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USDINR The 2-year Rising Wedge is holding.The USDINR pair continues to respect the Rising Wedge that we mentioned more than 2 months ago (July 24, see chart below), giving us both excellent buy and sell signals: This 2-year Rising Wedge pattern is approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line) once more so we're preparing for a sell signal again. The confirmation to sell within this pattern is given when the 1W RSI breaks above its MA line (yellow trend-line). Our Target is 83.7500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDINR Bullish break-out signalThe USDINR pair broke this week above Resistance 1 (83.700), the long lasting level since the week of March 18 and following a strong rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the break-out should technically lead higher. The long-term pattern remains a Rising Wedge and we expect at least a symmetrical +1.29% Bullish Leg to price the Higher High, similar to the March High. Our Target is 84.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
USDINR Bearish unless it breaks that Resistance.The USDINR pair has been trading within a long-term Rising Wedge pattern since the November 11 2022 Low. The 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been supporting all the way and in fact has made contact with the price and held on 3 occasions, with the most recent being on June 03. We are currently bearish as the price remains within the Rising Wedge, targeting its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) at 83.2150. If however the pair manages to close a 1D candle above Resistance 1 (83.7000), we will take the small loss and open a buy, targeting the Higher Highs at 84.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
Macro Monday 47 – Major Trading Opportunities In IndiaMacro Monday 47 – Major Trading Opportunities In India 10 Reasons why you need to pay special attention to India’s economy Before I start there will be major market opportunities in India that will present over the coming 12 - 36 months in India. As an investor or trader, you cannot ignore this market. 1. India is on track to become the world's 3rd largest economy by 2027, surpassing Japan and Germany (currently India is 5th). This provides a major 3 - 5 year potential investment opportunity in Indian index funds and specific stocks in India. 2. India overtook China as the most populous nation in world in April 2024 (1.435b vs 1.425b). 3. Approximately 65% of India’s population is below the age of 35, and half are below the age of 25. In years to come this will represent a larger innovative workforce with the potential for higher productivity and increased consumer demand from this younger demographic. 4. India has the fastest GDP growth in the world. A minimum of 6% in GDP growth is expected over the next five years, separating it from both the broader emerging market cohort and from slower-growing developed markets. We noted on last weeks Macro Monday that Brazil’s GDP growth was expected to range between 2 – 2.9%, India’s GDP is expected grow at twice this rate. 5. In the shorter term India has a major domestic election concluding in June 2024. Between 1999 – 2019 India's Nifty 50 Stock Index historically tended to exhibit a positive trend six months preceding and following federal elections. A 20.5%+ increase prior to Election conclusion, 3%+ one month after election and 14.4% in the 6 months post-election. Election Season is great for the Indian Stock Market and we are right in the middle of it. 6. India has emerged as a global economic player striking deals with the US, Russian and China, having exceptional relations with all three. India actively participates in international forums and in shaping economic policies. Its presidency of the G20 in 2023 showcased its economic prowess and diplomatic finesse. This all translates into India showcasing that it is in growth mode, but more importantly, that it is economically stable, diverse and reliable. 7. According to Blackrock their emerging market ETF inflows into Indian indexes exceeded $4.4b in 2023 whilst total flows into all other EM countries ETF's combined to only $1.1b, clearly demonstrating a major influx of capital into India ahead of other EM's. 8. Indian equities earnings estimates are predicting a market with potentially prolonged and stable earnings growth. Analysts are expecting general Indian equities to post 13.8% earnings growth in the next 12 months and 14.4% in the next 18 months. Longer-term estimates call for 14.5% year-over-year earnings growth by year-end 2026. There is an incredible opportunity for TA chartist’s and investors to move into individual stock selection with the wind at their backs as the Indian Economy moves into what maybe its golden economic era. 9. Over the past two decades, India’s main stock benchmark, the Nifty 50, has offered 15.0% annualized returns in USD terms, more than double the 6.8% offered by the majority of other global Indexes and this is expected to continue. 