Bullish Semiconductors? SOXX The semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX definitely tend to lead the market In bull rallies. I still think this saying will hold true for several years.
The NASDAQ:SOXX is flirting with some pretty decent resistance. This would be a perfect spot for sellers to exit and price action to digest recent gains.
If the chart plays out like I think it will, we should have a decent pullback in this area which could create an epic inverse head right shoulder. This pattern would be a very bullish setup that could take us into new All Time Highs in 2026.
This is a weekly pattern so allow the chart some tike to play out.
INTC
Intel Corporation | INTCIntel reported second quarter earnings on Thursday, showing a return to profitability after two straight quarters of losses and issuing a stronger-than-expected forecast. the stock rose 7% in extended trading.
Here’s how Intel did versus Refinitiv consensus expectations for the quarter ended July 1:
Earnings per share: 13 cents, adjusted, versus a loss of 3 cents expected by Refinitiv.
Revenue: $12.9 billion, versus $12.13 billion expected by Refinitiv.
For the third quarter, Intel expects earnings of 20 cents per share, adjusted, on revenue of $13.4 billion at the midpoint, versus analyst expectations of 16 cents per share on $13.23 billion in sales.
Intel posted net income of $1.5 billion, or 35 cents per share, versus a net loss of $454 million, or a loss of 11 cents per share, in the same quarter last year.
Revenue fell 15% to $12.9 billion from $15.3 billion a year ago, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of declining sales.
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on a call with analysts the company still sees “persistent weakness” in all segments of its business through year-end, and that server chip sales won’t recover until the fourth quarter. He also said that cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for artificial intelligence instead of Intel’s central processors.
David Zinsner, Intel’s finance chief, said in a statement that part of the reason the report was stronger than expected was because of the progress the company has made toward slashing $3 billion in costs this year. Earlier this year, Intel slashed its dividend and announced plans to save $10 billion per year by 2025, including through layoffs.
“We have now exited nine lines of business since Gelsinger rejoined the company, with a combined annual savings of more than $1.7 billion,” said Zinsner.
Revenue in Intel’s Client Computing group, which includes the company’s laptop and desktop processor shipments, fell 12% to $6.8 billion. The overall PC market has been slumping for over a year. Intel’s server chip division, which is reported as Data Center and AI, saw sales decline 15% to $4 billion plus Intel’s Network and Edge division, which sells networking products for telecommunications, recorded a 38% decline in revenue to $1.4 billion.moreover Mobileye, a publicly traded Intel subsidiary focusing on self-driving cars, saw sales slip 1% on an annual basis to $454 million and Intel Foundry Services, the business that makes chips for other companies, reported $232 million in revenue.
Intel’s gross margin was nearly 40% on an adjusted basis, topping the company’s previous forecast of 37.5%. Investors want to see gross margins expand even as the company invests heavily in manufacturing capability.
In the first quarter, the company posted its largest loss ever as the PC and server markets slumped and demand declined for its central processors. Intel’s results on Thursday beat the forecast that management gave for the second quarter at the time.
Intel management has said the turnaround will take time and that the company is aiming to match TSMC’s chip-manufacturing prowess by 2026, which would enable it to bid to make the most advanced mobile processors for other companies, a strategy the company calls “five nodes in four years.” Intel said on Thursday that it remained on track to hit those goals.
Nvidia has had an amazing run, but any emerging technology, such as AI, which is bottlenecked by a single company will have issues in growth. Consulting firm McKinsey has pegged the AI market to be worth $1 trillion by 2030, but also that it was in an experimental and in early phases of commercial deployment.
While Nvidia will likely retain its leadership in GPU hardware as applied to AI for the foreseeable future, it is likely that other hardware solutions for AI systems will also be successful as AI matures. While technologist may quibble on specifics, all major AI hardware today are based on GPU architectures, and as such I will use the terms and concepts of AI hardware and GPU architecture somewhat interchangeably.
One likely candidate for AI related growth may be AMD (AMD), which has had GPU products since acquiring ATI in 2006.However, unlike Nvidia, which had a clear vision for of general-purpose GPU products (GPGPU), historically, AMD had largely kept its focus on the traditional gaming applications. AMD has developed an AI architecture called XDNA, and an AI accelerator called Alveo and announced its MI300, an integrated chip with GPU acceleration for high-performance computing and machine learning. How AMD can and may evolve in the AI may be subject of a different article.
Another contender for success in the AI applications using GPU is Intel, who is the focus of this article. Intel has maintained a consistent, if low key focus on GPU hardware focused on AI applications over the last decade. Intel’s integrated HD Graphics is built into most modern processor ICs; however, these are insufficient compared to dedicated GPUs for high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks.
It has 2 primary GPU architectures in production release:
In 2019 Intel Corporation acquired Habana Labs, an Israel-based developer of programmable deep learning accelerators for the data center for approximately $2 billion. Habana Labs’ Gaudi AI product line from its inception focused on AI deep learning processor technologies, rather than as GPU that has been extended to AI applications. As a result, Gaudi microarchitecture was designed from the start for the acceleration of training and inferencing. In 2022 Intel announced Gaudi2 and Greco processors for AI deep learning applications, implemented in 7-nanometer (TSMC) technology and manufactured on Habana’s high-efficiency architecture. Habana Labs benchmarked Gaudi2’s training throughput performance for the ResNet-50 computer vision model and the BERT natural language processing model delivering twice the training throughput over the Nvidia high end A100-80GB GPU. So, Gaudi appears to give Intel a competitive chip for AI applications.
Concurrent with the Habana Labs’ Gaudi development, Intel has internally developed the Xe GPU family, as dedicated graphics card to address high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks as well as more traditional high-end gaming. Iris® Xe GPU family consists of a series of microarchitectures, ranging from integrated/low power (Xe-LP) to enthusiast/high performance gaming (Xe-HPG), data center/AI (Xe-HP) and high-performance computing (Xe-HPC). The architecture has been commercialized in Intel® Data Center GPU Flex Series (formerly codenamed Arctic Sound) and Intel® Arc GPU cards. There is some question on Xe GPU future and evolution. Intel has shown less commitment to the traditional GPU space compared to Gaudi. Nonetheless, it does demonstrate Intel ability to design and field complex GPU products as its business requires.
Intel has many other AI projects underway. The Sapphire Rapids chips implements AI specific acceleration blocks including technology called AMX (Advanced Matrix Extensions), which provides acceleration inside the CPU for efficient matrix multiplications used in on-chip inferencing and machine learning processing by speeding up data movement and compression. Intel has supporting technologies such as Optane, which while cancelled as a production line, is available for their needs of a high-performance non-volatile memory, one of the intrinsic components in any AI product.
Based on the above, Intel appears to have competitive hardware solutions, however if we look at Nvidia success in AI, it is a result of a much a software and systems focus as it is the GPGPU hardware itself. Can Intel compete on that front. Ignoring for the moment that Intel has a huge software engineer (approx. 15,000) resource, it also has- access to one of the leading success stories in perhaps the most competitive AI application – self driving cars.
Mobileye, who was acquired by Intel in 2017, has been an early adopter and leader, with over 20 years of experience in automotive automated driving and vision systems. As such, Mobileye has a deep resource of AI domain information that should be relevant to many applications. Mobileye has announced that it is working closely with Habana, as related divisions within Intel. While Intel is in the process of re-spinning out Mobileye as public company, Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY), at present Intel still owns over 95% of shares, keeping it effectively an Intel division.
In looking at Intel, we have a company with the history, resources, and technology to compete with Nvidia and infrastructure. They have made significant investment and commitment to the emerging AI market, in times when they have exited other profitable businesses. It should also be understood that AI related product are a small percentage of overall Intel revenues (INTC revenue are more than twice NVDA, even if NVDA has 6x its market cap), and continues to keep its primary business focus on its processor and foundry business.
Hopefully for shareholders, Intel continues to push their AI technology and business efforts. Their current position is that this is strategic, but Intel is in a very fluid time and priorities may change based on business, finances, and of course the general interest and enthusiasm for AI. It is always worth noting that AI as a technical concept is mature, and appears to be cyclical, with interest in the technical community rising and falling in hype and interest once every decade or so. I remember working on AI applications, at the time labeled as expert systems in the 1980s. If we are currently at a high hype point, this may be temporary, based on near term success and disappointment in what AI does achieve. Of course, as always, “this time is different” and the building blocks of effective AI systems currently exist, where for previous iterations, it was more speculative.
