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Intel

INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION? (1/9) Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎 (2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago • GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges • Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch! (3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS • Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence • Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024 • Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️ (4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES • 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸 • Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx • Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish (5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON • Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples • P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!) • Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬 (6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP? • Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔 • But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays… • The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles (7/9) – KEY RISKS • Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻 • Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026) • Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧 • Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds (8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Established brand, PC/server CPU leader Foundry expansion, AI PC push Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency Weaknesses: Market share losses, negative FCF Delays in product launches, high CapEx Complex design + manufacturing model Opportunities: AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups Government support (CHIPS Act) Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds Threats: Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA ) Regulatory & trade risks (China) Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind (9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship? 1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable! 2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack 3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DCAChampion
Intel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three DaysIntel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three Days According to Intel Corporation’s (INTC) stock chart: → The price has reached its highest level in 2025. → Shares have surged approximately 17% in just three days—the biggest three-day gain since April 2001, when Intel rose by 24.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data. MarketWatch attributes the bullish sentiment to several key factors: → US Vice President J.D. Vance voiced support for domestic semiconductor production, stating, “To maintain America’s edge, the Trump administration will ensure the most powerful AI systems are developed in the US using American-designed and manufactured chips.” → Unlike many of its competitors, Intel both designs and manufactures its chips. Optimism may stem from hopes that government backing for the US semiconductor sector will benefit the company. → Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis noted that Intel appears to be strengthening its position in the CPU market, driven by demand for its Emerald Rapids product. → Speculation surrounding potential discussions on a partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's largest chipmaker. Technical Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock The $19 level has proven to be a strong support, as every attempt to push the price below this mark has failed. Price fluctuations for INTC outline an ascending channel (marked in blue). While strong demand could drive the stock toward the channel median, the upper red trendline of the broader downtrend may act as resistance—raising the likelihood of a correction following the 17% surge. Intel (INTC) Stock Forecast Despite Intel’s stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings, analysts remain cautious. According to TipRanks: → Only 1 out of 32 surveyed analysts currently recommends buying INTC stock. → The 12-month average price target for INTC is $22. However, if the broader news flow continues to fuel optimism, more analysts may revise their Intel stock forecasts upward. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:INTC
by FXOpen
1
The Giant's Rebirth: Long-Term Prospects for INTCIn times when the market seems on the verge of falling, opportunities arise that only the most astute investors are able to recognize. We are now witnessing one of those rare moments with INTC. The events of the last few days, in which the CEO was forced to resign or be fired, mark not just a corporate reshuffle, but perhaps a historic turning point. History teaches us that such significant leadership changes are often harbingers of recovery and growth. Watching the price-to-sales drop to levels we've only seen in the darkest times of the past indicates that we may have hit bottom. This is not just a signal, it is a once-in-a-decade chance. INTC now offers us a unique opportunity for long-term investing with minimal risk. We are not talking about short speculation; this is an investment in the future of a company that is on the cusp of new growth. If we look at the patterns of past recoveries, we see that such situations often precede multi-year upturns. Looking at all aspects, I would rate this opportunity as having a tremendous probability of success. We are facing potential huge long-term profits. This is not just an investment; it is a bet on the revitalization of a company that is now at the bottom of its cycle, but with tremendous upside potential. This may be one of those rare occasions when we can buy at the very beginning of a recovery, when all market fears turn into strategic advantages for those willing to look beyond the current news. Horban Brothers, Alex Kostenich
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by horbanbrothers
4