10. India has made remarkable progress in reducing extreme poverty. Between 2011 and 2019, the share of the population living in extreme poverty was halved. This trend emulates what China achieved between 1990 and 2011 when they halved the amount of people living in extreme poverty in China. In the decade that followed China became the world’s second-largest economy, surpassing Japan. As mentioned in No.1 above, India is expected to become the 3rd largest economy in the word, overtaking Japan by 2027. Now that we have a good understanding of this major positive macro-economic trend in India, let’s have a look at some general indices where some great opportunities are present. Please note that India is firmly on my Radar now and more specific equities charts will be posted as I discover them. Ishares MSCI India ETF - AMEX:INDA The iShares India ETF is an exchange-traded fund that aims to track the performance of the MSCI India Index. This index includes large and mid-sized companies in India's equity market. Here are the top 5 holdings of the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) along with percentage allocations and brief descriptions: 1. Reliance Industries Ltd (8%): Reliance Industries is a conglomerate with interests in various sectors including petrochemicals, refining, oil and gas exploration, telecommunications, and retail. It is one of India's largest companies by market capitalization. 2. ICICI Bank Ltd (5.36%): ICICI Bank is one of the largest private sector banks in India offering a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to individuals as well as corporate clients. 3. Infosys Ltd (4.41%): Infosys is a global IT consulting and services company that provides software development, maintenance, systems integration, outsourcing, and other technology-related services to clients across industries worldwide. 4. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd (3.76%): HDFC is a leading provider of housing finance in India. The company offers various loan products and services to individual homebuyers as well as corporate clients engaged in real estate development. 5. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (3.23%): TCS is another major IT consulting and services company from India that offers a wide range of digital transformation solutions to global businesses across industries such as banking & financial services, manufacturing, healthcare, retail, and more. Please note that these holdings are subject to change over time based on market conditions or fund manager decisions, however this is on the 2024 prospectus. These could be good starting stocks for investors seeking to pick individual stocks in India as they have the backing of analysts in one of the largest funds in the world. The Ishares India ETF Chart SUBJECT CHART ABOVE ▫️ Price has broken to new highs and now bounced off the 21 week SMA. ▫️ A potential parallel channel break out with a target at c. $68.00. ▫️ Good risk reward on a potential trade at 4:1. Entry here at $52.97. ▫️ You could raise the stop to of approx. $50 and make it an RR 7:1. ▫️ The DSS Bressert appears to be crossing and about to move upwards but this is not a guarantee yet. This outcome would be ideal. ▫️ Price could revisit the breakout point at c. $50 - $51 which would be a more ideal entry but given the positivity in the Indian market, election season, the fact we are making new highs and are above the 21 SMA, coupled with a DSS Bressert cross looking likely, this is a very reasonable long term set up.A potential parallel channel break out with a target at c. $68.00. ▫️ Good risk reward on a potential trade at 4:1. Entry here at $52.97. ▫️ You could raise the stop to of approx. $50 and make it an RR 7:1. ▫️ The DSS Bressert appears to be crossing and about to move upwards but this is not a guarantee yet. This outcome would be ideal. Price could revisit the breakout point at c. $50 - $51 which would be a more ideal entry but given the positivity in the Indian market, election season, the fact we are making new highs and are above the 21 SMA, coupled with a DSS Bressert cross looking likely, this is a very reasonable long term set up. India NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index - $NIFTY_MI The India NIFTY Midcap Select Index is a stock market index that represents the performance of 25 mid-sized companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India. Stocks are selected from the Nifty Midcap 150 index based on availability for trading in the Futures & Options segment, market cap and average daily turnover. Stock weights are based on free-float market capitalization. Here are the top 5 holdings of the NIFTY Midcap Select Index along with percentage allocations and brief descriptions: 1. Indian Hotels Co. Ltd (7.1%): IHCL and its subsidiaries bring together a group of brands that offer a fusion of warm Indian hospitality and world-class service. These include Taj – the iconic brand for discerning travelers, SeleQtions, Vivanta, Ginger, and amã Stays & Trails. 2. Persistent Systems Ltd (5.69%): Persistent Systems is a global company specializing in digital engineering and enterprise modernization services. They offer solutions in banking, financial services, healthcare, life sciences, and technology sectors. 