GBPNZD SELL/SHORT TRADE IDEAGBPNZD still currently downtrending, 4H still continues to make lower lows and lower highs.
Although 1H did break to the upside, we failed to create a new high and broke to the downside.
New range was created, fibonacci retracement snipe zone aligns with institutional candle for a mitigation trade.
Institutional_trading
EURJPY SELL/SHORT TRADE IDEAEURJPY has been downtrending. Still within 4H range, liquidity left behind to get swept.
Entry is based on 4H institutional move, mitigation out of last buy position that manipulated price, fibonacci snipe zone 78.5-88.6% and liquidity also known as retail traders "double tops".
Two positions in case the higher snipe isn't activated. Risk : Reward is worth the trade!
EURCHF BUY TRADE IDEAEURCHF
Daily structure we have been bullish. Current market structure shows us currently around a possible Higher low.
4H downtrending but have finally show bullish momentum by closing above previous high. Looking to enter trade at a higher low by looking at lower timeframes for entry.
1H we have closed above previous high and created a new trading range. Fibonacci is placed from low to new high and anticipating a retracement in the snipe zone 78.6% - 88.6%.
Entry is at the last bearish candle on 5m timeframe within the snipe zone.
If price continues to go above high before hitting entry, will update trade for next possible entry!
USDCAD BUY TO SELL TRADE WITH TRENDUSDCAD has been on a downtrend on higher timeframes.
Current market structure appears to be finally moving to the upside. 1 Hour has stopped making a new low and has broke structure to the upside. Lower timeframes are in a countertrend moving towards our buy position.
If price breaks below current low, trades cancelled and we wait for next opportunity.
Higher timeframes bearish
Lower timeframes bullish
Buy to Sell, trade with the trend.
USDJPY SELL DOWNTRENDING4H timeframe price is continuing to downtrend. Creating a range, we want to sell high. Fibonacci range 78.6% - 88.6% is the discount area. Entry is based on multi-timeframe analysis + institutional move + fib zone.
If price continues to go beyond previous low, will update on new idea as the trade has left without us.
Institutional Traders Turned BearishCoinbase premium has significantly dropped to the negative territory. With more institutional traders on Coinbase and more retail traders on Binance, the Coinbase premium over Binance’s BTC price has been a good gage of the institutional trader sentiments. Institutional traders have been willingly paying premiums throughout the past 2 years of crypto market boom and have just recently started trading at discounts. This is a sign that institutional traders are more bearish than retail traders in the current market.
While we could have relief rallies in the meantime, the return of institutional faith in the market is needed for any significant uptrend. In both the 2019 and Covid bottoms, the Coinbase premium turned significantly positive, which we have a long way from in the current market.
$BTC - Just now hitting Discount - Long Term, this is a pullbackFROM THE MOST RECENT LOW TO THE MOST RECENT HIGH, ON THE MONTHLY BASIS,THAT IS HOW YOUR FIB WOULD LOOK. We're just now hitting the discount price at the 61.8% retrace. However, in the market maker sell model, it aims for an area that there's an imbalance in which we haven't spent much time trading within. That would be the monthly gair value gap between 27,800 and 19,000.TRhis is the area Price is aiming for and may consolidate in for a while. Once it is done we should see a return back to the bullish market (wE'RE STILL IN A BULL MARKET BTW) It could take 3 months like it did last summer, or it could take two weeks.
The main thing is that it shouldn't close (Monthly or weekly) below the 19,500 mark. If it does, we're definitely in a bear market at that point and expect a continuous fall. But if it dips down to 16-15k, I wouldn't be surprised to see it turn right back around and comme up to 20-22k and close in the region (weekly or monthly)
around 21,400 there is the median of the monthly fair value gap, also above is a weekly fair value gap, and just below is a daily bulllish breaker. This is where my eyes are set for price to go before a reversal happens.
Stop freaking out people it's not the end of the world. It's called a pullback. Smart Money will help you in developing these ideas so your not selling off everything you own. You need to know how and when the market is timed and what it looks for. 1 It looks for Liquidity and 2 it looks for i mbalances. This area seeks both. It couldn't be amny louder and more apparent
Keep on keepin on
GOLD and other metals now is a safe heavenHi
I am glad I put some of my money from crypto to silver few months ago for days like these.
Now situation is not how to make money but how to safe current wealth. In the chart we can see that DXY is rising and Gold is rising, when usualy
DXY up, gold is down, but this time is different because of inflation, not because of healthy economic factors. GOLD is not falling because of inflation
and DXY is rising because of trust of dollar, trust dollar only because interest rate up, that means more valuable dollar, because interest rate compensates inflation
It says alot about dollar.
FED does not have any choices than rise rates, which means stronger dollar and bancrupting companies.
Please remember that Buffet holding a lot of cash, guess for what? Yes inflation is destroing him billions in cash, but
we and businesses pay for the inflation in advance and this is how he will recover and will make more by investing in stocks maybe crypto and other assets.
Many people whould love to be in Buffet situation at the moment when having much of they wealth in dollars (I mean not having billions, but having most of your wealth in dollars),
because FED is your friend today.
Dollar will colapse for sure, but it does not say anything, everything would say if we know when it will happen. I guess the key moment will be US election in 2022 autumn ...
Thanks
GUESS WHAT ?! STILL UPTREND.... After a huge drop in the crypto market, we are prepared to slowly rise. All important BUY lvls are marked on the chart. These perfect lvls will help you to maximize your profits and make better decisions.
I drew 2 possible scenarios based on my strategies, experience, and knowledge.
Stay focused, and become rich. Peace.
Buy LVLS - 29263 Risk calculator: 9/10
27510 R.C. - 8/10
24299 6,5/10
19490 PERFECT ENTRY IDENTIFIED
13150 VERY UNLIKELY TO BE HITTED
Bullish GBP/USD Trade Prediction and AnalysisOn May 9th we see price run below the low of May 6th and then quickly reverses back above the low (the stop hunt). Price then breaks market structure to the upside, as indicated on the chart by the grey arrow pointing to the right. If you read my previous post, then you are aware of what we are looking for as institutional traders once we see this type of price action, if you didn't you can read my previous post via the "Related Ideas" section at the end of this post.
Institutional traders directly highlight the bullish candle which initiated the stop hunt beneath the low of May 6th. This is our 1H bullish ICT breaker block and it is represented by the dark blue rectangle on the chart. Notice how price is currently accumulating within the breaker block (the calm before the storm). My entry was taken just below the equal lows of the May 10th 06:00 (UTC-4) candle and the May 9th 10:00 (UTC-4) candle. I placed my entry here because I expected price to stop hunt the sell side liquidity below these equal lows (this stop hunt is shown by the higher white line). Notice how the candle I entered on trades below the white line and then reverses, closing above it. This is the exact same phenomenon which occurred on May 9th and can be seen more clearly on a lower timeframe. My stop loss is placed below the close of the 1H +OB (represented by the light blue rectangle) giving the trade sufficient room to breathe. My target is placed above the current high of the week (represented by the lower green line) at the start of the imbalance formed on May 5th (represented by the upper green line).
The trade is framed on the weekly bullish order block equilibrium level. Price doesn't quite reach this level but given the market is currently trading within the 1W +OB the trade is still valid. The market could trade as far as the 1D -BB level represented on the chart by the red line before we see any selling return.
Note that GBP/USD is currently in a long-term downtrend and as such this is a counter-trend trade. Price could easily fall beneath the lows of May 9th and continue its downward trend. As traders, all we can do is follow our rules, buy and sell at levels which make sense and let the market handle the rest. If this trade loses I will not be bothered or angry because no system is perfect. A wise man called Mark Douglas once said "the trades we lose are the expenses we pay in order to be available for the trades that win," or something like that haha. The point is there will be losers and winners, as long as your winners pay more than your losing trades take away, you can make it in this business.
Thank you for reading and may the markets be with you.
GOLD & Silver holding the war front for our BTC and all crypto
It is a moment for die or survive for BTC. We saw 30K level 2 times and BTC bounced back.
I personaly think that it will bounce back, but if will return again I am going to sell and will sell if it will break bellow 29K this time.
We must notice that GOLD have a positive day and it is a good sign for our crypto, because nowdays inflation is the biggest fact.
Inflation is rising and it must be a positive for btc too as well as for metals. For me DXY getting strong is a funny and looks like a last
months for dollar. It is fake up and overvalued. What we can see it is institutional money pulling out from cryptos and retail big investors understand it and hold it.
I think that black rock, avangard and others most interests is to have strong dollar - this btc drop I call panic sell for companies like black rock.
In short term it is institutional investors attack against retails investors! They want all crypto, all metals, all materials, all real estates - all real value having assets in their hands,
because they are greed bastards.
Tadas
$BTC - Fill 4 HR FVG - Bullish Scalp to Bearish OB - *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
According to SMT price wants to fill imbalances, there is a current 4 hour imbalance in the chart and it stops near 36,000 (Just below) So I gave it some wiggle room for entry after it fills the imbalance it should start a bullish move until the price level hits something the algorithm will remember, such as a bearish order block. A bearish order block is your last bullish candle before the bearish candles close below the bullish candle. The beginning of that bullish cand will be the bearish order block. That is what I think will happen to this chart. It will drop and fill the imbalance and pull up to the bearish order block. All you need to make a money in this game is to see that possibility and put a decent lot size on a futures trade and trade with about 10-15x leverage. You can easily pull off $either $5 or $2,000 depending on how much you have in your account and how much you want to risk. But these types of setups should be easy to spot and easy to capitalize on. It will act as if it wants to continue bearish after filling the imbalance but that is to get retail traders in the trade selling short so smart money can they take it north, ripping the money out of the short sellers pockets and into theirs. Think like them. This is how I would play it if I were an institution.
This is not trade advice. This is simply an observation of my experience and my training in Smart Money.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BYBIT:BTCUSD
GEMINI:BTCUSD
CME:BTC1!
INDEX:BTCUSD
CME:BTC2!
EUR/USD BREAKER BLOCK TRADE ANALYSISHi traders, today I breakdown the price action on EU from an institutional perspective. Recall EU has been in a longterm downtrend for quite a while now. Therefore the highest probability setups will be found when shorting this currency pair.
Notice how the high created on April 21st just peaks above the old high of April 14 and then returns into the range. Smart money concept traders call this a stop hunt . It triggers buy side orders, giving institutions the liquidity they need to load on their shorts. Whenever we see this price action, the institutional trader immediately looks for the bearish candle which initiated the move (the red candle before the bullish momentum). This bearish candle is referred to as the ICT breaker block (represented by the lower red rectangle on the chart). There is also a second breaker block (represented by the upper red rectangle) but this one is seen clearer on the 4H chart.
When trading the bearish breaker block we wait until price convincingly breaks below the block's low (this occurred on April 22nd) we then short the market whenever price returns to the close of the BB. As shown in the chart, I was able to short EU on a sell limit order at 1.0825 (banks trade at rounded numbers and 5 levels e.g 1.0820, 1.0825, 1.0830, 1.0835 etc. so my entries are always rounded to the nearest 5 or 0 level). My stop loss was placed above the high of the 4H bearish breaker. Why ? well if price violates this level I no longer want to be in the trade as the market would be showing a willingness to go higher. My targets were set at the lows of April 14th and April 19th. Represented on the chart by ssl (sell side liquidity) since banks would use this type of liquidity to take profits, buying back the pair since they shorted it (remember to take profits from a short position you have to buy back the asset).
I did not manage to get full targets on this trade given it was Friday and I never hold trades over the weekend. I closed half of the position as price dipped into the ssl and the remaining portion I closed 1 hour before market close on Friday.
Thanks for reading and may the markets be with you.
AUDCADDaily Setup
AUDCAD Has Shown Willingness To Go Lower
In The WEEKLY Timeframe It Took Out The Buy Stops And Traded in The WEEKLY Bearish Orderblock (0.95183 - 0.94507)
DAILY -Timeframe Price Formed A Bearish Divergence (07 Mar - 05 April 2022)
The Bearish Divergence Shows Price Making Higher Highs Whilst Oscillator Is Making A Higher High - Lower Higher
That Kind Of Divergence Also Shows Price Has Taken Out Old Highs , In This Case PMH
/THE REST OF THE ANALYSIS SHOWS PREMIUM - DISCOUNT ARRAYS
In The 12 Hour Timeframe Price Has Formed A Trendline Phantom Which Will Be Taken Out In Order For Price To Trade To The Bearish Breaker Block
In The 8 Hour Timeframe Price Clearly Shows A Classic AMD Reversal
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