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Intel

Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow. Levels to watch: $20, $27 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
8
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto
Intel (INTC): Patience is key while the market is rangingNothing significant has changed on NASDAQ:INTC since our last analysis. It appears that Intel may have found a bottom at the 88.2% Fibonacci level, but the stock has remained in a range since then. Unless the resistance level above is reclaimed, we wouldn’t be surprised to see continued ranging behavior. Even Intel’s latest earnings report didn’t create much movement. Despite posting a considerable net loss due to impairment and restructuring charges, Intel projected fourth-quarter revenue above estimates. As one of the largest producers of PC chips, Intel has recently benefited from renewed demand for PCs, driven by on-device AI features and a fresh Windows update cycle. These factors allowed Intel to exceed Wall Street’s low expectations, but not enough to break the current range. We’ll continue to monitor NASDAQ:INTC , but as it stands, trying to long it into the overhead resistance doesn’t make sense from our perspective. Patience is often the best strategy in such uncertain market conditions.
NASDAQ:INTC
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD Team RED is READY As with any competitor, a quarterly earnings report from a peer can provide great insight into the market. For Advanced Micro Devices, the Q2'23 earnings report from Intel provides great views on the surging demand for AI chips and a rebound in PC demand crucial for AMD The most immediate signal from Intel beating Q2'23 estimates and guiding up for Q3 is the rebound in PC demand. Most importantly, the inventory correction appears over with OEMs no longer digesting chip inventory.Back in Q3'22, AMD shocked the market by cutting PC revenue estimates by $1 billion. The company quickly went from $2 billion in quarterly CPU sales for PCs to less than $1 billion. Intel still reported Q2 Client Computing revenue was down 12% YoY to $6.8 billion, but the number was up $1.0 billion sequentially. The chip giant guided up Q3 revenue to $13.4 billion, up $0.5 billion sequentially.In Q1'23, AMD reported that client revenues had fallen further to only $739 million. AMD CPU revenues are now far over $1 billion per quarter below the peak levels providing substantial upside potential when the PC market normalizes. Intel discussed a mixed picture for their business in the near term due to AI. The chip giant is seeing a wallet share shift from the sever CPU spend towards AI chips.The move is both good and bad for AMD. The company has the MI300 AI GPU chip hitting the market in Q4 providing a strong competitor to the booming demand for the H100 from Nvidia, but the chip isn't out on the market yet. In the near term, AMD may see some suppressed data center demand while heading into 2024. Ultimately, the company should see upside from AI demand for the MI300 along with the Alveo AI accelerator.On the Q2'23 earnings call, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger suggested the AI pipeline for 2024 had surged to $1 billion: In my formal remarks, we said we now have over $1 billion of pipeline, 6x in the last quarter. Going back a few months, Morgan Stanley had estimated the AI potential for AMD was only $400 million with upside potential to $1.2 billion. The Intel forecasts would suggest the AI potential for AMD is far higher next year when the MI300 is in full-scale production. Nvidia guided up current quarter sales estimates by 50% to over $11 billion. The company suggested data center sales would reach $7+ billion in the quarter. AMD has only seen data center sales reach $1.3 billion in quarterly sales leaving a huge gap from Nvidia. Even Intel still hit $4.0 billion in data center sales during Q2'23, though the amount is down nearly 20% form 2022 levels due in part to losing market share to AMD. The big issue for AMD is whether data center sales growth stalls causing a miss to 2H sales targets while booming AI demand ultimately boosts sales starting in Q1'24, or maybe Q4. The chip company peaked at quarterly sales of $6.6 billion back Q2'22 and the current quarterly analyst estimates aren't very aggressive. A rebound in PC demand to more normalized levels places AMD back at the Q4'23 revenue target of $6.5 billion alone. A PC rebound to normal digestion ($2 billion quarterly run rate) along with higher data center or AI demand leads to vastly higher revenues in 2024. The current analysts aren't even factoring in much growth in the Q2'24 revenue estimate of $6.76 billion. The amount is just 4% upside from Q2'22 despite potentially surging demand from AMD entering the AI GPU space. AMD is set to report earrings after the close on August 1. Investors should focus less on the Q2 numbers or even Q3 guidance and focus more on a return to more normalized revenue levels plus the upside from AI.Our view has long held that AMD has the earnings potential of $5 to $6 and the AI opportunity is all upside to this view. The key investor takeaway is that AMD is still $50 below all time highs while Nvidia has soared over $100 above the late 2021 highs. Investors should use the current weakness in AMD to load up on the stock while leaving some capital to buy any weakness following Q2 earnings due to the potential for near term disappointment leading to long term opportunities.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by moonypto
12
INTEL Breakdown! Bearish Move Smashes First TargetIntel has shown a significant bearish movement on the Risological swing trader after the short entry at 23.36, with the price quickly moving towards the first profit target. Key Levels Entry: 23.36 – The short trade was initiated as the price broke below this level, confirming bearish sentiment. Stop-Loss (SL): 23.59 – Positioned slightly above recent resistance to manage risk in case of a price reversal. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 23.07 – The first target, which has been hit, indicating the trade is progressing in the right direction. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22.60 – The second profit-taking level is also hit as the bearish momentum builds. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 22.14 – If selling pressure continues, this is the next target to watch for. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 21.85 – The ultimate profit target, signaling a significant downward move. Trend Analysis The price is moving downward sharply, breaking below the support of the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong bearish trend. The sharp drop shows significant selling pressure, which suggests further downside potential. With TP1 reached, the next targets at 22.60 and 22.14 are in focus as the bearish momentum continues. If the trend holds, there’s a strong possibility of achieving TP4 at 21.85. Intel’s sharp breakdown following the short entry at 23.36 has resulted in hitting the first profit target at 23.07. With strong bearish momentum and the price moving below the Risological Dotted trendline, further downside targets are likely to be achieved if this trend continues.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by ProfitsNinja