3. Cummins India Ltd (5.65%): Cummins designs, manufactures, sells, and services diesel and alternative fuel engines, generators, and related components. They are known for their innovation in power solutions and corporate responsibility. 4. Lupin Ltd (5.40%): Lupin is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company and one of the largest generic pharmaceutical companies by revenue globally. Their key focus areas include pediatrics, cardiovascular, anti-infectives, diabetology, asthma, and anti-tuberculosis. 5. Housing Development Finance Corporation Asset Management Company Ltd (5.21%): HDFC AMC operates as an investment management firm, offering portfolio management and advisory services to individuals, institutions, trusts, private funds, charitable organizations, and investment companies in India. Please note that these holdings are subject to change over time based on market conditions or fund manager decisions, however this is on the 2024 prospectus. The Chart ▫️ The India NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index chart is more promising than the Ishares MSCI India ETF. ▫️ There is a defined upward channel under which the 21 week SMA is providing support. ▫️We have broken recent highs, local resistance and a have a DSS Bressert Cross turning up. All three are bullish signals. ▫️A great risk reward set up is available here at 11:1. You can alter this to suit your risk tolerance or how long you want to remain in the trade. I would be inclined to lower the stop because the RR is weighted heavily to the upside. ▫️It is possible that we get a retest of the breakout area also, but given the DSS Bressert Cross and upwards momentum, I lean more directly bullish. Indian Rupee (INR) Currency Risk There is a currency risk with the second trade in the NIFTY Mid Cap Select Index as it is denominated in the Indian Rupee (INR) which has been on a long term decline against the USD since Aug 2011. If we were to move to the bottom of the current long term pennant we could lose c.5% in currency devaluation in this trade. This could happen over a couple of months, so its something to keep an eye on. Here is the INR/USD Chart for reference: Summary: There is a unique opportunity to make significant returns from one of the largest and fastest growing countries in the world. I listed 10 reasons why India's economy has major promise: 1. Projected to 3rd largest Economy by 2027 2. Largest Population in the world (since Apr 2024) 3. 50% of population are <25 years of age, 65%<35 4. Fastest GDP growth in the world at 6% 5. Election Season = 14 - 17% return historically (within 8 months of current juncture in May 2024) 6. India's presidency of the G20 in 2023 showcased its economic prowess and diplomatic finesse. 7. Three times more capital flowing into India ETF's vs other emerging market ETF's 8. Analysts predict 14.5% YoY growth in Indian Equities. 9. Over the past two decades India's Nifty 50 has offered 15.0% annualized returns in USD terms 10. In India the share of the population living in extreme poverty was halved between 2011-2019 We then looked at two India Indexes that are looking very positive and have a great risk:reward trade set ups in the $NIFTY_MI and the $INDA. We also covered off some of the indexes individual holdings as these might be worth looking at. Finally we created awareness of the currency risk that exists on the $NIFTY_MI chart. If we want to take advantage of this blooming economy in more specific and targeted ways, we will likely need to trade in the Indian Rupee XETR:INR at some stage. So we need to be familiar with the chart and the currency. We projected that it could decline by 5% against the dollar over a 6 - 12 month period so this should be factored in. This is not a prediction. It could show strenght against the dollar and break out of its downward pennant. Time will tell. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA
CBOE:INDALong
by PukaCharts
USDINR Sell opportunity to the 1D MA50The USDINR pair made a direct hit on our 82.700 Target, which we set on our last analysis (January 10, see chart below): Right now we see the price pulling back within a Channel Down. This is a standard pattern within the long-term Rising Wedge pattern, which as you see out of 7 Bearish Legs all broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and only 1 managed to make just a hit-and-rebound. As a result we are going for a moderate sell Target at 83.100 and then we will reverse to buying, targeting Resistance 1 at 83.700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDINR Still bearish but we move our target a little higher.This is an update to our November 27 2023 idea on the USDINR pair where we issued a sell signal exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1 year Rising Wedge pattern: Our 82.600 Target hasn't yet been hit but due to the slower than expected decline, we have to modify our target and move it a little higher to 82.700, which marks a projected contact with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDINR Neutral but needs a medium-term pull-back.The USDINR pair has been practically ranged around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since September but on a long-term perspective, close to the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Rising Wedge. This calls for a technical medium-term pull-back, especially with the Bearish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which is trading within a Channel Down. Our target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at the bottom of the Wedge at 82.600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
