Predicted Intel prices as 12th gen CPU Alder Lake hits marketsAlder Lake is the best generational performance increase Intel has seen in the last decade. Across most benchmarks conducted (recorded by independent parties) both the i9 and i5 were able to smash their competitors (AMD) due to Intels new E-cores, similar to the ones recently unveiled in Apple's M1 chip, which are focused on efficiency rather than performance. As Intel is "back in the game" offering these chips at competitive prices compared to similar AMD ryzen models. As such, this chip is sure to be popular in all desktop consumer markets ranging from gaming to productivity and production.
That's my 50 cents anyways.
Intel
Intel madness. Stock is VERY cheap.Hi everyone,
Today we are deep diving into NASDAQ:INTC stock situation.
What happened?
Recently stock was dumped by institutions after earnings report, leading to 11% decline in price. As a result, stock was downgraded by a bunch of analysts.
Nevertheless, earnings were not terrible. Revenue missed the mark by just 0.84% , while EPS increased by enourmous 54% .
What does this mean?
The stock is immensely undervalued.
After the dump P/E ratio went to merely 9.6 , which is insanely low compared to competitors P/E ( good for Intel stock).
The plan:
Scaling into long position here.
Based on previous box tendency, I expect the stock to move inside the projected box and breakout upward.
IF we go lower to red trend line support, I expect massive buying volume there.
Best buying zone is circled on the chart, but there is a chance we don't see that level for a long time (hopefully never).
On a macro level, Intel is investing A LOT into R&D and building new plants, which should pay off in the long-run.
Please let me know what you think about NASDAQ:INTC stock.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Major Support level on INTEL | What we want to seeBased on the current global chip shortage. There are 3 companies worth paying attention to TSMC - INTEL - SAMSUNG. The 3 of them are heavily investing in increasing their production capability to finish these shortages affecting key industries across the globe.
Today, we will analyze INTEL from a technical perspective:
-The main thing that we can observe on the chart is a MAJOR support zone. That's a key level to pay attention to. Why? Because since 2018 has been working as a key bouncing level
-That's why we want to observe contact there before thinking about any bullish setup. This is a good filter to avoid engaging in situations that are not 100% in our favor based on historical behavior
-IF we observe contact, we want to see a breakout of the descending trendline followed by a correction similar to the 3 scenarios that happened before.
-Our Target for this future movement is 57.00
What's the whole point of these types of analyses that are not "close to happening"?
If we do this regularly, we reach a moment where 3 to 4 times a month, we have premium situations working as expected, and we can develop high-quality setups on these charts that we get ready with months in advance.
If I have to define my edge on the markets, it would be: Patience + Being ready in advance as much as possible.
Thanks for reading!
Intel | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...The reporting period always attracts the attention of investors and can guide a company's stock to meaningful changes. Now that the season is here, many organizations find themselves either winning or losing. A temporary loser was Intel, whose stock fell on Friday following the release of its Q3 results on Oct. 21. Investors sold their shares as the company failed to meet forecasts in several directions.
Nevertheless, while Intel is having to overcome significant challenges, the report also shows signs that could eventually bring investors back to the company's stock.
For the first nine months of 2021, the revenue of $58.5 billion was up about 1 percent from the same period in 2020. During that time, net income increased 1% to just over $15.2 billion. Against this slow growth, however, third-quarter numbers point to a 5% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 60% increase in net income over the same period.
Unfortunately for Intel, most of that net income came from stock investments. In addition, Intel's earnings forecast for 2021 assumes annual non-GAAP revenue of $73.5 billion, down 5% from 2020. Although analysts had expected a lower figure, given the temporary increase in pandemic revenue in 2020, the news disappointed investors, and the company's stock fell 12% the next day. Investors also didn't like the news that gross margins would be "below current levels."
While it is too early to tell if this period is the beginning of Intel's recovery, the decline in gross margins could pay off for the company later. Gross margins will fall, not because of performance, but because Intel has developed a plan to make a belated move -- to invest in itself.
To that end, Intel has altered its focus under the new CEO. The company will spend $20 billion to build two new factories in Arizona. These factories will compete with companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) and privately held GlobalFoundries, as the company wants to produce chips for companies without factories. The company also plans to develop 7-nm chips, which could be a major challenge for TSMC as Intel seeks to regain its leadership position in the industry. Still, such moves could prove challenging for investors. Intel has been trying to develop a chip smaller than 14nm for years. By the time it launched its 10nm chip, rival Advanced Micro Devices had already been selling a 7nm chip for several years.
Still, AMD's comeback story may give hope to Intel bulls. When Lisa Su became AMD's CEO in 2014, she used the chip development cycle to ensure the company's return and eventual technical leadership. In the same way, Intel CEO used his engineering expertise to spur Intel's technical comeback. However, chip development cycles take three to five years. Even if Intel eventually succeeds, there will be years of uncertainty for Intel stockholders to figure out whether Intel can match or surpass TSMC.
Although little attention has been paid to dividend payouts, they may be of interest to income-oriented investors. Since 2004, the annual payout has increased every year but one. In addition, the dividend has increased every year for the past four years.
The current annual payout of $1.39 per share yields about 2.8% at the current share price, more than double the S&P 500 average of 1.3%. Since dividends have been growing at about 5 percent a year in recent years, they are roughly in line with current inflation growth, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor. This could make the stock more attractive to income investors, providing them with stable funds in anticipation of earnings.
Right now, investors can buy stocks at a low price. Intel's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is now about 10. That's well below TSMC's earnings ratio of 31, and well below the dividend ratio of another US stronghold and factory operator, Texas Instruments, with 26 times earnings.
Of course, given Intel's dormant revenue growth in recent years, 10 might seem like a fair P/E ratio. But if the company moves into manufacturing chips for customers and manages to catch up with TSMC in terms of technology, investors would probably find that earnings estimate a bargain.
As for whether Intel could come back, the answer is probably. While the low P/E ratio and rising dividend yield will be attractive to some, the company's prospects for success remain uncertain. In this situation, Intel stock has no obvious catalyst for growth. Moreover, while the pandemic has led to higher hardware spending in 2020, the projected revenue decline in 2021 offers little comfort to investors expecting signs of success.
Shareholders who buy Intel now may get little return other than dividends for the foreseeable future. However, if the company can build a successful foundry business and challenge TSMC technologically, it could generate huge dividend income over time.
Intel Corporation (INTC) Analysis & What I Will DoNASDAQ:INTC looks like it will retrace to an old support level around the $44 mark. If it finds support there and gets rejected, I expect the price to move higher, to the $50 area, possible more.
Long term: bullish bias
Short term: bearish bias (I would not take a short trade however)
Personally, I will wait for NASDAQ:INTC to confirm the bullish bias and go long at that point. I will post an update later.
Keep in mind that there has been a lot of insider buying done on this stock, this week. However, insiders aren't always best at timing the entries as they generally invest for the long term. If we wait a bit more I think we can get a better entry price. There is also a chip shortage right now so short-term it will probably drive the price down even further.
Good luck,
Your Ganbu
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amd going to 200$ , DONT SELLwe predict AMD will break intel and will be world no 1 in CPU (newly amd produce sumsong mobile cpu too)
best stratgy is buy in deep and hold to new high
STRONGLY advice dont pick sell on it ,looking for buy on 2021-2022 (we predict it will reach to 500$ in 2022-2023)
www.marketwatch.com
www.marketwatch.com
INTC: Long (Line 50 years old)Hey!!
Delicious situation with the Intel stock price. In 2008, the resistance line became support. And now, before our very eyes, the price will touch this line again and skyrocket !!
(not advice or recommendation) )))
PS remember about a small stop loss and a large take profit.
I wish everyone a lot of profit!
INTEL - Due for a Bounce towards Red Box See Chart for levels of an anticipated B wave into red box above.
Intel | Fundamental AnalysisIntel will have another chance to breathe life into its dropping stock when it reports its third-quarter results on Thursday, Oct. 21. The chip giant's stock has lagged the broader market this year, though it started brightly, as problems in the personal computer and data center business intensified due to stiff competition from companies like Advanced Micro Devices.
Let's take a look at what we can expect from Intel's upcoming quarterly report and decide if the company can show strong enough results and outlook to tilt investor sentiment in its favor.
Intel's second-quarter results, released in July, were better than expected. The company's adjusted earnings of $1.28 per share rose 12% year-over-year and easily beat Wall Street's forecast of $1.06 per share. The company's earnings were up 2% from a year earlier to $18.5 billion. Moreover, the corporation also upgraded its full-year earnings by $1 billion to $73.5 billion and raised its earnings per share forecast by $0.20 to $4.80 per share.
But that wasn't enough to change investor sentiment, because a closer look reveals that competition is becoming a real thorn in the chipmaker's side. For example, the company expects the third-quarter adjusted gross margin to be 55%, a significant drop from 59.2% in the second quarter. At the same time, Intel's data center group revenue fell 9% year over year to $6.5 billion as both shipments and average purchase prices declined.
A 6% year-over-year increase in client computing group revenue to $10.1 billion was accompanied by a drop in notebook and desktop processor prices. More specifically, notebook ASP prices were down 17% year-over-year and desktop ASP prices were down 5% - the result of Intel's strategy to lower its processor prices in order to sell more units.
Thus, Intel needs not only to show good results but also to demonstrate that it can again stand up to AMD, gaining more and more market share. Intel's full-year forecast, however, does not indicate that this will be the case. The company's fourth-quarter revenue is forecasted to fall 8.6 percent year over year to $18.25 billion, and earnings are expected to fall to $1.01 per share from $1.52 per share a year ago.
By comparison, Intel may do much better in the third quarter, with revenue and earnings expected to be flat year-over-year. All of this designates that Intel stock may lag the broad market for the rest of the year. But investors shouldn't lose sight of the fact that some favorable factors on the horizon could breathe life into the stock in 2022 and beyond.
Wall Street expects Intel's sales to decline to slow in 2022 and its earnings to remain at 2021 levels. In 2023, analysts expect Intel to regain its momentum and increase earnings slightly.
However, don't be surprised if Intel changes its fortunes sooner, as the company intends to step up its product development game. According to the company's development plan, it will move to a 7-nanometer manufacturing process in the second half of 2022. The smaller node size suggests Intel's chips will become more competitive. This is because the transistors in a chip made using a smaller node are more tightly packed together, resulting in better performance and greater efficiency.
The company promises a 20 percent improvement in performance per watt over current-generation chips when it releases processors based on the 7-nm process technology, codenamed Intel 4. Then, in the second half of 2023, Intel plans to release an advanced version of its 7nm chips, which it claims could be 18% more powerful than Intel 4 chips. That will be followed by the Intel 20A architecture in 2024 when the company is expected to produce chips based on the 5-nm node.
All of this suggests that Intel is on its way to consistently improve its manufacturing process, which should help it bridge the technology gap with AMD. So Intel may eventually regain its spirit and become a profitable investment, but investors will have to wait patiently for this turnaround, as it may take some time. The good thing is that patient investors willing to bet on Intel's transformation can buy this technology company's stock at just 12 times its forward earnings, which could prove to be a good deal in the long run as its fortunes begin to rise.
INTEL Daily TimeframeSNIPER STRATEGY
This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts
Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading.
It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you huge part of the wave.
The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes.
Start believing in this strategy because it will reward believers with huge profit.
There is a lot more about this strategy.
It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot.
I am developing it even more so stay tuned and start to follow me for more signals and forecasts.
Undervalued INTEL (Long)Intel has underperformed for a while now and it's price reflects that. However, the chip industry is on fire atm and INTEL still remains the largest Chip producer in the world.
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Price action is currently stuck in a descending wedge (Bullish) with a bearish rejection at the recent resistance. Watch carefully to what happens at the wedge support around 51.70 (1). With strong support we may see it test that wedge resistance again and ideally break through to the levels indicated at 2, 3 and 4.
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Negative scenario: Wedge support is broken and we head to LONG term (Sep, 2018) support around 45-46 level.
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Not financial advice - Do you own DD.
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Let me know your thoughts and GL!
INTEL : FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + NEXT TARGET LEVEL 🔔Intel was hit hard by rival Advanced Micro Devices in the x86 (central processing unit) processor market, losing share in servers and PC processors thanks to the latter's technological advantage.
But now Chipzilla has aimed at AMD as well as Nvidia, entering the multi-billion dollar discrete graphics processor (GPU) market.
Intel recently announced that the first generation of Arc discrete graphics cards will be available in the first quarter of 2022. Chipzilla claims that these cards will "deliver high-performance gaming, immersive visual effects, seamless streaming, and game creation."
Intel's first-generation discrete graphics cards, codenamed Alchemist, will include ray tracing technology and artificial intelligence-based supersampling. Competitors AMD and Nvidia already equip their cards with such technologies, and gamers willingly buy their graphics processors of the latest generation to improve gameplay. Moreover, Intel plans to have three more generations of Arc graphics cards after Alchemist - Battlemage, Celestial, and Druid, which means that the company plans to consistently improve its GPUs over time.
All of this indicates that Intel is serious about taking a rightful place in the discrete GPU market, which could herald a much-needed turn in the company's fortunes and help stop the recent decline in its financial performance. Moreover, there are several reasons why Chipzilla could take market share away from AMD and Nvidia after launching its cards.
First, the Alchemist GPUs will be based on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's N6 6-nanometer (nm) technology node. Current AMD RDNA 2 gaming GPUs are based on 7nm process technology, while Nvidia's Ampere gaming GPUs are based on Samsung's 8nm process technology. AMD is expected to switch to TSMC's 6nm process when it releases its next generation of RDNA 3 graphics cards. Meanwhile, rumors suggest that Nvidia could move to the 5nm process when it releases its next-generation cards, codenamed Ada Lovelace, in 2022.
Identical manufacturing processes mean Intel could find itself on equal footing with Nvidia and AMD on the technology front. Thus, Chipzilla enters the GPU market with a solid background that could make it a viable third choice for gamers who have trouble buying graphics cards because Nvidia and AMD can't produce them in sufficient quantity.
That brings us to the second reason Intel may be in the discrete graphics processor market: Nvidia and AMD can't produce enough cards to meet the huge end-market demand.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang explained this during the August financial results report:
"The demand for RTX is incredible. ... And now we've zeroed in on the installed base, and Ampere has gotten off to an incredible start, becoming the best-selling GPU architecture in our company's history. And yet, we've only updated about 20% - less than 20% of our total installed base."
Similarly, AMD is also witnessing strong demand, which is why CEO Lisa Su recently noted that supply will remain tight despite the company's efforts to increase capacity.
Intel can fill the void to some extent by offering a viable GPU alternative for Nvidia and AMD. It could poach potential AMD and Nvidia customers and get a good start in the discrete graphics card market if it can produce enough units. So don't be surprised if Intel does well in the GPU market next year, which will be good for the chipmaker due to the wide end-market opportunities.
Intel intends to be in the discrete graphics card business for a long time, as the company has unveiled its horizon, which currently includes four generations of GPUs. Success in this market could add billions of dollars to Intel's revenue; according to Jon Peddie Research, discrete graphics card revenue will be $54 billion by 2025, up significantly from $23.6 billion in 2020.
Nvidia is currently the dominant player in this area with an 83% market share in the second quarter, while AMD holds the remainder. As it turns out, AMD is having a hard time withstanding the competitive pressure from Nvidia, and this could be an opportunity for Intel to do its part. If Intel starts taking GPU market share away from AMD and poaching potential Nvidia customers by producing enough cards and offering stable supply, it could gradually establish itself as a key player in the GPU market in the long run.
