Nvidia So close to earnings report ! here is my analysis... In this chart, I haven't moved anything at all since my previous analysis of Nvidia. The price is making its natural movement just as we’ve been predicting.
As you can see, the last candle closed by bouncing off my order block and following the pattern of my forecast arrow.(yellow dotted arrow) Based on the price behavior, we can predict that as it gets closer to November 20 — the earnings report date — it will simply be accumulating.
Nvidia's last earnings reports have been phenomenal, and I don’t doubt that this report will be a trigger for the price to make a decision.
But for now, we’ll only see the price in a range until a few days before the report, when we’ll see those high-volume candles that will drive the price in a single direction.
Which direction? The one the report indicates.
Best regards!
Institutionaltrading
GBPUSD Bearish SellsGBPUSD Analysis 15M entry
We are currently active on our sniper sell after NFP Fridays news event.
Price is currently distributing and going into our NFP candle. I'm waiting for a reaction out of that zone and looking to take another sell and continue the downtrend.
I will be executing the sell limit IF price comes higher first and activates the sell.
Hey SPY lovers, look at all that green! Do you believe me now?We are undoubtedly in a scenario where the price is showing a lot of strength. As we can see, the price previously attempted to break all-time highs but encountered an institutional liquidity block, trying twice and creating a double top before making a pullback for days !
This second attempt to break the all-time high will be very important because, after the pullback, we were able to forecast the limit where the price would bounce back. Just one candle with a lot of volume and buying pressure was enough to realize that the price would reverse at $544.
If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is playing out according to our price action and institutional analysis.
Now, we just need to wait for that ATH, and I think this time will be different, especially considering that we're in election months, and the current president's political party wants the economy to look strong before the elections. So, we can expect a bull run from now until November.
Thank you for supporting my analysis, and if you've benefited from it and made profits, congratulations, I'm happy for you.
Best regards.
Quarter Theory: Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements!Greetings Traders, and welcome back!
In today's video, we’ll dive deep into Quarter Theory—a powerful concept that can take your trading to the next level. We’ll break it down step-by-step, explain how it works, and show you how to implement it into your strategy.
Quarter Theory is all about studying the algorithmic price delivery within the markets. It’s grounded in Time and Price Theory, which suggests that significant market moves often occur at specific price levels and times. This foundational idea will help us predict price movements more effectively.
If you haven’t already, be sure to check out the previous videos in the High Probability Trading Zones playlist for the key concepts you’ll need to fully grasp today’s content. For those watching on TradingView, links to previous videos will be included to help you catch up.
Mastering Institutional Order Flow & Price Delivery:
Premium & Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
We’re kicking off a weekly series on Quarter Theory, with the goal of helping you build a robust trading model by the end. Stay tuned!
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Understanding Dark Pools█ Diving Into Dark Pools
In recent years, dark pools have become a significant part of the financial markets, offering an alternative trading venue for institutional traders. But what exactly are dark pools, and how do they impact market quality and price efficiency? This article delves into the comprehensive study titled "Diving Into Dark Pools" by Sabrina Buti, Barbara Rindi, and Ingrid Werner, which sheds light on the complexities of dark pool trading in the US stock market.
█ What Are Dark Pools?
Dark pools are private financial forums or exchanges for trading securities. Unlike public stock exchanges, dark pools do not display the order book to the public until after the trade is executed, providing anonymity to those placing trades. This lack of pre-trade transparency can help prevent large orders from impacting the market price, which is particularly beneficial for institutional investors looking to trade large volumes without revealing their intentions.
█ How Do Dark Pools Work?
In dark pools, the details of trades are not revealed to other market participants until the trade is completed. This lack of transparency helps prevent significant price movements that could occur if the order were known beforehand. Dark pools typically execute trades at the midpoint of the best bid and ask price in the public markets, ensuring fair pricing for both parties involved.
█ Why Are Dark Pools Used?
Dark pools are primarily used by institutional investors who need to execute large trades without revealing their trading intentions. Displaying such large orders on public exchanges could lead to unfavorable price movements due to market speculation and front-running by other traders.
█ Benefits of Dark Pools
Reduced Market Impact: Large orders can be executed without affecting the stock's market price.
Anonymity: Traders can buy or sell significant amounts without revealing their identity or strategy.
Lower Transaction Costs: By avoiding the public markets, traders can often reduce the costs associated with large trades.
Improved Execution: Dark pools can offer better execution prices due to the lack of market impact and reduced volatility.
█ Why Do Large Actors Hide Their Orders Using Dark Pools?
Large institutional investors use dark pools to hide their orders to:
Avoid Market Manipulation: Prevent others from driving the price up or down based on the knowledge of a large pending trade.
Maintain Strategic Advantage: Keep trading strategies and intentions confidential to avoid imitation or counter-strategies by competitors.
Achieve Better Prices: Execute trades at more favorable prices by not alerting the market to their actions.
█ Actionable Insights for Traders
Understand Market Dynamics: Knowing how and why dark pools are used can provide insights into market liquidity and price movements.
Monitor Market Quality: Be aware that increased dark pool activity can improve overall market quality by reducing volatility and spreads.
Assess Price Efficiency: Recognize that while dark pools can enhance market quality, they might also lead to short-term inefficiencies like price overreaction.
█ Key Findings from the Study
The study analyzed unique data on dark pool activity across a large cross-section of US stocks in 2009. Here are some of the critical insights:
Concentration in Liquid Stocks: Dark pool activity is predominantly concentrated in liquid stocks. Specifically, Nasdaq stocks show higher dark pool activity compared to NYSE stocks when controlling for liquidity factors.
Market Quality Improvement: Increased dark pool activity correlates with improvements in various market quality measures, including narrower spreads, greater depth, and reduced short-term volatility. This suggests that dark pools can enhance market stability and efficiency for certain stocks.
Complex Relationship with Price Efficiency: The relationship between dark pool activity and price efficiency is multifaceted. While increased activity generally leads to lower short-term volatility, it can also be associated with more short-term overreactions in price for specific stock groups, particularly small and medium-cap stocks.
Impact on Market Dynamics: On days with high share volume, high depth, low intraday volatility, and low order imbalances, dark pool activity tends to be higher. This indicates that traders are more likely to use dark pools when market conditions are favorable for large trades.
█ Conclusion
Dark pools play a crucial role in modern financial markets by allowing large trades to be executed without revealing the trader’s intentions, thus minimizing market impact and reducing costs. For retail traders, understanding the mechanics and implications of dark pools can lead to better-informed trading decisions and a deeper comprehension of market behavior. The study concludes that while dark pools generally contribute to improved market quality by reducing volatility and enhancing liquidity, their effect on price efficiency is nuanced. For small and medium stocks, dark pools can lead to short-term price overreactions, while large stocks remain largely unaffected. The findings underscore the importance of understanding the different impacts on various stock categories to make informed trading decisions.
For institutional traders and market participants, understanding the role and impact of dark pools is crucial for navigating the modern financial landscape. By offering an alternative venue for executing large trades discreetly, dark pools play a pivotal role in today's trading ecosystem.
█ Reference
Buti, S., Rindi, B., & Werner, I. (2011). Diving into Dark Pools. Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics, Fisher College of Business Working Paper Series, 2010-10.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Swing Gold LongSeries of BOS long have occurred and now we’re seeing a major retracement for the 15M timeframe. A small range occurred being breaking out to the new swing high, leaving sell-side liquidity below the equal lows of the range. Expecting institutions to drive price below the range to pick up liquidity to fuel prices long again
Will EURUSD Drop Again ?I see EURUSD in the 1.08172-1.07836 area, there is a base area (DBD), as a supply area for UERUSD, and there is an EMA 200, with the trend formed by EURUSD being a downtrend, based on the above it is very realistic to determine a SELL plan in the Supply area with SL above the supply zone and TP 2R is very possible to achieve.
Hopefully I'm right and luck comes my way.
Note: this idea is not a recommendation for making your trading decisions. All losses and profits are not our responsibility. Happy Trading keep safe.
DXY Dollar Index Bullish Continuation Scaling into 1H timeframes for possible intra-day trades for Monday - Tuesday...
We've been in a healthy uptrend creating Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
No signs or breaks of structure to switch sides and look for sells.
2 areas i'm looking for potential entries on correlating pairs such as GBPUSD & EURUSD
GBPUSD Sell Trade Sept 20,2023Daily Structure is Bullish, but I noticed a shift because of supply 1.31073.
Upon checking the timeframes from daily to 1H.
I see continuous creating of new supply.
I wait for Drop Base Drop formation and focus on IC that will be created,
2H POI conclude that I will have a trade this week. I refine it to 1h and 15 minutes distribution.
validity--> 2h ---> confluence--> 1h-30min-15min (proof and entry)
Check the charts for more information.
RR: 1:9
GBPJPY SELL Trade Aug 3 2023Distribution Schematics ---> valid from Daily to 15 min TIMEFRAME.
I wait for manipulation of HIGH since it has a valid structure on daily TF followed by IMB from 1h to 15min .
After manipulations of High , It tap into the IMB then continue going lower.
RR: 1:14
a great trade to end the week .
See attached chart for more detailed entry and setup.
GBPUSD Wyckoff Short trade June 28 2023GBPUSD - Sell side structure (introducing supply and manipulating highs)
i wait for validity of distribution (1h---4H---daily TF)
after that---> checking of london session for manipulation observing a BOS at 5min and 15 min structure points.
a clear rejection of OB at 5min chart (look at the reference drawing)
entry at 5min and targeting 1H demand zone.
RR: 1:10
GBP/USD 4hr time frame analysisHello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown..
4HR broke structure to the upside and now we patiently waiting for the pull back to DEMAND ZONE
When price touch our ZONE then we go to the lower time looking for CHOCH confirmation
Soon our confirmation is noticed, We will wait for price pull back again to our demand zone that cause choch
be safe and use risk managment all the time when you trading !!!