BTC INDEX against 5 biggest adopters if we take a look at btc against the countries which traded the btc mostly. to take out the inflation and market noise. we need to look at the chart with 5 major countries which are buying and selling bitcoin in their local currencies. CNY, INR, PKR, NGN, EUR so if we average out these currencies we will get a value and then we divide btc with that value we will get the local avg price. not everyone is looking at us dollar chart. sometimes we need to look at the bigger picture. i have also multiplied to 148.68 to get actual value of btc to get clear understanding. we can already see that btc already tested the local 2019 top. which means we might already have bottomed out.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Bitsleader
Currency scuffleAs you can see we prepared update for the currency agenda, we have added gd, jpy, rub, and inr to the fuse, as you can see fibonacci cycles stayed the same in the anbsence. We think or at least clearly see on a chart that rub was the most profitable currency available. In the later arrivals we will try to discover most profitable assets nominated in rubles and compare them to assets in other curencies. Feel free to read, analyse, comment and enjoy the party.
by UnknownUnicorn462803
1
USDINR: Watch closely for an insane 2024 rally.USDINR is trading inside an Ascending Triangle on the 1W timeframe, with the 1W technical outlook constantly bullish (RSI = 59.515, MACD = 0.267, ADX = 38.795). This is despite 8 failed attempts in the last 9 weeks to close a 1W candle over the top of the Ascending Triangle, which on any other occasion would be considered a sign of weakness. With the 1W MACD on a Bullish Cross though and the whole pattern supported by the 1W MA50 in July, we expect a bullish breakout to take place soon. The chart on the right which is on the 1M timeframe shows the incredible upside potential of the pair every time it breaks out. If we get the candle close we want, look for a buy and at least a +12.60% rise (TP = 92.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
4
USDINR Stuck in a Triangle. Trade the break-out.The USDINR pair is trading inside a 1.5 month Triangle (blue), following the upward break-out of the 1 year Ascending Triangle. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been supporting for 2 months and as long as it holds, buy when the price breaks above Resistance 1 (83.4200). The target can be 84.500, representing a +2.13% leg extension on a potential emerging Channel Up. If the 1D MA50 breaks, we will sell instead and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 82.4500, which is marginally above Support 2. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
NIFTY - M.O.A.B Vs "Optimus"MOAB, Mother of All bubble is the analogy lots of social media posts. Some even calling for that to unfold in the month of October itself. Talk of not 100 but 150 dollars doing the rounds. Bonds Down (yields up), Credit Ratings coming down, Crude prices hit, liquidity is squeezing, USD up, Equities wilt, Signs are omnivorous. US economy continues to print more than expected growth, China returning, Japan inflation still manageable. Higher Crude prices at the current prices are not going to hurt, unless they move past the 110 mark to start. Every aspect of the base effect has increased. Despite all the known bearish information, one has to ask the basic question then what is that the market expecting it to unfold for the MOAB. If despite all this information markets are not tanking, then this is the best bull market of all times when seen in retrospective. Let that be resolved by the markets than by us. Another interesting information is the unveiling of OPTIMUS, the new ROBOT from Elan Musk. With horizontal gravitation, built completely by the AI not humans, ability to identify the colour, one more step to positivity. Fear Greed are the two forces, but the bigger force is ignorance that drives the markets either up, down or neutral. Today that ignorance can be cause and effect of market inability to leap either way. It is almost six continuous days of down move. Yesterday just flat, but then sold off from the highs. Cues are not green. In the current frame held at the MBB, next is the long trendline drawn from the recent base (a place of failure of H n S pattern. The support line drawn from the previous top points closer to 19K. The shorter horizontal line which is around the 19580 is the worry as it is not far off. Big frames 19200-20200 dictates for consolidation, while shorter frames push towards 19500-19800 range. For the day below 19730 19580 is one stab. Trade small and profit taking remains the sane word in any place, size and value. The Congestion Index is clearly showing slowing down, but still positive. Struggling to keep the upside, cues overseas also are in similar or much more bearish tone. Stay cautioned by Risk than by Reward.
