GBPNZD: “Break & Retest” Setup on “IBM” Buy Stop Entry (33/100)System has identified a “B&R” setup and a sell stop on the break of the inside bar for an entry executed during the second hour of the LONDON 12-Candle Window.
RISK: 1R
TARGET: 4R
***DISCLAIMER***
This is a new system based strategy being live tested for the purpose of gathering data. The system generates between 3-6 signals per session upon detecting a qualifying setup and entry signal. Currently being tested only in LONDON and only using all GBP pairs. The win rate and expectancy are unknown. Please do not take these trades.
Inside
Finding Bottoms Using Monthly Inside Candles: SNOWThis past year, I shared many bottoms on names on my weekly WLs based on bottoming consolidation structures, mentioning a specific strategy as a reasoning for the trades. Aside from understanding price action, I used a simple method:
Monthly inside candles/bars.
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What is an inside candle/bar?
Inside candles trade “inside” its previous candle. The previous candle’s high and low can be used as resistance and support, respectively. Your trade execution comes on a break & hold above/below the range.
Here are a few examples of this:
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NYSE:SNOW
This has traded within it’s May ‘22 inside range for over a year. This has been one of my top watches earlier this year.
The range provides a macro resistance/support of $187.23 and $112.10, respectively. These levels can now be used as targets for your trades.
How do I execute on this?
Zoom into LTFs to find swing opportunities. In my 1/23/23 weekly watchlist, I provided NYSE:SNOW based on a previous bull div + key support/demand being held (red box).
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All swing contracts provided on the WL printed, while NYSE:SNOW saw a massive upside move from $140 into $178.70 within 2 weeks.
You’ll also notice my invalidation for this was $133.10 while the low was $134.34. This invalidation was based on a breakdown of the range low.
Now once again, on 3/31/2023 I mentioned NYSE:SNOW as a potential high R:R trade.
Based on the exact same reasoning as my January WL.
Once again, NYSE:SNOW was able to hold its demand zone with a macro target of the monthly inside candle resistance.
NYSE:SNOW
The same exact entry & same exact analysis now provided a recent move into my $187.23 target. First move providing a 33% move, second providing a 42% move.
This is how you take advantage of macro inside ranges (specifically monthly candles in these examples).
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Inside quarter for SPY and many others Current environment seems hard to trade in. If you zoom out every now and then, you'll find a lot of Inside Quarterly candles, like $SPY.
Not saying market is expected to go up or down, but it's seeking for a (clear) direction.
Check your internals/sector ETFs, currently lots of inside's on the quarter:
DIA IWM OIH SLX SMH XBI XHB XLB XLC XLE XLF XLI XLP XLU XLV XLY XME XOP XRT
SPY SHORT - SUPPLY, LIQUIDITY, PITCHFORKWe are at a supply orderblock which caused a break of structure below. Upon reaching the orderblock, we saw a pinbar + inside bar combination pattern. Not only that, we are reacting to the upper parallel line of the pitchfork. We can target the imbalance and equal lows liquidity below.
Sologenic 2023 bull cycle price scenario 2We have a lower inside pitchfork going into the 2023 bull cycle with more palatable price points. For the month of November, we have a high price of $95 MIddle price of $60 and a low of $37. If the bull cycle is in December/January then we have a high price of $413 middle price of $261 and a low price of $164. Clearly, these seem more attainable given that Sologenic is a Layer 1 protocol and is also on the XRPL (xrp ledger).
Sologenic 2023 bull cycle priceUsing the inside pitchfork and layering them can give us a possible price scenario for Sologenic end of 2023. Of course we are basing this on the Expanding Cycle THeory mentioned by Nicolas Merten from Datadash on Youtube. The bull cycle for Bitcoin could happen in 2024 as well. No one has the crystal ball on the future peak for Bitcoin but with some math and trend analysis it is possible to get close and this is why the ECT (expanding cycle theory) makes sense. We see to tier price points on these inside pitchfork fibs. For November 2023 top $3579 Middle $1113 Low $390. For December/January we see top of inside Pitchfork $32,243 (never happen lol) Middle $9887 Low $3597.
What do ya'll think?
Cardano @ various price points using different fibsI am using the regular Pitchfork and the Inside Pitchfork to give us another angle of the possible future trajectory prices of Cardano. Remember that these are all speculative price possibilities and nothing here is intended as trading advice but mere speculative projections. As Bitcoin heads higher according to the Stock to Flow by Plan B, if Bitcoin reaches its potential target of $93,000 by middle or end of 2021 then Cardano could hit the projected price points as seen in the horizontal yellow trend lines. The different prices that I have here are $0.25, $0.75, $1,50, $3.50, and $5. This is a two-day chart.
Trade Journal: Short $GSX - Inside Day/Support Failure - 4/6/20Friday, GSX experienced heavy selling throughout the day with a nearly 15% drawdown by the end of day. Throughout the bear market, GSX has been resilient and is considered relatively strong compared to other sector stocks. This changed however when GSX clearly broke a support level at 34.50 on heavy volume Friday. Despite the bullish price action in the markets, today's inside day candlestick reflects the continued selling in GSX. This is an very opportunistic time to get short GSX for a possible flush on low risk.
The 30m timeframe also reflects the bearish price action in GSX as price broke below and rejected the support at 34.50.
Entry - 33.78
Stop loss - 35.04
Target - 25
Trade Journal: Long $ZM - Inside Day Setup - 3/27/2020ZM has been gaining a lot of attention lately due to COVID-19 and the rising demand for online conferencing programs. ZM had recently broke out but has been relaxing for the last 3 days after reaching a high of 164. The last 2 days, ZM formed inside candlesticks on the daily chart indicating that a breakout may be imminent.
Following yesterday's post on ZM, the inside day candlestick trade triggered today at 147. I was not able to catch the initial breakout, however I did catch some shares during the late morning retracement at $150 and put my stop loss at today's low.
Entry - 150.76
Stop loss - 145
Target - 175
Trade Idea: Long $ZM @ 1472 inside day candlesticks are forming in ZM as a coiled spring is forming on the lower timeframes. ZM has not participated in the recent market bounce and seems to be acting inversely to the action. Watch ZM to start breaking out today or tomorrow above 147.
Long @ 147
Stop Loss @ Below today's low.
Target @ 180
USOIL 4H inside barhello. watch this inside bar for a potential reversal to the upside. or to the downside as a sell setup.
make sure you know how to trade that candle stick pattern and make sure ypu know how to calculate risk / lot size before executing any trade.
tarde at own risk. this is not a trade call. have a nice weekend. and rock on!
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Can you guess which one it is?
RSI?
Volume?
Trend lines?
Sexy rectangles?
No. None.
Anchored text!
Notice I have "SHORT ONLY" at the bottom right of the screen. Anchored text will appear on any time frame, so if you flick from Monthly to 15 minute it will always appear on screen in the same location. It's the T with an anchor under the text tool :)
So why is it so powerful?
Do your Fundamental research, create and idea first. Do you want to go long or short?
Is there is a huge monthly downtrend, would you buy in it?
Pick your direction FIRST, anchor the text to your chart and NEVER EVER go against it. Doesn't matter how good the set up is, only go in the direction you have decided!
BOOM! all them bad trades avoided.
Anchored text, you won't find people selling courses on that !
Make it rain!
DXY 4H 50 & Ascending TL Rejection Clear 4h 50 EMA & Ascending TL rejection to take lower, which intake was a perfect time when NFP came out to be the catalyst to move Gold up for a simple pullback on a 400-500 downside move, which was another great short entry for gold to take from 1524 to 1504 for 200 pips. Gold Rejected 1H 50 ema, silver aligned well with this too.
The price of gbp/jpy broke the support zoneThe price of gbp/jpy broke the support zone. The one identified by the EMAs 20 and 200 periods and by 50% of the Fibonacci retracement, on a daily time frame. Violating the whole area between 145.60 and 145.00 and confirming the closing below it, the price will continue this downtrend. The next target that coincides with the first key static support is at around 142.80. Once up to this point, the sales on this exchange should continue up to the final target of up to 61.8% of the Fibonacci retracement set at 140.45.
This technical scenario is supported by the fundamental one. With the "Brexit" situation still in development and far from a definitive conclusion, the pound is devaluing in the short term. This trend will continue at least until the end of the summer. This deadline granted from the EU to London to make a decision.
On the other hand, although the Bank of Japan has declared that it is ready to implement an even more expansive monetary policy by stimulating the Japanese economy with further injections of money, it now seems intent on maintaining the line declared during the last meeting.
Meanwhile, rumors are circulating on the markets. Japan has signed an agreement with China for the mutual purchase of ETFs. As part of an agreement called the "ETF Connectivity Agreement", Tokyo and Beijing would have agreed on the need to allow the fund managers of both countries to invest in the ETF market of their respective counterparts. This would be giving the yen some stability. It should continue to gain value against other majors in the short term. So, to conclude, we recommend a short entry with a target area in the 140.45 area; intermediate target i 142.7.