EURUSD 23 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - US Jobless ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 23 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Nothing much changed in sentiment since Tramp inauguration
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹As expected, price created a bullish BOS as per the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback.
🔹Price didn’t mitigate any supply after the BOS so there is a high probability that we will continue up till we reach the 4H or Daily supply to initiate a BOS pullback phase (Can’t be ruled, we always have the expectation that a pullback will start at any time after any break of structure).
🔹Currently price is within a 4H FLIP zone that caused the BOS. Which could keep price bullish to target the weak INT high.
3️⃣
🔹My expectations is set for price to continue bullish till we mitigate a 4H/Daily supply.
🔹Will be following the LTF to follow the expectation of bullish continuation while putting in consideration the probability of a bearish move for the bullish BOS pullback phase that can start anytime.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Price created a bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback phase.
🔹We didn’t mitigate any supply zone to initiate the Swing Pullback Phase yet so we could continue bullish.
🔹Price is currently within the 4H FLIP zone and at the INT Structure extreme.
🔹The last defined demand zone within the INT structure failed and there is a probability that the INT structure could turn bearish to fulfill the BOS requirement for a Pullback Phase.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is still bullish until we have a confirmed bearish iBOS to initiate the Pullback Phase.
🔹Longs: As the demand failed, I’ll be waiting for a shift in the OF to bullish and demand to start holding to target the Weak INT High.
🔹Shorts: Will be waiting for bearish iBOS for pullback phase.
Intraday
EURUSD 22 Jan 2025 W4- Intraday Analysis - ECB Lagarde speechThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 22 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed and created a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, price pulled back to the INT Structure EQ (50%) but didn't mitigate the 4H demand and just reacted from the previous INT structure range.
🔹With the current PA, there is a high probability that price will take out the Bearish Swing High to fulfil the Daily/Weekly requirement for a pullback. More LTFs development required for a clear direction.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹INT Structure turned bearish yesterday after failing to break the Bearish Swing Strong High.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bearish iBOS and swept the liquidity above the Strong INT High.
3️⃣
🔹As mentioned in the 4H analysis, with the current PA there is a high probability that the Swing High will be broken but still no confirmation and technical is all pointing for bearish moves.
🔹My technical expectations still bearish till we have a Bullish BOS.
EURUSD 21 Jan 2025 - Intraday Analysis - German ZEWThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 21 Jan 2025 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Dovish ECB Policy Expectations: Traders are anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut at each of the next four ECB policy meetings.
Economic Concerns: Subdued inflationary pressures and concerns over the Eurozone's economic outlook.
US Dollar Strength: Dollar appreciates following news that President Trump intends to review tariff policies.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that failed yesterday with price creating a bullish INT Structure.
3️⃣
🔹As price reached the Bearish Swing Extreme, if we are going to continue bearish, this is the area that I prefer to be short from. Also note that after the Bullish iBOS, there will be a pullback required.
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish with more development on LTF to confirm.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase (Pro Swing + Counter INT)
🔹At Swing Premium (reached extreme)
2️⃣
🔹Price finally broken the range from Jan 16 and reached the bearish Swing Extreme forming Bullish INT Structure.
🔹There is probability that Swing High may be broken based on the Daily/Weekly requirements for pullback and the current market sentiment (Risk Off) as of US Tariffs announcement from Trump yesterday.
3️⃣
🔹My technical expectations is set to Bearish and looking for Shorts but I need to see a bearish iBOS before any executions.
The Two Archetypes of TradersIn the trading world, markets move in cycles, and bearish conditions are no exception. Here's an educational breakdown of how traders can navigate these challenging times:
1. The Long-Term Holders (Investors)
Mindset: Patience is their superpower.
Goal: Accumulate assets during bearish trends by buying at key support levels and holding for future gains.
Approach: Use the WiseOwl Indicator to identify areas of strong support and potential accumulation zones for strategic entries.
2. The Intraday Traders (Short-Term)
Mindset: Adaptability and precision are crucial.
Goal: Profit from short-term price movements, capitalizing on market volatility.
Approach: Utilize the WiseOwl Indicator to pinpoint bearish momentum for short entries and clear exit levels, ensuring optimal risk management.
Educational Example: WiseOwl Strategy in Action
Let’s analyze Solana (SOL) on the 15-minute timeframe during a bearish market:
Trend Identification: The WiseOwl Indicator highlights a confirmed downtrend with clear bearish signals.
Entry Points: Short trade signals are generated at moments of significant bearish momentum.
Risk Management: Stop loss and take profit levels, calculated using ATR-based logic, ensure disciplined trading.
Takeaways for Traders
📉 Bearish Markets:
Holders focus on identifying value areas for accumulation.
Intraday traders capitalize on market volatility with precise entries and exits.
Happy trading! 🚀
#WiseOwlIndicator #TradingEducation #BearMarket #SOLAnalysis #CryptoTrading
Cup and Handle Breakout in PETRONETPETRONET has formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the hourly chart, signaling a potential bullish breakout.
Pattern Breakdown:
Cup Formation: A smooth rounding bottom from ₹310 to ₹337, indicating strong accumulation.
Handle Formation: A slight retracement near ₹330, forming a consolidation zone before the breakout.
Indicators:
RSI: Currently above 70, showing bullish momentum.
Volume: Increased significantly, confirming buying pressure.
Key Levels:
Breakout Level: ₹337
The price has broken above this resistance, confirming the breakout.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹350
Target 2: ₹360
Stop-Loss: Below ₹330 (handle low).
💡 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please perform your due diligence before entering any trade.
Review and plan for 11th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Stock- swing trading.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
ITI Hits TP1! Target ₹450—Daily Chart Breakout!Indian Telephone Industries (ITI) on the daily timeframe has achieved TP1 and shows strong bullish momentum, making it highly probable to achieve TP2, TP3, and TP4. This trade was identified using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , providing clear entry, stop-loss, and target levels.
Key Levels:
TP1: 301.40 ✅
TP2: 357.90 (Pending)
TP3: 414.40 (Pending)
TP4: 449.30 (Pending)
Technical Analysis:
The trade entry at 266.50 was confirmed with a breakout above key resistance levels, supported by bullish price action. The stop-loss is tightly placed at 238.25, ensuring risk is well managed. The current upward trajectory aligns with the Risological trend, signaling strong continuation toward the upper targets.
Traders should monitor the price action near TP2 and TP3 for any signs of consolidation or resistance, with the expectation of further upside potential.
Review and plan for 6th December 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Stock analysis included.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 5th December 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Positional trading ideas included.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 4th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Bank Nifty | NSE | Intraday Forecast for November 25, 2024Strategy involves analyzing the 24th's daily candle and the 15-minute time frame after the market opens on the 25th. Here's a breakdown of the scenario:
Key Assumptions in the Strategy:
24th Daily Candle Analysis:
Its a strong bullish (BL) pattern, expect a potential gap-up opening on the 25th.
25th Market Opening (15-minute chart focus):
Scenario 1: If the market breaks a strong resistance zone above, it is expected to range for a while.
Next Move: After consolidating (ranging), the market will decide the trend direction based on a zone breakout:
Bullish Breakout (BL side): Enter a long trade based on confirmations like increased volume, sustained breakout, or momentum indicators.
Bearish Breakdown (BR side): Enter a short trade once confirmations like rejection candles, lower highs, or volume surge appear.