GBPJPYHello guys TechPips here this is my personal view on gbpjpy market as been bullish on daily and they are beginning to lose momentum or Liquidity since new high as been created so I am expecting a bearish run on daily in this new week we are entering so in my 1hr timeframe I am expecting the bears to break the trend and redirect the trend then I will look for an entry to swing for few days.
NOTE : Risk management is Important in trading so kindly apply it if you are join the ride. All action made by you based on your capital is your responsibility so trade with caution and be smart in taking trades.
Intermediate
The market's intentions for btcusd.A triangle is invalidated, another is born and is monitored again. The graphic patterns, as I always write, depict the market's intentions and not the future, they are hypotheses, so they can be invalidated and change scenarios in an instant. Yesterday we had proof of why I am often very cautious and always repeat the same things about prudence and stop losses. Help for this hypothesis of the ascending triangle could be given by the macd, in divergence with the price which, while the latter marks ascending lows, the macd signals increasingly lower lows crossing downwards, demonstrating that we are in a correction that is for now short but which could even be of a higher degree, we cannot say for sure. One thing we can do is do nothing if we are already in and the stop loss is far away, because yesterday's movement, although very strong, comes after a very powerful and long-lasting rise, which started on January 23rd if we look at the medium term and from September if we look at the intermediate period. While you are out and want to buy, you could wait for the 58k USD as many are doing, or wait for the intermediate correction, unless this is underway, there will be other opportunities to snatch lower prices. If instead you want to go short I wish you the best, you might even guess, but know that you would be against the underlying trend.
A continuation triangle?The price has triangulated its direction and now goes to the test of the upper level, to be valid it must respect some parameters including volumes and time. Here we have everything to have a valid triangle, we just need a breakout with above-average volumes. We are in 3/4 of the time calculated from the first retracement to the hypothetical summit, it has been a while since we have seen these very evident figures on the btcusd chart. I decided to write and publish it because looking around I saw that many are following this pattern, which represents the market's intentions and not the future. Certainly this continuation graphic formation gives us hope, given that the trend is bullish. Perhaps the price could give us another important movement before the retracement on the intermediate which will be the moment in which having liquidity to buy or mediate will make the difference on the final results of the trades, because holding without doing anything is easy, taking the corrections by selling and then buying back lower is difficult, but remains the objective of the majority of traders.
The macd on btcusd.This is a time to be very careful, already having a ready strategy on the possible scenarios that will arise. The price has been gravitating around the previous ath for days, this could mean that the test of the highs could last a while, if we then look at the macd, a slowdown is evident which could indicate an ongoing short-term correction. So far it is going well and the movements seem harmonious most of the time, with intraday corrections that often do not reach the minimums, remaining with an ascending sequence of highs and lows. The strength of the bulls is still very high, my hypothesis is that the buyers cannot give their all in these moments, trying to snatch better prices, the orders in the books become slightly smaller placed at the lower levels. The market is at a crucial moment, with the halving approaching, the situation could suddenly heat up after the monthly close.
The monthly on btcusd.We haven't seen a monthly candle with a positive closing of more than 40% since 2020. There is little to say here, except that it will be difficult to understand when a correction will arrive, something that many are waiting for, it is not known whether buyers will give the possibility of seeing lower levels, the highlighted area is the one at 58k usd , where there is a price structure drawn in the previous bull run in early 2021.
New bullish movement in progress?The price is marking new highs relating to the intermediate period, this macd, as I have written several times, is configured for the intermediate period (approximately 3 months). At this moment the indicator is marking new highs compared to those made in December 2023, so it is telling us good news, because this in progress could be a new bullish "leg", a new intermediate cycle or a swing, call it what you want . The important thing is that price and indicator agree on the rise that has everything, volatility and directionality, the buyers popped up immediately, with every weakness in the price, many BTC are bought and the halving is very close. I remember that the latter is already discounted in the price, what is not discounted is as long as there is an accumulation by large funds via ETFs, at this moment the expectation on Bitcoin remains high. Confirmation that the correction is over and that we are in a new bullish cycle can be given by a maximum relating to the intermediate period after March 9th.
The btcusd weekly.Week that ends with a candle of indecision, the price after a two-week ride has found a level on which to rest. The market is currently recharging its batteries for the next attack on the resistance at 58k USD, which I consider to be much more important than the one it stopped at this week. A scenario that seems to be taking hold when looking at the data on derivatives (futures and options) could be to see the price correct on the support around 49/48k USD, the most classic of pullbacks, both scenarios enter the bullish context, therefore As soon as buyers see lower prices, they will probably increase their purchases.
