SPY following giant descending triangleAMEX:SPY
S&P 500 is following a giant descending triangle, even though on 04.18.18 it has not touched the triangle.
Overall the market is bearish short term , despite being in the earnings season. In a bullish market some neutral and positive earnings report would have been interpreted as bullish .
Increasing treasury yields may be partly to blame. As investors are buying more bonds for safety the yield increases and we passed the 3.0% yield today which carries a psychological importance as well (e.g 8 years ago it was 3.9%).
Adding political and global uncertainties to this created a market that is much more easily spooked compared to Jan'18. See CBOE:VIX
The critical resistance for the S&P 500 index is at 2580. If we break lower the chances are that mutual fund managers technical analysts are going to advice :
"sell, sell, sell".
NASDAQ:TLT NASDAQ:IGOV AMEX:TLH CBOE:TNX
If we do break the 2580
Interest-rates
volatility etf with yeller speak ecb and payroll this week short term move possible to bottom of the cloud daily/rate hike in june or july not built in/europe and payroll next week /volatilyioversold/look for volatility to come on/enter on one candle your time above close/use a tight stop/this etf moves quickly with vix/diversify and use small position/yellen words not heard well because of long holiday fomc on the 15th/dollar moved up
ZARJPY Long term LongIt's another brainless USDHKD like trade except not insured by a peg...
There is long term government initiatives within interest rates to appreciate the Rand.
And we all know the yen and BOJ wanting to see it much weaker...
We'll see how this plays out but I would like to catalog this as a moment of inflection on this pair with interest rates being the primary driving force.
AUD/GBP Tringle Breakout at bottom.....Long and Short posibilyAUD/GBP Tringle Breakout at bottom.....Long and Short posibily!
After cutting the interest rate (RBA) on a new record low 2,00% (2,25% before) and a coming economic quarter forecast update a friday, so there could be a very nice move in the breakout direction!
All eyes on the interesting support or resistance level!