NAS100USD: Anticipating Temporary Bearish Order Flow?Greetings Traders,
Today's analysis highlights significant bullish momentum in NAS100USD, driven by the heavy volatility following the CPI news release. Despite the bullish institutional order flow, there is potential for temporary bearish order flow. This could either serve as a brief retracement to meet specific objectives before continuing the bullish trend or, possibly, a full reversal of price action. While we must wait for further market confirmation, current conditions provide an opportunity to target the sell stop objectives highlighted on the chart.
Key Observations and Confluences:
1. Institutional Price Delivery Insight:
At present, price is positioned in a premium zone and has recently taken out Engineered Resistance Liquidity, where premium buy stops reside. Institutions often use this liquidity to pair orders by selling against these buy stops.
Institutions, having sold at a premium, will aim to buy back positions at a discount (a process associated with profit-taking). Therefore, we anticipate price to move towards liquidity pools at lower discount levels.
2. Trendline Liquidity:
The chart also reveals engineered trendline liquidity, a classic setup where retail traders buy along the trendline, leaving their stop losses below. Institutions view these stop losses as sell stops, representing willing sellers against whom they can close their buy positions. This makes these lows prime targets for institutional activity.
The current evidence provides a strong foundation to anticipate bearish price action towards these liquidity pools, offering a strategic opportunity to align with the institutional narrative.
If you have any insights, questions, or additional analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let's collaborate and grow together as traders.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Institutional_trading
NAS100USD: Is a Reversal Brewing in Bearish Territory?Greetings Traders!
Today’s analysis highlights a fascinating setup on NAS100USD. While the market remains bearish overall, there are compelling signs suggesting a potential reversal. This could either lead to a minor retracement or evolve into a stronger, extended bullish trend. As always, we let the market confirm its intentions.
Current Market Outlook:
Price is sitting at heavy discount levels, having swept discount sell stops. This movement hints at the possibility of smart money entering buy orders against willing sellers. Remember, the narrative here is simple: buy in discount prices, sell in premium prices.
Key Confluences:
Rejection Block Support: Price is strongly rejecting a key rejection block, establishing a robust institutional support zone.
Discount Level Alignment: Current levels are ideal for buying opportunities, provided confirmation aligns with the broader market narrative.
Trading Strategy:
I am closely watching for confirmation entries at these levels, with the first target being the premium buy stops above the 50% Fibonacci level (fair value). This zone offers an excellent area for profit-taking and aligns with institutional order flow.
Let’s Collaborate!
Have insights, questions, or analysis? Share them in the comments below. Together, we can dissect the market and make informed decisions!
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Bitcoin is not looking that well... check out this last candlesBitcoin has indeed broken out of the ascending wedge as we had analyzed; however, I’m quite concerned about the very prominent indecision candle that formed during the breakout. This has me a bit worried.
If we look at the last two days, they’ve also been indecisive candles. This doesn’t necessarily mean that a Bitcoin correction is imminent, but if the price starts losing momentum after several days of sideways movement with wick-heavy candles, it doesn’t paint a very positive picture for the days ahead.
Anything can happen—Bitcoin’s volatility is very high, and the crypto market is currently very bullish. For now, it’s just a matter of waiting to see Bitcoin’s next move and how it reacts.
Best regards!
NAS100USD: Is Bullish Momentum Only Temporary?Greetings, Traders!
In today’s analysis, NAS100USD is exhibiting bullish institutional order flow, presenting an opportunity to align with the current market narrative.
Key Observations
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price has retraced into an FVG, providing a critical area of interest for support.
Bullish Order Block: Situated below the FVG, this structure enhances the zone’s strength as an institutional support area.
Strategy
Look for confirmation entries at this support zone.
Target: Liquidity pool above, aligning with the bullish flow.
Feel free to share your insights, questions, or analysis in the comments below. Let’s trade and grow together!
Regards,
The_Architect
NAS100USD: Is Bearish Control Taking Over?Greetings Traders!
While NAS100USD remains bullish, I see signs of a potential bearish shift for several reasons identified on the chart. Most notably, price has been rejecting a Rejection Block, a significant institutional resistance zone. This rejection has resulted in strong downside displacement, signaling that institutional interest may now lean bearish.
Retail vs. Institutional Resistance
Institutional Resistance:
Price has retraced into heavy premium levels, ideal for selling opportunities (sell in premium, buy in discount). A key difference with institutional resistance lies in its foundation on Rejection Blocks. These order blocks, formed at market turning points, are characterized by large wicks relative to candle closures. They indicate that institutions or smart money entered substantial sell orders, giving confidence to anticipate bearish price action.
Retail Resistance:
In contrast, retail resistance often serves as engineered liquidity. Here, banks and institutions create the illusion of a resistance zone to entice retail traders into taking trades. These zones, strategically placed at premium levels, enable institutions to sell against retail positions. Understanding this manipulation is critical for aligning with institutional order flow.
Trading Plan
Confirmation Zone:
Monitor price action at the Rejection Block and premium levels for bearish confirmation.
Targets:
Fair Value: The 50% retracement of the leg.
Liquidity Pool: The downside liquidity resting below current levels.
Discussion and Insights
If you have questions, analysis, or insights, feel free to share them in the comment section. Let’s collaborate, learn, and grow as traders!
Kind regards,
The_Architect
PALANTIR ON AN INCREDIBLE BULLRUN ! BUT...
But be careful—this does not justify the price at all. Although Palantir has very solid numbers in its balance sheet, this does not justify a valuation at such an overvalued price could be very dangerous !
We must consider that markets in general are bullish, and the results of the latest report recently showed that it remains a very solid company in terms of sales. However, its earnings numbers are average—they meet analysts’ expectations, but by a very narrow margin. Historically, this has been the case in past reports as well.
Now, let’s get back to the technical analysis of Palantir.
After its report, it managed to break through that institutional zone that marked its peak 3 years ago (2021). After bouncing off the imbalance for a second time, Palantir showed a lot of strength and reached new highs.
From here on, we just need to wait for a pullback soon to start analyzing a possible support level.
Right now, Palantir is in no man’s land, which makes it a bit difficult to predict its next move. The only thing we can do here is to follow its movement candle by candle, staying alert to wicks and immediate zones where it might pull back.
Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE!"
Dollar DXY - Bullish ContinuationDollar Index / DXY Analysis :
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Fridays NFP event dropped price and finished this week with signs of reversal to the upside.
Following price action we see a nice 4Hour Break Of Structure, indicating buying pressure.
This following week we will look for any retracements (Higher Low) to come back into our impulsive NFP candle (point of interest) and look for confirmations to take it higher and close above previous high.
Institutional and Retail Traders: Where the Difference LiesInstitutional and Retail Traders: Where the Difference Lies
There are many players in the financial markets who can cause changes in trend direction, but let’s focus on institutional and retail traders. This FXOpen article compares retail vs institutional trading. You’ll learn about the characteristics of these types of traders, how they affect the markets, as well as the differences and similarities between them.
What Is a Retail Trader?
Let’s start with a retail trader definition. Retail traders refer to individual traders or small investors who participate in trading for speculative purposes.
They typically trade with smaller capital and have fewer resources and less access to information than institutional traders. Retail traders often use leverage, which allows them to control larger positions with a smaller amount of capital. Leverage may increase potential returns, but it also escalates the exposure to substantial losses.
The collective impact of retail trading has grown significantly in recent years, shaping market dynamics. The rise of online platforms has democratised financial markets, allowing retail traders to participate more actively. Their collective actions can amplify market trends and contribute to increased market volatility.
How Do Retail Traders Trade?
Retail traders often engage in day, swing, and news trading. They usually rely on online resources for self-education. They may attend educational courses and use the services of mentors. They may use technical analysis, social media discussions, or market sentiment analysis to inform their decisions.
The collective power of retail trader communities, fuelled by social media discussions, can impact asset prices. The “Reddit effect” exemplifies how retail trading, through online forums, can challenge traditional market dynamics.
What Is an Institutional Trader?
What is institutional trading? Let’s first take a look at the institutional market definition. In the context of trading, the institutional market refers to the segment of the overall market where institutions and corporations manage their assets. Institutional traders buy and sell different financial instruments for the accounts they manage on behalf of others, and they handle large pools of capital. Therefore, they can influence market trends and liquidity. Their collective actions may lead to market-wide shifts, affecting prices and levels of volatility.
Examples include hedge funds, mutual funds, investment banks, endowment funds, pension funds, and insurance companies. They have different goals, for example, hedge funds pursue absolute returns, and investment banks engage in market-making and proprietary trading.
How Do Institutional Traders Trade?
Institutional trading is characterised by its scale and impact. By handling significant volumes of capital, they take advantage of access to privileged information and influence market movements. For example, in institutional forex trading, central banks have the greatest price impact in the spot FX market, followed by hedge funds and mutual funds, while regular traders have much less influence on dealer pricing.
Institutions commonly employ sophisticated strategies, such as quantitative trading and algorithmic trading. Their strategies often involve in-depth market analysis and the use of advanced instruments.
Retail Trader vs Institutional Trader: Key Differences
The primary differences between institutional and retail traders lie in factors such as capital, risk tolerance, and time horizons. These and other aspects are collected in this table:
Aspect - Retail - Institutional
- Capital - Limited capital - More capital-rich
- Price Influence - Limited influence - More significant influence
- Knowledge - Self-taught, usually from internet resources - Educated in finance or economics from college
- Trading focus - Technical systems, price patterns, indicators - Fundamentals and trading psychology
- Account - Personal accounts - Accounts they oversee on behalf of a group or institution
- Time of trading - A shorter time horizon - A longer time horizon
- Risk tolerance - Disciplined risk management, a lower risk tolerance - A higher risk tolerance, a focus on growth
- Market Access - Retail and online brokerages with standard trading instruments - More difficult instruments, including swaps
These differences profoundly impact trading strategies. Institutions can afford more complex and resource-intensive strategies, while retail traders may focus on simpler approaches. Time sensitivity, risk aversion, and regulatory constraints further differentiate their decision-making processes.
