Institutional Rotation & Setup for Potential Re-Rating in 2025 I have outlined some areas of interest in the chart and some possible ways to reach 2.50 area. Below my personal thoughts behind this.
Institutional Activity & Accumulation
• Mirabella Financial Services LLP holds 10.48% (77.6M shares); estimated VWAP entry: ~1.4217 NOK.
• Alden AS holds 32M shares (4.3%) and remains a large holder after trimming slightly.
• Previous active players in 2024 (Skøien AS, Tigerstaden AS, Dukat AS) have exited, marking a rotation.
• Institutional base is solidifying — setting the stage for potential re-rating in 2025.
Technical Structure
• Institutional accumulation range: 1.10 – 1.30 NOK.
• Strong historical bid defense around 1.150 – 1.160 NOK.
• Previous resistance: 1.40 – 1.45 NOK. Break above this level could trigger expansion leg.
• Volume patterns align with accumulation and shakeout phases.
Trade Strategy
• Add Zone: 1.15 – 1.18 NOK (on strength or dip support hold).
• Watch Zone: 1.22 – 1.26 NOK (for volume and continuation breakout).
• Profit Trim Zone: 1.55 – 1.65 NOK (historical upper range boundary).
• Stop Loss Consideration: Below 1.13 NOK (only if broken on volume).
Risk Management
• Watch for loss of support with accelerating volume.
• Avoid adding on breakdowns below 1.13 NOK.
Upcoming Catalysts
• Commercialization of solid-state batteries (volume shipments, integration deals).
• Revenue reports showing real customer traction.
• New strategic partnerships or OEM announcements.
• Market sentiment shift on green battery tech / reshoring themes.
Smart Money Summary
• Entry confirmation from Mirabella (~1.42 NOK), Alden (~mid-1.30s).
• 1.15 – 1.20 NOK has been a recurring buy zone across many sessions.
• Institutional rotation shows early traders out, long-term capital in.
Risks
• Early product and production phase.
• Funding might be needed in Q2 - 2025.
• General market sentiment due to high volatility at the moment.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. The content reflects personal analysis and opinion based on publicly available data. Please conduct your own due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I hold a personal position as disclosed and may update or change it at any time without notice.
Institutionalactivity
MSFT at Risk for More DownsideNASDAQ:MSFT needs to do a split. It doesn't have buybacks at this time. It is at risk of more downside until it hits prior lows. Support should kick in at the lows of prior rebound areas. The last earnings report was good. Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions ticked up this quarter.
Buybacks vs. Rotation: JPM and AAPLMany companies are flush with cash right now, so buybacks are going to increase. Buybacks can create plenty of swing trading opportunities.
Buybacks are used by the Board of Directors to drive price upward, or at least maintain price at a certain level. They also remove outstanding shares from public exchanges. The Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions (PSHI) is based on outstanding shares. So with fewer shares outstanding, it can help PSHI hold at a certain level. The Buy Side has been lowering inventory this year. See red arrows on the JPM chart.
In 2018, Buybacks boosted the index components and kept the market from continuing a bear market, which was already underway--a minor bear not a major one. Then in 2019, buybacks surged as the government cut corporate taxes massively. The cash on hand was enormous for most companies so they did mega buybacks, leading the move upward for index components that year. Then, in 2020 the pandemic stock market collapse completed that very odd delayed bear market.
Buyback candles are frequently solid white without wicks or tails. Buybacks often initiate strong swing-style runs, such as they have in $NYSE:JPM. See the blue arrows.
NASDAQ:AAPL also announced a huge buyback program in early May. This gives the Buy Side Institutions the opportunity to lower inventories of AAPL too, without disturbing price much, if at all. AAPL is in a sideways trading range, which is a tough pattern to trade since there is no consensus about what the company is doing to fuel future growth.