$SSFT The Undervalued AI company This silicon valley company is finally ready to soar. After 2 years of preliminary work for AI tech along with 3 acquisitions they are ready to monetize their Flagship product NuGene AI.
Movement in the stock started after new years and since then it's rising ona steady path. Daily volume is increased lately but still low even for a penny stock. Higher volume means higher price in this case.
Chart shows a great opportunity after the last dip.
Currently both Stoch and MFI indicator hit the bottom. Another bottom indicator VIX fix showed us tall green bars signalling the bottom. And Average Sentimnt Oscillator(AOS) shows us that the buyer sentiment is rising sharply.
Lastly TD sequential marked 8th and 9th steps on the chart signalling a reversal here.
Good are to enter...
If it breaks down this rising channel it might fall down to 0.10 level. But that doesn't seem likely given that there are big buyers between here and there.
Intelligence
The adventures of leveraged naked ootm option sellersAh the famous "free money" option sellers.
Ah the famous strangle strategy.
Option sellers. Ok.
Naked option sellers. Sooo...?
Way out of the money naked option sellers. Let me think...
Way out of the money strangle naked option sellers. Getting good.
Ultra Leveraged Way Out Of The Money Strangle Naked Option Sellers. Oh boy.
Ultra Leveraged Way Out Of The Money Strangle Naked Option Sellers That Never Cut Their Losses. Not fair for other Darwin award contestants!.
They have to be doing it on purpose.
A strangle is an absolutely garbage strategy where the writer sells (slightly) out of the money options on both sides.
The maximum profit happens when the price stays between both strike rates. Not going to make a full explanation and a drawing, but what is important is it involves option sellers that take small premiums win very often but are at high to unlimited risk.
The premium basically means that even if the price goes against you a bit you are still in the green. Out of the money means you have even more breathing space before the price gets to a losing area, and then additionally you have the opposite side premium as additional "breathing room", which in all means the price has to move very much for you to even start being worried. But when it goes that far... careful.
Depending on how out of the money the option is the premium can get pretty low... So the option seller won't make alot of money. There is no free lunch.
A summary of those strategy is "Picking up pennies in front of freight trains."
Ok here is a drawing xd
A few people use this, and I know it is taught by Tom Sosnoff that runs a brokerage. You might recognize him in some old documentary & interviews about the 1987 (he was a market maker obligated to buy people bags and "add to loser" and they all were running out of liquidity & had to beg banks for more money so the whole system would not collapse). He is the creator of thinkorswim that he sold to TD Ameritrade for a big bag of money.
He published a video recently where he bashed the robinhood effect where down synd- er I mean young credulous investors (and legends like Portnoy) are getting enabled to gamble on risky & complex products they do not understand. Oh wait no he praised it all, said it was wonderful and a new paradigm. Sad. "Hurray optimism" (until the suicide). Not sure what my opinion of him is right now.
On the long run those strangle work, and ... well I can't say any idiot can do those clearly with all the clowns blowing up ... but it does not require any prediction ability (you are better off if you can predict low volatility thought), it is maybe complex to understand for novices at first but rather "easy".
Someone running such a strategy will often win, and get consistant profits, but the profits are just... small. And funds or individuals using this strategy have to be prepared for big moves that sometimes happen and have a plan to hedge at some point.
Tom Sosnoff tells people to "trade small trade often" (another broker telling people to trade often gee didn't expect that).
Since this strategy makes little profit, fools have a tendancy to use leverage, sometimes alot.
Warren Buffet once said, or more than once, way more, that leverage was the best way to wipe out your wealth.
Especially when mixed with ignorance. He uses leverage himself, but not like this, not like these guys...
The only way I see leverage maybe making sense with those strategies is say you make 1% a year, so you'd put 90% of your money in a mix of equity indices & risk free with low correlation, then use 10 leverage on the remaining 10% that is used to write options, keep risk managed, so then you make 10% on the 10% and if something goes real wrong you have deep pockets, 9 times the amount... Using a bit or even 2-3 times more capital and more leverage too would not even result in getting wiped out for those that did. They REALLY asked for it.
There are plenty of naked option sellers that got wiped out, included hyped or famous ones. Naked selling means you do not own the underlying (so if you never buy until the client exercises his right you will have to first buy the asset at whatever price, or have to buy it from him if he is short potentially at a much higher price than the market price).
James Cordier from OptionSellers dot com, Victor Niederhoffer, Karen Supertrader, LJM Preservation And Growth Fund (HAHAHAHA they have a great sense of humor).
James Cordier used way out of the money options, so it would look something like that:
Wow! We found the holy grail! You cannot lose!
He really got zero sympathy, and even his clients did not get much. They either knew it was risky or did not bother how to even put this they did not even bother looking at was option selling was somehow?
James Cordier was making tiny profits with huge risk, had very high winrates, and because he made little profits he used extreme leverage to get any significant amount out. He is the epitome of the concept "Picking pennies in front of a freight train". They should use his picture in encyclopedias.
Those leverages aren't even poor risk management at that point we reached another stage. Seriously this guy is an absolute psychopath.
