Institutionaltrading
$BTC Broke Structure-Weekly Bearish Order Block Rejection *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
Bitcoin has made a mad dash this week crawling on top of a Daily Fair Value Gap. But if you look at the weekly chart, it has just touched the Weekly Bearish Order Block which should reject it eventually. However, with the new u [rising this past week Bitcoin did break structure and I have marked that in the main chart. There is also a Breaker just below it. So this could take a few days to unravel but I think It will start to fall getting a lot of retail traders to chase it as a Short. When price stops just at the Bullish Breaker Area of 38767.57 on the coin base Chart.
Here is the weekly where you can see the smart money Bearish order block weekly rejection.
So Again, watch for that rejection and expect retail traders to bit short on it and the chart should turn around at the breaker area. That low point would probably happen by Tuesday/Wednesday this week as it starts to create a new weekly profile. Let me know what you think or if you think it will drop and not come back up?
Happy Trading! = Bodies X Wix
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$GBPUSD -Broke Market Structure- Bullish for 1.36375 from 1.3579As you can see GBPUSD had some highs near 1.3587. Those highs were broken durng the morning volatility. It has retraced a little each and who knows I may have missed the entranced when uit already got below 1.35795 and hit near 1.35583. That was the gold move to buy. Yes it's slowly retracting but that's to make retail traders believe that it's actuall going to sell now. a) It's broken market structure B) There's Confluence at the 161.8% mark that includes going through th top of a Fair Valu Gap (15 min) brefore hitting a bearish order block. I'm just wanting for GBPUSD TO enter that Zone between 1.3795 probably mnost likely to the buliish order block of 1.35815 before adding another position, I had 3 decent scalps on GBPUSD this morning and I'm looking to capitalize one more time. Now, I do look at the economic calendar to give m clues as to when the volatility will happpen in the morning. However, Just because a bank is expected to raise interest rates diesn't necessarily mean that it wil be a bad thi9ng for the comapny. If infact, most smart Money (Deep pocket whales) Will use tat against in you, and drive it in your favor for a few minutes and and """#$% SLAM #$% Irt goes the opposite way. I have been hurt tooo many times going by what the eceonomic calendar says will be good for the currency rather than just look at the surroundings, find the liqquidity and Underastand it's probably going there.
And with that we have somewhat equal highs above with fair value gaps just prior. I have a feeling we should se somerthig similar to that I drw. I could be completely wrong, but we'lll see. Goofg Luck and Good Trading
Tedzily a.k.a. Bodies X Wix
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GBPUSD BULLISH ACTION POSSIBLETraders as we can see GBPUSD has hit a trendline break and retested right down to our daily bullish order block zone, we could see it drop lower into the next area and this could be a false breakout but for now we will be looking for confirmation to enter long positions. Good luck and Happy Trading Everyone!
NASDAQ Price actionIs not supply and demand... chart pattern or harmonic pattern and no indicators :)
i dont use zone, but i use specific level.
i use fibs only to find equilibrium and OTE.
Currently price hovering arround mid level of parent swing, normally price will play in the middle of the range at FOMC week.
Find your liquidity, or you are the liquidity.
if you enjoy my analysis, please like comment and subscribe.
Regards,
by "huntedortobehunted"
NAS100 Outlook and AnalysisThe Nasdaq has been full on bearish for January which is in line with it's seasonal tendency and as such I'm anticipating further downward movement this week into the imbalances below. Though there's also a possibility of a pull back to clear buyside liquidity before continuing down into the imbalalnces. Have to wait to see.
XAUUSD Outlook and AnlysisGold has been bullish for quite a while now and continues to be with normal retracements on the way. It's currently retracing and as such anticipating further downward movement to around 1823.26, then upward again. So if taking trades on gold this week, looking for shorts into that area.
$MATIC - To Send Under Sell Side Liquidity Before Bullish Return*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
There was too much thought that went into this chart to even try to explain. But I think I make the entry points clear, that if it does get to those entry points, to add a position to the trade. When getting to the take profits, take a % off as a profit from the trade. But this chart should be foolproof unless something catastrophic happens.
TP3: 2.62499282
TP2: 2.51605485
TP1: 2.44690000
E1: 2.27610000
E2: 2.25454172
E3: 2.16770000
E4: 2.11720000
SL: 1.97495881
Good Luck and Happy Trading.
$AVAX - Buy Now or Maybe 115-117 *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
AVAX has short term break of structure that is bullish where these candles have closed above the previous candles close. We missed the initial great buy, the pullback into the 61.8% level of this chart. However. The current high is a about 1 cent off from another daily high, Creating a false " resistance. I say false because the next time it runs up to that point it will break resistance. It may break it by very little which will cause the liquidity to flood the market (this area of $127.3-$127.4 is where buy stops and sell limits rest) Smart money will punch through that area to flood the market with liquidity chasing the chart down for a short period, and then reverse it back up hitting following stop losses or shortly placed stop losses. Taking the retail traders out. Happens every time. The real question is, where to buy?
There are close equal lows on a 15/5 min time frame that could produce a little bit of liquidity underneath. about where it is now near the 119.5 area. The chart could push below that and spark more liquidity but I have a feeling if it did that it would drop down to the consequential encroachment of $118.226 or fill the fair value gap down to $117.16. The furthest I think it could go down would be $115 where there is a Bullish order block resting. and at that point price would reject it and send flying back up.
Additionally the only indicator I use, The Williams %R, which is more of a volatility indicator, is at the over sold condition. That doesn't guarantee a biuy right away, but we're more likely to see it possibly be more oversold to the areas I suggested and then turnm around.
As I'm typing this, it got under the Bullish breaker creating a bearish breaker. So I'd be betting on $117-$115
Good Luck and Good Trading! :)
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EURUSD Trade Idea Dec 13-17 2021The Logic: Overall EU is bearish from the weekly and Monthly TFs. Also on the weekly TF price has broken key structure, moving towards the downside, hence I'm anticipating a pull back to the OB which caused the break of structure, then a continuation downwards. On the daily TF, price has created a shift in market structure upwards, possibly signaling the pull back has begun. With this SMS I'm anticipating that price will return below the shift as liquidity has been engineered in the area of the shift and as such I'll be looking for buys inside my 1H POI until price returns to the 1W POI that initially created the BMS downwards.
$BTC - Pullback to Discount Level, Then Bullish *Smart Money**SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
Bitcoin is pulling up to possibly reach above the current small liquidity high resting near $50,850. I can see it pushing up a little harder to take out people thinking this is a "Resistance" level but then going to the median bearish order block of $51,3385 before getting pushed back down into the 1-hour fair value gap which is an imbalance that needs to be filled. Or it could simply touch the bottom of the 1 hour fari value gao from the "great fall" last week, and turn bearish and into the newly created 1 hour fair value gap, which is an imbalance it would most likely pursue and fill. At the bottom of this imbalance is the 61.8% (Discount level) of the fib if you place it at the recent current low to the current recent high. This area is also near the 4-hour Fair Value Gap bottom. So all of these confluences make sense as to where it would go before moving bullish. So I have the entry price as $49,160.
Now the target is above the current high and it's the next tiny 1-hour order block at around $52,645.So to be safe I put my target at $52,640.
See Chart
I'm giving it until the end of the week to make this happen so we have a nice green weekly candle.
If there are any Smart Money / ICT students out there that have any critiques or suggestions, please let me know what you think. Agina, this is not the retail way of thinking, if you tell me a Trend line and a triangle is going to somehow magically make the price do something, I would point you toward what the chart usually does and that is attack liquidity and balance. And I believe this idea has both.
Cheers and happy trading.
P.S. I'm still holding my trade from "The great fall" from last week. I knew it would come up but I'm just hoping it comes up quicker because my time decay is killing me on my futures call. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT PHEMEX:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT OKEX:BTCUSDT FTX:BTCUSD
USDJPY - 2th December, Possible Next MovePretty simple analysis on this one.
USDJPY is on a bearish bias, DXY (dollar index) is currently with a weak bullish sentiment entering a mix between BULLISH/BEARISH which could indicate weakness of dollar pairs.
We have right now a BOS (break of structure), nice bullish order block, and an imbalance to be filled before a possible continuation of the bearish movement.
Regards,
Team PRFX :)
GBPCAD Trade IdeaPrice did a sweep of the equal highs, drawing on liquidity that was resting above. With a bearish bias, I am anticipating that price will return to the IC that swept liquidty and continue downwards. There's also liquidity resting below and I anticipate a sweep of those lows as well.
$EURUSD - Breaking Sell Side Liquidity to long 2020 Bullish OB ***Smart Money Theory - Nothing that I have learned in retail trading has brought m profits, So I use Smart Money Technique or Institutional Trading. Currently, with EUR/USD it Appears that the Price Action is slowly making its way back toward levels from 2020. It has hit an Order Block on a daily time frame (Wick) and I believe it will drop below the Asian range (Around 1,14385) to take out the sell-side liquidity, Possibly even spike down to the hit the body of the Daily bullish Order Block (around 1.14280) before turning around and making a reversal. I see the bullish bias Already because it has broken the market structure at 1,14560 taking out short-term highs. Once The New York Session may give it the charging it needs to break up and over the equal highs near 1.14775 and possibly to the end of the 4th varition of the Asian range which also fits near the Median of the old 2020 daily fair value gap. See chart for historical references.
I would be s little more careful on the stop loss with 30 pips and not 15 pips but have multiple take-profit zones along the way. The last without leaving 5 % on after going long near (now) 1.14360, highest aim would be 1,4885. Taking profit along the way at 1.14565, 1.1.4680, 1.14770 and lastly 1.14900
XAUUSD Trade IdeaGold continues to be bullish, showing no signs of weakness, with significant breaks of structure to the upside. I anticipate the bullish momentum will continue up to the D1 POI, (Weekly High) denoted on the chart. After that I anticipate full bearish momentum. Will be looking for buys up the POI.