$DXY needs to hodl the line 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
FOMC meeting next week, February 16, 2022. Here are our expectations for $DXY.
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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Interest
DXY finally show weakness, a Temporary Down trend!After several days that DXY have been surging to pass the middle of the uptrend parallel channel, today it show a little bit weakness.
weakness or strength of fiat (specially DXY) is playing a significant role for risky market. however since FOMC plan to increase the interest rate and bond yield profit, DXY start to surge and
influenced stock market and other integrated markets such as Crypto.
based on Price action if today's candle close on 96.7 , it would be good sign for risky markets, although FOMC might take actions by increasing interest rate, shrinking balance sheet in order to control the demand cycle.
I'm still believing that markets need time to adopt with these new situations .
5 times of increasing interest rate and tension between Russia and Ukraine are prefigured by markets but the Q1 and Q2 of 2022 wouldn't be good for stock markets and Crypto.
THE 40 YEAR BEAR MARKET IN 10 YEAR TREASURY NOTE INTEREST RATEThe attached chart shows 40 years of declining 10 year rates. As we all know, that rate is the basis for mortgage rates and just about everything else. During that half cycle the housing market boomed, the stock market boomed and generally speaking, corporations and individuals prospered.
But that trend has ended.
Thursday I would have said that rates would either remain low for an indefinite period while inflation soared or rates would be raised to quell inflation. But Friday Central Banks around the world announced tightening.
The party is over!
It is time to batten down the hatches, lock in long term profits on stocks, rentals and any other investments that correlate inversely with interest rates.
Obviously the major players saw this coming and started bailing at the first of2022.
Now us little fish must do what we can to avoid losing the wealth we have.
As an aside, it was announced last year that Bill Gates was diversifying into farm land. Obviously that anticipates food shortages and inflation.............
I will post more on this once the picture becomes clearer.
midnitepoet
Mortgage Rates Back In An Uptrend Trend On 30 Year-Fixed Historically in America the interest rate for a 30 year fixed has been in a multi-decade down trend. As of January 2021 the rate for a 30 year fixed dropped to a historical low of around 2.65% and has since reversed in trend. This year we can potentially see rates continue to rise up to 3.75% as we're in secondary uptrend on the line chart. Currently we're at around 3.45% up 30% from 2.65% we seen last year.
Bolster your MATIC coin count EVERY Monday!Yes, this article is about where to store the coin that powers the best platform for smart contracts and Dapps in Ethereum layer 2 solution format, Polygon (MATIC)! But for the uninitiated to unbanking yourself, here is a quick rundown on the Celsius application, which you should be storing your tokens/coins on. Celsius Network is reliable, easy-to-use, growing in popularity and regulated and licensed by the SEC and the U.S. Treasury. I know, surprising huh!? It is now in its 4th year. They do not spend time or money on big-money ads. They would rather pay us in interest every Monday! Word of mouth has been their main source of advertising... like I am doing now. They now have over 1 million members including me and my friends (fellow retired Air Force member) and family (my grown daughter). And so far, I see no safer way to earn 10.51% APY on your Polygon (MATIC). If you live outside the U.S., you could even boost your earnings to over 14% by opting to receive your interest in CEL tokens. But we live in Texas, so my daughter "settles" for a safe 10.51% in polygon that will soon double and triple in value. The interest is more MATIC coins! A win-win. They do have 41 tokens and coins they support including stablecoins (which pay 8.8% or more if you opt to be rewarded in CEL). I personally earn 13.99% on my SNX tokens on Celsius. It pays to check it out...and if you open an account, use my daughter's referral code: 1691390756 or mine: 189218504d
Move at least $400 worth of crypto to Celsius.Network and after 30 days, we will both be rewarded $50 worth of BTC! This beats the hell out of any brick & mortar bank!
SNX: Another week, another upgrade!Synthetix Network and Kwenta are still blasting away at upgrades, or as they call them, "SIP's" which is an acronym for Synthetix Improvement Proposal. They also give weird "star" names to their SIP releases (in order of visual magnitude) which is all good, I suppose. What matters is they are in storm mode when it comes to improving and implementing. I love it. Where this may cause some occasional turmoil in usage and possibly hinder immediate price action, I see it as further reason to hold for the long term as I continue to grow my SNX coin/token count weekly at 13.99% APY by simply holding SNX in a Celsius Network account (If you decide to join me in earning high interest there, you can earn $50 in BTC by using my referral code 189218504d). Of course, we will reap the rewards in price action eventually, but on our own timeline. I am conservatively predicting a 300 percent gain over the next 6 to 9 months. And my 13.99% yield will compound in a doubling fashion every 5 years even without any price action increases. Yes, I did the math! Patience pays well!
Anyway, later today the Avior (the "star" name for SIP-182) release will implement a new upgrade on L2 only. During this release there will be no downtime on L1, but up to 3 hours of downtime L2. Here's what’s included in this release:
SIP-182- Wrappr factory: This SIP creates a new WrapperFactory contract that can deploy new Wrapper contracts to support any ERC20 token. The new Wrapper contract behaves like its predecessor (the ETH Wrappr from SIP-112) and will initially include a WETH wrapper, though more Wrapprs will likely be added in the future.
In layman's term, creating "wrapprs" has to do with creating synths or derivatives...potentially on anything tradable in the entire world, like Cryptos, FOREX, Stocks, Commodities, etc. Well, you get the idea; everything. This is the strength and foundational idea of the Synthetix Network (and Kwenta). If you want more info on what I am doing to generate that 13.99% in additional SNX tokens, feel free to ask in a comment.
Analysis of BTCUSD levels of interest; suggested price Vmax zoneBulls will need to see this volume bar at continue to increase in magnitude. Failure to further develop the volume at the current spot price likely suggests pullback potential; pullback potential is limited, perhaps, to the next lowest volume profile peak circa ~56,965 USD. Notice, the 54,391.69 to 49,244.89 has notably low development on the volume profile; this low magnitude suggests that in the event of a pullback, price action will move with high velocity through this area. Peak velocity of price movement is expected to hit a Vmax at 52,630.94. However, this is better considered a price level of high importance, as it could easily also become a new support level, where buyers seek to buy BTC at a "discount," or, in stark contrast, breakdown into this level could potentially lead to a drawdown/correction - only time can tell. No recommendations. Not trade advice.
EURNZD: As rates increase, the currency growsNew Zealand national bank increased rates from 0.25 to 0.50 points. It doesn't take a genius to imagine how that impacts the price of the EURNZD pair. With higher interest rates, it is more beneficial for the banks to hold NZD. Plus this pair was in a downtrend before that.
The most recent lows are broken ( dashed green ). A somewhat recent low meets a 2019 swing low of around 1.63 - this could be a temporary stop for the price ( green, transparent green ).
A descending channel could be drawn here stretching from this June 2021 till Now. If I project its biggest breakout under the channel's angle, I will get the same support around 1.63
If the market believes that European Central Bank may increase the rates as well, the price should make another short-term bottom there. If it does, one of the broken supports will be tested, perhaps it will even reach the middle of the channel.
Is it likely though? Indebted Italy and Greece would be in trouble if the rates on their debts increased further.
I don't know about future fundamentals, but I think some long entries will be found in the area - especially on lower timeframes and I plan to join!
COMP/USDTCOMPOUND trend in falling wedge where make a bottom at 279$ and then test it three times ..so my conclusion is "that is a solid bottom :)" then broke falling wedge pattern make support on golden pocket 315$ ..now need to flip resistance to support at 338$. where make a potencial W pattern/bullish ..potencial long price is on the chart..cheers
Stocks To Watch This WeekThe Market's longer term uptrend still intact. Interest rates are driving the market.. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 21 total stocks on this list Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
GBPUSD - basic Interest Rates StudyThis is a simple study of how interest rates influence the market.
I included 10 last values in my indicator. The base currency (GBP) is black. The second currency (USD) is red.
Between June and December, FED (USD) increased the interest rates 3 times by 0.250
BoE (GBP) also increased the interest rates by the same number but only once.
Obviously, this was a catalyst for a major bearish move. Not only that the rates difference had already been bearish at a time. The gap between the rates further increased! But look at the moment when BoE increased their rates. Even if insignificant for the long-term, it started a good counter-trend rally in the short-term.
In 2019, FED decreased the rate a few times, hence the difference changed a little in favor of GBP. At look how long the pair grew. It even smashed the previous highs until it resumed its downward trend based on the rate difference.
March 2020 was full of interest rate changes across all currencies. When BoE dropped the rate a little (in relative terms), FED decreased the dollar's interest rate rather drastically leading to a more than a year and a half long rally. Although it is losing its steam, it might yet continue for a while.
I created two indicators that can be used to study these relations and create a long-term vision once the rates change again (might take a moment to update). You can find them both in the public library :)
VZ $65 PT printing ascending channel Verizon is well-positioned for the increasing consumer demand for better networks and services as the company continues implementing its 5G technology, which could be a catalyst putting the company back on the growth path.5G subscriptions are expected to reach 3 billion subscriptions worldwide by 2025. Moreover, the fifth-generation connectivity is expected to drive the market growth of Artificial Intelligence and the Internet of Things (IoT). Internet connectivity is expected to show a fast speed with very low latency.A recent study expects explosive growth in 5G wireless subscriptions in the U.S. over the coming years. The study reads The number of US 5G mobile service subscriptions will increase 161.4% to 41.3 million in 2021, with growth expected to continue at tremendous rates for several years. Great time to get in technically as the VZ is in a clear ascending triangle within a larger ascending channel which has been in play for over a year. Given we are at the lower range of this channel I believe its a great time to pick up some VZ which has proven to be a safe stock that does well in times of uncertainty relative to the market as a whole, and can help bring your portfolio's beta or volatility down.
Fed interest rate predicts bearish marketsSo as we all know, we're in a bubble right now. Now we know that, what would be the best thing to do? What if you're on a dollar cost averaging strategy and you know we're in a bubble?
