Gold price update: Sharp decline from all-time high!Dear friends!
Global gold prices have fallen to their lowest level in over a week, driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching key inflation data, which could provide important clues about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar has risen by 0.2%, pushing the USD Index (.DXY) further away from its 11-week low. This appreciation makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
On the other hand, U.S. President Donald Trump has raised hopes of a one-month delay in imposing higher tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, while also proposing a 25% tariff on European automobiles and goods. This uncertainty has driven investors toward the U.S. dollar, adding further pressure on gold prices, which were already facing profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs.
Intradaytrade
EURUSD: Bearish Wave Continues to Dominate!EURUSD continued its downward trajectory on Thursday, losing nearly 0.9% and slipping below the key 1.0400 support level for the first time in nearly two weeks. The decline was driven by strong USD buying pressure across the market.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 107.00 level, reaching a fresh six-day high, supported by a modest uptick in both U.S. and German bond yields. The dollar’s strength reflects ongoing concerns over U.S. tariffs and fresh doubts about the health of the U.S. economy, following weaker-than-expected economic data in recent days. These factors have weighed heavily on EURUSD.
From a technical perspective, the pair has broken below an ascending trendline, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside. This reinforces the bearish outlook, as no clear bottom formation has been established yet. If EURUSD stages a recovery, it is likely to encounter resistance near the confluence zone of the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly formed resistance area, which could trigger renewed selling pressure. For now, the bearish bias remains intact, with further downside potential unless a decisive recovery above the resistance zone materializes.
GBPUSD: The trend of discounts prevails?Hello everyone, great to have you back for today's discussion on GBPUSD!
Currently, GBPUSD has extended its decline, trading below 1.2600 as market pressure intensifies. Risk sentiment has worsened following a series of U.S. economic data releases, which indicate weakness in the overall U.S. economy while also signaling a persistent rise in core inflationary pressures.
From a technical standpoint, the pair has broken below the ascending trendline, confirming a bearish breakout. The bearish momentum remains strong, with no clear signs of a bottom forming yet. If GBPUSD stages a corrective pullback, it is likely to face resistance around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, which aligns with the confluence of EMA 34, EMA 89, and the newly established resistance area. This setup could reinforce selling pressure, making it a key level to watch.
GOLD → False breakdown before further declineOANDA:XAUUSD updating lows within the changing local trend structure. The price is currently testing the liquidity zone at 2852, with a potential rebound before further downside movement.
Gold registered its lowest level in two weeks, dropping below $2,900 in Asia on Friday, breaking an eight-week bullish streak. The metal remains under pressure from the stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by Trump's tariff policies and U.S. economic conditions. Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled on March 4 and also threatened to impose a 25% tariff on European Union imports, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Additionally, weak U.S. GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims have further supported the dollar. Traders are now awaiting the U.S. PCE Price Index to assess the Fed's interest rate outlook and its impact on gold.
A false breakdown at 2852 could trigger a retracement toward the 0.618 Fibonacci imbalance zone at 2877 or the 0.5 level at 2885 before resuming the decline. Given both weak fundamental and technical conditions, gold may attempt to retest its recent lows.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Gold breaks out of consolidation, facing bearish pressureGold has officially exited its previous consolidation phase, experiencing a sharp decline from the $2,950 region and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has triggered increased selling pressure, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Currently, gold is making a slight recovery, trading around $2,919. However, the bearish trend remains dominant, leaving the price vulnerable to further downside moves. If gold fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the downward momentum may persist, targeting $2,905 as the first support level, with a potential extension toward $2,879.
Wishing you successful trades!
EURUSD: Strong preference for selling strategy!Dear friends!
EURUSD continues to sustain losses below 1.0500 during the early trading hours on Thursday. The pair is under pressure due to the recovery of the US dollar. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) weakens following former US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. This development has prevented EURUSD from making significant gains, keeping it limited below the 1.052 resistance level, marked by two recent peaks.
In the short term, EURUSD remains well-supported by bulls around the key support zone of 1.0462. However, this upward move appears to be a temporary consolidation before a potential strong decline, as indicated by the unchanged EMA 34 and 89 levels and a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend. My primary strategy focuses on selling, aiming for further downside if the support level is broken and a new resistance is established.
Wishing you successful trades and profitable opportunities!
GBPUSD: Rising within the uptrend channel!Dear traders!
GBPUSD is currently moving within a clear ascending channel, maintaining its bullish trend on the 1-hourchart.
Looking ahead, if the market conditions remain unchanged, we should consider buy positions in line with the trend. Pay close attention to the psychological resistance level at 1.2700, where GBPUSD may gain further momentum or break through to reach higher targets.
Wishing you successful and enjoyable trading!
EURUSD: Uptrend still prevails!Dear traders!
Yesterday, EUR/USD experienced an impressive short-term rebound, briefly reaching the key resistance level of 1.052. However, lacking further momentum, the pair quickly retreated and stabilized within the day's range.
Looking ahead, as long as the ascending channel remains intact and its internal support levels hold firm, buyers are likely to continue their attempt to break through the next key resistance at the upper boundary of the channel.
Wishing you a successful trading day with plenty of profits!
XAUUSD: Buy or sell?Gold continues to decline for the second day, trading around $2,913 per ounce, as the market pauses ahead of key inflation data and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies. Despite the drop, strong buyer interest at lower levels signals stability, while expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to support the metal.If buyers defend key levels, a short-term rebound may occur.
GBPUSD: Buy or sell?Dear traders,
Recently, GBPUSD has struggled to sustain its new high at 1.269, experiencing a slight downward correction while still holding relatively stable at elevated levels. The primary driver behind this decline is the renewed demand for the U.S. dollar, fueled by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the House of Representatives’ approval of the Republican Budget Plan, which has negatively impacted the pair.
As a result, GBPUSD is likely to undergo a short-term corrective move against the trend, seeking new support levels before resuming its upward trajectory.
GOLD → Volatile. Entering consolidation. What is next?OANDA:XAUUSD after a short-term uptrend, gold is now shifting into a consolidation phase, with speculative traders actively defending key risk zones. In this environment, what can we expect from the precious metal next?
Uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariff policies and weak U.S. economic data has driven investors back toward safe-haven assets. However, after reaching a record high of $2,956 on Tuesday, gold experienced a pullback due to profit-taking and a decline in Chinese imports. Despite this, weak U.S. consumer confidence data has helped support a partial recovery.
While gold still holds bullish potential, its upside movement is being restrained by a stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields. However, trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the metal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2,921 – 2,942
Support: 2,905 – 2,888
At this stage, the market is forming a sideways range, leading to two potential scenarios:
A pullback to retest the 2,905 – 2,888 support zone before a potential rebound.
A breakout above resistance, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend.
If buyers can push gold into the 2,921 – 2,929 zone and maintain control above this level, the metal could regain upward momentum.
Stay tuned and seize the best opportunities!
USD/JPY – Retesting key resistance before declineThe market is undergoing a correction after breaking its bullish structure. The weakening US Dollar (USD) has created favorable conditions for other assets, including the Japanese Yen (JPY). USD/JPY is currently retesting the previously broken trendline following a strong downward impulse.
On Thursday, the Yen reached its highest level in 10 weeks, pushing USD/JPY down to 149.5. Escalating trade tensions driven by Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have led investors to seek safe-haven assets. Additionally, expectations of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike have further strengthened JPY’s position in the market.
In the short term, USD/JPY may continue a corrective rebound, testing the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone before resuming its downward movement.
GOLD--> Test ATH 2942. Are buyers ready to act ?OANDA:XAUUSD testing ATH levels which could trigger growth momentum. The target of 3000 is getting closer day by day. Imminent in the near future...
Metals are consolidating after the price surge, maintaining an upward trend. Supported by Trump's tax plan and Fed easing expectations.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) and US Dollar Index (DXY) are significantly weaker. Markets are reacting to the delay in tariff implementation and comments from Trump and Powell about the need for interest rate cuts (requiring weeks or months before implementation), which has supported gold. Ahead lies potential profit-taking and impact from US Retail Sales data for January to be released.
Resistance levels: 2942, 2950
Support levels: 2929, 2923, 2908
Emphasis on key support levels. From there, price will realize growth potential. I don't rule out the possibility of retesting 2929-2922 before buyers continue their action.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Gold → Accelerating Upwards NorthOANDA:XAUUSD returning to the trend following news (inflation). The northbound train may continue from 2907. Upcoming unemployment claims and PPI data.
Gold is supported by uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs and economic data from the United States. The Fed remains hawkish due to rising inflation, pushing bond yields higher and driving prices down to $2,865 briefly. However, buyers quickly returned, pushing prices back up.
Meanwhile, traders are awaiting PPI data which could influence Fed policy.
Technically, prices are consolidating in the buying zone compared to key points at 2900 and 2907. If buyers can hold and strengthen above the 2907 resistance level, gold could update ATH in the medium term. Additionally, focus is on 2918 - 2920. Price consolidation above this zone will also support prices.
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
GOLD → Accelerating northward. Targeting $3000Hello dear friends, Ben here!
Today, gold continues its strong upward momentum. Taking inspiration from previous growth - high economic risk. The price is moving increasingly closer to the previously anticipated mark of $3000.
Accordingly, gold broke above the trend channel boundary and the $2850 mark at the start of the week in the US, but growth is being limited by the strengthening dollar due to escalating trade risks. Trump announced on Sunday that he would impose new 25% tariffs on all imported steel and aluminum products, exacerbating the pain for the Euro and commodity-linked Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD), thereby channeling new buying interest into the safe-haven currency - the US Dollar.
Gold prices also benefited further from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) expanding its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January and expectations of more stimulus measures from China. However, in the coming days, USD could extend its recovery if risk flows intensify or markets return to profit-taking on USD short positions before US CPI inflation data is released on Wednesday. Moderate expectations from the Fed, hopes for Chinese economic stimulus, and lurking trade war risks will help limit gold's downside.
Technically, we are currently monitoring around the psychological area of 2904 and the main support level is 2882.
Resistance level: 2904 (unconfirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2853
Bulls seem to remain hesitant around the 2904 area with prices potentially continuing their upward trend without any reversals. But! The most likely scenario at this point is a false break of 2904, with a short-term correction to retest liquidity before bulls head northward.
GOLD → Heading into tonight: Is 3K still a valid target ?OANDA:XAUUSD has approached the 2950 level but has yet to reach the key psychological threshold. The current price action indicates a correction phase, allowing the market to rest and accumulate liquidity ahead of key news releases, with a potential move northward on the horizon.
Gold is currently testing the 2900 level following Trump’s new tariff announcement, maintaining strong demand. The primary focus remains on Powell’s speech and the U.S. inflation data, as these will be the key factors influencing expectations for a Fed rate cut, which is the main driving force behind gold’s movement... Theoretically, the situation remains unclear as gold approaches strong support levels.
From a technical perspective, a correction is a logical scenario in a strong market. Technically speaking, prices cannot rise indefinitely; they require energy, which is replenished through seller pressure.
Currently, key focus areas include 2912, Fibonacci 0.618, and Fibonacci 0.5 levels.
Resistance levels: 2912, 2930
Support levels: 2901 (Fibonacci 0.618), 2888 (Fibonacci 0.5)
Powell’s speech, scheduled for tonight, and tomorrow’s U.S. inflation data will be the main catalysts. High volatility is inevitable. However, overall economic conditions continue to support this precious metal.