The MacD on btcusd.After a very powerful acceleration, the price found a short-term resistance where it could take a breather. This has thrown a bit of fear into many people, I think it's normal. The tension is high and therefore in some cases the fear of lost profit or mental tiredness sets in. Holding a position open for a long time takes up a lot of energy, so it's okay to take benefits when possible. The MacD highlights how we are in a good moment to recharge, perhaps taking advantage of the panic of those who do not know how to manage feelings. In trading these people are often called a herd of oxen or retail, even if from the numbers we see, at the moment retail is very few, I hypothesize that they will enter the highs or the last wave for the luckiest. The possibility of seeing the price below 50k USD is not excluded, even if the bullish force is always there with buyers crouching just below, ready to take advantage and stop the escape of some lucky calf.
The weekly on btcusd.Weekly candle that expresses volatility and directionality, the perfect mix for a strong and constant trend. The rise is evident to everyone now, a break of the highs at 49k usd would lead to the test of the highest resistances such as 58k usd for example. This scenario would put an end to the intermediate-term correction and with a resumption of the bullish trend, we could witness a moment of fomo. The opposite scenario is very difficult to imagine now, something truly sensational would be needed to crush a bullish trend like this.
AUDUSD Analysis
Hey yall Hey
I am super brand new to posting ideas so lets get into it!
AUD USD is the pair that we are looking at. The trading week is over.
I use the 50 and 200 EMA to determine the trend momentum.
As of today the momentum is
Monthly - BEARISH
Weekly - BEARISH
Daily - BEARISH
4h - BEARISH
There is a dragonfly doji closing out the trading week 2/17/23.
..... I definitely had an ADHD moment (undiagnosed) I was going to say that if price closes past the high of the previous candle 0.68850in the 4h there will be bullish moment.
2/21/2023
Update: I missed the bullish movement But I did catch the bearish move right after.
The larger trade was manually closed because I got a little nervous. So I hoped out and took my profit. Then I re-entered the market with a .02 lot size so that I could take partials. Im watching this trade to close. Ill move my stop loss before I go to sleep tonight. Drop some feedback in the comments. Keep it cute cause I'm sensitive about my shit!! lol
Happy New Month. AUDUSD SUMMARY & PREDICTIONGood morning I hope you all are having a wonderful life as it Is our birthright.
I want to let us know that for the past 730 Hours AUDUSD has moved................. Zero PIPS.
Yes, we are right back where we started and I'm really optimistic about what's in store for us this month.
Last month began with sellers dominating and I wonder If we'll get that this coming week.
Will the seller win or has there been a shift in the market? Please take your time to think about this.
We are not in a hurry to trade, we may not be the most active but we are the most profitable. Make this your mantra, Thanks.
Do we know what channels are? If you don't please send me a message and I'll explain.
I believe that in moments of indecision the market takes a side movement. It could be an upwards channel or a downwards channel or a simple range moving to the side. Like, the whole of last month was just a move to the side, lol. If you look at the chart you will see WHITE horizontal lines, indicating support and resistance ZONES. If you take another look you will see that the price moved above a downwards trend line Indicating THE POSSIBILITY of a change in trend. WE WERE SELLING, NOW WE SHOULD BE BUYING. Message me If you have any misunderstandings.
Let's go the Economics :
AUD has had a positive RBA Interest Rate Decision, Positive Trade Balance, Negative Employment Change, Positive GDP just two days ago, and a Positive Trade balance as of yesterday.
USD has a positive Jobs Data, A negative ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr), positive PMI"s, an Increase in the Interest rate, Negative Jobless claims, positive Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr), mixed CPI news, and a negative Jobless claim that turned the market in favor of AUD mid last month.
All these happened and guess what.
There was no significant move in the market.
We want to capture a big move and we think it's happening soon.
If you check out my previous posts, I have THREE before this. You'll have a clearer understanding of what's coming next.
Our Forecast
We are still bullish on aud usd
We don't expect the big move to happen Immediately but It'll happen soon.
Every swing low should be an Indication to BUY if you are SCALPING/DAY TRADING, not the other way around. Once there is a change in market sentiment we will know AND Obey.
