XAUUSD Trade Idea November 2, 2021Price made a draw on liquidity below the areas highlighted in grey, hence I'm now expecting a return to the institutional candle highlighted in yellow as the large players have to mitigate (close) those sell positions opened in order to continue in their buy positions. My buy limit entry will be set at the 50% mark of that bullish order block as price is expected to rally upwards from that point.
Institutionaltrading
GBPUSD Trade Idea Oct 25, 2021Directional bias is short term bullish. A large institutional candle is seen on the 30 minute time frame which indicates a stop hunt on liquidity resting in that area. Therefore I'm looking for price to return to mititgate that entry position created by the banks and then continue upwards. It is already doing that.
$BTC - Long Between Order Block/Rejection Block (Smart Money)-techniclly if you're following my previous Idea, we're still not out. I'm just making another setup for anyone who didn't catch my earlier I dea, better setup too. Will type more, just want to get the idea out there that this should be going long and check my linked idea for previous info.
I'll complete all of this in 15
$BTC Hit Bearish Order Block median--- twice. (SMT)***If you don't know Smart Money Technique Vocabulary, this may confuse you as we believe all charts in all markets are controlled by an algorithm, don't believe me? Pay attention to Inner Circle Trader. As his student, I've learned everything I know through him And he's so spot on***
It seems that bitcoin has made. Decent Run and no one can explain it. Well for one, It spent way too much time in the discount portion of the monthly fair value gap. And two it was nearig the end of the month and for the algorithm to work on it to keep going higher we needed to create a bullish order block on the monthly. That didn't happen but the bullish Order Block on the Weekly looks great. Yesterday before the end of the week, the orice dropped to hit the order block which propelled it into today to hit the median of the bearish order block, and that's why it stopped where it stopped (Bearish order block = last up candle before down candle closing below the up candle, measure that (weekly) in half and thats the median Bearish order block, right where BTC stopped)
(Too Much time in the Discount portion of the Monthly FVG Chart)
(Half the Order Block Stopping the momentum - Weekly)
However if we don't get. quick fall like we have been getting when the price hits a bearish order block, but instead it has hit the mediann twice, I believe we're looking at price breaking that median barrier. It will probably zig zag for a minute to confuse people, (people will start chasing a buy, then it may sell off a bit, then they start chasing that) Watch for the lin of the very last bearish order block (4 hour 1 hour 15 min) If it appraches that it will get rejected but it could continue moving up trying to take out the liquidity above tht most recent swing high. That is what I personally believe it is going to do.
4 hour: $51,050
1 hour: $52,515
Above the most recent high lies all the liquidity where evereones buy stops, or sell limits are at, price wnts to get there if it continues to push up. I don't see anything in the form of liquidity on the way down.
Mybe we'll get as high as the last weekly beariish order blocks median which is 59136
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this is all Smart Money Technique, The best way to describe smart Money technique is to think about how you would normally trade, now think about the guy that has 1000000x more money than you knows you would trade, the chart is going with the guy that has 100000000x more money than you.
Thanks for reading, Hope this made sense COINBASE:BTCUSD
CHFJPY Analysis M15My directional bias is bullish based on the higher time frames: M,W, D TFs. I found a point of interest (POI) as outlined in the label on the chart, then proceeded to refine the point of entry. Point of interest was found based on the break of structure(BOS) and identifying the Order Block (OB) which created that strong impulse to the upside. Another confirmation also was the liquidity created by the sell stops resting below the area of consolidation after the impulse upward. Price is magnetized to these areas of liquidity as well as the OB that created the impulse. The fact that the impulse was strong enough to break structure makes it a strong and valid area of interest.With the strong possibility of price returning to this area of interest, a pending order (Buy Limit) is set with entry at 119.298, SL 119.281, TP 120.220, 55:1 RRR.
Gold to go higher????Gold has been bullish for a while and we anticipate it to keep pushing to the up side.
I've just seen a re-entry setup for a long position. We just recently broke out of a range that we've been in for about a week.
Price is slowly coming down to mitigate an OB (Order Block) in the supply area that has been marked. From there we anticipate price to push to high prices.
This is a high probability setup.
