Intel Shooting Star at Resitance? Intel Corporation - Short Term - We look to Sell at 48.40 (stop at 50.05)
A shooting star has been posted as prices reject the higher levels. Previous resistance located at 49.00. We look for losses to be extended today. Price action remained broadly negative yesterday with the early highs being rejected after bullish momentum stalled.
Our profit targets will be 44.11 and 41.20
Resistance: 49.00 / 55.00 / 68.00
Support: 44.00 / 40.00 / 35.00
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Intel
INTC exposure to China The U.S. warning China it could face devastating sanctions if it defies the ban on doing business with Russia!
This is a move that could have huge impact on American companies.
27% of AVGO Broadcom revenue comes from China.
My one year price target for INTC is $48, but after it moves lower, to $43.60 or $42.40
Looking forward to read your opinion about this.
Intel DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueIntel DCF Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 12.0%
Discount Rate = 7.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
Transaction Date = 28/02/2022
Fiscal Year-End = 25/12/2022
Current Price = $47.71
Shares Outstanding (m) = 4,072
Debt (m) = $38,101
Cash (m) = $28,413
Capex (m) = $20,329
Base Case Scenario
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of -4%, 4%, 5%, 8%, 10%. These assumptions are slightly lower than analysts’ forecasts.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
Intrinsic Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) =$44,337
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 9.0x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $339,031
DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL
Terminal Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $324,750
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $315,062
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $77.37
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $262,768
Plus: Cash (m) = $28,413
Less: Debt (m) = $38,101
Equity Value (m) = $253,080
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $62.15
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DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in Intel. We may increase this position depending on market movements over the coming weeks.
INTC Intel will be free cash flow negative this yearIntel, which plans large investments in chip technologies in the next four years, warns that it will be free cash flow negative this year.
INTC predicts 10% to 12% annual revenue growth by 2026.
As a speculative buy, you can take into consideration the 44-45 usd area of support for a bounce.
Technical Analysis Of 10 Mentioned Stocks!Hi,
Long time no see! ;)
Actually, quite a busy time but still, have some old depths again and here they are - the stocks you mentioned in the comment section. Probably you don't even remember them :)
Sadly this series is not popular amongst crypto followers but still got enough data to sort out some stocks which may indicate that technically we get short-term bounces from shown areas.
To be said, it is the only technical side, fundamental analysis is your homework to do. These aren't my picks, these are your mentioned stocks.
Remember - fundamental analysis showing what to buy, technical analysis showing when to buy. So, do your homework and select what to buy ;)
1. Adobe
2. Alibaba
3. NVIDIA
4. Ball Corporation
5. Block
6. JD.com
7. Ford
8. CRISPR Therapeutics
9. Intel
10. PayPal
If you were interested in anything, go and do your homework! ;)
Regards,
Vaido
INTEL CORP (INTC) RSI+MACD+STOCH FIB RETRACEMENT TA TRADING 💡📉I developed a personal trading strategy on NASDAQ:INTC to setup a trading buy scenario.
What are the different indicators Showing?
MACD:
EMA's crossed, no sign early retracement bounce
!!! market uptrend could have turned into a downtrend, but we need more confirmation
RSI:
Market is globally in an uptrend but RSI looks like its crossing the 50 line towards a downtrend, so there may be no retracement bounce
INTC is accordingly to the RSI not overbought nor underbought, confirmation to come
STOCH:
STOCH looks like it's going towards its underbought level, I would wait till both lines cross the underbought level
What is FIB/Graph saying
Previous retracements reversed at around 50% to 61.8% fib level
I expect this retracement (if last retracement wasn't a trend reversal) to reverse around the same levels.
Intel Corp. as long term: 📈📈
Intel will definitely hit a 100$ in the future, with a lot of new big upcoming projects
For example: a crypto mining dedicated CPU
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Intel Analysis 16.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
$INTC Intel Corp to Drop In PriceWith the recent blow to the companies reputation I would assume we see a good dip!
BUT lets take a look at the technical analysis.
We have been rejected at the current price 4 times now on the hour chart.
The daily chart appears to be seeing a bearish divergence as well.
money flow is not looking good.
I would assume this would play out as a sharp dip to 48.00 range or a slow decline through late Feb.
Let me know what you think!
INTEL - Little more wait for entry before starts reversal. Wait for some more time before entry. Start entry from ~$48 - $42 range. Probably should bottom out by end of Jan. Will be interesting to see if this bottom out before earnings or after.
After that ride until 70+. That's ~60% or ~$25 potential upside.
Enjoy....
IntelI like historical pattern of this company. This an opinion based on an article I've just read but it seems as if the semiconductor issue is simmering down a bit relative to how unsure this issue was late last year. We also see a bunch of car companies having increased deliveries as well. Although Intel isn't the end all, be all within this sector, I can see at least a retracement of about 45% of the previous high seeing how price has reached this point up to 5 times since 2018's May. Let's see what happens! They also have enough cashflow to compensate for a hike in interest rates.