Victor Niederhoffer used to be a rather famous fund guy, he worked with Soros, he was rather popular I think he wrote in big journals, probably was on tv regularly. He was "one of the best" making 30% a year for 20 years, famous people held him in high regard, he was sort of a mentor to guys that are famous today. But he missed a few braincells. He sold a big amount of naked puts in 1997 then the market crashed. Rekt. Another "myfxbook" loser. Maybe he was just bad all along and got lucky for 20 long years. Outlier. He probably whine that it was just "20 sigma bad luck". He blew up again 10 years later 😂. Rekt by the trash securities crisis of 2007. Oh ye another "free money one". If you saw the movie "the big short" you might remember scenes where bankers were laughing and partying at the "idiots that bought options against CDO/MBS". He was not a banker himself so Bush did not use taxpayer money to bail him out. He was not unlucky actually, he was very lucky to have lasted 20 years the previous time. Dumb people often have Dunning Kruger...
Karen Supertrader was a random old lady that got into the Sosnoff noob strategy. It is very hard to lose money while keeping it small with that one, so idk I guess this is why he pitches it to complete noobs that would all become day traders and lose their money quickly. Hey they'd just lose their money otherwise, at least here they are making a little. It is true, can't even blame him he is maybe saving noobs. Should just let natural selection do its job just like getting rich slow is actually not slower, helping people is not actually helping.
She was an outlier in a normal distribution, mistook that for greatness, and started a fund managing to get idiots to invest hundreds of million. 150 I think.
She ended up losing if I recall a good 50 million, hide the losses as unrealized (which she rolled over each month and used new positions to offset), while still collecting fees.
I remember seing her interview on how great she was and thinking "ye give it a little while" and then doing some research, and oh ye blew up haha.
Didn't see that coming.
I don't get people brains. If people use certain strategies, it is mathematically impossible, literally impossible, they can get certain returns without taking huge risk or committing fraud. Why is it so hard for the creatures on this planet (especially regulators) to comprehend? It is physically impossible. Proven. This is not economy or climate science where randos come up with their ooga booga opinions and apocalyptic calls, mathematical PROOF means it is true period. Really blows my mind. How are all those mouth breathers even alive?
If a strategy no matter what is contained in Upper Bound Lower Bound and we are outside of the bounds it's not because of divine intervention or a parallel universe. I don't even know how they think. Lmao I crack up when I try to imagine their thought process. It's like the market moves 10% in a month, and someone tells you they simply bought & held, made 60%, and used no leverage. And some people are stupid enough to think this is possible??????????????????????????????????????? Wow.
LJM Preservation And Growth is just the funniest. "Preservation" in the name, then goes to the option selling casino with infinite leverage.
People trusted it blindly because it has preservation in the name? XD Reminds me of some groups in the USA self proclaimed "good guys".
Idiots that fall for this get the karma they deserve.
You can find stories and read about it on the internet it is all over the place. The best bits is how they always find excuses.
The fund came up with "there is no way we could have predicted the 911 attacks". The stupidity of this excuse is really beyond.
I don't even know where to start. Well I don't think I need to explain. They clearly were in the wrong business entirely.
"Oh no there are risks in the business" 😂
One of optionsellers client shared a google doc of his 1 million (in total) portfolio, here it is, it goes from left to right day by day so you can see how the positions evolve and how James Cordier holds onto his losers forever, until death pulls them apart.
docs.google.com
You can find the second to last idea James Cordier published on seeking alpha here:
seekingalpha.com
He got all excited at the "free money" (greed & euphoria) and then sh** his pants (fear), held the bags, blew up. The he was less excited (pain regret sorrow etc).
Emotions -> Emotions -> Emotions. Mistakes -> Mistakes -> Mistakes. Like a baws. And the guy had 20 years experience or so.
His last idea was a short on coffee and he was very right. Should have just went short for real with leverage since he was gambling anyway rather than sell for "only" 1.8 million.
The website has his ideas since 2009.
You know these people I think they just hate losing. He probably was right often enough but I am not going to backtest his ideas got better things to do (got a new zombie game to try haven't been able to play games in weeks because idk they bore me but at the same time I really need a distraction I must be alone having to force myself to play games rather than the other way around).
It is not the case for all of them of course, but I am sure alot would make money without having to use 50 leverage if they just applied their analysis and accepted to take the risks, rather than look for some really stupid trick to always win.
As a speculator you get rewarded for absorbing risk/volatility. Sometimes down sometimes up, but on average more up than down.
How can some people be in the business, and not as market makers or arbitragers or brokers, for 20 or 30 years and still look for "sure thing" strategies and be afraid of taking a loser? Who cares if the portfolio moves a bit in 10 or 20 years the end result is what will matter.
It is clearly not for every one.
They should know better and be prepared for the "big events", but they go pavlov brainwash and emotional and feel good about it, as long as it has not happened they think it won't (and even once it does some don't even learn and think they really fell under the wrath of god and did nothing wrong as demonstrated by Victor Niederhoffer, seriously how dumb is this guy? I don't have a quarck of respect for him.)
If you are able to survive those big events, accept small drawdowns and they do not cause you to make mistakes, you are already ahead of many.
Another obstacle to be making money in this game. When you "have it" it really seems like a no brainer, but yes there really are alot of people unable to climb that obstacle.
Aren't 90% of casual investors bagholders? With "strong hands". So afraid to take a loss. Strong hands ye right, weak chins.
The receding chins are using computers now so they don't piss themselves, but I don't think the computers will be able to do everything, just the small day trading.
If we get to the point computers can go THAT far to predict the future weeks away (not just M5 stat arb etc) we won't even need markets anymore anyway, and we'll be too busy visiting other galaxies xd
Imagine science without all the dogmas and politics. Imagine politics without all the politics. And so on. I ain't worried. My tip to profitable speculators: learn to invest, find a passive income stream, you never know if you'll still be making money in 10 years, but don't be too worried all opportunities just disappear (unless communism).
Yes you never know if it is a pullback or the end, it is easy to look at it in hindsight compared to being in it and think "oh it just goes up".
Pacton uses AI to find GoldThe news is out that Pacton Gold Inc. is going to drill in 5 locations to find gold. Will the AI technology be a win?
The assigned locations look promising but nothing is out of the ground yet.
For more info search the web on "Pacton AI"
Cheers.
Wiley CKoyote
Analysis on INTEL 13.09.2019The price above 200 MA, indicating a growing trend.
The MACD histogram is above the zero lines.
The oscillator Force Index is above the zero lines.
If the level of resistance is broken, you should follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 53.50
• Take Profit Level: 55.00 (150 pips)
If the price rebound from resistance level, you should follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 52.00
• Take Profit Level: 51.50 (50 pips)
USDJPY
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 108.25
EURUSD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.1110
USDCHF
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 0.9660
GBPUSD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.2420
Btc Long AnalysisThe Bitcoin long position continues to pay as the Dragon is in full flight (Dragon Analytics). Looking to take some profits at the pitchfork median line (green dotted line) at 1350-1360,I'll keep a runner and wait for another buying opp. Support remains at 1300. Good trading and remember to follow the plan, even if it means losses. Small losses lead to big gains.
Silver analysisAs the santa claus rally takes the major indexes toward record highs as well as low Vix, gold and silver are in an expected retreat. The Dragon has formed a perfect Dragon's eye formation into neutral territory. Look for consolidation around the pitchfork median lines (red and green dotted lines until a new trend is formed. Downside risk should be placed at $15 (support) and upside target at $20 (resistance). There will be plenty of opportunities to trade the precious metals in the coming year, no doubt. Happy holidays and good trading.
TRUMP Victory-Calling all Hedge Funds - LMT to the Moon-FusionThis is mostly technical analysis based on projected world events.
LMT is a great company period. When it comes to business, if APPL was run like LMT, APPL would be much better than what it is today.
Why?
1) World conflict will intensify - and be dragged on.
2) Fusion reactor will be deploy-able around the continental US in 2020 ( thu this is a rough prediction as GT can not pinpoint the exact date just yet, the date will be a business model driven decision - 80%)
Lockheed Martin is run like a well built machine, aside N. Fusion this company is developing A.I. that is not just impressive, but,.... . And other units are a prime example(like its biological) of how well this company is doing.
TRUMP will increase spending with this corporation.
To the moon Alice!
Silver Long Trade setting upSilver had formed a perfect Dragon Eye in the Dragon Analytics system. Wait for the current retrace to end. Long trade will be triggered by a break above the Dragons head (yellow dotted line) to retest the upward pitchfork (green line ) at $20.50. Don't chase the trade. As long as the market continues to rally, Gold and silver will test lower levels. Good trading.
Btc confirms break outAccording to the Dragon Analytics system, Btc has confirmed a break above the ocean floor and is officially on a bull run. Set your stop at a break of the surface at 660, resistance at 731 (red Line), target at 777 (green line) but the Dragon is in flight until further notice. Good trading!
Visit Marketintell.net for more trading knowledge and actionable information
AMZN Analysis, Dragons eye formingGreat Long trade. Good time to take some profits as the Dragons eye is now forming (break below the yellow average). Let this play out until we retest the surface (red line, shaded area) or reverse higher and break above the head. In case the market sells off, 700-650 is the short. Good trading!
Crude Analysis (no pun intended)The Dragon is technically still in the belly (bearish trend), although a break above the ocean's surface will become a strong bullish signal. As long as the upward pitchfork (green) holds, stay long and enjoy the ride. Short term resistance at $52. Risk management is critical as always, but the Dragon Analytics System and pitchfork fibs provide clear and manageable levels. Good trading!
USD testing critical support levelA test and break of the 94 level will be very negative for the USD, perhaps the beginning of the move to 80-84. In the Dragon Analytics system, the oceans surface, represented by the red line and blue shaded area are high probability bearish patterns. Good trading!
Crude oil doesn't disappointIf you've been in on this move to the $48 level (green pitchfork, dashed gree line), don't be afraid to take some profits and wait for the next move to $50+. As long as the price holds (we don't pierce the Dragons head (yellow dotted Moving line)), the bulls are in control. Good trading