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$BTC - Equal highs = liquidity draw - Very BullishThere'e be a few fair value gap and berish order blocks along the way to knowc the price down a bit. But you have remotely equal highs which meamns there is. tone of liquidity resting aboveand around these areas of "Resistance" They're not resistance, they're just part of the algorithm themselves that were knocked back due to fir vlue gps and being oversolf on liquidity runs. Think outside the box. Think like. banker. Price will get above these equal highs in. matter of time but should've get any lowere that the 100% that I have (closed candle) if it does maybe look to go short, but this is still bullish to the extreme. COINBASE:BTCUSD
DXY bearish = GU + EU + AU BullishGap filled, corrected bearish rally with this bullish push with last FOMC and price mitigated a daily OB. next target should be to correct the imbalanced formed with last FOMC and raid all the liquidity below 89.0, price can potentially break thru 89 and target 79 which would be the next big liquidity pool
EUR/USD Institutional Trading StrategyHello, guys! It's been a while since last I posted here on TradingView. I'm today releasing into the wild my trading strategy, key levels, order arrangement and overall method for trading specifically the EUR/USD, as I've specialised on trading this particular market 24/5 now. This is basically my level fading strategy and method to trade the Euro-Dollar, based off major daily round figures (even numbers), only using limit orders as entries, and stops above or below intermediary daily round figures (odd numbers). This is a time-tested strategy, it takes a great deal of discipline and patience, it carries a substantial amount of drawdown and with impending high-impact economic releases (Fed/ECB interest rate decisions, NFP and so on), which often result in impulsive trending phases, this is deadly and it is not recommended. This works well for swing/position traders just like myself, and for the EUR/USD overall.
Leave your comments on what you guys think about this strategy, its flaws and weaknesses, your experiences with similar range fading strategies, or any other kinds of feedback or questions that you might think of, I'll read every single one of them, that I guarantee.
See you all around and good trading :)
Wyckoff Accumulation + Bullish BatFX:GBPCHF Has for the past couple months been forming a clear Wyckoff accumulation schematic. Its been manipulating the lows and we got the last low which was the spring, or shakeout. There is also a bullish bat which matches perfectly with the institutional candle that formed on the chart which is where your entry would be if you decide to take this long position. Your target would be the previous resistance at the high. Follow for more free trade setups! Good luck traders!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
$SPX - Going Long after FOMC Speaker - Two Options It depends on where the price is when I wake up tomorrow. If it's not been below 4345.8, that's at target as if you were to put a fib on top of the current breaker, that price point is just below the 63% retracement level (discount) And I would wait for the FOMC speaker to start and if it's still not below this level after opening then this is where I would look for it to bounce and go long
The second option is that if I wake up and price hs made it way lower than that price point, I would expect it to be hovering around/above the breaker point 4331.2. If you place the fib at the bottom where it hits the previous bullish order block on the 1-hour chart
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I would expect it to dive past the breaker and hit the Bullish order block on the 4 hr chart at 4321.7 before moving bullish again. The patterns repeat in Smart money, it's just where Institutional order flow wants the price to go is the difference.
The around 2:00 p.m. the 10 yr bond auction happens and I would expect the price to start slipping from there so I would aim for any High that I could and take profits before 1:00 p.m., to be honest.
Even if Either scenario isn't perfect, as long as it stays above 4290, it'll still be bullish.
$SOL $SOLPERP - On iT'S Way Toward Break of Structure #SMTNot Many Shorts to take advantage of, but at least this will map out when they happen if they are to happen. Ahead we have Bearish order Block, 32.3450-32.5250, which should send it down to the Breaker Block is. This is where I would be looking to go long, near 31.0225 to 30.2100 (It's circled in the paths) In this area there is a Fair Value Gap just below a liquidity point (because that's where everyone else would expect it to go long, Smart Money might push it further down) The reason the stop loss is in that place is because that covers the full Fair Value Gap and Bullish Order Block, any lower than that and it's taking out that sell-side liquidity and most likely moving lower (that part is at the end). The next pass would get us to where price want to go right now anyway, the liquidity point where all the sell limits are placed and buy stops are placed. Here we could see price jump back and forth taking out each side of the market, such as shorting just before the line to get people thinking it will once again short before making a turn to the north. The short people start chasing it, it passes the line triggering the buy stops, until it hit's the tiny but silll bearish order block would then send the path back down taking out the buy stops if the have short stop losses (These people think that same line will act as support so they use thin stop losses) and then finally settling on moving up. The next point it will be seeking will be the $36 mark where there are two equal highs, again another liquidity point where limits are set and retail are expecting it to short. I'm expecting a long right through it but if not that would be a final target. At least I'll be taking off most of my position here, my stop loss should be well into profit by then and we'll just wee what happens next. In the heart of all of this Solana has been the hardest to break down.
And as noted if all goes wrong in the beginning and we just go below the early liquidity point and through the fir value goes (Watch those because either one could cause a reversal) but I would think it would be headed toward the lowest bullish order block that is ner before getting another chance at going long.
Anyways just my thought. In no way shape or form are my thoughts considered financial advice. Good Luck and Good Trading.
- Bodies X Wix
$EURUSD 4:1 R:R On A Short Starting in London If I left my Technical analysis on the bord you all would not even be able to see the chart. Even though I'm Bullish on the Dollar overall, I'm going to be bullish on it with 'existing home sales' on the calendar tomorrow. And with Black Rock buying up homes 20-50% above market price, I think we my see the bulls come the dollars way. Plus there's daily Imbalance in the Dollr that I think it's trying to reach. Then we have EUR consumer confidence tomorrow as well. SoI drew my price very specifically by what is already on the board and having 3 target price. after that we have Powell Testifying and who knows what kind of volatility that will bring if any at all so I wnt to be out of the market by 1:00 p.m. and I personally think this is what the chart will do. I'll Post tomorrow to see if My Smart Money Analysis was dead wrong or close to being correct.I think we're headed for target 3 though which will simultaneous hit the DXY Daily Void at 1.8406 - ish, after that I think we're bullish for thee week on EurUsd,, Just not tomorrow. if and only if the DXY is showing a willingness to go after that daily void.
See Chart (The Timing isn't correct since it's on the Daily but I needed to include the Daily void for reference but you get the picture. I'm setting my sell limits now and going to bed, hopefully to some good news.
Let's see what happens.
Good Luck And Good Trading :)
OANDA:EURUSD
Price Action Study - Liquidity PoolsAs retail traders, we have the luxury of entering and exiting any position with ease - the size of our trades are not large enough to affect the market whatsoever.
Now put yourself in the shoes of a bank, a multi-billion dollar fund - any type of institutional trader. You want to go long $2 billion dollars on a stock, a forex pair, a cryptocurrency - in doing so you face some issues.
You're trading massive size. These types of orders are nearly impossible to hide - people reading the tape, watching level 2 or the DOM (Depth of market, footprint, etc) will see your order from a mile away and front-run you so they can get in on the coming volatility.
Remember - for every buyer (you) there needs to be a seller. How can you ensure you can receive $2bil in shares at the price you're looking for? Who's providing that liquidity?
Following up on point 1 - you can't just buy, buy, buy 100 lots at a time until you get the quantity you desire - price will have moved substantially by the time you're done.
So what are you to do? Take advantage of liquidity pools!
Here's the premise:
Short selling provides long liquidity - they sell the stock anticipating price will go down.
Longs provide short liquidity - they buy the stock anticipating price will go up.
As an institutional trader, what do you need in order to go long?
Many peoples selling short.
What do you need in order to go short?
Trapped buyers.
So this brings us to the next question - How do institutions create sellers if they want to go long, how do they create buyers if they want to go short?
Liquidity Pools
Liquidity pools are areas where we can assume clusters of limit orders and/or stops reside.
Pending limit orders are, by definition - liquidity! They are triggered as price trades through a particular area.
From an institutional perspective - if price trades through X:
Buy orders hit the market = potential short liquidity.
Sell orders hit the market = potential long liquidity.
This brings us to the next question: How do institutions identify liquidity pools?
The answer: Where does the average retail trader place their stop?
Below a swing low or a range low (think flags, channels, trends)
Above a swing high or a range high (think flags, channels, trends)
Above highs, retail traders wait to buy the breakout. They create short liquidity by buying from institutions who are selling short, with the intention of taking the price lower.
Retail traders who short tops tend to place stops right above them - their buy stops create short liquidity as well if price is to wick through a high before going lower.
Trading breakouts, breakdowns and ranges from this perspective gives much more context to "fake breakouts" as they were - the key takeaway is to avoid placing your stops in obvious areas - as these regions tend to get hunted for liquidity.
-Will, OptionsSwing Analyst