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EURUSD 16 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US PowellThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 16 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start at anytime with at least a Bullish CHoCH but preferably mitigating a HP POI. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. After BOS we expect a pullback. Bullish iBOS will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting. But as we didn't mitigate any HTF POI any PB could be limited. Also the 4H Swing requires a Pullback so there is a HP that the 15m will be run at least as a 4H CHoCH.
by Amr-Sadek
1
XAU/USD 15 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 analysis: Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's weekly analysis dated 14 April 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's relentless bullish run and continues to print all time highs. Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH. Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops. H4 chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has now printed a bearish iBOS which confirms M15 internal structure has switched bearish as all HTF's require a pullback. Current intraday expectation would be for price react at 50% EQ or H4, M15 POI before targeting weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 15 Apr 2024 W16 - Intraday Analysis - US Retail SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 15 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bullish - Pullback Phase 2. After the Bearish iBOS, price continued bearish till the 4H Demand. With the mitigation of the 4H Demand we formed a Bullish iBOS which confirmed the Swing Low and the initiation of the 15m Swing Pullback Phase. Expectations is set for price to continue bullish to facilitate the PB till a HP 4H Supply Zone. 3. 4H Supply zone for possible Shorts. Be mindful that the 4H supply is having Liq above it so there is a HP that this supply will fail to sweep the Liq above.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS. Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish 2. Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS. With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation. This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts. 3. Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
by Amr-Sadek
4
XAU/USD 11 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's relentless bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook. Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm. Bearish CHoCH is now confirmed. Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Bias/Analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 10 April 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Sub-Internal: Bearish. Due to the range of internal structure I have mapped sub-internal to gain a micro-view of price action. Sub-internal structure is denoted in red with current sub-structure being bearish due to bearish iiBOS. Price has pulled back following bearish iiBOS and reacted at premium EQ of the sub-internal range. Current intraday expectation would be for price to target weak internal low of the sub-structure. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish. Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS. No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it. IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply. Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase. 3. After a BOS, we expect a pullback. Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum. CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure. Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 9 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. INT Structure failed to continue bearish and turned bullish after reaching the 15m Swing EQ and tapping into a daily demand zone. Expectations is set to continue Bullish following the 15m Bullish Swing Continuation Phase with target of the Weak Swing High.
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 08 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook. Price has printed further highs Sunday's analysis dated 7 April 2024 where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs. Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm. Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent approach would be to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS since weekly analysis dated 07 April 2024 where price continues to print all time highs. Price is once again trading within internal low and fractal high. First structural sign, but not confirmation that pullback is about to initiate is a bearish CHoCH, which is positioned at the same level as the internal low. Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following bullish iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high. Another likely scenario, and due to the fact that all HTF's need to pull back, is price prints a bearish iBOS on M15 which would mean first structural indication (CHoCH) on H4 that pullback is about to initiate. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. 4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS. Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI. Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High. Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.
by Amr-Sadek
2
XAU/USD 05 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook. Price has printed further highs since yesterday's highs (04-04-2024) where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low. As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs and still remains the case. Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent approach would be to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS where it continues to print all time highs. Price is trading within internal low and fractal high. First structural sign, but not confirmation that pullback has initiated is a bearish CHoCH, which is denoted by a blue dotted line. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met again. Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following bullish iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high. Another likely scenario, and due to the fact that all HTF's need to pull back, is price prints a bearish iBOS on M15 which would mean first structural indication (CHoCH) on H4 that pullback is about to initiate. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 4 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis-ECB Minutes/US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 4 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. 4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. Bearish Swing failed and we created a Bullish BOS which aligns with the 4H request to initiate the 4H INT Pullback. But be mindful that we reached the 4H INT Structure EQ and Premium where we could see a bearish continuation. Shorts are mostly viable after we mitigate a HTF POI and/or a bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek