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Intel

Undervalued INTEL (Long)Intel has underperformed for a while now and it's price reflects that. However, the chip industry is on fire atm and INTEL still remains the largest Chip producer in the world. ---------- Price action is currently stuck in a descending wedge (Bullish) with a bearish rejection at the recent resistance. Watch carefully to what happens at the wedge support around 51.70 (1). With strong support we may see it test that wedge resistance again and ideally break through to the levels indicated at 2, 3 and 4. ----------- Negative scenario: Wedge support is broken and we head to LONG term (Sep, 2018) support around 45-46 level. ---------- Not financial advice - Do you own DD. --------- Let me know your thoughts and GL!
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by tforsyth
INTEL : FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + NEXT TARGET LEVEL 🔔Intel was hit hard by rival Advanced Micro Devices in the x86 (central processing unit) processor market, losing share in servers and PC processors thanks to the latter's technological advantage. But now Chipzilla has aimed at AMD as well as Nvidia, entering the multi-billion dollar discrete graphics processor (GPU) market. Intel recently announced that the first generation of Arc discrete graphics cards will be available in the first quarter of 2022. Chipzilla claims that these cards will "deliver high-performance gaming, immersive visual effects, seamless streaming, and game creation." Intel's first-generation discrete graphics cards, codenamed Alchemist, will include ray tracing technology and artificial intelligence-based supersampling. Competitors AMD and Nvidia already equip their cards with such technologies, and gamers willingly buy their graphics processors of the latest generation to improve gameplay. Moreover, Intel plans to have three more generations of Arc graphics cards after Alchemist - Battlemage, Celestial, and Druid, which means that the company plans to consistently improve its GPUs over time. All of this indicates that Intel is serious about taking a rightful place in the discrete GPU market, which could herald a much-needed turn in the company's fortunes and help stop the recent decline in its financial performance. Moreover, there are several reasons why Chipzilla could take market share away from AMD and Nvidia after launching its cards. First, the Alchemist GPUs will be based on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's N6 6-nanometer (nm) technology node. Current AMD RDNA 2 gaming GPUs are based on 7nm process technology, while Nvidia's Ampere gaming GPUs are based on Samsung's 8nm process technology. AMD is expected to switch to TSMC's 6nm process when it releases its next generation of RDNA 3 graphics cards. Meanwhile, rumors suggest that Nvidia could move to the 5nm process when it releases its next-generation cards, codenamed Ada Lovelace, in 2022. Identical manufacturing processes mean Intel could find itself on equal footing with Nvidia and AMD on the technology front. Thus, Chipzilla enters the GPU market with a solid background that could make it a viable third choice for gamers who have trouble buying graphics cards because Nvidia and AMD can't produce them in sufficient quantity. That brings us to the second reason Intel may be in the discrete graphics processor market: Nvidia and AMD can't produce enough cards to meet the huge end-market demand. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang explained this during the August financial results report: "The demand for RTX is incredible. ... And now we've zeroed in on the installed base, and Ampere has gotten off to an incredible start, becoming the best-selling GPU architecture in our company's history. And yet, we've only updated about 20% - less than 20% of our total installed base." Similarly, AMD is also witnessing strong demand, which is why CEO Lisa Su recently noted that supply will remain tight despite the company's efforts to increase capacity. Intel can fill the void to some extent by offering a viable GPU alternative for Nvidia and AMD. It could poach potential AMD and Nvidia customers and get a good start in the discrete graphics card market if it can produce enough units. So don't be surprised if Intel does well in the GPU market next year, which will be good for the chipmaker due to the wide end-market opportunities. Intel intends to be in the discrete graphics card business for a long time, as the company has unveiled its horizon, which currently includes four generations of GPUs. Success in this market could add billions of dollars to Intel's revenue; according to Jon Peddie Research, discrete graphics card revenue will be $54 billion by 2025, up significantly from $23.6 billion in 2020. Nvidia is currently the dominant player in this area with an 83% market share in the second quarter, while AMD holds the remainder. As it turns out, AMD is having a hard time withstanding the competitive pressure from Nvidia, and this could be an opportunity for Intel to do its part. If Intel starts taking GPU market share away from AMD and poaching potential Nvidia customers by producing enough cards and offering stable supply, it could gradually establish itself as a key player in the GPU market in the long run. That could give Intel a much-needed boost, as the company's revenue will drop to $73.5 billion this year, compared with revenues of $77.9 billion in 2020. Analysts estimate that the downtrend could continue into 2022, but steady progress in the GPU market could give Intel a much-needed breather and help these tech stocks regain their spirit.
NASDAQ:INTC
by FOREXN1
1
NVDA [Update]So far on NVDA we are still up nicely on our original idea and as we predicted NVDA is now putting all of our fib levels to the litmus test as it finds itself right in the middle zone of the entire fib retracement. I expected the .383 to be properly tested before liftoff and so far it is holding up. If it can continue to hold, NVDA will find itself breaking out once more as a bullish falling wedge is now being painted on the 4 hour timeframe. One could debate if this is valid or not due to the breakdown out of its lower trendline, and that is fine. Because what we are most interested in is the upper trendline of the falling wedge as it appears to be serving as resistance on the price. This is not something to ignore as supply lines like this can often be a warning of an impending bearish downtrend if price continues to fail when touching it. So for this reason I am moving my stop losses up to around $189.79. The reason for this is because of not only the bearish trendline over our head, but because a breaking to the downside of the .382 fib level with a confirming candle on the 4 hour could mean a retest of much deeper levels at or around the bottom of the falling wedge or our .236 fibonacci level. So closing my position in profit and buying right back in at a discount is what I will be looking for in the near future. In the meantime, however, I am still in my long but I am monitoring closely. NVDA will need to get moving and break the red trendline but ultimately put in a higher high in price by breaking the .618 fibonacci level over our head but that discussion will be kept reserve for a future post or update.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradeVibez
1
INTEL:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|PRICE ACTION|DOWNTREND SETUP 🔔The past five years have been tough for Intel, the world's largest maker of x86 processors for PCs and data centers. It has underperformed Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and Samsung in the "technology race" to produce smaller, more high-level chips, and persistent lags and chip shortages have ended in a huge loss of market to AMD. INTC has also rejected the mobile market, ceasing production of chips for smartphones and baseband modems, and made scattered investments in programmable chips, Internet of Things (IoT) chips, and automotive chips - none of which have solved the company's core problems. Former Intel CEO Brian Krzanich unexpectedly quit three years ago. His "inheritor", Bob Swan, concentrated on lowering costs and buying back stock instead of addressing pressing R&D issues. Swann had even considered outsourcing much of Intel's production to TSMC - rather than upgrading his foundries - before he was ousted in January. Swan's successor, Pat Gelsinger, has rejected the concept of Intel growing a "fabless" chipmaker similar to AMD and has redoubled efforts to expand its internal foundries. The company is reportedly even considering an acquisition of GlobalFoundries, AMD's past factory division, to stimulate those intentions. Gelsinger anticipates that the manufacturing extension will benefit Intel regain technology leadership from TSMC and win back succumbed market share from AMD. If Intel can achieve those lofty goals remains a controversial question. But Intel lately updated its 2025 plans, and there are some dramatic changes. Let's take a look at the most significant changes and how they might affect Intel's growth over the next five years. The technology race is measured in nodes. Smaller nodes, which are currently measured in nanometers, are commonly recognized as more advanced than larger nodes since they are more energy-efficient. TSMC began mass production of 7-nanometer chips in 2018 and 5-nanometer chips in 2020. Intel began mass production of 10-nanometer chips in 2019 after several years of delays, and previously delayed production of the next generation of 7-nanometer chips until late 2022 or early 2023. Initially, it appears that Intel is two generations behind TSMC's chips. However, Intel's 10-nanometer chips have the same density as TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, about 100 million transistors per millimeter square. Basically, Intel's 10-nanometer chips are technically comparable to TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but the size of the nodes (which are set by each foundry instead of a single industry standard) still puts TSMC in the lead. But as part of its new plan, Intel is renaming its 10+ node, also known as the 10-nm Super Fin node, to the "new" 7-nanometer node. These new chips, to be released by the end of 2021, should offer better performance than TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but won't be able to match TSMC's 5-nanometer chips. Intel is renaming its old 7-nanometer node, which was originally delayed, to a "new" 4-nanometer node to show that it will outperform TSMC's 5-nanometer node. Intel still prepares to release chips later next year or early 2023, but it will then lag behind TSMC, which will begin mass production of its 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2022 and possibly release its 2-nanometer chips in 2023. Intel intends to slowly gain on TSMC by supplying its new factories with more high-tech extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines. It also wants to become the first chipmaker to use next-generation EUV machines with the high NA required to produce smaller chips beyond the 3-nanometer node. The company claims to be working closely with ASML, the world's only EUV and High-NA machine maker, to get these orders-but ASML also supplies the same machines to TSMC. Intel plans to release its first 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2023. The company expects the performance of the new node to be 18 percent faster than earlier projected 3-nanometer chips. Intel plans to begin production of 2-nanometer chips, also known as "20A" (20 angstrom) chips, in 2024. These chips, which will replace Intel's old 5-nanometer process, could have nearly twice the density of 3-nanometer chips. In 2025, the company will release 18A (1.8-nanometer) chips. We don't know much about these chips yet, but the company believes that the 20A and 18A chips will help it wrest technology leadership from TSMC and Samsung by 2025. Intel factories in Arizona, Ireland, Israel, and Oregon are getting ready to produce 4-nanometer, 3-nanometer, and 20A chips. That speedup, likely to be backed by subsidies in the U.S. and Europe, could greatly expand its contract chip manufacturing services and help fabless chipmakers decrease their over-dependence on TSMC and Samsung. It is not that obvious whether Intel can accomplish its lofty new purposes, but its new schedule shows that it intends to keep pace with TSMC and Samsung by expanding its capacity and ordering more high-performance machines from ASML. Many still have doubts that Intel will be able to regain its lead in process technology by 2025, particularly as TSMC decidedly increases its costs to maintain its advantage, but significant changes in its foundry business could back it to evade expected delays and shortages and recover some of its lost market share from AMD.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by FOREXN1
14
Intel Corp.I love this companies financials. I understand what's going on in the semiconductor world. However, I'm thinking about consumer durables like laptops, computer gaming, memory and storage data. I'm not big on speculation but I know we are so dependent upon technology and alot of their products attack a wide range of technological factors. Price is currently at a strong support in my opinion. On the 1 hour time frame, there seems to be to some strong consolidation in this same support area. This could indicate that Intel is currently in its accumulation phase. I've looked at some insider trading as well and noticed that within the last two months, there were purchase on two occasions around this area and a third person sold at $57... I want to see price breakout at some point to the upside as the previous high was broken and the previous support hasn't been reached yet considering a strong consolidation at its current support. Let's see what happens! I'm locked in til 2023. Not advice What do you think?
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Redimere_91
AMD Buy?Its been a rough go for even the most bullish setups on equities lately due to the rocky nature of the macro with recent news of further inflation fears. Nonetheless we continue to hunt for the setups if not for the gains, then most definitely for the learning lessons that the markets can teach us. For this asset, we keep things simple by keying in on an uptrend that has been supporting AMD since May. It is expected that eventually this trend will break, but for now as long the price remains in the trend, buy opportunities exist at the green upward sloping trendline. Once the green sloping line is broken, this will be our time to begin preparing for an exit. The yellow line will be the first level of support should the trend be broken, but ultimately the bears will want to break the red line at $87.86 to confirm. For the bullish case, continue to expect bounces at the green trendline of support until a full body candle closes outside of it on the daily and weekly time frames. A wise profit taking area will be around $93.50. If that level is broken and held as support, a retest of all time highs could be instore for AMD.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradeVibez
Time to Finally Sell NVDA?After a beautiful runup past all time highs weeks ago, NVDA has found itself in a similar position as the Nasdaq by hitting and getting rejected at the first fibonacci extension level. I closed my long in this last week as I saw this level approaching and now it appears that a legit pullback may be coming into reality. So I am bearish.. or am I? Truth be told Nvidia is one of my favorite stocks, so I am aggressively watching for lower levels of re-entry and have been anticipating doing so for weeks now even as it ran up in price. I intend to load up and so I will be watching this closely over the coming days and weeks. The best case scenario short term for Nvidia is that bulls can bullishly engulf and break above the key fib level and hold it as support on the weekly. Until then, shorts or put options seem the most attractive bet in the immediate short term.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TradeVibez
6
IBM More Downside?This is a short-term possibly bearish post within a longer term bullish play. Last week IBM closed out with a big 4.5% drop in one day after news of the CEO resigning. But was this the cause or was something larger perhaps in the chart in play here? Well when we zoom out on the monthly chart, we see back in April this year IBM broke aggressively bullish out of the downward sloping green trendline and went straight to the 0.5 fib level around $153. What was missing on this move however, was a confirming retest of the green trendline. It appears the bulls were front runners of the price, and now the retest of the green broken trendline is still well in play. There is lots of bullish confluence where the price currently sits, however. So it will be interesting to see how IBM's price will behave both this week as well as the remainder of this new month. Right now is a decent area to nibble on a long but be on the lookout for a retest of the green trendline and keep stop losses tight as this has been a roller coaster of an asset.
NYSE:IBM
by TradeVibez
NVIDIA to bottom fib retraction zoneTechnicals and fundamentals supporting short position - Nvidia has risen 25% in the last month to date, suggesting it may have a gap to fill - 90% of gaps get filled -Overbought on every timescale and has rarely stayed above a 80% overbought level for more than a few days, which it is long - Stock split coming in mid-July, which will jumpstart a stock buying spree as the stock becomes more accessible to retail investors…due for a correction before the - Based on this chart, Nvidia has retreated into its bottom fib zone every time after hitting its peak fib zone, which is where it is currently positioned
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by gregnowak
4
Strong Buy Now: The best setup digital AI company on the CSEBoy, I scan companies for a living and although this ones balance sheet (as I write this) may not be the best pick for VALUE today, it is certainly setup well for an earnings surprise going into Q2. The CEO has said they have realized over $1.5M USD of top line revenue with an entire MONTH left in the quarter. Not to mention - he even said he fully expects to see $15M annually in the near to medium term. They closed HUGE contracts - one of which is for 50k retail locations and even have partnered with Intel; their own app RADAR is on Intel's DOMAIN . That is huge material news that's stayed under the radar on the *little volume* CSE. This is my number 1 pick right now; this one will turn a lot of heads super quick. Also the chart is setup nicely for a long. Trade it, hold it, long term hold it whatever you chose to do just BUY it.
CSE:VSBYLong
by GK-Trades
infrastructure play through Intel; Go long INTCSemiconductor manufacturing on United States soil has now become a priority in the infrastructure bill which is one priority that has full bipartisan support as it is a matter of national security and the ability to not rely so heavily on foreign supply chains. If that doesn't scream Intel to you, then I don't know what to tell you. Intel is an American company that is currently investing $20 billion for new fabs in Arizona that will undoubtedly receive some variety of government subsidies. It has found significant support with the 200DMA and recently double bounced off of it breaking from its downtrend from the initial build up at the beginning of the year. 50 0n the RSI should act as some support to build strength as this hated name becomes more widely followed and loved on the Street once again. This is a stock you buy and hold for 10 years. *This is not financial advice, just ideas, do your own DD.*
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by EBITDAtiger