Then when the interest rates hike again we go short in June , how does that sound ?
GBPJPY H1 Nice break so far on the hourly and M30 charts, haven't quite confirmed the H4 break and close, but we still have time left on the clock. Longs from as close to this 160.000 handle as possible, 160.000 is the area of play for shorts/longs depending on whether we are trading north of south of this zone.
In today's analysis I want to give a comprehensive analysis on why I think that we're about to see a mini bull-run in the coming weeks. It's going to be a longer than usual read, but it will be worth your time 😊. Contents: 1) FED Interest rate hike on 04-05-22 & BTC bear-flag 2) SP500 3) DXY (dollar index) 4) VIX (SP500 volatility index) 5) Concluding remarks ...
Overview of the yield curve indications on potential liquidity crisis occurring in the near future and leading to downturn in equities.
The EuroDollar futures market is pricing in rate hikes as seen by the upward slope on the left, but the peak of the curve (contracts which expire in June and September of 2023) suggests that investors believe rates will reach their high and then go down after that and keep going down well into the foreseeable future. This is an ominous sign that the Federal...
Ladies and Gentlemen, please take your seats. (...the music stops) Okay, thanks for playing. Good luck to all of you! The investment strategies that have worked for the last 40 years will no longer work. The true bear market is here. This will absolutely 100% NOT be a recession that will be forgotten easily. It most likely will be a depression via stagflation...
Ever since the FED has been talking about interest rates, I see questions popping up on social media where investors ask why the federal funds rate (also known as the FED interest rate) is so important for the stock and crypto markets. With this post I'd like to write an easy understandable explanation on what the FED funds rate is and why it is important. What...
In the short term, we see that options have a 3450 max pain price for 4/3/22 www.coinoptionstrack.com and for 4/4/22 we have a max pain of over 3500 The weekly option drops to 3200 on 4/8 *the whales know something we don't A lot of stable coin is getting moved to market twitter.com
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) tracks an index composed of U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities greater than twenty years. The price of TLT goes down as interest on 20+ year U.S. treasuries goes up. High inflation is driving interest rates ever higher . If inflation does not slow soon, a decades-long trend could end, as this chart is warning. The...
Will the 10 year finally break out of this long term down channel? The Fed and entire investment world says yes it will and soon. But the chart says it may have a little trouble exceeding this level in the near term.
Aggressive rate projection for 2023 by the #FED was the main highlight from the meeting in an effort to curb #inflation expectations 2.5% is the target of it expectations for 2023 (which is unsustainable due to the high levels of debt in the system)
Bitcoin has been showing big volatility last two month becuase of FED interest speculation and Russia vs Ukraine crisis. But weekly chart still bullish and indicates BTC can have a big rally in next 12-16 weeks. RSI showing bullish divergence, MACD showing low sell pressure like June 20221 and stock RSI indicate market can give bounce with short term noise. First...
Simple late night doodles with some input of previous crashes from: fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS and some simple trend following to suggest the increasing fragility of the effect that marginally increased rates may have on the economy. FRED:FEDFUNDS
Investors in Microsoft Corporation (Symbol: MSFT) saw new options begin trading this week, for the October 21st expiration. One of the key data points that goes into the price an option buyer is willing to pay, is the time value, so with 245 days until expiration the newly trading contracts represent a possible opportunity for sellers of puts or calls to achieve a...
Today we are taking a look at the Case Shiller Home Index on a year-over-year chart as well as a price chart and using basic, long-term technicals to identify issues and opportunities. I believe we are heading into a recession over the next few years but we will have to see what crazy government program is created to fight that recession that maybe boosts housing...
Part 1 Hello everyone! It's been a few weeks since my last update on the markets, and this one is going to be a very special one. Will go through many different aspects of most major markets, by using both technical and fundamental analysis. It will be an in-depth analysis with lots of charts of several instruments, that have the potential to give us a clear...
I wish the US FED didn't cut off information before 2000. This OMINOUS chart is saying that even with 22% interest rates that STARTED at 5% from 1967-1981 peak, all it did was slow down asset purchases and price increases for 20 years, shown in red. The consumer price impact of the recent spike in government spending hasn't even started, and interest rates are...
*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* FOMC meeting next week, February 16, 2022. Here are our expectations for...