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Institutionallevels

🔔 GBPCAD LONG-TERM SHORTOn the weekly timeframe, we can see the weekly IC level had attacked the previous high made in April. This gives me a reason to believe there was some sort of manipulation play and therefore the price may magnetize towards this region to satisfy that IC level. However, price may ignore that level for now as there is another set-up playing out in the 4HR timeframe whereby price is creating a bullish corrective wave that is estimated to lead to the 50% of our IC level which is our Optimal Point of Entry (O.P.E). This is a long-term swing trade so the reward is between 1000-2000 pips.
Short
by OnyxTradeHouse
🔔 USDJPY LONG-TERM SHORT We have an IC point at the top of the swing right above an Imbalance in the market where I would like to see price close the gap in the market which is highly anticipated. A move upwards to 111.960 (our O.P.E) will mean a move into the 978-886 fib region which is a region of high reversal. This set-up may work or we could potentially see price drive higher to our 11.850 IC level to satisfy that candle. If this set-up is successful, we would have a 30 pip risk for a potential 860 pip swing to our -0.27 golden profit level; 1:28 risk/reward ratio.
Short
by OnyxTradeHouse
1
🔔 EURNZD 🔔 EURNZD Speaking from a weekly perspective I am overall bullish for EURNZD as we have a 900 pip retracement to fulfill for the previous bearish impulse. Price has created three distinctive higher lows and I would like to see this move Euro strength push this pair to the upside. In the meantime, there is a smaller set-up playing out in the lower timeframe, and that is these three drive up towards a potential Institutional region where I would look to short price to 1.6700. I have reason to believe that price will be magnetized to the downside in the short term to fill the gap in the imbalance and to satisfy the IC region before making its bullish wave. The short consists of a 30 pip risk and a potential 250 pip reward with a 1:8 r/r; the long consists of a 40 pip risk and a potential 850+ pip reward (long-term swing), with a 1:21 r/r.
by OnyxTradeHouse
🔔 EURCHF UPDATED POSITION🔔 EURCHF UPDATED POSITION EURCHF has reached our weekly SC region and I am now looking for long opportunities. I would like price to spike up to 1.07610 and take out the seller's liquidity and return to around 1.06850 to add to the long position which is at the 786 fib level for extra confluence. Seeing as we have medium-impact Euro news release to the end of the week I will look to enter long positions during the New York session on Thursday. With a 30 pip risk and a potential 280+ pip reward, we have a 1:9 r/r.
Long
by OnyxTradeHouse
Psychological Levels are Easy Market's to Trade! (+400 pips)It's pretty straight forward here, with a 3rd rejection imminent of a key level and psychological level (1), we can use this to our advantage by placing a sell-limit at the rejected daily price of 1 with tight stops. Using this technique may result in being stop hunted (as you see the second test spiked a 4th time), however the 3rd drive into the key level statistically negates his probability severely, making the risk worth the reward. As you can see, the RR in this REAL trade I took was unreal. It was nonetheless, a great example of how to play around with key levels especially concerning the historical significance of this kley level for USD/CHF which will require you to do some backtesting to see (the relevance of 1's backtesting played a factor into my confidence factor while executing). Support and resistance levels are one of the most important technical factors in trading. “Key levels” are certain prices for a currency pair which may support the price below the current market level or a price which may resist above the current market level. Support acts as a floor and resistance acts as a ceiling, both of which are “barriers of price.” Send me a PM for questions, or comment below. I'm happy to help those that are eager to learn how easy this market is to trade if you can see it in a certain detail.
by TayFx
13
GBPUSD Trade Idea Sell to BuyEqual lows right above where the next 61.8 fibonacci retracement is. Also a whole number (1.27000) and could be the end of the correction and beginning of next bullish cycle. Next target is 2.618, as 1.618 has been breached over the last two weeks. Expecting a liquidity grab before moving up. Maybe even as low as 1.26000. If price does travel down that way, would just have to watch for signs of a floor. Notice how 3.618 (target 3) is right above the overall target (and major liquidity zone) which is also easily seen on the weekly chart. 2.618 is also the bottom of the distribution zone.
