Perfect Time Buying Intel (INTC) - LONGINTC get dropped by bad news to 2013 prices.
Strong resistance at 19.47
To be updated
INTC
Intel Shares Plummet 28% Amid Disappointing Q2 EarningsIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) witnessed a staggering 28% drop in its stock price on Friday, sending shockwaves through the semiconductor industry and contributing to a broader tech sector decline. The company's disappointing second-quarter earnings report, coupled with a significant workforce reduction plan, has raised serious concerns about its future prospects.
A Stark Earnings Miss and Workforce Reduction
Intel's Q2 earnings report fell significantly short of expectations, sparking a steep decline in its stock price. The company reported a substantial earnings miss and revealed plans to lay off more than 15% of its employees as part of a $10 billion cost-reduction strategy. This announcement marks one of the most severe stock declines for Intel in recent history, reminiscent of the tech bust of 2000.
The semiconductor giant's revenue and profit figures for the June quarter were notably below analyst estimates, exacerbating investor anxiety. The company's decision to implement significant layoffs underscores the challenging landscape it faces as it struggles to compete with rivals who are capitalizing on the AI boom.
Global Semiconductor Stocks Take a Hit
Intel's dismal performance had a ripple effect across the global semiconductor industry. Major Asian and European chipmakers saw their stock prices tumble in response. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and Samsung, two of the world's leading semiconductor companies, experienced notable declines of 4.6% and over 4%, respectively. SK Hynix, a key supplier to Nvidia, closed more than 10% lower, highlighting the widespread impact of Intel's struggles.
In Europe, semiconductor firms such as ASML, ASMI, STMicroelectronics, and Infineon also faced significant losses. ASML, which provides essential tools for chip manufacturing, saw its shares drop by over 8%, while ASMI fell by 9%. The negative sentiment surrounding Intel's results further fueled the global sell-off in tech stocks.
Broader Market Impact
The repercussions of Intel's disappointing earnings were felt across the broader market. The Nasdaq 100 index, heavily weighted with tech stocks, was particularly affected, dragging down overall market performance. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which tracks major names in the semiconductor sector, closed roughly 6.5% lower on Thursday.
Adding to the market's woes, U.S. stock futures saw significant declines on Friday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 317 points (0.8%), S&P 500 futures decreased by 1.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell by 1.8%. The anticipation of a critical July payrolls report further contributed to the cautious market sentiment.
A Mixed Picture for the Semiconductor Sector
Intel's struggles come amid a mixed performance across the semiconductor sector. While companies like Nvidia and AMD continue to thrive due to the AI boom, others like Qualcomm and Arm are yet to see similar benefits reflected in their financial results. This divergence underscores the varied impacts of AI investments within the industry.
Nvidia, in particular, faces additional scrutiny as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) investigates potential antitrust violations related to its dominance in the AI chip market. Despite these challenges, Nvidia maintains that it competes based on decades of investment and innovation, and is prepared to cooperate with regulators.
Intel's Strategic Vision and Challenges
Despite the grim immediate outlook, Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger remains committed to the company's long-term strategy. Gelsinger reiterated Intel's ambitious "5 nodes in 4 years" plan, aimed at advancing its foundry business and catching up with TSMC. This initiative includes the critical 18A process node, which is expected to power some of Intel's most important products in the coming years.
Technical Outlook
Intel stock ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has dropped 29% and currently has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 16.66, indicating it is oversold, with potential for further decline to an RSI of 10 due to a significant downward gap on the daily price chart. You can exploit these gaps through various strategies, such as buying after-hours following positive fundamental reports to anticipate a gap up, or entering positions at the start of price movements.
Conclusion
Intel's latest earnings report has cast a shadow over the semiconductor industry, triggering a substantial sell-off and raising questions about the company's future. While Intel's long-term strategy shows promise, the immediate challenges and market reaction underscore the difficulties it faces in navigating the competitive landscape. As the tech sector grapples with these developments, all eyes will be on Intel's next moves and their potential impact on the broader market.
$INTC: If there was a time to buy, it is nowYou heard it here first, Intel has finally bottomed long term and it's about to rip from here...A beneficiary of the recent trend of deglobalization/reshoring, and the inflation reduction act, $INTC had been battered and bruised for ages since it peaked back in early 2020, underperforming basically everything since then. Valuation has reached extremely low levels and people were questioning the sanity of the CEO buying shares and making religious remarks about the fate of the company (pretty much praying for the company to do well recently). Very hated name, and it finally looks like the pain is over. Everyone who was holding it for years has capitulated, and the stock ran out of sellers down here. Any slight positive news and buy pressure will make it lift tremendously, specially as people on the sidelines jump in.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
$INTC has its biggest run in a long timeNASDAQ:INTC has hit the 1st level.
We are being strategic and locking in some gains. We are over 10% profit mark in a few days & Intel is above the gap fill area, which was the 1st tranche of selling.
Still have a good sized position and wrote covered calls on 1/4 of the position.
NASDAQ:SMH NASDAQ:SOX
Intel is due for an aggressive bullish moveIn my opinion, I think dell has been oversold. The company should be benefiting from the AI boom. In addition, past week closed bullish and higher than prior 6 weeks.
This is not an investment advice. What do you think ?
$INTC trade looking goodBuilt a larger than normal position on #Intel.
NASDAQ:INTC
The sell areas are highlighted by the yellow circles.
1st tranche around 34.5.
2nd tranche around 43.5.
3rd tranche around 49.
There will be a trailer left for a longer term hold/ This is with the hope that there is a turnaround in the company.
The last gap fill is in the low 60's.
NASDAQ:SMH
INTC - What It will look like if it doesn't turn Bearish This green curve on INTC may create a temporary support for price allowing the bull run to continue
I expect a double bottom if this occurs and then a bull move up towards the orange dotted line.
If the green line breaks it looks more bearish than bullish.
TSLA / NVIDIA / INTC - The rotation trade?TSLA has been upderperfing the market, but is now showing some signs of potential life since Elon musks pay package was approved.
A bullish breakout pattern is on watch.
NASDAQ:INTC looks ready for a bullish move. Just like NASDAQ:ADBE & NASDAQ:TSLA popped on earnings, it looks like NASDAQ:INTC could be the next oversold S&P500 stock to bounce.
If we see any weakness in NASDAQ:NVDA we may see capital rotate into other cheaper semis.
S&P500 setting nee ATH.
Looking bullish soon for INTC?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Intel - Reversing to the upside!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Intel .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
On the chart of Intel there are actually two major horizontal structure levels which you have to keep an eye on. First of all there is quite strong support at the $26 level and just a couple of months ago Intel rejected this support towards the upside. Vice versa there is resistance at the $44 level, always pushing price lower. As we are speaking Intel is also retesting a minor support so there is the chance to capitalize on a short term bounce.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intel Stock: Quantum Leap in Technology, Potential Takeoff for IThesis: Intel's recent breakthrough in silicon spin qubits has the potential to revolutionize quantum computing. This advancement could lead to high-volume production of miniaturized quantum processors and interconnected processor networks, significantly boosting Intel's stock price.
Key Points:
* Intel achieved **99.9% gate fidelity** in silicon-based quantum processors, a significant milestone for scalable and fault-tolerant quantum computers.
* This breakthrough leverages Intel's expertise in CMOS manufacturing, enabling **mass production** of quantum processors on a single chip.
* Intel envisions a network of interconnected processors, creating a stable and powerful quantum computing platform.
* Democratization of quantum computing on silicon could benefit the entire industry and unlock new possibilities.
Investment Recommendation:
* **Long INTC** with entry at $32.80.
* Price targets range from $34.61 to $70, with potential for significant upside.
* Stop-loss recommendation at $24.63 for risk management.
Why This Matters to Traders:
* Intel's leadership in quantum computing positions them for major growth in a rapidly developing field.
* The potential applications of quantum computing are vast, impacting various industries and sectors.
* Early investment in Intel could provide substantial returns as quantum computing matures.
WSJ Reports Intel Set for $11 Billion Deal With ApolloIntel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is in advanced talks for a $11 billion deal with Apollo Global Management to build a facility in Ireland. The move comes as Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) plans to expand its presence across the United States with a $100-billion spending spree across four states to boost its manufacturing business and catch up with chipmaking rival TSMC. Intel and Apollo are in exclusive talks for the deal, which could be signed in the coming weeks.
Other investment firms including KKR and infrastructure investor Stonepeak were also in the running before Apollo recently pulled ahead. Intel forecasted second-quarter revenue and profit below market estimates last month due to weak demand for its traditional data center and personal computing chips. The company announced plans in 2022 to build chip factories in Ireland and France to benefit from easier European Commission funding rules and subsidies.
Technical Outlook
Intel Corp ( NASDAQ:INTC ) stock is up 3.58% trading below the 200, 100, and 50-day Moving Averages (MA) respectively. Despite the recent development, Intel Corp stock ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 32.62, poised for further growth.
Intel stock Dips as US Slaps Restrictions on Chip Sale to ChinaIntel Corp ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has revised its current-quarter revenue guidance after the US Department of Commerce revoked certain licenses for exporting certain items to a Chinese company. The move comes amid U.S. alarm at Huawei's ability to develop advanced chips, as demonstrated in the Mate 60 Pro smartphone released in August, despite sweeping export controls introduced in 2022. The revoked licenses are the latest tit-for-tat between Washington and Beijing over the sale of advanced semiconductors to China by U.S. firms. The Biden Administration has been putting limits on the sale of such chips, citing national security concerns, while last month, China reportedly told its telecom companies to phase out the use of foreign semiconductors.
Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) did not disclose who the Chinese company was, but the Financial Times reported that the Biden administration had revoked export licenses that allowed both the U.S. firm and domestic rival Qualcomm (QCOM) to supply chips to Chinese telecom-equipment maker Huawei. The move affects the supply of chips for Huawei’s laptop computers and mobile phones. The move comes amid U.S. alarm at Huawei’s ability to develop advanced chips, as shown in the Mate 60 Pro smartphone released in August, despite sweeping export controls introduced in 2022.
The revoked licenses are the latest tit-for-tat between Washington and Beijing over the sale of advanced semiconductors to China by U.S. firms. The Biden Administration has been putting limits on the sale of such chips, citing national security concerns, while last month, China reportedly told its telecom companies to phase out the use of foreign semiconductors. Intel shares were down 2.9% at $29.80 on Wednesday afternoon after the company said it expects revenue for the second quarter to remain in the range of $12.5 billion to $13.5 billion, but below the midpoint. Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) shares have lost nearly 38% so far this year.
INTC week chart - completes retracementINTC saw a decade long uptrend until competition from AMD and NVDA likes hit the Co. After forming a double top at 69+ it retraced at fibo .786 to a local low area of 24-25 where the stock consolidated and shaped a double bottom. It bounced off to fibo 0.618 level in 51-52 area and it's sliding again to 0.618 level of the last upward wave. Would consider a 34.8 as entry point with a 32 stop, it should be wave CD in abcd pattern, assuming fading momentum, other headwinds, CD won't last more than 1.272 of BC, hence 55.7 is a mid term target
Intel Plummets 13% in Almost Four Years After Tepid ForecastIntel Corp., ( NASDAQ:INTC ) the biggest maker of personal computer processors, Plummeted by over 13% the most in almost four years on Friday Market trading after giving a weak forecast for the current period, indicating that it’s still struggling to return to the top tier of the chip industry.
The Sales in the second quarter will be about $13 billion, the company said in a statement Thursday. That is an average analyst estimate of $13.6 billion.
Chief Executive Officer Pat Gelsinger signals a push to regenerate Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) back to its feets. Once the world’s dominant chipmaker, the company is lagging behind rivals such as Nvidia Corp. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. in revenue and technological know-how.
Business has been slower than for Intel Corp ( NASDAQ:INTC ) Chief Financial Officer Dave Zinsner said he expected an improvement later this year. Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) also wasn’t able to meet all the demand for processors used in new AI-enabled PCs because its packaging facilities weren’t able to produce enough components.
Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) shares fell as much as 13% in New York to $30.64, the biggest intraday decline since July 2020. The stock had already declined 30% this year through the close on Thursday, making it the second-worst performer on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index.
In the First quarter, the California-based company had a profit of 18 cents a share, excluding certain items, and revenue of $12.7 billion. Analysts had estimated a profit of 13 cents a share and sales of $12.7 billion.
The chipmaker is reporting earnings for the first time under a new business structure that shows the financial performance of its manufacturing operations. Gelsinger has said the approach is a necessary step to make operations more efficient and competitive. Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) also has been building up a foundry business, which manufactures components for outside companies on a contract basis.
This month, the company gave investors the first look at the financial state of its factory network. Spending on new plants has caused losses to widen, and Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) doesn’t expect the business to reach a break-even point for several years.
Intel Foundry, the new division responsible for manufacturing, had sales of $18.9 billion in 2023, down from $27.5 billion the previous year. The unit had revenue of $4.4 billion in the first quarter of 2024.
The foundry business had an operating loss of about $2.5 billion in the first quarter, wider than the losses posted in the preceding quarter and the one a year earlier.
The company’s PC-related chip sales were $7.5 billion, compared with an average estimate of $7.4 billion. Its data center and AI division had revenue of $3 billion, in line with Wall Street projections. Networking chips provided nearly $1.4 billion of sales, beating an average estimate of $1.3 billion.
Gross margin — or the percentage of sales remaining after deducting the cost of production — was 45.1% in the quarter. That closely watched measure, which reflects the efficiency of Intel’s manufacturing operations, will be 43.5% in the current period. Historically Intel has posted margins of more than 60%.
Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) remains optimistic about the second half of the year because it’s rolling out a new version of the Gaudi chip — its answer to the red-hot AI accelerators sold by Nvidia. That product line will bring in about $500 million in sales this year, once the latest version goes on sale, Intel projected.
Zinsner said "Intel Corp ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is also making progress at reining in costs and expects the manufacturing business to break even in the “next couple of years,”.
Gelsinger said the company has signed up another customer for a production technology called 18A, which Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) will introduce in 2025. That brings the total to six. The customer, which Intel didn’t identify, is in the aerospace-defense industry and wants production located in the US, Gelsinger said.
Technical Outlook
Intel Corp ( NASDAQ:INTC ) stock was down by 11% on Friday market trading below the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 23 indicating an oversold condition for the ticker.
Looking strongly bearish on INTC at close today. 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Intel's Gaudi 3 AI Chip Unveiled: A Race Against NvidiaIntel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has raised the stakes in the competitive arena of artificial intelligence (AI) chips by unveiling its latest innovation, the Gaudi 3. As chipmakers intensify their efforts to produce semiconductors capable of training and deploying complex AI models, Intel's Gaudi 3 emerges as a formidable contender, poised to challenge Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market. With promises of superior performance and energy efficiency, Intel aims to carve out a significant share in this rapidly evolving landscape, signaling a new chapter in the battle for AI supremacy.
Gaudi 3: A Leap Forward in AI Chip Technology:
Intel's Gaudi 3 chip represents a significant advancement in AI chip technology, boasting impressive power efficiency and enhanced performance capabilities. With claims of being over twice as power-efficient and one-and-a-half times faster than Nvidia's H100 GPU, the Gaudi 3 sets a new benchmark for AI processing efficiency. Designed to cater to a range of AI applications, from deployment training, the Gaudi 3 showcases Intel's commitment to innovation and technological excellence.
Rivalry with Nvidia:
The unveiling of the Gaudi 3 signals Intel's intent to challenge Nvidia's dominant position in the AI chip market. With Nvidia currently holding an estimated 80% market share, Intel's entry poses a significant threat to Nvidia's supremacy. Intel's competitive pricing strategy, coupled with its distinctive features such as the integrated network on chip, positions the Gaudi 3 as a compelling alternative to Nvidia's offerings.
Expanding Market Opportunities:
As the demand for AI chips continues to surge, fueled by the growth of cloud computing and AI-driven applications, Intel sees significant expansion opportunities. In particular, the data center AI market is expected to witness robust growth as cloud providers and businesses invest in AI infrastructure. With the Gaudi 3 poised to address the evolving needs of AI builders and developers, Intel aims to capitalize on these market trends and capture a larger share of the AI chip market.
Collaborative Ecosystem and Open Software Approach:
In its pursuit of market leadership, Intel is adopting a collaborative approach, partnering with industry giants such as Google, Qualcomm, and Arm to develop open software solutions for AI. By fostering an open ecosystem and providing software flexibility, Intel aims to empower customers with the freedom to choose their preferred chip providers, challenging Nvidia's proprietary software suite.
Conclusion:
Intel's unveiling of the Gaudi 3 AI chip marks a significant milestone in the company's quest to challenge Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market. With promises of superior performance, energy efficiency, and competitive pricing, the Gaudi 3 emerges as a potent contender in the race for AI supremacy. As Intel continues to innovate and expand its presence in the AI ecosystem, the competition between chipmakers intensifies, promising exciting developments and advancements in the field of artificial intelligence.
Note: Intel's Gaudi 3 chip is expected to be available to customers in the third quarter, heralding a new era of AI processing capabilities.
INTC potential buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price bounced from strong weekly support
- Price respected channel support
- Weekly and daily bullish candle closing
Entry Level (CMP): 43.28
Stop Loss Level: 39.56
Take Profit Level 1: 47
Take Profit Level 2: 50.72
Take Profit Level 3: Open
$INTC Ominous looking chart Head and shoulders formation
A break of the neckline could see a target all the way down to $32
Nothing goes in a straight line, so the expectation is that the neckline could be tested more than once before either breaking down, or even going up.
INTC Swing Long Conservative Trend Trade Conservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ expanding T2 level
+ support level
+ unvolumed 2Sp
+ volumed test
+ below first bullish bar closed level entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ unvolumed Sp"
Monthly Context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction"
Give me a way better price at afterhours.
I just need my 2 R and I'm out!
Intel's Foundry Stumbles: Can the Chip Giant Catch UpIn the high-stakes world of semiconductor manufacturing, Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) finds itself in a race against time to reclaim its dominance. However, recent revelations about the company's foundry business underscore the uphill battle it faces in catching up with its arch-rival, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC).
The latest blow came with Intel's admission of ballooning losses at its contract chip-making business, sending its shares tumbling by 5% before the bell on Wednesday. The numbers paint a grim picture: operating losses of $7 billion in 2023, a significant increase from $5.2 billion the previous year. This signals a widening chasm between Intel and TSMC, casting doubt on Intel's ability to bridge the profitability gap anytime soon.
Analysts, such as Stacy Rasgon from Bernstein, have expressed skepticism, suggesting that Intel could be facing several years of substantial headwinds. Despite Intel's aggressive capital investments – totaling $43.4 billion in "construction in progress" as of December 2023 – and plans to spend $100 billion on plants across the United States, doubts linger over whether these efforts will yield the desired results.
CEO Pat Gelsinger's reassurances about the foundry business's future profitability haven't assuaged concerns. Gelsinger predicts that operating losses will peak in 2024 before breaking even by around 2027, but with TSMC boasting a 53% gross margin compared to Intel's projected 40% by 2030, the gap remains substantial.
The contrast between the two giants becomes starker when examining revenue figures. TSMC's revenue in the final quarter of 2023 stood at a staggering $19.52 billion, dwarfing Intel's foundry unit's sales of $18.9 billion for the entire year. This vast difference underscores the magnitude of the challenge facing Intel.
One of the key factors behind Intel's struggles has been its past missteps. Gelsinger admits that decisions such as forgoing the use of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines from ASML have hindered the company's progress. Intel's belated switch to EUV tools reflects a recognition of the need to embrace cutting-edge technology to remain competitive.
As Intel grapples with these challenges, questions arise about its ability to execute its ambitious plans and regain its position as a dominant force in chip manufacturing. The company's fortunes are intertwined with the success of its foundry business, and failure to close the gap with TSMC could have far-reaching consequences.
In the fiercely competitive semiconductor landscape, where innovation and efficiency reign supreme, Intel finds itself at a critical juncture. The road ahead is fraught with challenges, but whether Intel can rise to the occasion and reclaim its former glory remains to be seen. As the industry watches with bated breath, the battle for semiconductor supremacy continues unabated.
Bitcoin / MSTR / ARM / SMH / INTC / IQGreat profits taken on a few trades today.
Bitcoin & crypto under pressure.
Semiconductors weak today.
TC members received 7 new trade alerts today.
1 Bonus stock pick at the end of the video.