That could give Intel a much-needed boost, as the company's revenue will drop to $73.5 billion this year, compared with revenues of $77.9 billion in 2020. Analysts estimate that the downtrend could continue into 2022, but steady progress in the GPU market could give Intel a much-needed breather and help these tech stocks regain their spirit.
NVDA [Update]So far on NVDA we are still up nicely on our original idea and as we predicted NVDA is now putting all of our fib levels to the litmus test as it finds itself right in the middle zone of the entire fib retracement.
I expected the .383 to be properly tested before liftoff and so far it is holding up.
If it can continue to hold, NVDA will find itself breaking out once more as a bullish falling wedge is now being painted on the 4 hour timeframe.
One could debate if this is valid or not due to the breakdown out of its lower trendline, and that is fine. Because what we are most interested in is the upper trendline of the falling wedge as it appears to be serving as resistance on the price.
This is not something to ignore as supply lines like this can often be a warning of an impending bearish downtrend if price continues to fail when touching it.
So for this reason I am moving my stop losses up to around $189.79. The reason for this is because of not only the bearish trendline over our head, but because a breaking to the downside of the .382 fib level with a confirming candle on the 4 hour could mean a retest of much deeper levels at or around the bottom of the falling wedge or our .236 fibonacci level. So closing my position in profit and buying right back in at a discount is what I will be looking for in the near future.
In the meantime, however, I am still in my long but I am monitoring closely. NVDA will need to get moving and break the red trendline but ultimately put in a higher high in price by breaking the .618 fibonacci level over our head but that discussion will be kept reserve for a future post or update.
INTEL:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|PRICE ACTION|DOWNTREND SETUP 🔔The past five years have been tough for Intel, the world's largest maker of x86 processors for PCs and data centers. It has underperformed Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and Samsung in the "technology race" to produce smaller, more high-level chips, and persistent lags and chip shortages have ended in a huge loss of market to AMD.
INTC has also rejected the mobile market, ceasing production of chips for smartphones and baseband modems, and made scattered investments in programmable chips, Internet of Things (IoT) chips, and automotive chips - none of which have solved the company's core problems.
Former Intel CEO Brian Krzanich unexpectedly quit three years ago. His "inheritor", Bob Swan, concentrated on lowering costs and buying back stock instead of addressing pressing R&D issues. Swann had even considered outsourcing much of Intel's production to TSMC - rather than upgrading his foundries - before he was ousted in January.
Swan's successor, Pat Gelsinger, has rejected the concept of Intel growing a "fabless" chipmaker similar to AMD and has redoubled efforts to expand its internal foundries. The company is reportedly even considering an acquisition of GlobalFoundries, AMD's past factory division, to stimulate those intentions. Gelsinger anticipates that the manufacturing extension will benefit Intel regain technology leadership from TSMC and win back succumbed market share from AMD.
If Intel can achieve those lofty goals remains a controversial question. But Intel lately updated its 2025 plans, and there are some dramatic changes. Let's take a look at the most significant changes and how they might affect Intel's growth over the next five years.
The technology race is measured in nodes. Smaller nodes, which are currently measured in nanometers, are commonly recognized as more advanced than larger nodes since they are more energy-efficient.
TSMC began mass production of 7-nanometer chips in 2018 and 5-nanometer chips in 2020. Intel began mass production of 10-nanometer chips in 2019 after several years of delays, and previously delayed production of the next generation of 7-nanometer chips until late 2022 or early 2023.
Initially, it appears that Intel is two generations behind TSMC's chips. However, Intel's 10-nanometer chips have the same density as TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, about 100 million transistors per millimeter square. Basically, Intel's 10-nanometer chips are technically comparable to TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but the size of the nodes (which are set by each foundry instead of a single industry standard) still puts TSMC in the lead.
But as part of its new plan, Intel is renaming its 10+ node, also known as the 10-nm Super Fin node, to the "new" 7-nanometer node. These new chips, to be released by the end of 2021, should offer better performance than TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but won't be able to match TSMC's 5-nanometer chips.
Intel is renaming its old 7-nanometer node, which was originally delayed, to a "new" 4-nanometer node to show that it will outperform TSMC's 5-nanometer node. Intel still prepares to release chips later next year or early 2023, but it will then lag behind TSMC, which will begin mass production of its 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2022 and possibly release its 2-nanometer chips in 2023.
Intel intends to slowly gain on TSMC by supplying its new factories with more high-tech extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines. It also wants to become the first chipmaker to use next-generation EUV machines with the high NA required to produce smaller chips beyond the 3-nanometer node. The company claims to be working closely with ASML, the world's only EUV and High-NA machine maker, to get these orders-but ASML also supplies the same machines to TSMC.
Intel plans to release its first 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2023. The company expects the performance of the new node to be 18 percent faster than earlier projected 3-nanometer chips.
Intel plans to begin production of 2-nanometer chips, also known as "20A" (20 angstrom) chips, in 2024. These chips, which will replace Intel's old 5-nanometer process, could have nearly twice the density of 3-nanometer chips. In 2025, the company will release 18A (1.8-nanometer) chips. We don't know much about these chips yet, but the company believes that the 20A and 18A chips will help it wrest technology leadership from TSMC and Samsung by 2025.
Intel factories in Arizona, Ireland, Israel, and Oregon are getting ready to produce 4-nanometer, 3-nanometer, and 20A chips. That speedup, likely to be backed by subsidies in the U.S. and Europe, could greatly expand its contract chip manufacturing services and help fabless chipmakers decrease their over-dependence on TSMC and Samsung.
It is not that obvious whether Intel can accomplish its lofty new purposes, but its new schedule shows that it intends to keep pace with TSMC and Samsung by expanding its capacity and ordering more high-performance machines from ASML.
Many still have doubts that Intel will be able to regain its lead in process technology by 2025, particularly as TSMC decidedly
increases its costs to maintain its advantage, but significant changes in its foundry business could back it to evade expected delays and shortages and recover some of its lost market share from AMD.
Gem in the Rough (Intel)I discovered a gem-shaped pattern that I call the Ruby Pattern© . Inside is another pattern I call the Lance Pattern© . Let me know what you think. Aside from the pattern itself, the market for semiconductor chips is incredibly hot right now. Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger predicts this trend to last until 2023.
Intel Corp.I love this companies financials. I understand what's going on in the semiconductor world. However, I'm thinking about consumer durables like laptops, computer gaming, memory and storage data. I'm not big on speculation but I know we are so dependent upon technology and alot of their products attack a wide range of technological factors.
Price is currently at a strong support in my opinion. On the 1 hour time frame, there seems to be to some strong consolidation in this same support area. This could indicate that Intel is currently in its accumulation phase. I've looked at some insider trading as well and noticed that within the last two months, there were purchase on two occasions around this area and a third person sold at $57... I want to see price breakout at some point to the upside as the previous high was broken and the previous support hasn't been reached yet considering a strong consolidation at its current support. Let's see what happens! I'm locked in til 2023.
Not advice
What do you think?
AMD Buy?Its been a rough go for even the most bullish setups on equities lately due to the rocky nature of the macro with recent news of further inflation fears. Nonetheless we continue to hunt for the setups if not for the gains, then most definitely for the learning lessons that the markets can teach us.
For this asset, we keep things simple by keying in on an uptrend that has been supporting AMD since May.
It is expected that eventually this trend will break, but for now as long the price remains in the trend, buy opportunities exist at the green upward sloping trendline.
Once the green sloping line is broken, this will be our time to begin preparing for an exit.
The yellow line will be the first level of support should the trend be broken, but ultimately the bears will want to break the red line at $87.86 to confirm.
For the bullish case, continue to expect bounces at the green trendline of support until a full body candle closes outside of it on the daily and weekly time frames. A wise profit taking area will be around $93.50. If that level is broken and held as support, a retest of all time highs could be instore for AMD.