Short
by DJdSchu
1
Learn to discern institutional demand levels (Example)Is it true that the Forex Market is manipulated and controlled by a handful of banks and market makers? If so, how can we identify when they manipulate the forex markets and is it something that requires access to sophisticated tools and secret contacts? Well, let’s begin by getting a few facts straight. Firstly it is true that the forex markets are manipulated and while you don’t need any sophisticated tools or secret contacts to understand how this happens, identifying when it happens is not easy for the majority of retails traders. What most traders fail to appreciate is what the financial markets truly are and how to trade forex properly. The Forex markets is a place where buyers and sellers come together facilitated by brokers and market makers who look to profit by making a commission for each transaction. Just like any other market, buyers and sellers can only come together if there is a middleman facilitating the transaction. This middleman in the case of Forex is the market maker, and their job is simply to match buy and sell orders for the best price possible and earn the most commission that they can on each transaction. How forex works – Buyer & Seller Counterparties Every trade that is executed in the forex markets has to have a buyer and seller and when this takes place then we have a trade. This normally happens in a fraction of a second electronically but in essence, each time you enter a buy trade you are being matched with someone who is happy to enter a sell position and take the opposite side of your trade. If this doesn’t happen then there wouldn’t be a trade. Why is this so important? Because it highlights the problems that large banks have which small traders don’t. Any retail trader is able to place whatever position size they wish into the market without ever fearing slippage or bad fill. Granted slippage may take place during high impact news items such as central bank announcements but on the whole, most of the executed trades are done instantaneously. Now if you’re a retail trader trading 1 standard Lot then you won’t have any problems with being filled at the price you want. Imagine you’re trading 100 Lots or 500 Lots or 1000 lots, these are larger positions to put into the market at any one time and it’s much more difficult to find someone to take the other side of the trade at the exact price and the exact time that you want and therefore might not be filled at a great price. Well, what could you do in such a situation? You have one of three options: Option 1: You could either bite the bullet and get executed at whatever price you are able to get, the only problem here is that you won’t be getting the best price possible for your trade which eats into your profits. Option 2: You could wait for the price to get to the price level you want so that you get the best execution possible and buy or sell at a much more favorable price – this is great but what if the price doesn’t get to the level you want for you to execute your trade? You will either be forced to walk away without making a trade or be forced to take whatever price you can get if doing the trade is absolutely essential Option 3: You force the price to get to the level at which you want to transact by cleverly manipulating other smaller traders to push the market in the direction you want it to go. Once you get the price to the level you want then you can carry out your transaction. How can you do this? By taking massive positions and exercising your muscle. This is similar to when large companies and conglomerates bully smaller businesses out of the market through aggressive competition. Best Options… Which option do market makers and those with large orders take? Option 3. This is how manipulation works in simplicity. The big players who have the money to move the market in the direction they want, do so on a regular basis. What’s more, they have no option but to do this because unless they can manipulate the market then they won’t be able to execute their large orders. Think about it – what causes the price to move up? An imbalance of buy and sell orders such that there are more buy orders than sell orders which means there is more demand for that particular currency pair than there is supply. Conversely, what causes the price to fall – a larger build up of sell orders than buy orders such that supply outstrips demand thereby resulting in price falling. Now if a market maker comes into the market with a massive order to buy a currency, what will happen to the price? It will start to rise. This means that the market maker is bidding the price higher and so forcing himself to keep buying at higher and higher prices until their order is filled. This hardly sounds attractive or even smart for that matter as the market maker is in the business of maximizing their profits. So what is the alternative? The only alternative is to buy or sell in a hidden way without alerting all the other traders as to what is really happening. How does this take place? By buying into selling pressure or selling into buying pressure. In other words, what a market maker will do is do the opposite of what they intend to do in order to push the price to their desired level. What is a market maker? It is a financial intermediary set up with the sole purpose of matching buyers and sellers together to make a commission in the process. So let’s say a large European conglomerate wants to buy out a US company for $10 Billion. It can’t just go to a money exchange bureau or the bank to change that amount of money. Most likely it will go to a currency broker or a large bank who will complete the transaction by going into the money markets via their brokerage arm. Once the market maker receives the order for the transaction, their job is to convert the conglomerate’s money from Euro’s into USD. They will, therefore, be trading the EUR/USD pair and selling Euro’s and buying USD. Since this transaction of selling Euros and buying USD happens instantaneously, what the market maker needs to do is get the highest exchange rate they can for Euros to USD. The way they do this is very important as it affects the amount of commission they stand to make. In this example, it’s in the market maker’s interest to achieve the highest interest rate they can so they do this by driving the exchange rate higher first and then starting to sell the euros against this higher price. They continue to sell just as everyone else is fooled into thinking that price is going to continue higher until eventually they sell all the euros and convert into USD and complete the transaction. What happens now is that since the selling pressure has become stronger than the buying pressure, price starts to fall rapidly and everyone is left scrambling to get out of the trade once they find out that they are wrong. The reason people are left scrambling is that as a result of giving a false signal of the market starting to move up, the market maker manages to entice other traders to start buying heavily. Once the other traders find out that they were wrong in their assessment of market direction, then the main focus becomes to get out of their positions quickly. This is what we call the trap and it happens on a weekly basis in the Forex market.
by UnknownUnicorn3442968
2
CADCHFConfirmations Market structure Institutional candle highlighted in yellow Fib levels are between 62 - 88% Imbalance below 4 out of my 5 criterias have been met which has made this trade for me a high probable set up, i am expecting price to go higher to atleat 50% of the institutional candle which is where my second entry is however right now price seems to be coming down. With the interest rate coming out later today i suspect to see a lot of ranging movement. This may mean that i may have to exit my trade taking money off the table and find a new entry after the rate has been announced. I have provided a market outlook on a range of pairs for this week ahead youtu.be
Short
by LitCap-Vell
1