Before moving higher, gold may first test 2901 and 2888. The target remains within the familiar range of 2950 to 3000.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Gold price rally continues from resistance level 2934 !Hello everyone, today is the last trading session of the week, let's see how the gold price fluctuates!
⭐️Market Summary:
- Gold has broken the resistance level of 2919-2921 to form a continued uptrend in today's Asian trading session, and the resistance zone of 2919-2921 will be formed to create a new support zone here
- If we observe and trade on the H1 time frame, we can see the price increasing in a clear trend according to Dow theory.
Trading plan:
Wait for the price to consolidate above the resistance level and continue following the Buy wave
👨💻XAUUSD Buy zone 2931 - 2933
🔹SL 2929
🔹TP 2935 - 2937 - 2940
Wishing you all FULL TP ❤️❤️
Sharing a strategyFor my scalping or Intraday trade, I created this pine script combining various indicator (namely the famous Alphatrend by @KivancOzbilgic, Previous Day Close and 52WeeksHigh/Low) into one indicator.
If price goes above the PDC and Alphatrend is a buy then I will make quick long trade. If price goes below the PDC and Alphatrend is a sell then I will make quick short trade. I added a percentage based on PDC to give me where I need to put my stoploss. Not really important as I always have proper risk reward ratio but it comes handy most of the time.
USD/JPY ---> Will the Bulls Recognize the False Breakout?Dear friends!
Overall, USD/JPY, after hitting support and forming a false breakout below the local trend channel's lower boundary, the currency pair has resumed its upward movement, supported by the strengthening dollar at this time.
Currently, the price has stabilized above the support level but remains below the 34 and 89 exponential moving averages (EMA). Fundamentally, the recent context has been unstable and depends more heavily on US economic data. People have long forgotten about interest rate growth in Japan and are focusing on economic data from the West.
On the chart, the uptrend remains the primary trend, so we maintain a buying preference. If the pair can consolidate above 152.00, then in the short and medium term, we should expect prices to reach the targets as indicated on the chart.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 10.02.25) Overall Trend & Context:
The OANDA:USDJPY pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and has reached highly significant support/demand levels. Lower time frame has given bullish indications, we can try to capitalize on this.
Technical Findings:
Price broke above the 200 EMA - this can act as dynamic support so watch current levels.
Demand zone was formed after sweeping internal liquidity (which resulted in an impulsive bullish break).
RSI shows overbought conditions - resulting in a pullback which is what we want to see to confirm price action (currently trading below the 50% level of the RSI)
Potential Scenarios:
Since we have seen a reaction off HTF supply zones we should wait for proper confirmations prior to entry.
If the demand fails, short positions should be considered - analysis will need to be adjusted to adapt to changing supply levels.
GOLD → First declines, then continues to conquer $2,900OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving slowly on a bullish trend platform, with the price fluctuating around $2,868 and rising by approximately 0.45% on the day.
Inflation remains on an upward trajectory, and gold is responding as a safe-haven asset. "Gold is on track to reach $2,900 per ounce, and market sentiment remains highly optimistic, despite the short-term strength of the U.S. dollar."
Furthermore, recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate that major policy uncertainties—including tariffs and other issues stemming from the early days of former President Donald Trump's administration—are among the biggest challenges in determining monetary policy direction in the coming months.
Currently, the market's focus is on the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, set to be released on Friday, which will provide further insights into the overall strength of the economy and the Fed’s policy path. Theoretically, a disappointing jobs report could strengthen the case for interest rate cuts in the U.S., thereby boosting gold prices. However, the opposite scenario is also possible.
From a technical standpoint, gold prices may decline from the $2,870 resistance level to accumulate liquidity and prepare for further upward movement. Specifically, the price could react to lower trend boundaries and the previously broken resistance of the ascending channel. There are no fundamental or technical reasons to break the current trend, and growth may resume after a potential false breakout.
Regards Bentradegold!
USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends!
As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend.
Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart.
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