ITA Aero-Defence etf bottommed if 93 holds & it BO channel @103ITA has been in a downchannel even before invasion. It only overshot during invasion to make an ATH @113.37. Since then, it made an ABC corrective wave & came back down to retest channel base near the 93 zone.
BULLISH CASE: it bounced after retesting channel base @93 but was stalled by ma50.. 93 is a VOLUME PROFILE zone & is the Fib 0.382 retracement level. It is also the vwap from 2009 low. If 93 holds,
ITA will break above ma50 & target the 103 yellow resistance zone & try to BO of the downchannel started in May2021. 103 is the 0.382 Fib level.
BEARISH CASE WARNING: if ITA fails 93 zone & break down from the channel, there is very low volume below until 85, with only a small support at 90. Measuring the H&S move from ATH will send ITA to as low as the 80 zone.
Not trading advice
Invasion
XAUUSD Trade - Strong Bullish momentum 2021 Ranging market:
1-No trend momentum in the market for Gold
2- Investors reached kept building the portifolio
3-Waiting for the catalyser or the trigger scenarios
2022 The trending momentum engaged in GOLD:
1-The trigger, the Ukraine invasion climate #January
2- The invansion in Ukraine confirmed in this February...
3- The invansion created the "no way " sentiment to the investor.
So as you know, investor will rush to buy the safe heaven GOLD.
The analysis is the intermediate term trading - Not the short term or Scalping trading.
The investors always start by buying the easy piece of the market. By understanding the correlation of the markets, you can see the investor moves.
As GOLD is the safe heaven, putting mostly all the cash in Gold will lower the others market. Again this the proof of their involvment in the market.
So they can buy those market at very low price. Easy to understand, i suppose ?
If not, ask question, i will take time to answer :)
Readers,
Good trading and bail out the profits.
AKR :)