XAU/USD 03 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 02 May 2024
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has now printed a bearish BOS and iBOS as price needed a pullback from all HTF's
Following the shift in structure we now expect price to pullback. First indication, but not confirmation, of pullback initiation would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price is reacting at H4 demand level.
Price remains in pullback phase and is now is discount of internal structure where it is expected the strong low to hold.
As per intraday expectation dated 06 April, price was to print bullish CHoCH, reach 50% of internal EQ before targeting weak internal low. Price did print bullish CHOCH and reach 50% EQ.
Intraday expectation : Price to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a printed a bearish iBOS as mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 02 April 2024.
Price has pulled back and printed a bullish CHoCH which indicates initiation of pullback.
Price has twice reacted at premium of EQ, however, the move is not being sustained to target weak internal low with price consolidating in a sideways range.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Intradaygold
XAU/USD 02 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has now printed a bearish BOS and iBOS as price needed a pullback from all HTF's
Following the shift in structure we now expect price to pullback. First indication, but not confirmation, of pullback initiation would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price is reacting at H4 demand level.
Price remains in pullback phase and is now is discount of internal structure where it is expected the strong low to hold.
As per yesterday's intraday expectation, price was to print bullish CHoCH, reach 50% of internal EQ before targeting weak internal low. Price did print bullish CHOCH and reach 50% EQ.
Intraday expectation : Price to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price pulled back into 50% EQ but failed to close above weak internal high.
Price has now pulled back into the extreme of the internal low where we are currently seeing a bullish reaction and it is expected for the internal low to hold.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high.
However, H4 is bearish, therefore, it would not be unrealistic for price to target swing low priced at 2281.680.
M15 Chart :
XAU/USD 01 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has now printed a bearish BOS and iBOS as price needed a pullback from all HTF's
Following the shift in structure we now expect price to pullback. First indication, but not confirmation, of pullback initiation would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price is reacting at H4 demand level.
Price remains in pullback phase and is now is discount of internal structure where it is expected the strong low to hold.
Intraday expectation: Price to print bullish CHoCH, reach 50% of internal EQ before targeting weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a series of bearish iBOS'.
Following bullish iBOS price is expected to pullback which price did printing a bullish CHoCH.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
Another alternative could be that price prints bullish iBOS as H4 remains in bullish pullback phase.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 30 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bullish iBOS aligned with swing structure.
Following bullish iBOS we expect price to pullback.
Price remains in pullback phase and is now is discount of internal structure where it is expected the strong low to hold.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, all HTF's are requiring a pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS.
Following bullish iBOS price is expected to pullback.
I have reviewed swing and internal structure due to extensive range of swing structure.
Intraday expectation: Following bearish iBOS await for price to pullback. Once price prints a bearish CHoCH the internal range will be established. Price to then target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 29 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bullish iBOS aligned with swing structure.
Following the bullish iBOS we expect price to pullback.
As per yesterday's Intraday expectation, price had yet to confirm pullback initiation. First indication, but not confirmation was for price to print bearish CHoCH (*correction*, in yesterday's analysis I mentioned iBOS which should have been CHoCH). This would in-turn confirm internal structure.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH as per expectation.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, all HTF's are requiring a pullback, therefore, price could potentially react at H4 POI.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Following bullish iBOS price is expected to pullback.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line. This indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation.
I have now mapped sub-internal structure to gain a micro-view of price action where price has printed a bullish CHoCH
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, caution at H4 POI as all HTF's require a pullback.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 26 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bullish iBOS aligned with swing structure.
Following the bullish iBOS we expect price to pullback.
Intraday expectation would be for price pullback to either 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Following bullish iBOS price is expected to pullback.
Indication of pullback initiation would be a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Price to indicate pullback initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Price to pullback to M15 POI before targeting weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 25 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has now printed a bearish iBOS which confirms the initiation of pullback needed by all HTF's.
Following the bearish iBOS we now expect price to pullback.
As per yesterday's intraday expectation, we were seeing a reaction to a H4 flip zone. Price continued to trade to the upside wicking out of the H4 flip zone possibly sweeping liquidity.
Price then printed a bearish CHoCH which confirmed the internal structure.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS
We are currently trading within an internal range with price stuck in between H4 supply and demand areas.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms that pullback phase may be over.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, price could potentially continue bullish, react from H4 or M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 24 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has now printed a bearish which confirms the initiation of pullback which was needed by all HTF's.
Following the bearish iBOS we now expect price to pullback.
Intraday expectation: We are seeing a reaction to H4 flip zone where price could target weak internal low, however, price is trading in between H4 supply and demand. Price could potentially continue bullish to 50% EQ before targeting weak internal low.
H4 chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS
We are currently trading within an internal range with price printing a bullish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bullish pullback initiation.
Price has reacted from H4 supply POI which was well positioned in premium EQ.
Intraday expectation: price to target weak internal low, however, price could potentially from any H4 or M15 POI.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 23 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish which confirms the initiation of pullback which was needed by all HTF's.
Following the bearish iBOS we now expect price to pullback.
Intraday expectation would be for price to retrace to H4 POI or 50% EQ to then target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a series bearish iBOS' which was expected as per yesterday's analysis.
We are currently trading within an internal high and fractal low with bullish CHoCH being positioned at the same level of the internal high.
Price has tapped in to M15 Demand area where we saw a reaction.
Intraday expectation would be for price to retrace to either 50% EQ or nested H4 and M15 POI's before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 22 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price remains contained within an internal range where we saw a reaction from H4 supply with price unable to close below strong internal low.
Price has tapped into H4 demand where we are seeing a reaction, however, price has previously failed to break and close above weak internal high.
The prevailing trend, which is bullish, would be a factor, therefore, current intraday expectation is for price to react at H4 demand level to target weak internal high, however, because price has printed a bearish CHoCH an alternative scenario could be for the price breach and close below internal low as all HTF's require a pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS which confirms internal structure is now bullish in-line with bullish swing structure.
Price has now tapped into a M15 demand area, however, as the demand area has yet to do anything significant I will be watching this zone.
Additionally, price has failed to close below strong low, therefore, internal bullish structure remains intact.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to target weak internal high.
However, as all HTF's require a pullback it would not be unrealistic for price to close below strong internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 19 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since yesterday's analysis dated 18 April 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price remains contained within an internal range where we saw a reaction from H4 supply with price unable to close below strong internal low.
Price reacted at H4 supply and subsequently reacted at H4 demand.
Price is currently between H4 supply and demand where we are seeing a battle between the bulls and bears with price printing an internal bearish CHoCH.
The prevailing trend, which is bullish, would be a factor, therefore, current intraday expectation is for price to react at H4 demand level to target weak internal high, however, because price has printed a bearish CHoCH an alternative scenario could be for the price breach and close below internal low as all HTF's require a pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Sub-internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS which confirms internal structure is now bullish in-line with bullish swing structure.
Price then tapped into a M15 demand area where we saw a reaction.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to react at 50% EQ or M15 POI before targeting weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 18 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price remains contained within an internal range where we saw a reaction from H4 supply with price unable to close below strong internal low.
Price reacted at H4 supply and subsequently reacted at H4 demand.
Price is currently between H4 supply and demand where we are seeing a battle between the bulls and bears with price printing an internal bearish CHoCH.
The prevailing trend, which is bullish, would be a factor, therefore, current intraday expectation is for price to react at H4 demand level to target weak internal high, however, because price has printed a bearish CHoCH an alternative scenario could be for the price breach and close below internal low as all HTF's require a pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Sub-internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, on an intraday perspective, that pullback phase following bearish IBOS has started.
I have also mapped sub-internal structure to gain a micro-view of price where sub-internal structure is bullish.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to react at 50% EQ or H4, M15 POI before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 17 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday analysis/bias remains unchanged and the same a yesterday's analysis dated 16 April 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price remains contained within an internal range where we saw a reaction from H4 supply with price unable to close below strong internal low.
Price has also reacted to H4 demand where we are currently seeing a reaction.
Current intraday expectation is for price to react at H4 supply level to target weak internal high.
Alternative scenario could be for the price breach and close below internal low as all HTF's require a pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's target was hit with price printing another bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH which indicates bearish pullback is underway.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to react at 50% EQ or M15 POI before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative potential scenario would be for price to target, and close below strong internal low as all HTF's require a pullback.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 12 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's relentless bullish run and continues to print all time highs.
Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues its exponential bullish run with no clear signs of slowing down.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS, the latter being a smaller range which has brought the internal low significantly closer allowing a more realistic probability of price confirming a pullback as opposed to previous internal lows which had a significantly larger range.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to continue to print highs, alternatively, price could potentially print bearish CHoCH, react at either 50% or M15 POI to target internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 10 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 April 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's relentless bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook.
Price has printed further highs Sunday's analysis dated 7 April 2024 where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.
Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bearish.
Due to the range of internal structure I have mapped sub-internal to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure is denoted in red with current sub-structure being bearish due to bearish iiBOS.
Price has pulled back following bearish iiBOS and reacted at premium EQ of the sub-internal range.
Current intraday expectation would be for price to target weak internal low of the sub-structure.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 09 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's relentless bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook.
Price has printed further highs Sunday's analysis dated 7 April 2024 where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.
Price on all HTF's requires a pullback. Bearish CHoCH which is denoted with blue dotted line would indicate pullback initiation but not confirm.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, the most prudent remains the same, which is to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS since weekly analysis dated 07 April 2024 where price continues to print all time highs.
Price is now trading within a confirmed internal range following bearish CHoCH.
First structural sign, but not confirmation that pullback is about to initiate is a bearish CHoCH, which price has printed.
Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following bullish iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high.
Another likely scenario, and due to the fact that all HTF's need to pull back, is price prints a bearish iBOS on M15 which would mean first structural indication (CHoCH) on H4 that pullback is about to initiate.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 02 April 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed further highs where we continue to trade within a fractal high and internal low.
New high has meant location of ChoCH has been brought closer to current price.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation was for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which price did, creating a new highs and still remains the case.
Due to the bullish nature of the market and prices at all time highs, it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure as opposed to picking tops.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS printing all time highs.
Price is now contained within internal structure after confirmation of bearish ChoCH.
As with all HTF's it would be advisable to adopt patience and allow price to print structure before taking any action as opposed to picking tops.
First structural sign, but not confirmation, that pullback has initiated is a bearish CHoCH, which price has printed.
Intraday expectation would be for price to pull back following iBOS, react at either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the internal structure before price targets weak internal high.
Another likely scenario is price to continue bullish and keep printing all time highs! This now seems less probable as price has made an attempt to close to above but has failed to do so.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 28 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains unchanged since last analysis dated 22/03/2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold continues it's bullish run following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are currently trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Relative to recent price action of the swing range, I have readjusted bullish BOS to bullish iBOS.
As mentioned on 22/03/2024, Intraday expectation is for price to react H4 POI to then target fractal high, which is currently underway.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday (27/03/3034)
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
Price printed a bullish iBOS followed by bullish BOS following the Fed's dovish outlook on interest rates last week.
Price printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, that pullback has initiated. This is also a requirement for all HTF's
Due to the size of the internal range I plotted sub-internal range, which is denoted in red, to gain a micro-view of price action.
Sub-internal structure has now switched bullish in-line with internal and swing structure. Sub-internal structure has printed a further bullish iiBOS.
Intraday expectation is for price to pull back following iiBOS to either M15 POI or 50% EQ of the sub-internal structure before target weak internal high which is denoted by blue dashed line.
M15 Chart: