Institutional_trading
14.08.2019 - UJ UPDATE: SESSION RANGE VOLUME PROFILE ANALYSISHello and welcome to my channel
4h timeframe
Divergences in price, momentum and volume = Bullish signal
Orders around 109 needs to be filled and prices will most likely be pulled towards 109,200.
All the signs of the reversal is already revealing.
Make sure to comment or like if you enjoy the analysis and let me know if you have any questions.
God bless you and happy trading
Daytrading Leverage Strategy for Bigger Accounts on Forex[R:R 3]Hello everyone,
Many of you wonder how it feels to trade bigger accounts, and keeping it short: stop thinking punctual.
Whenever you think I'm buying HERE and getting out exactly THERE. Forget it, never again.
There's simply not enough volume for your positions - so what you do?
You break it up and you start thinking the final average price. You stop thinking on static numbers and you start considering regions for entry and exit.
Larger institutions take WEEKS to close their positions, so I think you get my groove here. It's hard to think tops and bottoms when you need to buy and enter all over the place - the art of market making(but that's a whole other story).
So when I started struggling with such a problem, all my strategies were basically at their maximum capital capacity. The main symptom was that my entry limit orders were being filled partially all the time.
Since I'm a very thrill guy when it comes down to the strategies I like to have every single step very well written before I start opening positions. Not only entry and exit points but also position sizing are crucial for me.
The solution was to break my position in smaller positions that I called ACU's.
Let's say we have a 10% ACU, that means that each ACU that I buy that is equivalent of 1/10 of the total position size I initially wanted.
The second step was changing my algorithms to things that triggered more often across a zone and not super price and solid signals that trigger only once.
So now I'm buying a little bit here and there, with the goal of having a better final average price.
Another secret factor for success here is being quick on or fingers or if you're tech savvy enough getting an execution bot for you.
Which means you can further break your ACU's across a buying zone.
Let's say your buy-zone goes from 1 to 2, you will spread your ACU close to what I'll explain next.
Imagine something around 10% of 10% of your total position size, yes only 1% of total
Because you will break your ACU in 10 smaller positions across the 1~2 range, similar to this
Buy 10% ACU at 1
Buy 10% ACU at 1.1
Buy 10% ACU at 1.2
...
Buy 10% ACU at 2
I know it sucks and it takes time, but the more you break your position is better and I'll tell you why. BECAUSE IT GUARANTEES YOU THE BEST POSSIBLE ENTRY PRICE.
The price hardly ever go all the way down to the bottom of the range and if does your avg price will be 1.5
But let's work with MOST of the times, that the lowest it goes on your buy-zone is around 1.3-1.7
It will always allow you to catch the best avg entry price, I know some of your limit orders won't be filled but this makes the risk a lot smaller for you, so be patient and master your greed.
This also allows the usage of leverage since operating like this makes you REALLY hard to get liquidated, the tools and the settings I used on Spectro M2 are Xconf on aggressive mode(arrows above/under candles), Spectro Warnings on Moderate(gray warnings), Adaptative Fibonacci Levels( pivot levels) & Scalper Exhaust Reversal Tool(blue background).
Also to make the stop-loss rules clear:
If the price just touched #1 Target - Do nothing
If the price just touched #2 Target - Move up one level
If the price just touched #3 Target - Move up SL to #1 target
If the price just touched #4 Target - Move up SL to #2 target if you think there will be a break-out otherwise close your position
Let me know if you have any doubts!
MELI: Trading Range Technical Pattern Reveals Large LotsThe outline in red shows the trading range pattern for MELI stock on the daily time frame. The highs of this range are remarkably level for a trading range. The extreme low rebound is lower than prior range lows. The compression of price before the gap up is a particularly important pattern to watch for in a trading range market condition, to anticipate a breakout. Use volume oscillators along with candlestick patterns to identify the underlying hidden large lot activity.
MO being tested by FDA fears and Institutional SellingIf any stock can do a fakeout, it's Altria. We've seen intense selling to where the RSI is no good. FDA pressure and fears of menthol bans accelerated the selling momentum. We broke down through the channel, furthering bear strength and then through a strong support slope. Yearly bottom of April has held. I'm seeing a bear flag, yet overlapped with a semblance of a bull flag on smaller timeframes. Until buyers can settle above 57 at a close, today could be just a small reprieve in the overall drop. Hoping for bull momentum to return and the downward slope to prove as support. February's Support slope will likely prove as strong resistance in the future. 56.34 area as current immediate resistance... A strong upward break through 57.10-57.33 will be important to reclaim trading zones.
Bitcoin Price slowly risingI'm beginning to think the game is rigged.
As of this writing , the price of Bitcoin has rebounded somewhat from it's low below 5400. There has been a great deal of talk lately about the integration of Institutions , Banks , and Investment firms. Perhaps this is the entry point they wanted , and everything goes up from here , with bitcoin becoming as digital gold and fulfilling Mike Novogratz absurd prediction for q4 2018 , or perhaps Bitcoin will visit former bitcoin cash territory, leaving us to hope that digital currency really is the future , and that Bitcoin isn't going to fade away.
With the asian session soon to begin , I think we can all agree that it will be a long night after a very long , disappointing day. I very much hope that this evenings session doesn't tear everything apart. (More)
Caveat emptor
(ouch)
HEXO Cannabis Investing - The dip b4 big money...still dippingSo Cannabis investors, HEXO is at the a dip and 786 fib retracement. Is this the dip before a November federal bill allowing legalization state by state, or will it go near full retracement?
High 9.29, current 5.70, full retracement 3.98.
Canopy Growth is 618 fib retracement. The better the stock the lower the dip. I'm using weekly charts and than switching to 1 day and 4 hour charts for potential limit entries.
Other favorites are Tilray (TLRY), GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH) and CBD suppliers CVSI and CBDS.
We're getting hammered from credit debt and waiting for the final hammer to drop.
TSX:HEXO OTC:HYYDF
CGC CRON NASDAQ:TLRY NASDAQ:GWPH OTC:CVSI OTC:CBDS
Pick & shovel options:
OTC:BLOZF THC Test devices...riskiest play in my view.
OTC:KSHB Packaging, labels, and extraction products
NYSE:SMG Hydroponics, equipment, fertilizers
NYSE:IIPR REIT asset leasing, property
OTC:MNTR Financing, asset leasing, property
Bitcoin looks like another David Einhorn CompuCredit position. Seeing the charting of cryptos is rather painful to my eyes. The use of subjective technical analysis indicators without any kind of expectancy for the strategy or trade outcome is rather disappointing.
Although I am against the trading of cryptos which is a result of my education in the markets, I hope to assist those who have been listening to the perma-bulls who constantly shout "breakout" without any supporting statistical evidence to indicate the probability of outcome.
We are currently witnessing the first time since 2015 that BTC has had its 100 EMA higher than the 50 EMA along with price being consistently beneath both. Following this downtrend, BTC shot off like one of Elon's Falcon 9's.
This is by no means a recommendation to buy as doing so involves adding unnecessary draw down and given the beta risk of cryptos, it is rather uncomfortable to have this exposure in a portfolio.
Stay short my friends.
When the eagles are silent, the parrots begin to jabber.
Inverse head and shoulders w/ interesting fundamentalsmeasure rule implies .9 or 92% increase from a neckline breakout; Renaissaince Tech has 6% stake and on 08NOV17 announced $61M multiyear contract for 2020 US Census printing and mailing- doesn't get more interesting than that!