Similarities and Overlaps
While institutional and retail traders differ in many aspects, there are areas where their trading strategies may converge. Both groups may use similar trading tools and strategies, for instance, technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and algorithmic trading.
The influence of technology has also contributed to blurring the lines between these trading types. Retail traders can now access sophisticated tools, while institutions may adopt more agile and cost-effective technologies.
You may trade over 600 assets at the TickTrader trading platform using modern instruments for market analysis.
Final Thoughts
Institutional and retail traders play distinct but significant roles in the financial markets. While institutions have advantages such as access to more financial instruments and extensive resources, retail traders have the flexibility and freedom in trading decisions.
The convergence of strategies and the evolving influence of technology indicate that the landscape will continue to shift, creating new opportunities and challenges for traders across the spectrum. If you want to trade on various markets with tight spreads and low commissions, you can open an FXOpen account.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional TradingGreetings Traders!
In today's educational video, we will delve into the concepts of premium and discount price delivery. The objective is to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of institutional-level market mechanics. Before we proceed, it is crucial to define what we mean by "institutional level" and "smart money," as these terms are often misunderstood. We will also address the common misconceptions about who the liquidity providers are in the market.
By grasping these foundational concepts, you will gain a new perspective on the market, realizing that its movements are not random but calculated and precise, orchestrated by well-informed entities often referred to as smart money.
If you have any questions, please leave them in the comment section below.
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price DeliveryGreetings traders!
Welcome back to today's video! In this educational session, we'll delve into the concept of institutional order flow. Our objective is to accurately identify market reversals and trend continuations. By mastering the draw on liquidity, we will gain a clearer understanding of whether the market is experiencing bullish or bearish institutional order flow. To accomplish this, we will analyze the behavior of smart money and trace their footprints.
Join us as we uncover these crucial insights together.
If you haven't seen the " Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading " video, here is the link:
Happy Trading,
The_Architect
Waiting for SELL XAUUSD In The Supply ZoneI see the potential to sell in the drop base drop (DBD) supply zone area, after the sideways market is expected to bull and enter the supply area. My plan is to SELL XAUUSD in that area, with the SL limits that I accept, with a target of 2R I think is quite realistic.
Note: this plan is a XAUUSD trading idea. All risks are not our responsibility.
Dark Pools Accumulating Biotech: STOKDark Pools are accumulating some biotechnology stocks for mutual funds and ETFs based on this new technology. HFTs are chasing this accumulation.
NASDAQ:STOK is now near the price when more professional traders are likely to swing trade. It has a very high Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions and the bottom is completed. It may be a potential candidate for a watchlist for this industry, IF the industry fits your needs for short-term trading or long-term investing. It may also turn into a position trade if platforms develop.
This is a Weekly Chart so all the history of recent price is visible. The peaks of bounces upward within the downtrend are where the stock may stall and go sideways as it moves up.
Filling up ImbalanceAs predicted, price went all over to 1.0650 to neutralize 15min imbalance order block having and immediate reaction. It is expected to climb to 1.0711 to collect first profit.
We are just buying a pull back. On higher time frame we can see bearish pressure, once price hit 1.0711 we should look for any bearish reaction if price goes over this supply zone expect price to climb to next resistance 1.0750 & 1.0860.
April 22, Weekly Outlook: Navigating DXY and GBPUSD this WeekIn this video, I'll deliver a thorough analysis of the DXY and GBPUSD, providing insights into what to expect throughout this week's trading. We'll delve into the seasonal changes dictated by the quarters of the year, particularly significant as we transition into a new quarter. It's crucial to adjust your trading approach and expectations accordingly. Currently, we're witnessing a sell program with anticipated heavy volatility to the downside.
Stay tuned for this week's updates.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Bitcoin important zone, institutions are in!ok, after a crazy week, finally we are seeing institution's activity, at this point we can just wait and analyze what are they doing. buying? selling? I still have my short positions, but right now is risky to make a decision, it's been a rush so it's difficult to think clearly after huge profits.
DO NOT trust the news, don't trust indicators, just try to read the price and volume!!! try to keep your mind clear and please don't read any news!
the blue rectangle should be the zone of accumulation/distribution, so let's analyze what's going on there.
In my opinion bitcoin still have chances to continue falling, but some other cryptos already touched the zones I had projected, so it makes me doubt a little bit about bitcoin.
at this point the smartest thing we can do is being neutral and don't trade.
USDJPY - Lack of Supply, Fueled by Hidden DemandThe USDJPY currency pair has recently experienced a significant surge in value, defying expectations based on visible supply signals. Despite the absence of apparent selling pressure, price action has broken through the last known supply area, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
Upon closer examination, it becomes evident that a previously identified demand zone has played a pivotal role in fueling the price increase. This zone, marked on the chart, represents an area where buyers have historically been active, and it has served as a catalyst for the recent rally.
Furthermore, indicators that monitor institutional activity on the market have been flashing bullish signals, suggesting that large players are accumulating USDJPY positions. This influx of institutional buying power has provided additional momentum to the upward trend.
With price action now trading above the previous supply area, the path of least resistance remains higher. Traders should be aware that the current rally may continue until a new supply zone is encountered or until the bullish momentum fades.