First of all, you can ride it out. This is the default strategy and there's not much wrong with that.
Secondly, if you're semi actively watching the market, you can try to anticipate on the bubble collapse which is inevitably coming by stopping your long trades. When do you know it's time to stop your long trades, since you have to know when the collapse actually starts?
I think the answer is in the fed interest rate. Each time just before the bubble collapsed, the fed interest either went up or it plateau'd on a high level. Since the fed interest rate is today still at a very low level, I think it's not yet time to stop your long trades.
XAUUSD Quick Friday EntryXAUUSD Quick Friday Entry
After Fridays colossal drop in XAUUSD on Thursday, the pair looks to be slightly shaky at pre American session. Dropping beneath 1770 on Thursday, XAUUSD rebounded and tried to cover some lost ground at the start of trading this morning (European session). Since then XAUUSD has pushed onto 1795 but looks weary as it tries to push for the psychological 1800 again. Slight resistance has already occurred at 1796 and I feel a double bottom is imminent on the 1H chart with us seeing the metal re-touch base with 1770 before the pair even starts to look bullish again. The outlook on rates has got the dollar excited and it doesn't seem to be fading away anytime today. The double bottom seems reasonable and just and the pair is still bearish in preparation for the final American session of the week. The dollar is having the best week in nine months and is currently sending bears scurrying with its strength, the direct correlation with gold is sure to stop any short term bulls riding a quick push to 1800.
1797 is the resistance the bulls are trying to fight with 1800 not far away either, the bulls have to fight a double stacked resistance as the SMA 10 Four Hour converges with the 61.8% Fib. Gold does have a minor support at 1789 but this should be easily broken by the bears with the dollar looking strong and gold having little reason to start the road to recovery so late in the week. 1781 is another support which is slightly stronger than the 1789 but support has been weak for gold this week.
The selloff isn't ending this early and it looks like its the dollars week.
Hope you enjoy!
GNUSvolume has been going down until we had that little bottom with a "spike" in volume.
after that, consolidation took place, BUT then more volume come in AND we had +4% and +9% in twno days.
we have now broken the previous resistance, and WITH A SPIKE IN VOLUME.
guys, if volume starts to come once again, that can easily go to 4 USD (+100% from now).
I know, the volume is not much, but having a SPIKE in volume today who breaks the resistance, is definitely interesting.
if volume starts falling and the price seems going nowhere, will not be a good sight tho.
pls remember to use STOP LOSS.
#hex about to make a NEW all time high against #BTCwould u have liked to had 56% more #bitcoin?
tested the 100 satoshi
and up 56 sats in relatively short order
GOLD 200DAY / 1,800 RETEST provides a compelling opportunityOne has to imagine that gold will find its way back to its 200 day before marching on higher given the fundamental tailwinds.
If gold trades down to 1800 and we get a nice close above it - I would believe this to be a compelling opportunity to get long or add length if you took a more aggressive entry prior to the breakout.
A change in market sentiment with respect to the USD, or a FED hiking cycle beginning sooner than anticipated (or the anticipation thereof) , would act as a circuit breaker to this trade.
PDC
looks like we challenge the old highs of #HEX vs #BTCor we blow on right through?
we shall see
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I ANALYZE FOR YOUR COMFORT - TREASURY BONDSOn the chart we have a “Hockey Cross” formation, which as we know is played down, at the ice level. The price of American bonds decreases, their yield increases, which shows us the inflation spectrum on the Horizon. I analyze bonds for investment less than for the effect that their decrease can have on the entire financial market. Dovish BONDS, means rising inflation, which means cheaper dollar, safer more expensive hats. This is only if the EDF does not intervene. Because if he does .... if he walks and millimeters at interest rates, then keep it .... If you find the analysis interesting, given that the impact of bonds is general in the market, leave comments and I will return periodically with update!
big nightOf course, a lot people would see that the chart is forming a inverted H&S but that also mean the big player too soo be careful of price manipulation. Especially tonight.
Technical:
Long - 0.769 need to hold to form H&S if it does next target is 0.781 if broken then 0.801 if it still can't hold then 0.816 which is multi year high.
Short - if 0.769 can't hold then 0.762 and 0.756. In my opinion, as long as 0.756 hold then continuation is very likely in the long term. Otherwise, 0.741 is the target.
Fundamental:
The stimulus check has been sent out in the US which is pretty much printing more money and almost always ended in hyper inflation which, in theory, dollar should get weaker and there is already a talk about another stimulus after this(though this need to be checked again). But the dollar is getting stronger and this is likely because things are getting better and people spend more money means more business going to get better.
but tonight is the most important - interest rate. Because that is how to control inflation/deflation
Conclusion:
As any good trader should know - don't hope don't predict but wait - because hope is for the hopeless in trading. So wait and see and after this week market should get moving again since this week is all about interest rate so a lot of people being cautious leads to the market being choppy.
p.s. I just started doing fundamental so it may or may not be accurate.