Intel
Intel, a falling knife and undervaluedI’m developing an app using Tradingview data for my stock picking and fundamental analysis.
I get financial data from Tradingview into excel file, producing aggregated statistics and fair value calculation basing on estimate of future earnings and discounted free cash flow.
Actual price is near $30 but my estimate of fair value is over $50.
All statistics are ok to me but stock is currently a falling knife and I will wait an accumulation before buying my first position. Next target volume clusters and possible accumulation at $27, $24 and $22.
INTC in trouble!Intel Corporation
Short Term
We look to Sell at 35.22 (stop at 36.86)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. The medium term bias remains bearish. Price action has been negative with losses breaking below our previous support level and we expect a further drive lower to follow. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
Our profit targets will be 31.92 and 30.18
Resistance: 35.00 / 40.20 / 43.80
Support: 33.73 / 32.50 / 29.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
INTEL Corp. $INTC - Buy @ ~ $35/$36INTEL Corp. $INTC - Buy @ ~ $35
I'm always on the Buy Side of the S&P500 Stocks.
I believe $INTC price is fairly good to buy it now for a long term investment.
My analysis is based on the trend lines (SMA 20 & 50) and Support & Resistance on the Daily time frame.
Target Prices are respectively as follow $40, $42, $45 & $56 and you can aim higher ($70) since the entry price is fairly too low.
NASDAQ:INTC
INTC. intel. might be ok to start leaning in.I haven't thought about my trading view account in a while, but recently been thinking about the chip deal that congress passed and seems like Intel is at a relative low with some support from way back. Might be a good price to pick up a few shares if you are willing to hold for a year or two. Whenever that chip money kicks in Intel is sure to be a recipient.
Looking at AMD and NVDA as well. Intel seems like it's the relative lowest of the group to me.
Other ideas or input welcome.
Intel bullish hammer? Intel Corporation
Short Term
We look to Buy at 35.87 (stop at 34.61)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart. Further upside is expected and we look to set longs in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 39.04 and 40.60
Resistance: 39.05 / 40.75 / 43.80
Support: 35.50 / 32.50 / 29.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
INTC: Impressive Intel?Intel Corporation - Short Term - We look to Buy at 39.20 (stop at 37.58)
Short term indicators are moving higher. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A break of bespoke resistance at 39.21, and the move higher is already underway. Further upside is expected and we look to set longs in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 44.80 and 50.00
Resistance: 42.66 / 44.93 / 48.52
Support: 39.21 / 36.29 / 35.54
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Intel - where to next?Thanks for viewing.
I was attracted to Intel after seeing its low PE ratio, very good dividend coverage ratio (it only pays out 27% of its free cash flow in dividends so its profit could halve without having any effect on dividends), high profit margins. I haven't delved too deep, all I did was a wee EW 'buy-zone' based on a 1:1 wave (C) extension. Wave (C) always has 5 waves, so I set a tiny sliver of a buy zone between two coincident levels and went looking to see if that matched up with any fundamental factors. It did actually match up well with the low-side consensus estimates of $40 from 36 analysts (the low side was $40 and the high side was $100 - which seems to suggest greater upside); money.cnn.com $40 wouldn't be that far below the 200 week SMA which has only briefly been exceeded in the past 10 years.
A tech Company with a forward PE ratio of 11? I definitely want to know more. Yes, it has some problems - it wouldn't be a bargain if it didn't. But it invests twice as much on R&D as AMD and Nvidia combined, so while 'throwing money at a problem' isn't the most elegant of solutions, they will probably get there in the end. They are valued far far below their smaller competitors who have much less scale and far tighter margins. They are in the process of shifting away from lower growth segments to higher growth (AI, cloud computing, data centres, IOT), so its not all going to be smooth. There is a degree of uncertainty about its future product execution and the market isn't pricing in much good news. So, it has started to become attractive from a contrarian standpoint. I really think a few of the sellers last week will regret that decision if they don't take a position on the dip.
This seems to be a good "buy and forget" stock if you think we will need more and not less computing power in the future.
Yes my buy-zone is really narrow - so the chances of calling the bottom are quite small - but hey - sometimes you have to hang it out there in the breeze. That is where I will step in as a long-term buy and hold investor with a 3+ year time horizon. I will start to take profit after $80 - fingers crossed :P
Anyway, that's me, good luck everyone.
Intel $26 and 5 nm in 13th gen and $100 in 2027Despite the release of the GPU from Intel, the company's shares are getting cheaper.
I think this may be due to the unfulfilled expectations of the fans. They wanted Intel to switch to the same processes as AMD - 7 nanometers or 6 and 5 nanometers like Apple for example. But instead, Intel has gone as low as 10 nanometers and is deliberately misleading by disguising this as "Intel7" in their processor specs.
But the company has some good news as well, for example they have made support for high frequency 120Hz at 5120 x 3200, 144Hz at 4096 x 2160 and 60Hz at 7680 x 4320 for embedded GPUs in the 12th generation of desktop and mobile processors. They also added support for DDR5 RAM with frequencies of 5200 and higher, which will have a very good effect on performance gains, since the bottleneck at the moment is the low frequency of RAM, the GPU uses it as video memory, since it does not have its own. They also added support for PCI 4.0. I believe that the future belongs to integrated graphics. Now they already allow you to comfortably do without discrete graphics for surfing the Internet, watching YouTube in 4K and 8k resolution.
I hope that in the 13th or at least the 14th generation, Intel will make support for 120Hz for 8K, and YouTube will add support for 120Hz at 8K for their player. I think that Intel may drop to $26, but then it will go up, maybe it will update the maximum and reach a hundred. I have an assumption that Intel decided to make a knight's move in the next generation and switch to a 5 nanometer process technology, skipping 7 nanometers!
Intel (NASDAQ: $INTC) Flashing Super Strong Support Area! 🔦Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Is Intel about to broke his strong supports???After checked only in 1d and 1w timeframes I was able to see a knowing bearish price-action pattern which indicates that we are almost about to SELL, as per supports in 1d and 1w I just add an arrow which indicates the most possible FIRTS target, need to go deep into analysis in order to check if stonks will stay there or they carry on with bearish trend.
⏩ INTEL. 1 WEEK CHART ACCUMULATION?Hello! Lets look at Intels 1w chart.
1. Mark-up finished with climactic action (buying climax = resistance line) in 2018. Then we saw change of behaviour reaction from bears, we stopped at 42$ level (support line)
2. Then price started to move between resistance and support lines in a horizontal range. In December 2019, January 2020 bulls rally breaked the resitance line but covid incident have declined this try. Bears immidietaly seized the initiative and price tested support line (demand zone). Just look at this BIG SUPPLY BAR (july 2020) with the one of the biggest spreads and volume! But whats the result? Looks bearish, but acts neutral.
3. After that, Bulls tryed to rally and they overcame that bar but have been declined at 68$ as in January 2020 - Lower High.
4. Finally, bears started their reaction - downward channel. Supply and demand lines of the channel work properly.
5. Now we are still in this structure. To tell the truth, this sellers move does not consist great momentum, spread of the bars are not as big as in 2020 reaction so thats more bullish. Recent low on 22 february is LH compare to previous one. Look at rally that began - good spreads, there is no climactic volumes too, just consistent demand, But resistance line have declined that move.
6. Last week closed in a body of big bullish bar, we expect local stopping action (1d. 4 hour) at 45-46 level. This is a nice Point of entry. Targets:
1st - 51$, 2nd 53-54$
7. Overall, in our opinion, we havent seen phase C yet (shakeout, spring) , final move to shake out all weak hands. Only after that we will see higher prices!
Massive cause, isnt it? Write your thoughts down in comment section below.
Intel Shooting Star at Resitance? Intel Corporation - Short Term - We look to Sell at 48.40 (stop at 50.05)
A shooting star has been posted as prices reject the higher levels. Previous resistance located at 49.00. We look for losses to be extended today. Price action remained broadly negative yesterday with the early highs being rejected after bullish momentum stalled.
Our profit targets will be 44.11 and 41.20
Resistance: 49.00 / 55.00 / 68.00
Support: 44.00 / 40.00 / 35.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
INTC exposure to China The U.S. warning China it could face devastating sanctions if it defies the ban on doing business with Russia!
This is a move that could have huge impact on American companies.
27% of AVGO Broadcom revenue comes from China.
My one year price target for INTC is $48, but after it moves lower, to $43.60 or $42.40
Looking forward to read your opinion about this.
Intel DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueIntel DCF Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 12.0%
Discount Rate = 7.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
Transaction Date = 28/02/2022
Fiscal Year-End = 25/12/2022
Current Price = $47.71
Shares Outstanding (m) = 4,072
Debt (m) = $38,101
Cash (m) = $28,413
Capex (m) = $20,329
Base Case Scenario
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of -4%, 4%, 5%, 8%, 10%. These assumptions are slightly lower than analysts’ forecasts.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
Intrinsic Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) =$44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL
Terminal Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $324,750
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $315,062
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $77.37
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $262,768
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $253,080
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $62.15
DISCLAIMER:
All information is the author’s views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing, and Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information’s reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors.
Any actions taken based on the information on the website is strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information on this site.
DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in Intel. We may increase this position depending on market movements over the coming weeks.