NSE:NIFTY
by sreebhashyam
Daily market analysis for tomorrow 6th july.Daily Show on NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY and USDINR, where we try and predict the market direction for tomorrow by technical analysis, Open Interest (OI) data analysis, FII DII data analysis and much more. This show gives insights into the market and is especially useful if you are a beginner who has just started options trading and wants to learn how to trade using price action and other chart techniques. Disclaimer: This is not an investment recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. We are doing this only to understand how to read derivative data and perform technical analysis. Strictly for educational purposes only. #nifty #niftytrading #banknifty #usdinr #optionstrading #technicalanalysis #tradingforbeginners #niftyprediction #sharemarkettrading #niftytomorrow #marketprediction #priceaction #usdinrprediction #niftytechnicalanalysis #tradingchartanalysis #nifty50prediction #usdinrtradingstrategytomorrow #openinterest
NSE:NIFTY
by littlesubham
USDINR Triangle pattern on the 1D MA200. Trade the break-out.The USDINR pair is trading within a Triangle pattern with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) supporting on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). You can scalp inside the pattern for as long as it lasts (RSI also in a Triangle), but when a 1D candle closes outside the Triangle, trade the break-out's direction. Buy and target the 83.2900 Resistance in case of a bullish break-out, and the 80.500 Support in case of a bearish break-out. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
2
Copper (COPPER/INR) Commodity Analysis 18/07/2021 Technical Analysis: As you can see, there exist a hidden Bullish Divergence with MACD which is the sign of bullish trend continuation as Copper has started its bullish wave since March 2020. It is moving in an ascending channel. We draw Fibonacci retracement from the low to the top of last impulsive wave which are defined as the Fib levels on chart. The commodity fell to 78% Fibonacci Retracement and it is consolidating and accumulating on Fibonacci Golden Zone currently. we believe this commodity is getting ready to shoot to the higher targets which are defined by Fibonacci Projection tool of the past wave.
MCX:COPPER1!Long
by BitonGroup
USDINR STRONG IMPORTANT LEVELHello friends, First, I love India and the Indian people. I made an analysis for the Indian rupee and I think it is on a very important level now. You see the huge rising channel, in which a small falling one is formed. I have indicated the important levels on monthly and weekly charts, which were just hit. We saw a strong rejection from these levels, which means that the price is struggling to fall down further. If the daily candle closes today with a bullish candlestick pattern, I drew the path upside. However, my opinion is that we would only make a price correction in order to break those levels and fall further. Downside levels are really strong and if those are broken we might see a massive crash of the price. I advise you to follow the fundamental analysis of the Indian economy because it is an integral part of this trade. I will also upload pictures under this trade in order to see closer daily candle and fibonacci levels. I will update this trade and follow it closely! This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only. Namaste! I wish you all the best and bags of profits during the new year.
U
by meriliness