GUESS WHAT ?! STILL UPTREND.... After a huge drop in the crypto market, we are prepared to slowly rise. All important BUY lvls are marked on the chart. These perfect lvls will help you to maximize your profits and make better decisions.
I drew 2 possible scenarios based on my strategies, experience, and knowledge.
Stay focused, and become rich. Peace.
Buy LVLS - 29263 Risk calculator: 9/10
27510 R.C. - 8/10
24299 6,5/10
19490 PERFECT ENTRY IDENTIFIED
13150 VERY UNLIKELY TO BE HITTED
Institutional_trading
Bullish GBP/USD Trade Prediction and AnalysisOn May 9th we see price run below the low of May 6th and then quickly reverses back above the low (the stop hunt). Price then breaks market structure to the upside, as indicated on the chart by the grey arrow pointing to the right. If you read my previous post, then you are aware of what we are looking for as institutional traders once we see this type of price action, if you didn't you can read my previous post via the "Related Ideas" section at the end of this post.
Institutional traders directly highlight the bullish candle which initiated the stop hunt beneath the low of May 6th. This is our 1H bullish ICT breaker block and it is represented by the dark blue rectangle on the chart. Notice how price is currently accumulating within the breaker block (the calm before the storm). My entry was taken just below the equal lows of the May 10th 06:00 (UTC-4) candle and the May 9th 10:00 (UTC-4) candle. I placed my entry here because I expected price to stop hunt the sell side liquidity below these equal lows (this stop hunt is shown by the higher white line). Notice how the candle I entered on trades below the white line and then reverses, closing above it. This is the exact same phenomenon which occurred on May 9th and can be seen more clearly on a lower timeframe. My stop loss is placed below the close of the 1H +OB (represented by the light blue rectangle) giving the trade sufficient room to breathe. My target is placed above the current high of the week (represented by the lower green line) at the start of the imbalance formed on May 5th (represented by the upper green line).
The trade is framed on the weekly bullish order block equilibrium level. Price doesn't quite reach this level but given the market is currently trading within the 1W +OB the trade is still valid. The market could trade as far as the 1D -BB level represented on the chart by the red line before we see any selling return.
Note that GBP/USD is currently in a long-term downtrend and as such this is a counter-trend trade. Price could easily fall beneath the lows of May 9th and continue its downward trend. As traders, all we can do is follow our rules, buy and sell at levels which make sense and let the market handle the rest. If this trade loses I will not be bothered or angry because no system is perfect. A wise man called Mark Douglas once said "the trades we lose are the expenses we pay in order to be available for the trades that win," or something like that haha. The point is there will be losers and winners, as long as your winners pay more than your losing trades take away, you can make it in this business.
Thank you for reading and may the markets be with you.
GOLD & Silver holding the war front for our BTC and all crypto
It is a moment for die or survive for BTC. We saw 30K level 2 times and BTC bounced back.
I personaly think that it will bounce back, but if will return again I am going to sell and will sell if it will break bellow 29K this time.
We must notice that GOLD have a positive day and it is a good sign for our crypto, because nowdays inflation is the biggest fact.
Inflation is rising and it must be a positive for btc too as well as for metals. For me DXY getting strong is a funny and looks like a last
months for dollar. It is fake up and overvalued. What we can see it is institutional money pulling out from cryptos and retail big investors understand it and hold it.
I think that black rock, avangard and others most interests is to have strong dollar - this btc drop I call panic sell for companies like black rock.
In short term it is institutional investors attack against retails investors! They want all crypto, all metals, all materials, all real estates - all real value having assets in their hands,
because they are greed bastards.
Tadas
$BTC - Fill 4 HR FVG - Bullish Scalp to Bearish OB - *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
According to SMT price wants to fill imbalances, there is a current 4 hour imbalance in the chart and it stops near 36,000 (Just below) So I gave it some wiggle room for entry after it fills the imbalance it should start a bullish move until the price level hits something the algorithm will remember, such as a bearish order block. A bearish order block is your last bullish candle before the bearish candles close below the bullish candle. The beginning of that bullish cand will be the bearish order block. That is what I think will happen to this chart. It will drop and fill the imbalance and pull up to the bearish order block. All you need to make a money in this game is to see that possibility and put a decent lot size on a futures trade and trade with about 10-15x leverage. You can easily pull off $either $5 or $2,000 depending on how much you have in your account and how much you want to risk. But these types of setups should be easy to spot and easy to capitalize on. It will act as if it wants to continue bearish after filling the imbalance but that is to get retail traders in the trade selling short so smart money can they take it north, ripping the money out of the short sellers pockets and into theirs. Think like them. This is how I would play it if I were an institution.
This is not trade advice. This is simply an observation of my experience and my training in Smart Money.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BYBIT:BTCUSD
GEMINI:BTCUSD
CME:BTC1!
INDEX:BTCUSD
CME:BTC2!
EUR/USD BREAKER BLOCK TRADE ANALYSISHi traders, today I breakdown the price action on EU from an institutional perspective. Recall EU has been in a longterm downtrend for quite a while now. Therefore the highest probability setups will be found when shorting this currency pair.
Notice how the high created on April 21st just peaks above the old high of April 14 and then returns into the range. Smart money concept traders call this a stop hunt . It triggers buy side orders, giving institutions the liquidity they need to load on their shorts. Whenever we see this price action, the institutional trader immediately looks for the bearish candle which initiated the move (the red candle before the bullish momentum). This bearish candle is referred to as the ICT breaker block (represented by the lower red rectangle on the chart). There is also a second breaker block (represented by the upper red rectangle) but this one is seen clearer on the 4H chart.