MBIO MFI deepest red!!Potential lifetime buying opportunity on this if it is not just another WallStreet scam.
I'm stacking for potential upside targets in 1-3 years are $30, $90, $210 & higher.
Often I buy the deepest red and 50% of the time it works half of half the time.
1. MFI effin deep in the red
2. RSI potential double bottom on both 3 week and higher charts
3. 99.99% of all investors are under and burnt by WallStreet
4. TTM squeeze is showing large potential on timeframes 55D, 21D, 9D, 3D, 10 Hour is a FIRE setup.
5. Accum/Distrib pump is at a healthy retracement on multiple larger time frames.
This can lay flat for months and or go to ZERO.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought INTC before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.83.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
[INTC] Crashing to $1-$5—Bankruptcy Ahead?Intel has underperformed recently, trapped in a bear market since 2019 while broader equities soared. Since 2000, shareholders have seen no gains—even with dividends included—leaving long-term investors increasingly frustrated. A market-wide 2008-style crash (see related ideas) could push Intel toward total collapse.
The business is struggling too. Intel missed the AI boom entirely, its Foundry division is faltering, and revenues are shrinking. Before 2020, it posted annual earnings of $10–$20 billion; over the past year, it recorded $10 billion in losses. With $105 billion in net equity—mostly tied to hard assets that are tough to liquidate without losses—Intel’s financial cushion could erode quickly if more problems surface.
Will It Go Bankrupt?
Bankruptcy is possible but improbable. As a critical chip producer, Intel is too vital to U.S. interests to fail outright. I predict a government bailout, though shareholders would likely be wiped out.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Since its bull market ended in 2000—25 years ago—Intel has been locked in consolidation. Now, the price is breaking down on high volume.
It’s trading below the 200-month moving average (MA200 Monthly), a key long-term support level that confirms a bear market.
The consolidation resembles an Elliott Wave ABC correction, with Wave B peaking in 2020. Since then, the price has declined in what appears to be an impulsive Wave C, forming an Ending Diagonal.
When prices break downward from Ending Diagonals—especially alongside a 25-year consolidation breakdown, as is likely here—the move is often swift and severe.
If the price exits both the consolidation and the Ending Diagonal, there’s virtually no support until the $4–$5 range. A market-wide crash could drive it as low as $1.
Intel - This Stock Is A Goldmine!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly respects all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of years Intel clearly established a significant downtrend, dropping about -70% after we saw the previous all time high. This bearish pressure is now ending though and if Intel manages to create a bullish reversal break and retest, a new uptrend is starting to form.
Levels to watch: $25
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
INTC Intel Price Target by Year-EndIntel Corporation (INTC) has been trading near a key technical support level, forming a triple bottom on the chart—a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upside move. The stock currently trades with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.44, which reflects moderate valuation levels compared to industry peers.
Intel’s turnaround strategy, focused on rebuilding its foundry business and strengthening its position in the AI and data center markets, is starting to show signs of progress. The company’s push into advanced chip manufacturing and strategic partnerships with major tech firms have positioned it for improved revenue growth in the coming quarters.
Technically, the triple bottom pattern indicates strong buying interest at current levels, reinforcing the case for a potential breakout. Combined with the improving outlook for chip demand and Intel’s strategic shift toward AI, a price target of $28 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels.
Investors should monitor Intel’s progress in its foundry business and AI initiatives, as any positive developments in these areas could accelerate momentum toward the $28 target.
Is INTC in a Wyckoff Distrubution?Serious question. Asking traders in the community that are more students of the methodology than myself.
I keep a casual eye on NASDAQ:INTC and have since the big drop last August that took it to juicy decadal lows. That alone had me interested in picking it up. Smarter minds than myself that follow chipmakers more closely have educated me to the fact that chipmakers operate in multi-year cycles of Research and Development to Market. The stock was never "dead" and likely a bargain. I have just been searching for a price action thesis to give me a risk framework for taking and holding the trade.
