Fair Value Gaps & buyside liquidity areas.
Idea
I'm pretty neutral on price at the moment and currently looking out for price to head to 2 possible areas for the beginning of next week.
Long : To the H4 FVG at 1.00440
Short : To the H4 FVG at 0.98510
For entries, always use confirmations on the smaller timeframes! Stay safe trading!
Feel free to follow me, comment + boost this post if you guys enjoyed this!
Regards,
Chen Yongjin
Innercircletrader
EURUSD potential Forecast after FOMC | 3rd November 2022Hi there guys,
I mainly use ICT + Smart Money Concepts for my trading.
Analysis
Price experienced massive votality overnight as a result of the FOMC news release , with price grabbing liquidity from BOTH the previous daily high and low before continuing its bearish momentum downwards.
Idea
Price is expected to test the H1 Fair Value Gap before continuing to fall towards the H4 Demand zone at 0.97775.
For entries, always use confirmations on the smaller timeframes! Stay safe trading!
Feel free to follow me, comment + boost this post if you guys enjoyed this!
Regards,
Chen Yongjin
IS $40 PER $SOL POSSIBLE THIS YEAR?Greetings fellow traders. In this analysis, we take a look at a possible Solana ($SOL) Buy Swing position. The Risk-to-Reward on this trade is a "No-Brainer" hence the reason I am sharing this trade setup.
My confluences for the Buy trade setup:
- Solana is well known as for its NFT ecosystem. With $SOL being the underlying currency for this ecosystem, it makes $SOL fundamentally strong for the long term.
- Now lets look at the technical analysis,
* There is a Fair Value Gap around $29.50.
* There is also a Bullish OB just below the FVG.
* There are notable equal highs/ Sell Side Liquidity around $34.50 that has to be raided.
* I will be targeting the Fair Value Gap by $42.50 as my intermediate target price. My Long term target price is $60.
- Looking at seasonal tendencies, Q4 is usually good for the Crypto market therefore there is a higher possibility of the market being Bullish than Bearish.
My Entry price is sub-$30 (preferably, $29.50). Use proper risk management.
With this said, Happy Trading Pals
EURUSD potential forecast | 2nd November 2022Hi everyone, today I will be talking about a possible EURUSD short trade using Smart Money Concepts.
Trade Idea
- Price rebounded off the fair value gap and market inefficiency as noted by the FVG zone.
- Anticipating price to continue moving down in light of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
- There is a possibility of FOMC pushing price further down.
- Price is still BEARISH structurally and is forming lower lows and lower highs.
These are my confluences to why I believe price can continue headed down.
Do leave a boost and a comment!
Will love to hear everyone's opinion on EURUSD now.
Educational Series - Smart Money Concepts ( Liquidity )Hi there guys!
I will be doing a short tutorial on Smart Money Concept's liquidity.
What is it?
- Liquidity acts as a driver to move the market in a specific price range.
- We can find liquidity in areas where many people place stop losses and buy/sell stops.
- Market makers will manipulate the price in order to break through these obvious zones and seize the liquidity.
How to look for them
- You will be looking for areas where price are of relative equal highs/lows.
- Areas where price has not gone to swept the "stop losses"
Why is it useful?
- Helps to forecast where price might potentially head to
- Potential areas for take profits upon clearing of liquidity
- Avoid placing your stop loss at liquidity areas
It takes some time to learn how to spot liquidity.
If you do enjoy this tutorial, feel free to follow me and boost this post! :)
Regards,
Chen Yongjin
EURUSD potential Forecast for today | 2nd November 2022Hi there guys,
I mainly use ICT + Smart Money Concepts for my trading.
Analysis
I'm moving to the H1 timeframe for EURUSD and spotted a 5 mins Fair Value Gap area where price might tap into and potentially continue it's bearish trend to the Unmitigated H4 Fair Value Gap at 0.98007 with multiple sellside liquidity areas and the previous daily low in the way.
Idea
Short to the Unmitigated H4 Fair Value Gap at 0.98007
Always use confirmations on the lower timeframe for entries! Stay safe trading guys!
Please comment + boost this post if you guys enjoyed this!
EURUSD potential Forecast for today | 1st November 2022Hi there guys,
I mainly use ICT + Smart Money Concepts for my trading.
I'm moving to the H1 timeframe for EURUSD and spotted 2 different areas where EURUSD might possibly head to after the respective break of market structures drawn on chart.
1.) Long to the H4 Fair Value Gap at 1.00440
2.) Short to the Unmitigated H4 Fair Value Gap at 0.98007
Always use confirmation entries on the lower timeframe for entries! Stay safe trading guys!
Please comment + boost this post if you guys enjoyed this!
EURUSD potential Forecast for New York | 1st November 2022Hi there guys,
I mainly use ICT + Smart Money Concepts for my trading.
Fundamental news release 10am NY
- Shorting EU downwards due to the bullish USD news with the JOLTS Job Openings being better than previous + forecast
- Construction spending also was way better than previous + forecast
Entry
Short to the Unmitigated H4 Fair Value Gap at 0.98007
Always use confirmation entries on the lower timeframe for entries! Stay safe trading guys!
Please comment + boost this post if you guys enjoyed this!
XAUUSD Potential Forecast | 31st October 2022Hi there guys,
I mainly use ICT + Smart Money Concepts for my trading.
With a very rangy market today. I'm moving to the H4 timeframe for gold and spotted 2 different areas where gold might head to after the range breakout.
1.) Long to the H4 Fair Value Gap at 1653.120
2.) Short to the H4 Fair Value Gap at 1629.335
Always use confirmation entries on the lower timeframe for entries! Stay safe trading guys!
Please comment + boost this post if you guys enjoyed this!
EURUSD potential Forecast for today | 31st October 2022Hi there guys!
I will be using SMC + ICT Concepts for my analysis.
I'm looking for a potential sell entry on EURUSD on the H1 Chart towards the 0.98755 level where the H4 POI is located.
Do give this post a boost if you guys enjoyed it!
Any questions feel free to ask me I will try my best to answer them.
IS THERE A BIG DUMP SET TO HAPPEN FOR BTCUSDT?I am back with another weekly analysis for Bitcoin. As the month ends, there will be large volatility in this trading week which is great for us traders.
This week I am looking to short BTCUSDT at $20850. I am anticipating a nice dump to around $19500 price level where there is a strong Bullish Order Block.
Below are my confluences for this trade setup:
- Price is near the hourly Bearish OB which coincides with the Institutional Price Level of $20800 price level.
- We can see that BTCUSDT failed to make a higher high after closing the 50% of the void that was left by $21 000. This shows a SMT Divergence as Smart money are looking to sell their BTC at Premium price.
- Based on the US Dollar index (DXY) hourly chart, we can see that price failed to make a Lower low on Friday which means the DXY can rally to close some imbalances above current price level. As the DXY strengthens, BTC is expected to drop in value.
- My target of $19500 is at Discount Price Array of the current hourly range we trading in. There is a Fair Value Gap that has to be closed as well as a Strong Daily Bullish by my target price.
With this said, do manage your risk and i hope you have an amazing trading week ahead.
SPX500 BUY IDEAVery clean entry -- They really do this at the most unexpected times to get you. I PROMISE YOU HALF the people on that sell was holding the trade and very few people took partials/profits. (GREED) Market wanted all those positions... Promise you there were MANY buy limits at that 0.618 zone as well because people wanted to see it hold there and find resistance to sell off once more..
Will post below Lower time frame chart which I cant post when I publish the Idea (has to be 15M or higher)
Long term Dollar biasLong term bullish bias on the dollar index.
A daily ICT Fair value gap is revisited at a discount price.
The low on 18/10/22 is swept out.
on a lower time frame at 8:30 (GMT-4) you would look for the same thing to occur, a short term low to be swept, around the 8:30 news, and then anticipate a bullish market structure shift where your entry would be at a discount fair value gap in that market structure shift.
But im not trading the dollar...im using it as an "indicator".
when they DXY is long term bullish, foreign currencies and stocks will find it difficult to go higher. This is a risk off situation, meaning that my long term bias on stocks and foreign currencies is bearing.
ETH/USD SELL IDEALooking at a sell on ETH to tag sell side liquidity at 1000 and 885. Price may continue the current sell initiated by NFP and head straight for the sell side liquidity or reach for 1432.72 and give a decent sell entry from there. This is me just sharing my ideas for fun and shouldn't be taken as a signal...Thanks ;)
$XRP - Bearish near .492 - 3 pivots to Watch *SMT**SMT* = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Tasla or Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will do 2 things 1) move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and 2) Move toward Imbalance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids. Open Gaps) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.*
Price moving up into Fair Value Gap in 1 hr marked in red on chart marked
Opening gap that price just reached...will it continue or move back down now?
Near that area will be bearish order block and get rejected and should move down to at least near $0.4455. I'll be setting limits on the three levels to ensure I at least take home a profit. 75% at 0.4455, 15% @ 0.42860, 5% @0.40241
We'll see what happens
Are we heading towards a global crash?I notice that whenever a crash occurs, bond market would be offloaded prior to the event.
Order block was printed on the 1st of October 2018 prior to covid. Bearish fair value gaps printed and rebalanced in 2019 prior to the crash.
Note that Buyside liquidity (BSL) has been taken out, I would speculate that the market is currently printing a bearish order block. (up move before the down move)
BITCOIN weekly Bias/IOF $17567 objectiveBeautiful when you see price deliver the same thing every time but it get boring. One of my previous post talked about how the algorithm works here and how we might not get to the 50% of the range or the -OB and they did same thing. Our objective remain $17567. BINANCE:BTCUSD