Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
Intelcorporation
Intel ($INTC) at a Crossroads: Breakup Talks, Market PressuresIntel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) finds itself at a critical juncture as reports emerge about Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) exploring potential deals that could split the storied chipmaker into two entities. This revelation comes amidst Intel’s ongoing struggles in maintaining its dominance in the semiconductor industry, intensified by leadership changes, manufacturing setbacks, and increasing market competition.
Broadcom & TSMC’s Interest in Intel
The Wall Street Journal recently reported that Intel rivals Broadcom and TSMC are each considering deals that would divide the company. Broadcom is reportedly analyzing Intel’s chip design and marketing business, with discussions about a potential bid, though any move would depend on securing a partner for Intel’s manufacturing division. Meanwhile, TSMC has expressed interest in taking control of Intel’s chip plants, potentially through an investor consortium.
The U.S. government is closely monitoring these developments, as Intel is viewed as a company of national security significance. Reports indicate that the Trump administration is unlikely to support a foreign entity operating Intel’s U.S. factories, adding an additional layer of complexity to any potential deal.
Intel was a major beneficiary of the Biden administration’s push to onshore semiconductor manufacturing, securing a $7.86 billion government subsidy. However, the company has struggled to execute its ambitious plans. Former CEO Pat Gelsinger set high expectations for Intel’s manufacturing and AI capabilities, but his failure to deliver led to lost contracts, a 60% drop in the company’s stock value in 2023, and layoffs affecting 15% of its workforce.
Technical Outlook
Intel’s stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) closed last Friday’s session down 2.2%, but premarket trading on Monday shows signs of recovery with a 0.06% uptick. The technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC could be on the cusp of a bullish reversal, contingent on broader market sentiment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Intel stood at 68 on Friday. This reading positions the stock near the overbought threshold but also signals that momentum is building towards a potential breakout. Also, Intel is currently trading above key moving averages, reinforcing a bullish sentiment in the near term.
Should a pullback occur, immediate support is found at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a demand zone for NASDAQ:INTC shares. In the event of extreme selling pressure, a drop to the one-month low of $18.50 could materialize, though such a scenario would require a significant bearish catalyst.
If bullish momentum takes hold, a breakout above resistance levels could push Intel’s stock higher, aligning with analyst expectations. The 12-month price forecast for NASDAQ:INTC stands at $25.69—an 8.86% increase from its current price.
Conclusion
Intel’s potential breakup remains speculative, but the fundamental challenges it faces underscore why such discussions are taking place. While concerns about cash flow, leadership changes, and market competition weigh on the stock, technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC may be approaching a bullish reversal.
With a critical trading week ahead, investors should monitor key support and resistance levels while staying informed about any further developments in the Broadcom and TSMC discussions. If Intel successfully capitalizes on government support and restructures its strategy, a resurgence in investor confidence could follow, pushing NASDAQ:INTC back into bullish territory.
Intel Time To Wake UpIntel, which has received a very strong reaction, I think it will now try the above prices. Especially the last 3 dips it made look good. We can also expect a rapid rise when it breaks the falling resistance. I think pullbacks will be a buying opportunity. The 29 area awaits as a serious resistance.
Intel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three DaysIntel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three Days
According to Intel Corporation’s (INTC) stock chart:
→ The price has reached its highest level in 2025.
→ Shares have surged approximately 17% in just three days—the biggest three-day gain since April 2001, when Intel rose by 24.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
MarketWatch attributes the bullish sentiment to several key factors:
→ US Vice President J.D. Vance voiced support for domestic semiconductor production, stating, “To maintain America’s edge, the Trump administration will ensure the most powerful AI systems are developed in the US using American-designed and manufactured chips.”
→ Unlike many of its competitors, Intel both designs and manufactures its chips. Optimism may stem from hopes that government backing for the US semiconductor sector will benefit the company.
→ Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis noted that Intel appears to be strengthening its position in the CPU market, driven by demand for its Emerald Rapids product.
→ Speculation surrounding potential discussions on a partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's largest chipmaker.
Technical Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock
The $19 level has proven to be a strong support, as every attempt to push the price below this mark has failed.
Price fluctuations for INTC outline an ascending channel (marked in blue). While strong demand could drive the stock toward the channel median, the upper red trendline of the broader downtrend may act as resistance—raising the likelihood of a correction following the 17% surge.
Intel (INTC) Stock Forecast
Despite Intel’s stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings, analysts remain cautious.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 1 out of 32 surveyed analysts currently recommends buying INTC stock.
→ The 12-month average price target for INTC is $22.
However, if the broader news flow continues to fuel optimism, more analysts may revise their Intel stock forecasts upward.
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Whether it can rise above 21.34 is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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(INTC 12M chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support near the 18.69-20.62 range and rise above the MS-Signal indicator.
If it falls below 18.69, do not buy and check the situation.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 20.62 and rise to 24.76-26.20.
To do so,
1st: 20.20
2nd: 22.59
The point to watch is whether it can rise above the 1st and 2nd above.
If it falls below 2062, you should check whether it is supported in the 18.69-20.62 section.
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There is a high possibility that a full-scale uptrend will begin when the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart rises above and the price is maintained, so there is no need to rush to buy.
18.69-20.62 The next time to buy is when it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, when it shows support in the 21.34-22.59 section, it is the time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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The Giant's Rebirth: Long-Term Prospects for INTCIn times when the market seems on the verge of falling, opportunities arise that only the most astute investors are able to recognize. We are now witnessing one of those rare moments with INTC. The events of the last few days, in which the CEO was forced to resign or be fired, mark not just a corporate reshuffle, but perhaps a historic turning point. History teaches us that such significant leadership changes are often harbingers of recovery and growth. Watching the price-to-sales drop to levels we've only seen in the darkest times of the past indicates that we may have hit bottom. This is not just a signal, it is a once-in-a-decade chance. INTC now offers us a unique opportunity for long-term investing with minimal risk. We are not talking about short speculation; this is an investment in the future of a company that is on the cusp of new growth. If we look at the patterns of past recoveries, we see that such situations often precede multi-year upturns. Looking at all aspects, I would rate this opportunity as having a tremendous probability of success. We are facing potential huge long-term profits. This is not just an investment; it is a bet on the revitalization of a company that is now at the bottom of its cycle, but with tremendous upside potential. This may be one of those rare occasions when we can buy at the very beginning of a recovery, when all market fears turn into strategic advantages for those willing to look beyond the current news.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Intel - This Support Has To Hold!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is retesting cucial support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping an incredible -60% over the past couple of months, we are finally seeing some stabilization at the current support on Intel. It is also quite likely, that we will see another short covering rally, which would perfectly line up with a rejection away from the support area.
Levels to watch: $20, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
INTC Intel Corporation Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TaIf you haven`t bought the Double Bottom on INTC:
My price target for INTC in 2025 is $30, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Strategic Product Launches and Technological Advancements:
Intel is set to launch its new Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake processors, designed specifically for artificial intelligence (AI) and personal computing. These chips, expected to be manufactured using Intel's advanced 18A process technology, promise significant performance improvements and energy efficiency. The successful rollout of these products could revitalize Intel's position in the competitive CPU market, especially as demand for AI capabilities continues to grow across various sectors. Analysts anticipate that these innovations will contribute to a recovery in Intel's data center and AI segments, which are critical for future revenue growth.
Financial Recovery and Growth Projections:
After experiencing a challenging period marked by declining revenues and operational setbacks, Intel is projected to report a strong recovery by 2025. Analysts expect the company to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of approximately $0.98, a significant rebound from anticipated losses in 2024. Revenue is also expected to grow by about 6%, reaching approximately $55.84 billion, indicating a positive shift in Intel's financial health. This recovery is supported by robust cash flow generation and a healthy balance sheet, which provides the necessary capital for ongoing investments in R&D and production capabilities.
Market Position and Competitive Advantages:
Despite recent challenges, Intel maintains a dominant market share in the global CPU market, estimated at 60-70%. This strong position provides a competitive advantage as the company looks to regain momentum against rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Intel's shift towards an outsourced foundry model will not only enhance production efficiency but also open new revenue streams by manufacturing chips for other companies. This strategic pivot is indicative of Intel's adaptability in a rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
Investor Sentiment and Valuation Potential;
Currently trading at a significant discount relative to its historical valuation metrics, Intel presents an attractive investment opportunity. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remains low compared to industry peers, suggesting potential upside as market sentiment improves with the anticipated product launches and financial recovery. Investors are increasingly optimistic about Intel's long-term prospects, particularly as the company navigates its operational challenges and focuses on innovation.
Intel - New CEO equals bright future?Hi friends, we would be taking a look into Intel, after the recent news that the old CEO has "been retired". Currently on a fundamental level should bring fresh blood to the company, so it can grow accordingly, many of the board members have put on blame on the previous CEO which made the company lag behind it's compettitor. Currently I believe Intel is extremely over-sold as to where is their price,and they need a good upgrade into their product, which by the way is a strong compettetive product in this field of business.
Technical point of view, as stated stock is oversold, we can see that the RSI is trying to formulate a strong Ascending Channel, and we have two very key gaps that need to be covered so we can get back on track and start targeting the 40$ area.
Entry on market open- 20.78$ - I am entering with 2400 shares
Target 1: 26.43
Target 2: 31.42
Target 3: 35.52
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow.
Levels to watch: $20, $27
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel.
I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock
Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history
Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors
There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section
Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company.
Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand
As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade.
When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory
Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively
That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future.
Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years.
I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here.
In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions
The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
Intel CorporationHello community.
Daily chart.
Accumulation zone plotted on the chart.
Simple moving average 200 periods oriented downwards.
Nice gap above the price.
Slight tendency to go back up, but it is timid.
End of the decline?
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
INTEL Breakdown! Bearish Move Smashes First TargetIntel has shown a significant bearish movement on the Risological swing trader after the short entry at 23.36, with the price quickly moving towards the first profit target.
Key Levels
Entry: 23.36 – The short trade was initiated as the price broke below this level, confirming bearish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 23.59 – Positioned slightly above recent resistance to manage risk in case of a price reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 23.07 – The first target, which has been hit, indicating the trade is progressing in the right direction.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22.60 – The second profit-taking level is also hit as the bearish momentum builds.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 22.14 – If selling pressure continues, this is the next target to watch for.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 21.85 – The ultimate profit target, signaling a significant downward move.
Trend Analysis
The price is moving downward sharply, breaking below the support of the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong bearish trend. The sharp drop shows significant selling pressure, which suggests further downside potential.
With TP1 reached, the next targets at 22.60 and 22.14 are in focus as the bearish momentum continues. If the trend holds, there’s a strong possibility of achieving TP4 at 21.85.
Intel’s sharp breakdown following the short entry at 23.36 has resulted in hitting the first profit target at 23.07. With strong bearish momentum and the price moving below the Risological Dotted trendline, further downside targets are likely to be achieved if this trend continues.
Intel GAP fill then ATHLong term calls for about two years out on INTEL is a sure fire play.
Leadership restructuring, AI chips, and a company with too much to lose.
Intel is still the number one choice for any windows pc.
It did not deserve to go down, easiest play in history, and is not going to dip under MA180, if it gets near the MA180 I would load up on a position surely or average down. Its climbing slowly and I doubt the company would get sold, if it did I can only see it becoming more bullish.
Feel free to voice your opinions in comment section bellow.
Thanks
Ben
Intel - Back To A Bullish Market!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly rejected a major previous support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After being cut in half multiple times over the past couple of months, Intel finally managed to reverse at a strong previous support level. However market structure is still clearly not bullish and Intel has to break above the next resistance to start creating a new overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $26, $20
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intel stock down 70%...opportunity?Good Morning Testosterone Traders,
Intel has been brought to my attention
Intel stock is down 70% from the pandemic era price of $67 per share , and now actively trading around $21 per share as of this posting.
I am confident to add Intel to my long-term portfolio.
Share your thoughts....
Intel's $3.5 Billion Deal: A New Dawn for the Chip Giant?Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) made headlines with its stock climbing 1.22% in premarket trading on Monday, buoyed by reports of a potential $3.5 billion federal grant to manufacture advanced semiconductors for the U.S. Department of Defense. This deal, part of the Pentagon's "Secure Enclave" initiative, could mark a major turning point for Intel as it looks to reclaim its dominance in the global semiconductor space, a market increasingly vital to both civilian and military applications.
Rebuilding with Secure Enclave
The $3.5 billion federal grant Intel is expected to secure is part of the U.S. government's efforts to reduce reliance on foreign semiconductor manufacturers. Intel has emerged as the front-runner for the Secure Enclave program, which focuses on developing chips for military and intelligence use. While foreign competitors like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung are also constructing U.S.-based plants with the help of the Chips and Science Act, Intel stands out due to its status as an American company with deep ties to national security interests.
The funding will help Intel build and expand its production facilities across multiple states, including Arizona, Ohio, New Mexico, and Oregon, reinforcing its position as a key player in the domestic chipmaking industry. This comes at a time when the U.S. government is laser-focused on revitalizing semiconductor manufacturing and reducing reliance on Asian suppliers, especially in light of recent global supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions.
Intel is also set to benefit from a separate potential $8.5 billion in grants and $11 billion in loans under the Chips Act, further bolstering its financial position. However, the disbursement of these funds is yet to commence, and the current Secure Enclave grant offers a more immediate lifeline.
Intel’s broader manufacturing strategy, however, has not been without its challenges. A disappointing earnings report last month raised questions about CEO Pat Gelsinger’s global investment plans, forcing Intel to reconsider its priorities. Delays or cancellations in overseas projects may ensue, but U.S. facilities, especially those in Arizona and Ohio, are expected to proceed without disruptions.
Signs of a Reversal
From a technical standpoint, Intel's stock has been trading within a falling trend channel for a prolonged period. However, recent price movements suggest that a reversal could be on the horizon. As of Friday’s close, NASDAQ:INTC ended the session up 1.55%, breaking out from the ceiling of a bullish horizontal trend chart pattern. This breakout, combined with Monday's premarket rise, signals growing optimism surrounding Intel's prospects.
The relative strength index (RSI) of 29.51 is another encouraging sign. A low RSI typically indicates that a stock is oversold and could be primed for a rebound. With Intel's RSI not yet entering overbought territory, there is ample room for upward momentum, especially given the positive news cycle around its government contracts and U.S. manufacturing ambitions.
Key support levels for Intel lie around the $30 mark, a crucial pivot point in its long-term price action. Should the stock sustain its current uptrend, a move past $35 could set the stage for further gains. Conversely, if selling pressure resumes, the stock could revisit its recent lows, but the Secure Enclave deal may serve as a buffer against significant downside risks.
The Road Ahead
While Intel’s immediate future looks promising, the road ahead is not without its risks. The company still relies on Taiwan Semiconductor for some of its most advanced chips, a fact that underscores the limitations of its current manufacturing capabilities. Furthermore, Intel's ability to successfully deliver on the Pentagon’s demands will depend on its ability to innovate and scale production, areas where it has struggled in recent years.
That said, Intel’s growing relationship with the U.S. government, bolstered by the Secure Enclave initiative and the Chips Act funding, positions the company well for future growth. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, with national security and technological leadership at the forefront, Intel has a unique opportunity to redefine its role on the global stage.
Conclusion
Intel’s $3.5 billion deal with the U.S. Department of Defense signals renewed confidence in the chipmaker's ability to contribute to critical industries. This deal represents a key milestone in Intel’s broader efforts to revitalize its manufacturing capabilities, while the technical outlook hints at a potential reversal in its stock price. With favorable government backing and promising technical indicators, Intel may be on the cusp of breaking out of its prolonged downtrend, offering investors renewed hope for future growth. However, the company’s reliance on external partners and the global competitive landscape remain key factors to watch.
Intel Corporation ($INTC) - Potential Squeeze After Rate CutIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is setting up for an exciting squeeze potential following an anticipated rate cut. Here's why the technical landscape could be shaping up for a big move:
Fibonacci Support Holding Strong
The stock is currently holding well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a critical area of support. Historically, holding this level is a strong indicator that a reversal could be imminent. A rate cut would provide a fundamental catalyst to accelerate a recovery from this level, as lower borrowing costs typically improve market sentiment, especially for large-cap tech stocks like Intel.
Worst-Case Scenario: Testing $13–$14 Support
While we are optimistic about the current setup, the worst-case scenario to watch for is a potential retest of the $13–$14 range. This level marks a significant historical support zone and, if touched, could provide a final flush-out of weak hands before the stock rebounds. Should this happen, it would likely signal a capitulation event, paving the way for long-term bulls to step back in at attractive prices.
Squeeze Potential and Rebound Targets
If Intel holds its current Fibonacci support, we could be setting up for a short squeeze driven by fresh liquidity entering the market post-rate cut. With technical and fundamental catalysts aligning, the stock has potential to rally toward the $40+ level over the medium term. This would mark a massive rebound, and a retest of previous highs would not be out of the question.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: 0.786 Fib level
Worst-Case Support: $13–$14
Upside Target: $40+
Intel - (Much) Lower from here!NASDAQ:INTC is about to create such a massive higher timeframe candle - a drop is immanent!
Within one month, a setup played out and we are back to beginning. During the past 30 days, Intel rejected the support towards the upside with a move of +25% and immediately reversed the entire move. The monthly candle will close so bearish, I do expect a break below the current short term support, followed by a retest of the multi-year long support area.
Levels to watch: $30, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Intel Faces Potential Exit from the DOW Amid Market StrugglesIntel Corp. ( NASDAQ:INTC ), once a dominant force in the tech industry, now faces the risk of being removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a position it has held since 1999. This possible removal could mark a significant blow to Intel’s already tarnished reputation, as the American chipmaker grapples with a host of challenges that have led to a dramatic decline in its stock price.
Declining Performance and Missed Opportunities
Intel's shares have plunged nearly 60% this year, making it the worst-performing stock on the Dow. The company has been struggling to keep pace with its competitors, missing out on major opportunities such as the artificial intelligence boom after passing on an early investment in OpenAI. This misstep, combined with mounting losses in its contract manufacturing unit, has placed Intel in a precarious financial position.
To counter its downturn, Intel has undertaken drastic measures, including suspending its dividend and announcing layoffs that affect 15% of its workforce. However, many analysts believe these steps are not enough to reverse the company's fortunes. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, stated, "Intel being removed was likely a long time coming," highlighting the company’s prolonged struggles.
Implications of Dow Removal
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, unlike the S&P 500, is price-weighted, meaning stock price plays a crucial role in the inclusion of its members. Currently, Intel’s stock price is the lowest on the Dow, making it the least influential component of the index with a meager 0.32% weightage. Intel’s removal would not only be a symbolic blow but could also further depress its share price, which has already plummeted by over 70% from its all-time high in August 2000.
While S&P Dow Jones Indices has not commented on whether Intel’s removal is imminent, the possibility looms larger than ever, with market experts pointing to potential replacements like Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) or Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ). Nvidia, which has seen a 160% surge in share value this year thanks to its leadership in AI chips, is a strong contender, although some consider it too volatile for the Dow. Texas Instruments, with its stable stock price and significant U.S. production capabilities, could also be a fitting replacement.
Mixed Signals Amid Downtrend
From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock has been exhibiting mixed signals. Despite a brief uptick of 9.49% in Friday's extended trading, the stock has struggled to maintain momentum, down 1.3% in Tuesday’s premarket trading. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45.98 suggests that the stock is not yet oversold but is hovering close to the oversold territory, indicating potential for growth if market conditions improve. A move towards the RSI level of 30 would typically signal oversold conditions and could spark a rebound, but Intel’s current RSI level reflects ongoing uncertainty.
Intel’s chart pattern also reveals a struggling trajectory, with limited bullish indicators. The stock price has been unable to sustain higher levels, reflecting broader concerns about Intel’s future prospects. Investors are keenly watching for signs of stabilization, but the technical outlook remains cautious.
What’s Next for Intel?
Intel’s battle to remain in the Dow highlights broader issues within the company, from strategic missteps to financial woes. The potential removal from the prestigious index underscores the urgent need for Intel to rethink its approach and regain its competitive edge. Whether through revamping its business model, making strategic investments, or improving operational efficiencies, Intel must act swiftly to restore investor confidence.
As the chipmaker faces critical decisions, both technical and fundamental factors will play crucial roles in shaping its future. Investors should closely monitor Intel’s next moves, as the coming months will be pivotal in determining whether Intel can overcome its challenges or continue its slide into obscurity.