1
Intel GAP fill then ATHLong term calls for about two years out on INTEL is a sure fire play. Leadership restructuring, AI chips, and a company with too much to lose. Intel is still the number one choice for any windows pc. It did not deserve to go down, easiest play in history, and is not going to dip under MA180, if it gets near the MA180 I would load up on a position surely or average down. Its climbing slowly and I doubt the company would get sold, if it did I can only see it becoming more bullish. Feel free to voice your opinions in comment section bellow. Thanks Ben
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by benarcotta
LUNR IM-2 Launch upcoming in January 2025The privately held Intuitive Machines, LLC, became a public company after merging with a special-purpose acquisition company, Inflection Point Acquisition Corp., in February 2023. The company is listed on the Nasdaq, incorporated in Delaware. On February 22, 2024, the Odysseus IM-1 spacecraft landed on the Moon. It was the first privately built craft to land on the Moon, and the first American spacecraft to do so since 1972. The Odysseus lander fell on its side when landing, but its instruments remained partially functional (albeit with a reduced downlink capacity), so the mission was judged successful. ( WIKIPEDIA ) This company is picking up momentum and creating higher support while enjoying increased volume for the past three months. It looks like this stock seems to climb during the period when they have a space mission or achieve a new contract. Recently they achieved a Contract worth 4.8 Billion Dollars USD with NASA which is a serious contract and not something to be taken lightly. This contract opens up additional revenue opportunities with other companies. Intuitive Machines is increasing REVENUE YOY at a compounding rate, and has seasoned experienced executives in almost every position of leadership. The company is very motivated and explanatory with their products, and you can access user manuals on their technology. It looks like a very legit company that plans on being around for the next space age and further. They have technology in space communications that could possibly be adapted for satellites that transmit signals to earth as various companies are switching to satellites for cellular tech. Inutitive machines market cap is roughly ‪915.29 Million ‬USD. Their contract is worth 4.8 billion dollars. www.reuters.com Following the launch of IM-1, Intuitive Machines' stock surged 35% in one trading day, rising 75% total by Friday, February 16. Intuitive Machines’ stock sank 32% after the Odysseus moon lander fell on its side on 23 February 2024. This stock is a great buy for stability while also offering potential for break outs to scalp shares and sell to play short term trends, while going up in the long term. The stock offers consistent news and they are very motivated to become a Space power house for the USA.
NASDAQ:LUNRLong
by benarcotta
Intel - Back To A Bullish Market!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly rejected a major previous support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After being cut in half multiple times over the past couple of months, Intel finally managed to reverse at a strong previous support level. However market structure is still clearly not bullish and Intel has to break above the next resistance to start creating a new overall uptrend. Levels to watch: $26, $20 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
8
Intel's $3.5 Billion Deal: A New Dawn for the Chip Giant?Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) made headlines with its stock climbing 1.22% in premarket trading on Monday, buoyed by reports of a potential $3.5 billion federal grant to manufacture advanced semiconductors for the U.S. Department of Defense. This deal, part of the Pentagon's "Secure Enclave" initiative, could mark a major turning point for Intel as it looks to reclaim its dominance in the global semiconductor space, a market increasingly vital to both civilian and military applications. Rebuilding with Secure Enclave The $3.5 billion federal grant Intel is expected to secure is part of the U.S. government's efforts to reduce reliance on foreign semiconductor manufacturers. Intel has emerged as the front-runner for the Secure Enclave program, which focuses on developing chips for military and intelligence use. While foreign competitors like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung are also constructing U.S.-based plants with the help of the Chips and Science Act, Intel stands out due to its status as an American company with deep ties to national security interests. The funding will help Intel build and expand its production facilities across multiple states, including Arizona, Ohio, New Mexico, and Oregon, reinforcing its position as a key player in the domestic chipmaking industry. This comes at a time when the U.S. government is laser-focused on revitalizing semiconductor manufacturing and reducing reliance on Asian suppliers, especially in light of recent global supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions. Intel is also set to benefit from a separate potential $8.5 billion in grants and $11 billion in loans under the Chips Act, further bolstering its financial position. However, the disbursement of these funds is yet to commence, and the current Secure Enclave grant offers a more immediate lifeline. Intel’s broader manufacturing strategy, however, has not been without its challenges. A disappointing earnings report last month raised questions about CEO Pat Gelsinger’s global investment plans, forcing Intel to reconsider its priorities. Delays or cancellations in overseas projects may ensue, but U.S. facilities, especially those in Arizona and Ohio, are expected to proceed without disruptions. Signs of a Reversal From a technical standpoint, Intel's stock has been trading within a falling trend channel for a prolonged period. However, recent price movements suggest that a reversal could be on the horizon. As of Friday’s close, NASDAQ:INTC ended the session up 1.55%, breaking out from the ceiling of a bullish horizontal trend chart pattern. This breakout, combined with Monday's premarket rise, signals growing optimism surrounding Intel's prospects. The relative strength index (RSI) of 29.51 is another encouraging sign. A low RSI typically indicates that a stock is oversold and could be primed for a rebound. With Intel's RSI not yet entering overbought territory, there is ample room for upward momentum, especially given the positive news cycle around its government contracts and U.S. manufacturing ambitions. Key support levels for Intel lie around the $30 mark, a crucial pivot point in its long-term price action. Should the stock sustain its current uptrend, a move past $35 could set the stage for further gains. Conversely, if selling pressure resumes, the stock could revisit its recent lows, but the Secure Enclave deal may serve as a buffer against significant downside risks. The Road Ahead While Intel’s immediate future looks promising, the road ahead is not without its risks. The company still relies on Taiwan Semiconductor for some of its most advanced chips, a fact that underscores the limitations of its current manufacturing capabilities. Furthermore, Intel's ability to successfully deliver on the Pentagon’s demands will depend on its ability to innovate and scale production, areas where it has struggled in recent years. That said, Intel’s growing relationship with the U.S. government, bolstered by the Secure Enclave initiative and the Chips Act funding, positions the company well for future growth. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, with national security and technological leadership at the forefront, Intel has a unique opportunity to redefine its role on the global stage. Conclusion Intel’s $3.5 billion deal with the U.S. Department of Defense signals renewed confidence in the chipmaker's ability to contribute to critical industries. This deal represents a key milestone in Intel’s broader efforts to revitalize its manufacturing capabilities, while the technical outlook hints at a potential reversal in its stock price. With favorable government backing and promising technical indicators, Intel may be on the cusp of breaking out of its prolonged downtrend, offering investors renewed hope for future growth. However, the company’s reliance on external partners and the global competitive landscape remain key factors to watch.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DEXWireNews
9
INTC | Bottoming Process is Progress | BounceIntel Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies. It delivers computer, networking, data storage, and communications platforms. The firm operates through the following segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), Network and Edge (NEX), Mobileye, Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics (AXG), Intel Foundry Services (IFS), and All Other. The CCG segment consists of platforms designed for notebooks, 2-in-1 systems, desktops, tablets, phones, wireless and wired connectivity products, and mobile communication components. The DCAI segment delivers solutions to cloud service providers and enterprise customers, along with silicon devices for communications service providers and high-performance computing customers. The NEX segment offers computing system solutions from inflexible fixed-function hardware to general-purpose compute, acceleration, and networking devices running cloud native software on programmable hardware. The Mobileye segment develops driving assistance and self-driving solutions. The AXG segment provides products and technologies designed to help customers solve the toughest computational problems. Its products include CPUs for high-performance computing and GPUs targeted for a range of workloads and platforms, from gaming and content creation on client devices to delivering media and gaming in the cloud, and the most demanding high-performance computing and AI workloads on supercomputers. The IFS segment refers to full stack solutions created from the foundry industry ecosystem. The All Other segment represents results from other non-reportable segments and corporate-related charges. The company was founded by Robert Norton Noyce and Gordon Earle Moore on July 18, 1968, and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DivergenceSeeker
Intel Corporation ($INTC) - Potential Squeeze After Rate CutIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is setting up for an exciting squeeze potential following an anticipated rate cut. Here's why the technical landscape could be shaping up for a big move: Fibonacci Support Holding Strong The stock is currently holding well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a critical area of support. Historically, holding this level is a strong indicator that a reversal could be imminent. A rate cut would provide a fundamental catalyst to accelerate a recovery from this level, as lower borrowing costs typically improve market sentiment, especially for large-cap tech stocks like Intel. Worst-Case Scenario: Testing $13–$14 Support While we are optimistic about the current setup, the worst-case scenario to watch for is a potential retest of the $13–$14 range. This level marks a significant historical support zone and, if touched, could provide a final flush-out of weak hands before the stock rebounds. Should this happen, it would likely signal a capitulation event, paving the way for long-term bulls to step back in at attractive prices. Squeeze Potential and Rebound Targets If Intel holds its current Fibonacci support, we could be setting up for a short squeeze driven by fresh liquidity entering the market post-rate cut. With technical and fundamental catalysts aligning, the stock has potential to rally toward the $40+ level over the medium term. This would mark a massive rebound, and a retest of previous highs would not be out of the question. Key Levels to Watch Immediate Support: 0.786 Fib level Worst-Case Support: $13–$14 Upside Target: $40+
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by MindPoison