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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/04Major Indexes edged higher Friday into the weekend with both Europe and the US posting minor gains. The US had economic data out that came in stronger than expected and sent US Bond Yields higher to add further fuel to the interest rate rise narrative. Share market traders have been in a holding pattern awaiting a big week of earnings this week in the US as some big tech names will release results and guidance. Expect that the tug of war between good and bad economic and earnings data will continue to see tough markets this week. Longer term, I still feel that share markets are looking heavy and expect to see some risk off moves or at least the market to cap bullish moves. I either expect sticky inflation or expectations for a recession to weigh on markets. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed. Traders are continuing to anticipate the end to the rate rising cycle and may be wrong again. If the Fed stops too soon, then shares will rally and put pressure back on inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 20/04Major Indexes were generally flat to lower both in Europe and the US as traders digest the UK CPI print and what may be in store for US inflation. The UK saw core CPI out at 6.2% vs 6.0% expected which is unchanged from the previous release. The BOE will not be happy with the figure as inflation remains high and they will need to raise rates further. This sets up for an interesting US FOMC in a few weeks as US CPI shows sticky inflation. Longer term, I still feel that share markets are looking heavy and we may see some risk off moves which will pressure major indexes lower in the near term. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed. Traders are continuing to anticipate the end to the rate rising cycle and may be wrong again. If the Fed stops too soon, then shares will rally and put pressure back on inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 19/04Major Indexes were again relatively flat with earnings weighing on US markets while Europe grinded higher. The USD moved lower from the start of the Asian market session which supported commodities, namely Gold, while US short term bonds continued lower as yields edged higher. I expect the Asian markets to have a muted open with the ASX200 to open flat and HSI slightly lower and potentially see more of the same chop as the previous session. Longer term, share markets seem to be getting a little heavy so we could see another good swing lower as traders take some risk off the table. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed. Traders are continuing to anticipate the end to the rate rising cycle and may be wrong again. If the Fed stops too soon, then shares will rally and put pressure back on inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 17/04Major Indexes were mixed heading into the weekend with Asian and European markets ending with gains while the US moved lower. US bond yields spiked higher and the USD found buyers to pressure up off support as the focus remains in 'sticky inflation' and more rate rises to come in the US. US earnings is under way with big banks finding buyers as they benefit from rising interest rates and easing fears of stress in the banking sector...potentially showing they benefitted from the Banking crisis. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. The Fed will be conscious of a run higher in risk assets as that will continue to fuel higher inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 6/04Major Indexes were either range bound or weakened in Europe and the US. The DAX drifted lower from the open and the FTSE gave up most of the earlier gains into the close while the DOW ended slightly higher and the Nasdaq added to the previous sessions losses to end lower. Traders will be risk adverse coming into Easter and add to that the US employment data which could easily trigger increased volatility in a relatively thin market. I expect the Asian session to be range bound or a grind lower today. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. With the OPEC Production cuts and resultant spike in Oil ( and clear potential for higher levels), bulls will have something to think about regarding inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper Trade what you see not what you think! RELATED IDEAS TradeTheStructure
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 5/04Major Indexes moved lower as banking concerns weighed on the US along with fears of an economic slowdown. Employment data out in the US disappointed and pointed to a slowing jobs market which sets up for an interesting Payrolls release Friday. The USD took a hit, which supported Gold, as traders start thinking of a recession. Being the end of quarter, we may see a decent unwind of recent buyers but I expect this will be closer to the employment data release. Either way, I feel that major Indexes are looking heavy and may need a flush lower at the least, prior to any further upside. The RBA statement was happy to leave interest rates on hold even with inflation around 6.8%. Homeowners (especially recent buyers) were relieved although many still expect further rises to tame the high inflation. The ASX is expected to open relatively flat around the previous close while the Nikkei is set to open down 164 pts while the Hang Seng is closed for trading. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. With the OPEC Production cuts and resultant spike in Oil ( and clear potential for higher levels), bulls will have something to think about regarding inflation. Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch. Setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below :- Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 3/04Major Indexes ended the month and Quarter on a positive note and held the recent trend up although the price action is extended and hints at some profit taking to come. We are now into a new quarter so could see some longs unwind into the new week; add to that the spike in Oil (cough, cough...manipulation from OPEC); and markets will see some increased volatility. With US Key employment data at the end of the shortened week, I feel new bulls will remain on the sidelines into Easter. Asian markets are expected to open stronger but may find some weakness as they digest the macro economic costs of higher Oil prices. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. With the OPEC Production cuts and resultant spike in Oil, bulls will have something to think about regarding inflation. A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
CBOT:ZT1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 29/03European markets gapped up and then saw a slow grind lower while the US could not take out the previous sessions highs and also moved lower into the close. The US was weighed down by big tech as inflation and rate rises are again the main focus. US Bond yields continued to press higher which weighed on tech stocks and the overall broader market. Elevated Consumer Confidence levels gave the market some confidence as the banking crisis starts to fade to the background for now. Asian markets are expected to open mixed with the ASX200 set to open down 25 points, the Nikkei set to open flat and the Hang Seng to open up over 300 points after a strong overnight session. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it remains a balancing act for the Fed as they potentially come to the end of a rate rise cycle. The Fed will need to see hard evidence that inflation is coming under control first. A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 27/03European markets were sold lower again on the back of banking fears and look ready to be pressured again at the start of the new week. The US opened weaker to follow on from Europe but found an intraday low and rallied into the close to brush aside the earlier weakness. The USD is back moving higher after breaking the recent downtrend leaving Gold to find some selling pressure and move lower. Copper is finding buyers while Oil fended off more selling pressure and is looking for a move higher. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it is now a balancing act for the Fed with the concerns for the Regional US Banks leading many to expect an interest rate pause. A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/03European markets fought back up off lows after and earlier selloff while the US managed to end with minor gains led by Tech shares. Again, banking concerns weighed on the markets which capped bullishness for the session as the USD continued to move lower leading to a rally in Gold and Copper. For me, major US and European Indexes are looking very heavy and teetering on a selloff. Whether the selloff sees new major lows or a retest of previous lows, is still yet to be seen. Asian markets will open weaker with the ASX200 expected down 40 points, HSI to open down 180 and the Nikkei down 40/50 points on open. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue but it is now a balancing act for the Fed with the concerns for the Regional US Banks leading many to expect an interest rate pause. A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 23/03US Share markets indexes move lower after the US Fed raised interest rates by 0.25% as expected. There are a number of concerns that the market sees and is reacting to as risk assets take a hit. The US Fed showed concern for the banking crisis and expect credit conditions to tighten which does not bode well for growth in an interest rate raising environment. I expect that we will see more risk off trading in the coming days and will see Europe play catchup with a move lower on open in the coming session. UK CPI showed inflation is moving up which I expect will cap any rally into the FTSE100 (UK100 Index). Asian markets will open weaker to follow on from the US session. A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 22/03Share markets continued to press higher as they focus on the coming FOMC interest rate release. Concerns over the banking sector are on the back burner for now and expectations for no rate rise from the US Fed may now be baked into the price action. I expect to see the Fed Reserve raise rates by 25 basis points as they still have to battle higher inflation so we may see a late selloff into the US markets. Asian markets will open stronger to follow on from the European and US sessions. A review of the price action from the European session and the US session where I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. European markets were hammered lower on the back of concerns for Credit Suisse and the broader banking sector. The DAX and UK100 were hit hard while the key US indexes held up well considering the fear in Europe. I expect that there may be some catchup from the US if things get worse and more comes to light as analysts take a deeper look at other banks. I continue to be of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control....this all points to more 'risk off' into major share markets. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
CBOT:ZB1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 15/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. European markets moved higher once US CPI was released and ended with gains to reverse some of the previous move down. The US was under pressure for a large part of the session only ending in green after a late rally into the close. US Data out showed inflation remains a problem and it is too early to think the Fed will pause rate rises. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control....this all points to more 'risk off' into major share markets. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 14/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. European markets were hit with selling across the board while US indexes were relative buoyant from the open on hopes that the Fed will be less aggressive on rate rises. The NASDAQ was supported from the open as the USD pushed lower and Gold higher. US Bond yields fell as bond prices pressed higher as traders re-adjusted interest rate outlooks. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control....this all points to more 'risk off' into major share markets. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 10/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. Major indexes again took a big hit lower in a risk off move ahead of the Key US data release on employment. Investors feel it is hard to take up the slack of higher prices when labour market is at capacity and the consumer becomes more reluctant to spend. Inflation and rate rise expectations kept the major indexes under pressure. The USD edged lower while US short term bond prices moved higher. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control....this all points to more 'risk off' into major share markets. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 8/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. Major indexes took a big hit after Powell suggested that the US Central Bank could raise rates more aggressively than previously expected. The USD reacted sharply higher while US bonds spiked lower. Investors who recently went bargain hunting were now going risk off into the share market. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out on the major markets below. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 7/03A review of the price action from the European session and the US session. DAX managed to hold onto recent gains while the FTSE edged lower. The US managed to open stronger and push higher but it was not long until we saw some profit taking and prices edged lower into the close. Traders continue to focus on the global economy versus sticky/high inflation and at this stage data is pointing to a resilient US economy absorbing those higher prices due to inflation. There is no fear driven selloff which shows that bargain hunters still believe in a longer term move up thanks to resilient economies so I continue to expect major swings in momentum up and down. I remain of the view that sticky inflation is the big issue and will weigh on share markets if the Fed, and other major central banks, can not get it under control. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
COMEX:HG1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 1/03A review of the price action from the European session and US session as end the month in the red. The USD found some buyers as expected which pressured major currencies although Gold moved up and managed to fend off the USD strength...for now. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 28/02A review of the price action from the European session and US session as traders fight back thanks to some bargain hunting from the open. The US gapped upon the open following on from a strong European session. The USD found some sellers and Bond yields fell which provided some support for share markets traders. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
CBOT:ZN1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 27/02A review of the price action from the European session and US session as traders go into 'risk off' mode on stronger than expected inflationary data. The US gapped down on the open and held the lows into the close. The USD continued higher while US bond yields again rallied which pressured the broader share market. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
CBOT:ZT1!
by TradeTheStructure
Key Levels and Market overview for the Asian session open 24/02A review of the price action from the European session and recap of US price action as US indexes followed on from some strength this time in the Asian and European trade. The US gapped up on the open, sold off hard only to bounce back into the close to wipe off the majority of the earlier losses. I look at some key levels to watch and the price action setups I expect to see play out. Markets covered :- DOW Nasdaq DAX FTSE ASX200 Hang Seng USD Index Gold Oil Copper
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeTheStructure
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