Our Method this coming week will be to buy 15min fractals till the next fractal. If you don't understand what fractals are, send me a message, and I'll explain.
You can as well like this post and follow this page and I'll keep you updated with AUDUSD Setups this coming week.
Have a lovely weekend. CHEERS.
GBPUSD LONG POSITION TRADEI just found a double bottom close to my monthly low/support. I'm getting In now because I'm occupied this week and this is close to support entry. RSI at 45, 200, 100, and 50 EMA right above me so It might be a struggle to get to 1.34771. Send me a message so I'll show you how I draw my support and resistance lines. Merry Christmas
Ultra bearish technicals on lite coinLite coin has the possibility of returning to 152USD if this ultra bearish scenario plays out. After failing to reach the target for the previous inverse head and shoulder pattern targeting 237USD, lite coin has begun to develop 2 head and shoulders patterns. Easily viewable on a 4hr chart the big one is targeting a downside target of 152USD and will only come in to play if the smaller head and shoulders pattern is completed. The smaller head and shoulders pattern is pretty easy to spot on the 1hr chart and it is targeting 195USD. Personally I do not see the bigger pattern playing out, as the smaller pattern is tilting up which means it is less likely to break the trendline. I have no trades in lite coin atm.
Buy - SWKS - weekly chartsSWKS looks great on weekly charts in a strong move. we are testing the upward momentum line that I have drawn and I think this week should give us a good buying opportunity
Buy zone / Targets are mentioned on the chart
Close below 107.95 on daily candle may require us to reevaluate are trade
Indicative time for the play : 3 to 8 weeks
USDCHF technicalthe price is forming a Broadening triangle with correctional waves and intermediate waves, minor and minute waves are also in count, this is not included in the chart as is will be too much on the chart..
the price have been in a strong uptrend the last couple of weeks, and a correction to the break of the triangle, can occur any time soon. a short position can be taken, with a SL at the last top. where tp will be around 0.98500.
If you look at the weekly chart for the pair, a weekly evening star have been forming, and could be indicating a correction back to the triangle, before further upside.
Tuesday PPI m/m for CHF will be released where the numbers are expected to be greater than previously. this can help the price to make the correction,
Dax rising wedge inside a rising wedge...at the chart we have a rising wedge with minor waves and a rising wedge inside the minor wedge with minute waves. break of the red line with the minute waves can lead the price to test the green line with the minor waves. where a break of the minor wedge can lead the price back to between 12.400 and 12.540, where 12.400 is 0.5 on fibonacci levels and 12.540 is 0.618 on fibonacci levels, drawn from ((0)) - ((v)). While a test of the 13.200 level is eminent, and could go up and test the level, which is also 1.13 on fibonacci levels. this will also extend the minor and minute wave.
a break of the minute wave wedge , is possible where the price will have a harder time to break the minor wedge ( the green wedge )
A short trade can be taken now, where the SL will be just above the last high at 13.045,80. where TP will be around the intermediate wave 2.
Take in mind that the price is very bullish on the short term, but we actually also see some weakness in the momentum for the upside. a correction of the short term bullish run will happen, before further gains.
More updates will come..
EURCAD Technical and fundamental.The price is at a support level, if this level breaks, than i see the price move further to 1.52490 before further upside. if price manage to break the 1.52490 area, than the price could go further down to test the 1.49960 level. this will also be a trigger for a new analysis as the (4) wave will go below the ending of wave (1)
The price is also in a trend channel where the price have hit the resistance line 2 times and are about to complete the 3 time testing of support line in the trend channel. At the current price we also have a hidden bullish divergence (see the RSI) and could be signaling that the previous short term bearish trend, was a retracement for the bullish trend. At the same time we see some weakness in the bearish candles, and this area indicating a range area for investors to decide or await for a further signal of a continuing bullish trend in the pair. The price have intermediate and minor waves that is correlating with the fibonacci levels and price action, where the correctional waves have minute waves, that i haven't put in the daily chart because it would be looking messy...
The waves are highly matching Fibonacci levels, as you can see in the chart. The levels are in the text boxes.
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The fundamentals can drive the price of the CAD higher, where oil prices and further sanctions on Iran is expected and can give the CAD a boost. while bad numbers from CAD this week is expected, and can therefore drive the price of the EUR/CAD higher, and the sanctions and oil prices can be a help for the retracements throughout the price gains.