Intel joins Nasdaq recovery RallyIntel stock rose an impressive 2.8% on Tuesday taking its price to $52.44, and its overall growth in 2021 to 5.3%.
Any pullback and close of the gap from the good news Tuesday will be perfect entries for a stock that can rally with the Nasdaq now Omicron fears are subsiding.
The rise was fueled by the news that Intel was filing an IPO for Mobileye a producer and developer of advanced automotive safety systems, that pioneered camera arrays on cars that allow features such lane assistance and adaptive cruise control. This technology is expected to lead into autonomous cars in the near future.
The Israeli company founded in 1999 by Prof. Amnon Shashua was public on the NYSE between 2014-2017 until it was acquired by Intel for approximately $15 billion. The tech company is currently valued at staggering $50+ billion.
Any pullback and close of the gap to $51 from the good news Tuesday will be perfect entries for a stock that can rally with the Nasdaq now Omicron fears are subsiding. Targets are recent highs at $56.
Is Intel Headed for a Bull Market ? (TL;DR @ end)For the past 5 years, NASDAQ:INTC has been through quite the 'ride' of market price. For a good portion of their existence - they ran the multi-core CPU world almost entirely unchallenged. As of about 3 years ago, Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) suddenly emerged from the mist with cheaper, greater performing chips that were idolised by the gaming and high-performance workstation community. While this was happening, Intel was far more interested in the large scale server industry, supplying various high capacity servers to various institutions such as universities and state owned research facilities. The public eye began to look down on Intel. AMD had come up neck and neck with Intel in performance and price yet Intel didn't exactly make their 'best efforts' to get ahead. Inevitably AMD surpassed them and Intel's market price fell.
Although, recently, new developments have come out of Intel (possibly consequent to the COVID pandemic). Last week, they announced the IPO of their daughter company, Mobileye. The IPO is planned for the middle of next year but this drove the stock price up slightly. Furthermore, their biggest rival, AMD has been falling behind both in the graphics card and CPU markets. The release of the 12th generation Alder Lake chips from Intel and the (stated) high performance (supposedly far better than available AMD chips) have also driven the price further up.
Intel also recently stated that they have adjusted their budget for development in desktop and laptop chips which should in theory result in the further production of even better products, even sooner.
So with an optimistic outlook on the company, the value should begin to increase and soon. If you're lucky enough to put money in now and results turn out as expected, COVID restrictions may just settle (due to Omicron not being as much of a threat) and the shortage of hardware across the industry may very well give the price that added 'leg-up'.
For investors and traders, all I would suggest is keeping your eyes peeled and thinking about the possibilities of this market dominated by only 2 companies. As usual, other opinions, facts and news are definitely welcome, so comment away!
TL;DR: Intel has been potentially pulling themselves up through these 3rd and 4th quarters. The release of 12th gen chips and the announcement of the IPO for Mobileye could all lead up to a hefty price climb. Conveniently AMD (biggest competitor) is also having a tough time and to add to this 'stroke of good luck', if COVID restrictions are eased due to the lack of intensity of the omicron, the price could climb higher.
INTC Mobileye Intel's self-driving-car unit IPOThe chipmaker said it would be taking public its Mobileye self-driving-car unit.
The initial public offering of Mobileye in the U.S. is planned for the middle of next year.
The move could value Mobileye at more than $50 billion, Intel being the biggest shareholder.
My short term price target is the 59usd resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Intel | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ....Intel had a dynamic start to 2021, with shares rising rapidly in Q1 due to news that the company may be beating rival Advanced Micro Devices. However, Intel failed to maintain its remarkable momentum, and the stock gave up all of the ground it had gained at the beginning of the year.
Intel stock is now trading near the bottom of its 52-week range. Wall Street is also not overly optimistic about the company's prospects, with an average share price target of $54, indicating little upside from current levels.
Considering the problems Intel faces, investors will apparently think twice before buying it, while existing investors might consider cutting their losses by selling the stock. Let's look at both sides and figure out whether it makes more sense to buy or sell Intel stock.
The biggest reason investors may want to sell Intel stock is because of the company's absence of competitive advantage, which has led to sluggish revenue growth and declining margins over the past three years.
Intel has been forced to cut prices on its chips to compete with AMD, while buyers flock to the competitor. This is reflected in Intel's latest quarterly numbers, with its non-GAAP third-quarter revenue up just 5 percent from a year ago to $18.1 billion.
AMD, on the other hand, is in great shape, with its third-quarter revenue up 54% from a year ago to $4.3 billion, boosted by growth in all segments of its business. What's more, AMD also raised its full-year forecast and expects 2021 to end with 65% revenue growth. Intel's non-GAAP revenue estimate of $73.5 billion means an average one-digit drop from the previous year when revenue was $77.9 billion.
Even worse, analysts don't see the possibility of Intel improving next year. The company's revenue is expected to remain flat and earnings fall to $3.70 per share, down from $5.28 per share this year. The long-term outlook doesn't look bright either, as Intel's compound annual earnings growth rate is expected to be just 3% over the next five years.
All of this means that Intel stock may continue to lag in growth. That's why investors may find it reasonable to put their money into other fast-growing stocks that can provide more growth.
There are three reasons why Intel stock is worth buying, notwithstanding the discouraging forecasts of analysts.
First, the company pays a good dividend. Intel's dividend is 2.8 percent and its payout ratio is less than 27 percent. In the third quarter, Intel paid $1.4 billion in dividends, easily covered by $9.9 billion in operating cash flow. For the first nine months of 2021, the company paid $4.2 billion in dividends, compared with $12.6 billion in free cash flow for the same period. Since Intel's dividend seems safe, the company could prove to be a good retirement asset.
The second judgment to buy Intel is its cheap valuation. The price-to-earnings ratio is only 9.5 and the price-to-earnings ratio is 13.5. The low multiples are not surprising, as the prospects for the chip giant's top and bottom lines appear weak over the next year or so. Nevertheless, cheap multiples may attract investors willing to buy a potential turnaround candidate, particularly since Intel will reward patient investors with good dividends.
This brings us to the third reason investors might consider betting on Intel stock right now -- the possibility of a return. Intel has determined to increase its capital spending in the coming years to become more competitive. The company projects capital spending of $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022, which defines the weaker performance in 2022. The planned spending would be a huge jump from this year's spending of $18 billion to $19 billion.
It's also worth noting that Intel's latest Alder Lake processors are inferior to AMD's processors in performance, according to third-party tests. The Alder Lake chips are manufactured using Intel's 10-nanometer process, which matches AMD's 7-nm manufacturing node - which explains why Intel was able to set an aggressive price for its latest processors and offer impressive performance.
Given that Intel has laid out an intensive product development plan for the next couple of years, it won't be unexpected to see the company regain its competitive edge. Thus, Intel's potential turnaround, cheap valuation, and good dividend could attract investors, as the company could turn into a growth company if only its product development steps pay off and it regains its spirit.
LONG INTEL: 9.6X PE/ CHINA-TAIWAN vs USA SEMICONDUCTOR RISKLONG Intel @49 down to 44 double down every 5% or 10% drop so 1x49 & 2x44 or 1x49, 2x46.5, 4x44.
SL: NA
TP: 100-200% higher at $100-150
1. Semi shortage/ supply constraints vs ever increasing demand
2. china vs usa semi uncertainty
3. resulting usa infra investment set to benefit current incumbents like intc
4. massively cheap vs market at 9.6x
5. 2.5% div yield
6. great inflation hedge as semis are absolutely price inelastic
7. 28bn cap-ex turn around plan w/ new innovative ceo
8. macro supp lvl at 44
Intel 2022+ - Down but not out?What US Chip manufacturer has a pedigree like INTEL?
Can't help but feel it's a horse to bet on in the long race with the increasing Chip 'arms' race across the globe and the importance of domestic supply of important industry / tech / materials.
One for the long term Pension pot maybe? DYODD!
Intel FOMO - Overseas Supply - Made in America STORYTELLINGTurnaround stories can be polarizing investments -- some see the long-term potential while others see a business full of problems to overcome. HOWEVER, an OVERSEAS SUPPLY CHAIN makes it take longer and cost more money than originally thought. As with ANY company. The supply disruption is PERMANENT. If there is no actionable PLAN B......
The highest Intel ever spent in a single year has been $16 billion. They are expecting it to go up beyond 2022. They're expecting this turnaround to be very expensive. .... because SPEND SPEND SPEND.....
They don't make what they need to in America. Like most US companies that have taken advantage of OVERSEAS PROFITS (ie. Apple, Amazon), they have no other opportunities to build what they need, where they need to. Supply Supply Supply.
Stuck in the ocean & ports like EVERYTHING else from the OLD ECONOMY.
I'm a fan of SOFTWARE. #cannabisreform software. $KERN
Looking forward to the Republican led "States Reform Act" on Monday.
GL all
Go Biden's "BUY AMERICAN ACT". Time to generate US MANUFACTURING & SALES in country. What a thought.... lol
PS. JUST BE SURE THE COMPANIES YOU INVEST IN CAN ACTUALLY MAKE THEIR PRODUCTS IN AMERICA SHOULD THEY SHIFT THEIR MANUFACTURING...... yikes