Can Intel Redefine the Future of Tech?Intel is at the heart of a technological renaissance, pushing boundaries across multiple fronts in the tech industry. From pioneering neuromorphic AI chips that mimic human brain functions for energy-efficient computing in everyday devices to quantum computing advancements with its Tunnel Falls silicon quantum chip, Intel is not just following trends but setting them. Introducing the Spiking Neural Processor T1 could revolutionize how smart devices process data, significantly enhancing battery life and reducing reliance on cloud computing. In the quantum realm, Intel's release of a 12-qubit silicon chip to the research community marks a significant step towards practical quantum computing. This initiative fosters academic exploration and positions Intel as a leader in developing scalable quantum technologies. The potential here is vast, promising breakthroughs in computation that could challenge our current understanding of what's possible in data processing and security. Moreover, Intel's strategic maneuvers in the chip manufacturing sector are particularly intriguing. With rumors of Apple potentially shifting its iPhone chip production to Intel, and government initiatives encouraging domestic production, Intel stands at a crossroads of innovation and geopolitics. This could lead to a reshaping of global supply chains, fostering technological and strategic advancements in national interests. The question now is not just whether Intel can redefine the future of tech, but how its multifaceted approach will inspire a new era of computing, where efficiency, sustainability, and strategic autonomy are paramount. Intel's journey is a narrative of challenge and change, urging us to reconsider the limits of technology and the shape of our digital future.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by UDIS_View
3
Intel - This Support Has To Hold!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is retesting cucial support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After dropping an incredible -60% over the past couple of months, we are finally seeing some stabilization at the current support on Intel. It is also quite likely, that we will see another short covering rally, which would perfectly line up with a rejection away from the support area. Levels to watch: $20, $26 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
7
Intel: Ten Years of Falling... Wedge!Overview: Intel has been on a prolonged downtrend since its highs of $69 a share between 2019 and 2021. However, recent price action suggests a bullish opportunity is brewing. The stock appears to have formed a Falling Wedge pattern at the monthly timeframe, a historically bullish reversal indicator. As of now, INTC is hovering around the $20 price range, a level that has acted as strong support for over 25 years. A further price decline is unlikely, and a bounce from the $20 level is expected in early to mid-2025, with prices likely to challenge the upper boundary of the Falling Wedge. Observations: 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: The price action is tightly consolidating within a wedge, with lower highs and lower lows, but approaching the apex. 2. Long-Term Support at $20: INTC has tested and held this support level several times over the past 25 years, reinforcing its reliability as a strong demand zone. 3. Oversold Momentum: Technical indicators like RSI on the monthly chart are showing oversold conditions, aligning with the possibility of a reversal. INTC is expected to continue flirting with the Falling Wedge's upper boundary and will likely exit for a bullish reversal in 2027, completing its ten-year-long Falling .
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Whisperwave
Intel - New CEO equals bright future?Hi friends, we would be taking a look into Intel, after the recent news that the old CEO has "been retired". Currently on a fundamental level should bring fresh blood to the company, so it can grow accordingly, many of the board members have put on blame on the previous CEO which made the company lag behind it's compettitor. Currently I believe Intel is extremely over-sold as to where is their price,and they need a good upgrade into their product, which by the way is a strong compettetive product in this field of business. Technical point of view, as stated stock is oversold, we can see that the RSI is trying to formulate a strong Ascending Channel, and we have two very key gaps that need to be covered so we can get back on track and start targeting the 40$ area. Entry on market open- 20.78$ - I am entering with 2400 shares Target 1: 26.43 Target 2: 31.42 Target 3: 35.52 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DG55Capital
3
$INTC GGWP Bankruptcy is coming. SHORTIntel Announces Retirement of CEO Pat Gelsinger on December 2nd 2024. Thy have launched many faulty processors, instead of fixing their fkup they started to flee. Short it to 0. I sadly have bought one of these laptops with new gen intel CPU. AND IT DOES FEEL LIKE A FAULTY ONE. If I buy/long any of it is at 8-12$ just to play a round of "Casino Roulette". High risk low reward. Of course if they announce something positive this might change but I hardly doubt it.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by Achilly
4
Will America's Tech Sovereignty Rise or Fall on a Silicon Chip?In the high-stakes chess game of global technological supremacy, Intel emerges as America's potential knight—a critical piece poised to reshape the semiconductor landscape. The battleground is not just silicon and circuits, but national security, economic resilience, and the future of technological innovation. As geopolitical tensions simmer and supply chain vulnerabilities become increasingly apparent, Intel stands at the crossroads of a transformative strategy that could determine whether the United States maintains its technological edge or surrenders ground to international competitors. The CHIPS and Science Act represents more than a financial investment; it is a bold declaration of technological independence. With billions of dollars earmarked to support domestic semiconductor production, the United States is making an unprecedented bet on Intel's ability to leapfrog current manufacturing limitations. The company's ambitious 18A process, slated for 2025, symbolizes more than a technological milestone—it represents a potential renaissance of American technological leadership, challenging the current dominance of Asian semiconductor manufacturers and positioning the United States as a critical player in the global tech ecosystem. Behind this narrative lies a profound challenge: can Intel transform from a traditional chip manufacturer into a strategic national asset? The potential partnership discussions with tech giants like Apple and Nvidia, and the looming geopolitical risks of over-reliance on foreign chip production, underscore a moment of critical transformation. Intel is no longer just a technology company—it has become a potential linchpin in America's strategy to maintain technological sovereignty, with the power to redefine global semiconductor production and secure the nation's strategic technological infrastructure.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by signalmastermind
2
Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow. Levels to watch: $20, $27 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
8
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto