Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow.
Levels to watch: $20, $27
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intelcorporation
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel.
I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock
Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history
Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors
There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section
Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company.
Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand
As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade.
When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory
Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively
That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future.
Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years.
I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here.
In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions
The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
Intel CorporationHello community.
Daily chart.
Accumulation zone plotted on the chart.
Simple moving average 200 periods oriented downwards.
Nice gap above the price.
Slight tendency to go back up, but it is timid.
End of the decline?
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
INTEL Breakdown! Bearish Move Smashes First TargetIntel has shown a significant bearish movement on the Risological swing trader after the short entry at 23.36, with the price quickly moving towards the first profit target.
Key Levels
Entry: 23.36 – The short trade was initiated as the price broke below this level, confirming bearish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 23.59 – Positioned slightly above recent resistance to manage risk in case of a price reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 23.07 – The first target, which has been hit, indicating the trade is progressing in the right direction.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22.60 – The second profit-taking level is also hit as the bearish momentum builds.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 22.14 – If selling pressure continues, this is the next target to watch for.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 21.85 – The ultimate profit target, signaling a significant downward move.
Trend Analysis
The price is moving downward sharply, breaking below the support of the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong bearish trend. The sharp drop shows significant selling pressure, which suggests further downside potential.
With TP1 reached, the next targets at 22.60 and 22.14 are in focus as the bearish momentum continues. If the trend holds, there’s a strong possibility of achieving TP4 at 21.85.
Intel’s sharp breakdown following the short entry at 23.36 has resulted in hitting the first profit target at 23.07. With strong bearish momentum and the price moving below the Risological Dotted trendline, further downside targets are likely to be achieved if this trend continues.
Intel GAP fill then ATHLong term calls for about two years out on INTEL is a sure fire play.
Leadership restructuring, AI chips, and a company with too much to lose.
Intel is still the number one choice for any windows pc.
It did not deserve to go down, easiest play in history, and is not going to dip under MA180, if it gets near the MA180 I would load up on a position surely or average down. Its climbing slowly and I doubt the company would get sold, if it did I can only see it becoming more bullish.
Feel free to voice your opinions in comment section bellow.
Thanks
Ben
Intel - Back To A Bullish Market!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly rejected a major previous support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After being cut in half multiple times over the past couple of months, Intel finally managed to reverse at a strong previous support level. However market structure is still clearly not bullish and Intel has to break above the next resistance to start creating a new overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $26, $20
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
Intel stock down 70%...opportunity?Good Morning Testosterone Traders,
Intel has been brought to my attention
Intel stock is down 70% from the pandemic era price of $67 per share , and now actively trading around $21 per share as of this posting.
I am confident to add Intel to my long-term portfolio.
Share your thoughts....
Intel's $3.5 Billion Deal: A New Dawn for the Chip Giant?Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) made headlines with its stock climbing 1.22% in premarket trading on Monday, buoyed by reports of a potential $3.5 billion federal grant to manufacture advanced semiconductors for the U.S. Department of Defense. This deal, part of the Pentagon's "Secure Enclave" initiative, could mark a major turning point for Intel as it looks to reclaim its dominance in the global semiconductor space, a market increasingly vital to both civilian and military applications.
Rebuilding with Secure Enclave
The $3.5 billion federal grant Intel is expected to secure is part of the U.S. government's efforts to reduce reliance on foreign semiconductor manufacturers. Intel has emerged as the front-runner for the Secure Enclave program, which focuses on developing chips for military and intelligence use. While foreign competitors like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung are also constructing U.S.-based plants with the help of the Chips and Science Act, Intel stands out due to its status as an American company with deep ties to national security interests.
The funding will help Intel build and expand its production facilities across multiple states, including Arizona, Ohio, New Mexico, and Oregon, reinforcing its position as a key player in the domestic chipmaking industry. This comes at a time when the U.S. government is laser-focused on revitalizing semiconductor manufacturing and reducing reliance on Asian suppliers, especially in light of recent global supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions.
Intel is also set to benefit from a separate potential $8.5 billion in grants and $11 billion in loans under the Chips Act, further bolstering its financial position. However, the disbursement of these funds is yet to commence, and the current Secure Enclave grant offers a more immediate lifeline.
Intel’s broader manufacturing strategy, however, has not been without its challenges. A disappointing earnings report last month raised questions about CEO Pat Gelsinger’s global investment plans, forcing Intel to reconsider its priorities. Delays or cancellations in overseas projects may ensue, but U.S. facilities, especially those in Arizona and Ohio, are expected to proceed without disruptions.
Signs of a Reversal
From a technical standpoint, Intel's stock has been trading within a falling trend channel for a prolonged period. However, recent price movements suggest that a reversal could be on the horizon. As of Friday’s close, NASDAQ:INTC ended the session up 1.55%, breaking out from the ceiling of a bullish horizontal trend chart pattern. This breakout, combined with Monday's premarket rise, signals growing optimism surrounding Intel's prospects.
The relative strength index (RSI) of 29.51 is another encouraging sign. A low RSI typically indicates that a stock is oversold and could be primed for a rebound. With Intel's RSI not yet entering overbought territory, there is ample room for upward momentum, especially given the positive news cycle around its government contracts and U.S. manufacturing ambitions.
Key support levels for Intel lie around the $30 mark, a crucial pivot point in its long-term price action. Should the stock sustain its current uptrend, a move past $35 could set the stage for further gains. Conversely, if selling pressure resumes, the stock could revisit its recent lows, but the Secure Enclave deal may serve as a buffer against significant downside risks.
The Road Ahead
While Intel’s immediate future looks promising, the road ahead is not without its risks. The company still relies on Taiwan Semiconductor for some of its most advanced chips, a fact that underscores the limitations of its current manufacturing capabilities. Furthermore, Intel's ability to successfully deliver on the Pentagon’s demands will depend on its ability to innovate and scale production, areas where it has struggled in recent years.
That said, Intel’s growing relationship with the U.S. government, bolstered by the Secure Enclave initiative and the Chips Act funding, positions the company well for future growth. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, with national security and technological leadership at the forefront, Intel has a unique opportunity to redefine its role on the global stage.
Conclusion
Intel’s $3.5 billion deal with the U.S. Department of Defense signals renewed confidence in the chipmaker's ability to contribute to critical industries. This deal represents a key milestone in Intel’s broader efforts to revitalize its manufacturing capabilities, while the technical outlook hints at a potential reversal in its stock price. With favorable government backing and promising technical indicators, Intel may be on the cusp of breaking out of its prolonged downtrend, offering investors renewed hope for future growth. However, the company’s reliance on external partners and the global competitive landscape remain key factors to watch.
Intel Corporation ($INTC) - Potential Squeeze After Rate CutIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is setting up for an exciting squeeze potential following an anticipated rate cut. Here's why the technical landscape could be shaping up for a big move:
Fibonacci Support Holding Strong
The stock is currently holding well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a critical area of support. Historically, holding this level is a strong indicator that a reversal could be imminent. A rate cut would provide a fundamental catalyst to accelerate a recovery from this level, as lower borrowing costs typically improve market sentiment, especially for large-cap tech stocks like Intel.
Worst-Case Scenario: Testing $13–$14 Support
While we are optimistic about the current setup, the worst-case scenario to watch for is a potential retest of the $13–$14 range. This level marks a significant historical support zone and, if touched, could provide a final flush-out of weak hands before the stock rebounds. Should this happen, it would likely signal a capitulation event, paving the way for long-term bulls to step back in at attractive prices.
Squeeze Potential and Rebound Targets
If Intel holds its current Fibonacci support, we could be setting up for a short squeeze driven by fresh liquidity entering the market post-rate cut. With technical and fundamental catalysts aligning, the stock has potential to rally toward the $40+ level over the medium term. This would mark a massive rebound, and a retest of previous highs would not be out of the question.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: 0.786 Fib level
Worst-Case Support: $13–$14
Upside Target: $40+
Intel - (Much) Lower from here!NASDAQ:INTC is about to create such a massive higher timeframe candle - a drop is immanent!
Within one month, a setup played out and we are back to beginning. During the past 30 days, Intel rejected the support towards the upside with a move of +25% and immediately reversed the entire move. The monthly candle will close so bearish, I do expect a break below the current short term support, followed by a retest of the multi-year long support area.
Levels to watch: $30, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Intel Faces Potential Exit from the DOW Amid Market StrugglesIntel Corp. ( NASDAQ:INTC ), once a dominant force in the tech industry, now faces the risk of being removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a position it has held since 1999. This possible removal could mark a significant blow to Intel’s already tarnished reputation, as the American chipmaker grapples with a host of challenges that have led to a dramatic decline in its stock price.
Declining Performance and Missed Opportunities
Intel's shares have plunged nearly 60% this year, making it the worst-performing stock on the Dow. The company has been struggling to keep pace with its competitors, missing out on major opportunities such as the artificial intelligence boom after passing on an early investment in OpenAI. This misstep, combined with mounting losses in its contract manufacturing unit, has placed Intel in a precarious financial position.
To counter its downturn, Intel has undertaken drastic measures, including suspending its dividend and announcing layoffs that affect 15% of its workforce. However, many analysts believe these steps are not enough to reverse the company's fortunes. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, stated, "Intel being removed was likely a long time coming," highlighting the company’s prolonged struggles.
Implications of Dow Removal
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, unlike the S&P 500, is price-weighted, meaning stock price plays a crucial role in the inclusion of its members. Currently, Intel’s stock price is the lowest on the Dow, making it the least influential component of the index with a meager 0.32% weightage. Intel’s removal would not only be a symbolic blow but could also further depress its share price, which has already plummeted by over 70% from its all-time high in August 2000.
While S&P Dow Jones Indices has not commented on whether Intel’s removal is imminent, the possibility looms larger than ever, with market experts pointing to potential replacements like Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) or Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ). Nvidia, which has seen a 160% surge in share value this year thanks to its leadership in AI chips, is a strong contender, although some consider it too volatile for the Dow. Texas Instruments, with its stable stock price and significant U.S. production capabilities, could also be a fitting replacement.
Mixed Signals Amid Downtrend
From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock has been exhibiting mixed signals. Despite a brief uptick of 9.49% in Friday's extended trading, the stock has struggled to maintain momentum, down 1.3% in Tuesday’s premarket trading. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45.98 suggests that the stock is not yet oversold but is hovering close to the oversold territory, indicating potential for growth if market conditions improve. A move towards the RSI level of 30 would typically signal oversold conditions and could spark a rebound, but Intel’s current RSI level reflects ongoing uncertainty.
Intel’s chart pattern also reveals a struggling trajectory, with limited bullish indicators. The stock price has been unable to sustain higher levels, reflecting broader concerns about Intel’s future prospects. Investors are keenly watching for signs of stabilization, but the technical outlook remains cautious.
What’s Next for Intel?
Intel’s battle to remain in the Dow highlights broader issues within the company, from strategic missteps to financial woes. The potential removal from the prestigious index underscores the urgent need for Intel to rethink its approach and regain its competitive edge. Whether through revamping its business model, making strategic investments, or improving operational efficiencies, Intel must act swiftly to restore investor confidence.
As the chipmaker faces critical decisions, both technical and fundamental factors will play crucial roles in shaping its future. Investors should closely monitor Intel’s next moves, as the coming months will be pivotal in determining whether Intel can overcome its challenges or continue its slide into obscurity.
The Price of Intel (INTC) Shares Rose By 9.5% in a DayThe Price of Intel (INTC) Shares Rose By 9.5% in a Day
The reason for the optimism is a report from Reuters that CEO Pat Gelsinger is planning to present a comprehensive plan to the board of directors in mid-September:
→ Special attention will be given to reducing capital expenditures, which is part of a broader effort to revitalise the chipmaker, whose shares have experienced a dramatic decline. It’s worth noting that on 2 August, the price of Intel (INTC) shares dropped by 26% in a single day following the release of disappointing quarterly results and projections, which greatly disheartened investors.
→ The plan also considers the sale of businesses, including the Altera division. Reportedly, Intel has enlisted Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to advise on the sale of these assets.
→ Additionally, Intel aims to reduce its workforce by more than 15%, with the majority of the cuts expected to be completed by the end of 2024.
Investors were encouraged by the news that the management is ready to take decisive action. As Gelsinger recently stated, "We respect the scepticism we’ve received from the market. We believe we’re ready to meet the challenge."
Technical analysis of the INTC stock chart indicates that:
→ Since 2021, the price has been in a downtrend, indicated by the descending channel on the chart. The lower boundary of the channel acted as resistance, halting the price decline in August.
→ The W-shaped formation that has developed over the past month is a type of bullish double-bottom pattern, which is reinforced by the psychological level of $20.
→ Yesterday’s trading opened with a bullish gap, and during the session, the price rose above the highs set after 2 August.
Thus, the price action suggests that market participants are hopeful that Intel will overcome its challenges. It is possible that, in light of the news related to the comprehensive plan to improve the company’s efficiency, the price could reach the $25 level.
According to the average estimates of analysts surveyed by TipRanks, the target price for INTC is $27.32 over the next 12 months. Only 1 out of 32 analysts recommends buying INTC shares.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Technical Analysis on Intel (INTC)Using long-term volume analysis with the Volume Profile, we observe that Intel's ( INTC ) current price has moved below a significant monthly Point of Control (POC). To gain a clearer perspective, it will be crucial to wait for the monthly close to determine whether the price remains above or below this POC level.
By zooming in to the daily or H4 timeframe, we notice a potential rounding formation in both the candlesticks and volume, indicating a possible shift in trend direction.
Bullish Scenario:
To confirm a bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for a monthly close above the POC. This signal will be strengthened if the volumes increase as well.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price stays below the POC, the bearish scenario suggests potential targets, as illustrated in the image below. It may be possible to consider short entries at the levels indicated as Target 2 and Target 3.
Intel Stock Surges Over 8% Amid Strategic ExplorationOverview:
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) saw its stock rise more than 8% in early trading on Friday, sparking optimism among investors weary of the chipmaker’s prolonged slump. The surge followed reports that Intel is working with investment bankers to explore strategic options, including a possible business split or merger. This news arrives as the company grapples with financial setbacks and struggles to catch up with competitors like Nvidia and AMD in the AI-driven chip market.
Strategic Moves to Reignite Growth:
According to Bloomberg News, Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) is considering a range of options that could fundamentally alter its business structure. Among the possibilities is the separation of its flagship product division from its loss-making manufacturing unit, which has been a drag on overall performance. Intel’s efforts to expand its foundry services and chip production capabilities have strained its finances, prompting the company to reevaluate its investment priorities. The company is also reportedly contemplating the cancellation of some factory projects, a move that would help alleviate capital expenditures and refocus resources on more profitable ventures.
These potential changes come as Intel’s market value recently dipped below the $100 billion mark, a first in three decades. The strategic review, which involves financial advisors like Morgan Stanley, reflects Intel’s urgency to regain investor confidence and reposition itself in a competitive market increasingly dominated by rivals.
Fundamental Analysis:
Intel’s recent struggles are well-documented, with the stock plummeting nearly 60% this year alone. The downturn has been exacerbated by a disappointing earnings report in August, a decision to pause dividend payments, and a series of layoffs impacting 15% of its workforce. These challenges highlight Intel’s ongoing difficulties in executing its turnaround plan under CEO Pat Gelsinger.
Despite the headwinds, Intel’s decision to explore strategic alternatives could mark a pivotal moment for the company. A split or divestiture of underperforming units may unlock value and allow Intel to focus on core competencies, such as chip design and innovation. The company’s latest developments also coincide with Gelsinger’s commitment to launching next-gen processors like the Lunar Lake, which are expected to enhance Intel’s position in the laptop market.
However, the path to recovery won’t be easy. Intel continues to lag behind Nvidia and AMD, especially in the AI chip space, where both competitors have gained substantial market share. Nvidia’s dominance in GPUs, which are critical for AI applications, has left Intel struggling to stay relevant in an industry that is rapidly evolving.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. As of this writing, the stock is trading up 9%, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45, indicating it is neither overbought nor oversold and suggesting room for additional upward momentum. The daily price chart reveals a gap-down pattern that Intel appears poised to fill, which aligns with common trading strategies that anticipate price recovery in such scenarios.
However, caution is warranted as Intel’s stock is currently trading below key moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Moving Averages (MA). This positioning underscores the stock’s ongoing challenges and serves as a reminder that while the recent rally is encouraging, the overall trend remains bearish.
Investor Sentiment and Market Impact:
Investor sentiment around Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) has been decidedly bearish for much of 2024, with many attributing the company’s decline to missed opportunities in the AI boom and operational missteps. Intel’s consideration of strategic options is seen as a proactive step to address these concerns, and the initial market reaction suggests that investors are hopeful about the potential outcomes.
Analysts note that a split or divestiture could provide Intel with much-needed focus and financial flexibility, allowing it to better navigate the competitive landscape. The company’s ability to pivot and implement these changes effectively will be crucial in determining its future trajectory.
Conclusion:
Intel’s exploration of strategic alternatives has provided a glimmer of hope for investors amid a challenging year. While the stock remains under pressure, both technically and fundamentally, the proactive steps being taken by management signal a willingness to address longstanding issues. With room for growth indicated by technical indicators and the potential for significant business restructuring, Intel’s future will largely depend on its execution of these strategic options.
For now, the market’s positive response reflects cautious optimism that Intel can turn the corner and reestablish itself as a formidable player in the semiconductor industry. Investors should keep a close watch on the upcoming board meeting in September, where Intel’s advisors are expected to present their recommendations—a pivotal moment that could shape the company’s direction for years to come.
Intel | INTC | Long at $20This is going to be purely about technical analysis since Intel NASDAQ:INTC has a 90x P/E and has not proven themselves to be a viable challenger in the semiconductor market (yet...). Bad news could continue to destroy this ticker, but without that news, there could be some recovery in the near term.
The NASDAQ:INTC chart is in an overall downward trend. However, based on a few of my selected simply moving averages (SMAs), there is some predictability around support/resistance areas. Some of my favorite setups are a nice bounce on the lowest (green) selected SMA, occurring in October 2022 for a "rip then dip" to the second lowest (blue) - which it hit now. Often, but not always (I can't stress this enough), this green to blue SMA bounce represents a very strong support area during a downward trend. The other move is a further dip to retest the green SMA, but I suspect that would come with tremendously bad news for Intel... let's hope not, though.
Currently, NASDAQ:INTC is in a personal buy zone at $20.00 based on technical analysis only. A stop has been set if it drops below the blue SMA (which is may further test).
Target #1 = $28.00
Target #2 = $32.00
Target #3 = $60.00+ (very long-term, but high-risk unless fundamentals change)
Intel - Is this for real?NASDAQ:INTC created a top formation and is dropping hashly ever since - be careful!
Click image above to see detailed analysis
Catching falling knifes will go wrong 9 out of 10 times and you will cut yourself very badly. Just in a couple of months, Intel is down about -65% and is not slowing down at all. This honestly seems like the possibility of bankruptcy is not that far away and investors and trader should be extra careful. We have support coming soon, but the question is: will it stabilize price?
Levels to watch: $18
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Intel Shares Plummet 28% Amid Disappointing Q2 EarningsIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) witnessed a staggering 28% drop in its stock price on Friday, sending shockwaves through the semiconductor industry and contributing to a broader tech sector decline. The company's disappointing second-quarter earnings report, coupled with a significant workforce reduction plan, has raised serious concerns about its future prospects.
A Stark Earnings Miss and Workforce Reduction
Intel's Q2 earnings report fell significantly short of expectations, sparking a steep decline in its stock price. The company reported a substantial earnings miss and revealed plans to lay off more than 15% of its employees as part of a $10 billion cost-reduction strategy. This announcement marks one of the most severe stock declines for Intel in recent history, reminiscent of the tech bust of 2000.
The semiconductor giant's revenue and profit figures for the June quarter were notably below analyst estimates, exacerbating investor anxiety. The company's decision to implement significant layoffs underscores the challenging landscape it faces as it struggles to compete with rivals who are capitalizing on the AI boom.
Global Semiconductor Stocks Take a Hit
Intel's dismal performance had a ripple effect across the global semiconductor industry. Major Asian and European chipmakers saw their stock prices tumble in response. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and Samsung, two of the world's leading semiconductor companies, experienced notable declines of 4.6% and over 4%, respectively. SK Hynix, a key supplier to Nvidia, closed more than 10% lower, highlighting the widespread impact of Intel's struggles.
In Europe, semiconductor firms such as ASML, ASMI, STMicroelectronics, and Infineon also faced significant losses. ASML, which provides essential tools for chip manufacturing, saw its shares drop by over 8%, while ASMI fell by 9%. The negative sentiment surrounding Intel's results further fueled the global sell-off in tech stocks.
Broader Market Impact
The repercussions of Intel's disappointing earnings were felt across the broader market. The Nasdaq 100 index, heavily weighted with tech stocks, was particularly affected, dragging down overall market performance. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which tracks major names in the semiconductor sector, closed roughly 6.5% lower on Thursday.
Adding to the market's woes, U.S. stock futures saw significant declines on Friday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 317 points (0.8%), S&P 500 futures decreased by 1.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell by 1.8%. The anticipation of a critical July payrolls report further contributed to the cautious market sentiment.
A Mixed Picture for the Semiconductor Sector
Intel's struggles come amid a mixed performance across the semiconductor sector. While companies like Nvidia and AMD continue to thrive due to the AI boom, others like Qualcomm and Arm are yet to see similar benefits reflected in their financial results. This divergence underscores the varied impacts of AI investments within the industry.
Nvidia, in particular, faces additional scrutiny as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) investigates potential antitrust violations related to its dominance in the AI chip market. Despite these challenges, Nvidia maintains that it competes based on decades of investment and innovation, and is prepared to cooperate with regulators.
Intel's Strategic Vision and Challenges
Despite the grim immediate outlook, Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger remains committed to the company's long-term strategy. Gelsinger reiterated Intel's ambitious "5 nodes in 4 years" plan, aimed at advancing its foundry business and catching up with TSMC. This initiative includes the critical 18A process node, which is expected to power some of Intel's most important products in the coming years.
Technical Outlook
Intel stock ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has dropped 29% and currently has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 16.66, indicating it is oversold, with potential for further decline to an RSI of 10 due to a significant downward gap on the daily price chart. You can exploit these gaps through various strategies, such as buying after-hours following positive fundamental reports to anticipate a gap up, or entering positions at the start of price movements.
Conclusion
Intel's latest earnings report has cast a shadow over the semiconductor industry, triggering a substantial sell-off and raising questions about the company's future. While Intel's long-term strategy shows promise, the immediate challenges and market reaction underscore the difficulties it faces in navigating the competitive landscape. As the tech sector grapples with these developments, all eyes will be on Intel's next moves and their potential impact on the broader market.
Intel - Retest, reversal and rejection!NASDAQ:INTC has been establishing a slight bullish trend over the past couple of years.
A clear trend is the basis of every profitable trade, right? Yes and no. You should primarily focus on trading trends and entering positions during such phases. But Intel is a textbook example of a range bound stock; still there are trading opportunities everywhere. Currently Intel is retesting support and is starting to reverse towards the upside. But please: Manage your risk properly.
Levels to watch: $30, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading