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American Superconductor - Floating Crystals, Floating CandlesThe new rage on financial social media is that a new room temperature superconductor has been discovered, and appears to be replicable in labs. This is significant because superconductors normally have to be either really hot or really cold during their operations. So, AMSC has Superconductor in its name and is naturally pumping, and has been since May. The biggest pump was August 1 at 60%, spurred on my a lot of social media chatter, especially in Korean and Chinese. Greed in the markets is already at extremes, people are convinced new all time highs on indexes are as good as in the bank, and it's very dangerous. Moreover, you're dealing with hidden geopolitical risks from a Chinese Communist Party being on the edge of collapse that's guilty of the 24-year-long persecution and organ harvesting genocide of Falun Dafa meditation's 100 million practitioners. And people want to long the top on stuff that's already up 400%+. The world truly is an asylum. And look at the monthly bar this has produced with people longing a daily range between $14 and $17. The weekly candle looks more sane, because at least we're on Tuesday, but it still shows that this swing may have already topped. So, here's the thing about the fundamentals of this kind of trade: 1. The Superconductor discovery right now is a piece of lead apatite crystal that is capable of majority levitation and diamagnetism when placed on a magnetic plate. 2. The crystal has been made by students in a lab using a paper from Korea. 3. It looks like a little piece of graphite/charcoal. Unless you put it on a magnetic plate, it doesn't even float. 4. Let's say the crystal is truly revolutionary, how many years away from it making its way into a sellable product are you? 5. Why would you think American Superconductor Corporation is going to be the one who licenses something disruptive? 6. Wouldn't TSM, Intel, or AMD, or some Elon Musk/Peter Thiel/Sam Altman-type venture be the ones to steal it? 7. The stock has already quadrupled in price 8. At Tuesday's close, the market cap is $488 billion 9. Look at their earnings results: they bring in $25 million in revenue quarterly 10. Next ER is August 9 post-market. Can you maintain a $500 million market cap when they report $20 million in revenue and the CEO tells investors and banks on the conference call that they aren't going to be able to profit from the discovery? In essence, you're kind of dealing with a real corporation that's being subjected to something of a Bed Bath and Beyond-style pump and dump. And this is at a time when greed in the markets is already extreme. People are longing the top on things like Palantir and SOFI without second thought and gettin' paid daily. Yet the United States credit rating was downgraded today after the Treasury said it wanted to issue another $1.8 trillion worth of debt, and now the Nasdaq and the SPX are gap down on Wednesday futures open. I discuss this here: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg I actually think there's a long trade on ASMC over $20 before the hypenstein is over. But if you don't see it manifest at market open Wednesday and prices lower than $13.31 are traded as the indexes drive a lot of things down, you're probably going back to $10 first, which is just horrific for top longers. Take a look at the five minute chart. Tuesday market close was either a big buy or 45 minutes before market close was a big short. You have to decide for yourself. But sell the news, man, is really a piece of wisdom. After all, implied volatility is so high that an August 18 at the money call is $4.10, on a $16 stock. That's a lot of premium and the options sellers just absolutely love your exit liquidity.
NASDAQ:AMSC
by LordWrymouth
$INTC Double Top Test After EarningsNASDAQ:INTC Double Top Test After Earnings, Intel reported earnings on July 27, 2023. The company beat analyst expectations for earnings per share, but revenue came in below expectations. Intel also lowered its guidance for the third quarter of 2023. A double top is a technical chart pattern that often points to the possibility of a downtrend reversal from an uptrend. It is formed when the price of a security reaches a high point twice, but fails to break through the previous high. The double top pattern is considered a bearish reversal pattern because it suggests that the bulls have lost momentum and that the bears are gaining control.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by AlgoTradeAlert
✅ Daily Market Analysis - FRIDAY JULY 28, 2023Key News: Japan - BoJ Press Conference USA - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jun) USA - Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jun) The Dow Jones Industrial Average is on the verge of breaking its longest winning streak in 36 years, fueled by Wall Street's tech-driven rally. The index achieved an impressive 13 consecutive sessions of closing higher until a slight 0.5% decline on Thursday afternoon, following earlier gains. Despite the dip, the rally's expansion across various sectors promises exciting prospects for investors. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index daily chart While investment professionals may lean towards the S&P 500 due to its broader representation of the market with over 500 stocks, the Dow Jones remains a prominent fixture in news media and enjoys widespread recognition among many Americans. The recent impressive surge in the Dow Jones is closely linked to traders' prevailing belief that the US Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday signifies the conclusion of its efforts to combat inflation. This move has instilled confidence in investors, who are now optimistic about the US economy's resilience and its potential to steer clear of a recession. S&P 500 daily chart According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, the Dow Jones' longest winning streak on record dates back to 1897, lasting an impressive 14 sessions. In spite of its recent gains, the Dow Jones has not performed as strongly as other major indices on Wall Street in 2023. Year to date, it has risen by 7%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced more significant gains of 18% and 35%, respectively. During extended trading, Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) witnessed a substantial increase of 8.4% following its Q2 earnings report. The company exceeded expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13, outperforming analyst predictions of losses amounting to $0.04 per share. Furthermore, Intel reported a revenue of $12.9 billion for the quarter, surpassing the anticipated revenue of $12.09 billion. Intel Corporation stock daily chart Last night, the European Central Bank (ECB) made a noteworthy move by raising its main policy interest rates by 25 basis points, resulting in a deposit interest rate of 3.75%. The accompanying policy statement caught attention as it kept the possibility of further rate hikes open, but without adopting a more cautious stance. In response to the Federal Reserve's modest boost, the US markets received a slight uplift, while the European indices experienced significant gains this afternoon. The surprise came from ECB President Christine Lagarde's remarks, hinting that the rate hike campaign might conclude with a more dovish tone than initially anticipated. Consequently, the DAX, CAC, and other European indices surged, displaying robust bullish sentiment unaffected by strong US economic data. Although the FTSE's surge has slowed down this week, the overall market sentiment remains resolutely bullish. A few afternoon declines, primarily in Shell and Barclays shares, caused some drag, but the index still shows signs of further upside potential. Looking ahead, expectations point towards the Bank of England (BoE) following the lead of the Fed and ECB on rates. A dovish tone in the upcoming week should support UK stocks in reclaiming some lost ground. FTSE index daily chart During the early hours of Friday's Asian trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair is fluctuating within the range of 1.0980-1.0970. The pair is on a recovery path after experiencing a significant decline, marking its largest drop in 4.5 months during the previous day's trading. The current state of the Euro pair reflects the cautious sentiment prevailing in the market, as investors eagerly await the release of top-tier data from both Germany and the United States. The overall market sentiment appears subdued, reaching its lowest level in three weeks ahead of these crucial economic indicators. Investors are closely monitoring the data releases for potential insights into the economic outlook, contributing to the prevailing cautious atmosphere in the foreign exchange market. EUR/USD daily chart During the highly anticipated July policy review meeting, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) board members unanimously agreed to maintain their existing monetary policy settings without making any changes. This includes leaving interest rates at -10 basis points and keeping the 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield target at 0.00%. The market's response to the BoJ's policy announcements was immediate, and the USD/JPY pair experienced a notable upward movement, gaining significant momentum. At present, the pair is trading at 140.06, representing a notable 0.45% increase for the day. In the aftermath of the BoJ's decision, there was a swift knee-jerk reaction, propelling the pair to test 141.08 before eventually settling at its current trading level. The BoJ's decision has had a considerable impact on the foreign exchange market, influencing the dynamics of the USD/JPY pair and prompting investors to closely monitor further developments. USD/JPY daily chart As Friday's trading approaches, investors are eagerly awaiting the release of crucial data on the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index, a key indicator of inflation. This data will be closely monitored, as it can provide valuable insights into the current inflationary pressures in the economy. Additionally, market participants will be keenly interested in the Michigan consumer sentiment and expectations data. This data, reflecting consumer confidence and economic expectations, holds significant importance as it sheds light on consumer behavior and sentiment, which are crucial drivers of economic growth. On the earnings front, two major companies, Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE: XOM) and Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG), are scheduled to announce their quarterly results. These reports have the potential to significantly impact the stock prices of these companies and may also influence broader market sentiment. Investors will scrutinize these earnings reports to assess the financial health of these corporations and to gauge the overall health of their respective industries. As these critical data releases and earnings reports unfold on Friday, the financial markets are likely to experience heightened volatility and uncertainty. Investors are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant during this period, as the outcomes of these events can have substantial implications for investment decisions and market trends.
by FOREXN1
4
Intel: Go for it! 💪 Since the low of wave x in orange, Intel has already shown strong upwards movement and should soon conquer the resistance at $37.11, heading for the compound consisting of the turquoise zone between $41.59 and $43.13 and the orange zone between $42.32 and $43.63. There, the share should complete wave 4 in turquoise and return below $37.11 afterward. However, there is a 34% chance that Intel could shift southwards earlier already and drop below the support at $26.86, triggering further descent below $24.55. In that case, we would consider wave alt.4 to be finished by now.
NASDAQ:INTC
by MarketIntel
Intel ( Bullish!)I'm Bullish on Intel. Bollinger bands have tightened and volatility will be making it's way into the stock. This stock has been in a downtrend for almost 2 weeks now, as depicted by the trendline I've drawn. OBV has curved upwards and we have a total of 3 virgin points of control lingering above the current price. If we can break above $29.07, we should easily see $30.07. I don't want to look too far ahead, so that will be my price target for now. There's so many bearish predictions on this stock, i have no problem being the outlier. I am studying volume profile / Volume price analysis and i believe my conviction to be true. Stocks are controlled by institutions, not common investors. Always follow the big money. Trend-line break and $30.00 coming soon.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Wayt0Dark_
Intel Long-Term Long (or short if it goes belly-up)For those who like regression channels, here is a chart of Intel going back to 1973. The channel has a Pearson coefficient of over 0.9, suggesting pertinence of the indicator. There has been consolidation around the bottom of the channel, ending with a good bullish H-A candle. You will be able to see a triple bottom on the weekly chart followed by a break-out of the consolidation. I am undecided as to whether to get in now or to wait for a little extra push. An upward move to about 70 seems possible. Conversely, if price drops out of the channel below recent consolidation, look out below!
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Bazroshan
ASML: Dominating the industry 💾ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems). ASML's lithography systems use a process called photolithography to create intricate patterns on silicon wafers, which are then used to create integrated circuits, memory chips, and other semiconductor components. These patterns are created using a process of etching, deposition, and other techniques that require precise alignment and control. ASML's customers are primarily semiconductor manufacturers such as Intel, Samsung, TSMC, and GlobalFoundries. These companies use ASML's lithography systems to create the most advanced microchips on the market. ASML's customers are some of the largest and most influential players in the semiconductor industry, and they rely on ASML to provide them with cutting-edge technology that enables them to stay ahead of the competition. ASML's business model is based on a high degree of innovation and research and development. They invest heavily in R&D to continually improve their technology and maintain their market leadership. Additionally, they operate on a capital-intensive model, where the cost of producing their lithography systems is high but the revenue potential is also significant. Overall, ASML's business model is centered around developing and selling advanced lithography systems to the world's leading semiconductor manufacturers, which requires a high degree of technological innovation, R&D investment, and capital-intensive production processes. There are other companies that offer lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, such as Canon, Carl Zeiss, and Ultratech, but they do not directly compete with ASML in the advanced lithography segment of the market. These companies generally offer less advanced lithography systems that are used for less complex microchip manufacturing applications. ASML's main customers are some of the largest semiconductor manufacturers in the world. These companies use ASML's lithography systems to manufacture advanced semiconductor chips for a wide range of applications, including smartphones, computers, servers, and other electronic devices. Some of ASML's key customers include: - TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) - Samsung Electronics - Intel Corporation - SK Hynix - Micron Technology - GlobalFoundries - UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) - STMicroelectronics - Toshiba Memory Corporation - Nanya Technology With the underlying business performing so well over the years, its no surprise to see the stock has followed suit. Since 1996, ASML has returned +23.38% CAGR compared to +9.02% for SPY At this rate of return HKEX:10 ,000 invested in ASML back in 1996 would have grown to over HKEX:3 million! The strong market position and outlook for the business make me believe that the company will not be slowing down any time soon, and even at a valuation of 36x earnings I think this is a business trading at a fair value. I have added this to my portfolio which you can check out here ⬇️ www.etoro.com
NASDAQ:ASMLLong
by BenSparham
NVDIA - Expect Sideways Until Bear Puts Expire WorthlessEver since NVDIA went up after its February earnings call, it seems that social media traders have been afflicted with a fetish for trying to short it. There's all sorts of fundamental reasons, they say, such as NVIDIA is trading at blah blah times P/E, AI doesn't actually need chips beyond the initial machine learning phase, and of course the top reason that everything should be bearish: the Federal Reserve isn't pivoting! None of that matters. One of the biggest pieces of wisdom I can share with you is that fundamentals do not matter in the way that you're led to believe that they matter. If the markets really worked that way, then there would neither be bubbles nor would there be undervalued stocks. If everything algorithmically traded in line with what "it was truly worth" you would have no opportunity at all to make (lose) any money, would feel bored with the computer, and would go outside. The fundamentals to the market at large right now, including with the recent collapse of regional banks and Silicon Valley Bank, is that everything in this world is revolving around "relationships" that companies, people, organizations, and communities have established with Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party. This especially includes what happened during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 pandemic and the world's response to the disease. Too many people have, for the sake of the economic and recreational benefits that the Chinese Government has offered, imported the CCP's cultural revolution stuff back home. And yet, the CCP under the Jiang Zemin faction is guilty of almost 24 years of persecution against the 100 million practitioners of Falun Gong meditation, which involves the unprecedented crime of live organ harvesting as a form of torture (Kilgour-Matas Report). And the result is a lot of business and social practices have developed under the Party's method that amount to cancers festering in the world's body. If you want to get rid of a cancer, you have to not only cut it out, but get rid of the root cause and the behaviors and habits that give the disease the environment it needs to lump around. The thing about NVIDIA is that it has a story. Stories matter more than fundamentals in the short term. In the long term, fundamentals matter more than stories. This is because a small group of whales needs a pretext in order to bait in a large number of fish and a moderate amount of sharks to feed on, and this operation is a short to midterm play that revolves around the longer term fundamentals, which cannot be avoided. NVIDIA's story is that there's a cool Chinese guy with grey hair running the company wearing a leather jacket. He says that he can sell a lot of chips right now and quickly exceed the very worthless crypto mining boom because GPT4 and STABLE DIFFUSION and the AI REVOLUTION need GRAPHICS CARDS more than rich kids need $1,800 graphic cards to be addicted to video games instead of having jobs and girlfriends. Well, I'm a price action trader. I think the charts show the truth of the markets and their combined understanding and the candles reflect the operation in play. Zoom out, is what they always say: NVIDIA on the monthly, when it dumped in October, took out a long term low from 2021. Taking out a low all on its own doesn't mean much, but my friends, when a highcap takes out a big low AND THEN ALSO bounces 74% over the next three months, and instead of heading towards making new lows, goes ahead and makes a new high the next month, why are you shorting something that's going up? Look at this pattern on the weekly and ask yourself what you really find appealing about buying puts on this besides hearing all the rabble in signal groups and on social media yell about HOW OVERPRICED this stock is and how IT SHOULD GO TO ZERO. IT'S GOING TO ZERO. And even more so now with NVDIA closing at ~$270, this is the worst time to trade it. You've already missed the boat to go long, and going short has destroyed a lot of accounts. You're at the apex of an inflection point, and the scenarios on both sides are very simple: 1. If it's bearish, then the MM is short from the early '22 pivot parked under $300, and bears are about to get what they want. 2. But that pivot is right under the $300 psychological level where big short positions now have their stops 3. If NVDIA is truly bullish, it will take out that pivot, sweep $300 and then is likely to retrace 4. But for bears, it doesn't make sense to give them a way out and retrace like that. 5. Thus, the most annoying thing the MM can do is to park price in this $255-275 range for several weeks and kill everyone's put and call premiums while selling the contracts 6. This means no retrace. Instead, when everyone's lost all their money going short, and it doesn't dump and NVDIA does go over $300 in May or June, price doesn't look back and sets a new all time high 7. Bears bamboozled and in disbelief about how a tech stock can set a new ATH during FEDERAL RESERVE RATE HIKES If you want to make money in trading, you need to put risk management at the top of your priority list. What's really implied by this is that you stop gambling. The way you stop gambling is by changing your heart and your intentions in trading. You have to stop wanting to get rich. If you try to change your life with gambling then you will, as a result, ruin your life. Literally everyone knows this and yet people still try to make their lives "happy" through gambling. What you're trying to so is solidly and systematically increase your account on a compounding basis. To do this, you need winning trades and not losing trades. To do this, this means you need less trades, because let's be honest, most of your trades are losers. In order to achieve all of the above, you need to quit listening to influencers and Discord and Telegram signal groups, delete the Marxist social influencing website Reddit, and start thinking for yourself. You have to understand that a lot of these people do not trade themselves. They make their money grifting you for subscriptions and from behind the scenes for pushing certain things on their followers. You think from looking at how they talk and how they act and what they say that they're making a lot of money and are very successful, but almost all of them are either total frauds or losing traders. Stop looking up to "heroes." There are no heroes. There's just you and your life, and you're in a very harsh and adversarial environment where the moral standard is very low and the people around you have very, very poor values. You need to make sure that your moral standard is high and that you have values and ideals that you can stand in front of your grandchildren with and hold your head high. Also, genuine winning traders are both few and far between, and generally do not carry a high profile. People who have survived in the markets for a while also understand both how easy it is and how painful it is to lose money. They understand how hard money is to get it back once it's been lost. And thus, they aren't out there cowboying around. You shouldn't listen to what I tell you either, because you need to think for yourself. If you don't get sober and rational now, then when this world really changes as the Chinese Communist Party falls, a day which is extremely, extremely close, you won't have a chance to make it through the tribulation, because the requirement to pass through is that you have clean hands, a clean heart, and have chosen a bright future for yourself.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by LordWrymouth
4
Intel Corporation - Buy the Raid, Ride the WaveSemiconductors were supposed to be the "21st century oil," but they aren't. Whoever believed that was really not rational. Because oil is for heating stuff, making plastic, and fueling vehicles, while computers are just computers are just computers are just computers. Intel has not been bullish, only trading within a $6 range since October. A lot of other tech/Nasdaq stuff has been a lot more interesting to trade, but I personally like these companies that are in the low double digits and usually don't do insane things in one day, because the premium and spread for the options market is usually much more sane, and risk management is really the most important thing. Plus, once these kinds of equities go, they tend to surprise well and are a lot better than gambling on if you can catch the latest 10% day on Tesla (you won't. Mastodon's socialists told you ELON MUSK BAD). Anyways, I am expecting that markets at large will bear trap in and around the beginning of February and FOMC. The next FOMC is 6 weeks away in the third week of March, which gives a lot of time to head fake and take traders in the direction they like seeing the least right now (up). Thus, based on Intel's price action post-earnings after missing EPS estimates by 50% and yet only dumping $1.50, that the market makers' intention is to gun the October low. I believe you can buy $23.50-$25 in anticipation of a marketwide pump that will ultimately prove to be an exit pump designed to unload bags, fill banks' "big short" strategy, and totally destroy the existing short sellers in the market, heading into roughly May and July of this year. Intel's long term price action is prime for this, as we have a large volume gap spanning 7 years in the $42 to $37 range, most evident on the monthly. You may not see another run below the $24.87 low, since it was taken months ago. But since Intel has yet to bounce, but has also proven to not actually be very bearish, a raid below the lows seems more likely than not. The problem from a risk perspective is that a raid may not really be a raid. Intel can just be on its way to $0, but at the same time, the company really is the biggest processor manufacture for all the computers normal people use, and is "only" market capped at present at $116 billion. Rival Taiwan Semiconductor TSM has a similar breadth pattern, but never took a previous low, and has bounced vigorously into a volume gap of its own from 2021. Right now, the world is not okay. The pandemic situation in China with Wuhan Pneumonia is countless times more dire than mainstream media and social media are leading you to believe. It's really serious, as many individuals, corporations, and governments are tightly wed to China. But unfortunately, many of those weddings weren't with "China" but the heinous and unforgivable "Chinese Communist Party." The situation in this world can change overnight and all long trades have significant risk of total liquidation, no matter the appearance. Make sure you take good care of yourselves and your families. Remember, money is a thing that you can't take with you.
NASDAQ:INTC
by LordWrymouth
2