When trading the bearish breaker block we wait until price convincingly breaks below the block's low (this occurred on April 22nd) we then short the market whenever price returns to the close of the BB. As shown in the chart, I was able to short EU on a sell limit order at 1.0825 (banks trade at rounded numbers and 5 levels e.g 1.0820, 1.0825, 1.0830, 1.0835 etc. so my entries are always rounded to the nearest 5 or 0 level). My stop loss was placed above the high of the 4H bearish breaker. Why ? well if price violates this level I no longer want to be in the trade as the market would be showing a willingness to go higher. My targets were set at the lows of April 14th and April 19th. Represented on the chart by ssl (sell side liquidity) since banks would use this type of liquidity to take profits, buying back the pair since they shorted it (remember to take profits from a short position you have to buy back the asset).
I did not manage to get full targets on this trade given it was Friday and I never hold trades over the weekend. I closed half of the position as price dipped into the ssl and the remaining portion I closed 1 hour before market close on Friday.
Thanks for reading and may the markets be with you.
AUDCADDaily Setup
AUDCAD Has Shown Willingness To Go Lower
In The WEEKLY Timeframe It Took Out The Buy Stops And Traded in The WEEKLY Bearish Orderblock (0.95183 - 0.94507)
DAILY -Timeframe Price Formed A Bearish Divergence (07 Mar - 05 April 2022)
The Bearish Divergence Shows Price Making Higher Highs Whilst Oscillator Is Making A Higher High - Lower Higher
That Kind Of Divergence Also Shows Price Has Taken Out Old Highs , In This Case PMH
/THE REST OF THE ANALYSIS SHOWS PREMIUM - DISCOUNT ARRAYS
In The 12 Hour Timeframe Price Has Formed A Trendline Phantom Which Will Be Taken Out In Order For Price To Trade To The Bearish Breaker Block
In The 8 Hour Timeframe Price Clearly Shows A Classic AMD Reversal
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BTCUSD zone to buy in atAt this level we see prior highs and lows all the way to 2020 rally. It does not hurt that the kijun-sen and supertrend (standard setting) are also located at this exact level. This is where traders put their trailing stops or normal stops. The market sure does like to hunt those stops as big players like to fill their orders at these levels when people get annihilated. Join the big players and buy in at this level.
OUTLOOK FOR DOLLAR INDEXAs things go bad prices go up,we cant time the markets but we can take hints from the volatilty it has shown in the past,Currently price is showing a snowflake of distr. so it is very much possible that we can see price start to contract in irder to mitigate previous positions. LIKE AND COMMENT IF YOU WERE INTRIGUED BY THIS ANALYSIS!
US30 M45 Trade ideaone of the best trade we are providing with all the confirmations,
we got more than 4 confluences to enter on this trade
1. market structure
2. order block or institutional last footstep
3. liquidity zone
4. trend trap
as we know structure is everything. and we got proper information about it.
Short time, short positionWhile GBPJPY has showed a short move of interest and have gave a discount around 75% activating the last valid order block, I saw a short position opportunity, just click the sell button and wait for it.
Execution is perfect, price shows it wants to distribute highs, but it has no fuel so it should be activaiting long orders in the order block below, around the 50% of discount of the long move of interest generated before.
FANTOM POLARITY FLOW WEEKLY LVL After a longer-term downtrend, I expect a strong bounce from the weekly hold level - 0.96. It seems that we are targeting our base of a range, which give us great opportunity to buy Fantom.
FIRST ENTRY - 0.96 - 0.98
SECOND ENTRY 0.76900
SL - 1W CANDLE CLOSE UNDER 0.76
TARGETS : 1.18
1.32
1.37
GOOD LUCK !
TRADE ON YOUR OWN RISK, USE CORRECT POSITION SIZING.
BTC REAL BREAKOUT POINT Bitcoin has created a microcycle against our trend and I expect huge BREAKOUT MOMENT after we break our Origin lvl 44 421. We also started to ladder up, so it´s just the effect of the time until we break this area. Probability of retouching 30K area is very low, but still comes in play.
Wait for the confirmation of the breakout: 1D - 44 600 - 44 800
Trade on your own risk, Good Luck
GBPJPY Counter-Trend Trade 08/03/2022There is a Daily area of Demand that price is heading towards. Price has recently created a new swing low on the 4h timeframe and I am looking for a upwards LTF BOS which will signify a pullback may occur within the swing structure. There is a 4 hour area of Supply that caused price to break past the weak 4h low.
EXTREME FEAR BUT BULL RUN?Weekly Time-frame
Weekend dump in. Greed & Fear index is in Extreme Fear (22). We can expect more to the upside from this Extreme Fear. Liquidations reach 242M for the long position which is significantly bullish. We might not expect much movement this weekend as stock markets are close. But we would most likely see pumping in the coming days ahead.
1D Time-frame
We are back again to crossing the March 14 Ichimoku Cloud. It can punch through anywhere in the cloud but the March 14 is the easiest way to break through. We are still printing higher low and we need to hold the line or else Bitcoin will have hard time again breaking to the upside. Red volume in Awesome Oscillator (AO) means we are in correction from the pump, looking forward for it to print Green Volume in the following days.
4H Time-frame
We are now below the cloud, crossed from the thinnest part of the cloud. Support area is found through our Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR). If $38,648 is broken, we will expect more downside. If it holds, then expect it will be the bottom and start pumping again. The next support to continue the up-trend and higher low is in $38,328, $37,758.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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