Intel (INTC) Shares Surge by Approximately 14%Intel (INTC) Shares Surge by Approximately 14%
As shown in the Intel (INTC) stock chart:
→ Trading opened yesterday with a strong bullish gap.
→ By the end of the session, shares had risen by approximately 14% compared to the previous day's closing price.
According to Dow Jones Market Data, INTC shares recorded their largest percentage gain since 13 March 2020, making them the top-performing stock in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) on Thursday.
Why Did Intel (INTC) Shares Rise?
The surge followed the company's announcement of a new CEO appointment. Lip-Bu Tan, a former board member, has been named the new Chief Executive Officer, set to assume the role on 18 March. Investors reacted positively to the decision, as Tan previously achieved significant success as CEO of Cadence Design Systems.
As the Wall Street Journal put it:
"Lip-Bu Tan is Intel’s best hope for a turnaround—if Intel can be fixed at all."
Technical Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock
In our previous analysis of INTC price movements, we identified an upward channel (marked in blue), which remains relevant.
The current bullish momentum may lead to a breakout above the long-term downward trendline (marked in red). If this happens, it could pave the way for a move towards the psychological level of $30, which served as support last year.
Intel (INTC) Stock Price Forecasts
"We really like the new CEO appointment," wrote BofA Securities analyst Vivek Arya in a note, upgrading Intel’s rating from "Underperform" to "Neutral" and raising the target price from $19 to $25.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 1 out of 23 analysts surveyed recommends buying INTC shares.
→ The average 12-month target price for INTC is $23.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$3.35 to $13.46 in 45 minutes during premarket, strong 300%Early bird gets the worm in premarket stock trading I guess. When they start moving like this during early morning it pays to wake up early and catch one of these because it could be more profit faster than during all regular trading hours during the day.
Intel ($INTC) at a Crossroads: Breakup Talks, Market PressuresIntel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) finds itself at a critical juncture as reports emerge about Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) exploring potential deals that could split the storied chipmaker into two entities. This revelation comes amidst Intel’s ongoing struggles in maintaining its dominance in the semiconductor industry, intensified by leadership changes, manufacturing setbacks, and increasing market competition.
Broadcom & TSMC’s Interest in Intel
The Wall Street Journal recently reported that Intel rivals Broadcom and TSMC are each considering deals that would divide the company. Broadcom is reportedly analyzing Intel’s chip design and marketing business, with discussions about a potential bid, though any move would depend on securing a partner for Intel’s manufacturing division. Meanwhile, TSMC has expressed interest in taking control of Intel’s chip plants, potentially through an investor consortium.
The U.S. government is closely monitoring these developments, as Intel is viewed as a company of national security significance. Reports indicate that the Trump administration is unlikely to support a foreign entity operating Intel’s U.S. factories, adding an additional layer of complexity to any potential deal.
Intel was a major beneficiary of the Biden administration’s push to onshore semiconductor manufacturing, securing a $7.86 billion government subsidy. However, the company has struggled to execute its ambitious plans. Former CEO Pat Gelsinger set high expectations for Intel’s manufacturing and AI capabilities, but his failure to deliver led to lost contracts, a 60% drop in the company’s stock value in 2023, and layoffs affecting 15% of its workforce.
Technical Outlook
Intel’s stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) closed last Friday’s session down 2.2%, but premarket trading on Monday shows signs of recovery with a 0.06% uptick. The technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC could be on the cusp of a bullish reversal, contingent on broader market sentiment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Intel stood at 68 on Friday. This reading positions the stock near the overbought threshold but also signals that momentum is building towards a potential breakout. Also, Intel is currently trading above key moving averages, reinforcing a bullish sentiment in the near term.
Should a pullback occur, immediate support is found at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a demand zone for NASDAQ:INTC shares. In the event of extreme selling pressure, a drop to the one-month low of $18.50 could materialize, though such a scenario would require a significant bearish catalyst.
If bullish momentum takes hold, a breakout above resistance levels could push Intel’s stock higher, aligning with analyst expectations. The 12-month price forecast for NASDAQ:INTC stands at $25.69—an 8.86% increase from its current price.
Conclusion
Intel’s potential breakup remains speculative, but the fundamental challenges it faces underscore why such discussions are taking place. While concerns about cash flow, leadership changes, and market competition weigh on the stock, technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC may be approaching a bullish reversal.
With a critical trading week ahead, investors should monitor key support and resistance levels while staying informed about any further developments in the Broadcom and TSMC discussions. If Intel successfully capitalizes on government support and restructures its strategy, a resurgence in investor confidence could follow, pushing NASDAQ:INTC back into bullish territory.
Intel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three DaysIntel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three Days
According to Intel Corporation’s (INTC) stock chart:
→ The price has reached its highest level in 2025.
→ Shares have surged approximately 17% in just three days—the biggest three-day gain since April 2001, when Intel rose by 24.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
MarketWatch attributes the bullish sentiment to several key factors:
→ US Vice President J.D. Vance voiced support for domestic semiconductor production, stating, “To maintain America’s edge, the Trump administration will ensure the most powerful AI systems are developed in the US using American-designed and manufactured chips.”
→ Unlike many of its competitors, Intel both designs and manufactures its chips. Optimism may stem from hopes that government backing for the US semiconductor sector will benefit the company.
→ Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis noted that Intel appears to be strengthening its position in the CPU market, driven by demand for its Emerald Rapids product.
→ Speculation surrounding potential discussions on a partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's largest chipmaker.
Technical Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock
The $19 level has proven to be a strong support, as every attempt to push the price below this mark has failed.
Price fluctuations for INTC outline an ascending channel (marked in blue). While strong demand could drive the stock toward the channel median, the upper red trendline of the broader downtrend may act as resistance—raising the likelihood of a correction following the 17% surge.
Intel (INTC) Stock Forecast
Despite Intel’s stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings, analysts remain cautious.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 1 out of 32 surveyed analysts currently recommends buying INTC stock.
→ The 12-month average price target for INTC is $22.
However, if the broader news flow continues to fuel optimism, more analysts may revise their Intel stock forecasts upward.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Whether it can rise above 21.34 is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(INTC 12M chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support near the 18.69-20.62 range and rise above the MS-Signal indicator.
If it falls below 18.69, do not buy and check the situation.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 20.62 and rise to 24.76-26.20.
To do so,
1st: 20.20
2nd: 22.59
The point to watch is whether it can rise above the 1st and 2nd above.
If it falls below 2062, you should check whether it is supported in the 18.69-20.62 section.
-
There is a high possibility that a full-scale uptrend will begin when the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart rises above and the price is maintained, so there is no need to rush to buy.
18.69-20.62 The next time to buy is when it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, when it shows support in the 21.34-22.59 section, it is the time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
The Giant's Rebirth: Long-Term Prospects for INTCIn times when the market seems on the verge of falling, opportunities arise that only the most astute investors are able to recognize. We are now witnessing one of those rare moments with INTC. The events of the last few days, in which the CEO was forced to resign or be fired, mark not just a corporate reshuffle, but perhaps a historic turning point. History teaches us that such significant leadership changes are often harbingers of recovery and growth. Watching the price-to-sales drop to levels we've only seen in the darkest times of the past indicates that we may have hit bottom. This is not just a signal, it is a once-in-a-decade chance. INTC now offers us a unique opportunity for long-term investing with minimal risk. We are not talking about short speculation; this is an investment in the future of a company that is on the cusp of new growth. If we look at the patterns of past recoveries, we see that such situations often precede multi-year upturns. Looking at all aspects, I would rate this opportunity as having a tremendous probability of success. We are facing potential huge long-term profits. This is not just an investment; it is a bet on the revitalization of a company that is now at the bottom of its cycle, but with tremendous upside potential. This may be one of those rare occasions when we can buy at the very beginning of a recovery, when all market fears turn into strategic advantages for those willing to look beyond the current news.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Opening (IRA): INTC Feb 21st 15/19/20/24 Skinny IC... for a 2.04 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV (91.4/69.7) earnings announcement volatility contraction play. Going "skinny"/"almost iron fly" here. For purposes of take profit, treating it as an iron fly, where I generally look to take profit at 25% max.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.04
Buying Power Effect/Max Loss: 1.96
25% Max: .51
ROC at 25% Max: 25.0%
INTC Intel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you didn’t buy during last year’s double bottom on INTC:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of INTC Intel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 22usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.56.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.