OH MY $SPY !! Here is my full analysis - Lots to Review!$SPY has me on the edge of my chair here on the weekly and boy is there lots to review..
Let's start with where we left off last time..
The INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER is still in play, I know, I sound like a broken record, but it's true, not broken, and we closed the daily on the $390 support level to back up this theory.
(Green Outline) represents a BROADENING DESCENDING WEDGE (Bullish) which has been respected since the beginning of the year in January. A bounce off $390 will send it upwards to a 3rd tap of the upper trendline and possibly break-through. A break through does not necessarily mean new ATH, OMG we broke through, "new all time highs" .. umm no sir .. this particular pattern could break-out and epically FAIL.. here is why..
(Purple Outline) is highlighting a RISING WEDGE (Overall Bearish) - should we hold the line here, at $390 on the weekly, this pattern will continue upwards to tap the upper trend for a 3rd time (generally followed by a heavy rejection - hence bearish), this compliments the INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER mentioned above, but technically would end up failing as it nears the neckline aka top channel of the rising wedge.
But let's not lose sight so quickly, we still have to hold the line near $390 tomorrow in order for these patterns to play out without failure. I provided a chart earlier today from my phone of the current falling wedge on spy 15 min - 1 hour time frame so I am hopeful for a run up BUT if we break below -- there are many areas of support and plenty of gaps to fill and trades to be played.
GAPS are marked in RED.
Good luck traders!
Inverse Head and Shoulders
ABNB - Inverse Head & ShouldersABNB has completed the formation of an invert H&S bottom and looks to be on the verge of breaking up. Will it happen?
When it does breakup, it is normal for the stock to retrace after a few days to retest near the neckline (which ideally should then become the new support). If and when this happens, it will present a 2nd opportunity to stake.
Theoretical Target will be the distance between the lowest point (head) of the pattern to the neckline, and then projecting this same distance up from the neckline (ie around 165).
Let's see if this trade will work out!
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
USDT.D inverted head and shoulders#USDT.D
The dominance of USDT is inside a descending channel, and below the upper line of this channel.
also as you can see it shaped an inverted head and shoulders.
🐮 the neckline of H&S pattern is the same with upper line of channel, so breaking out from this resistance can increase dominance toward resistance zone around 8.5%, that will cause more fall in crypto market.
🐻 rejection from upper line of channel can reverse the short-term trend and possible to drop to lower line, and as you know this move will cause reversal in crypto market and crypto will move upward.
$TSLA strong - Will it clear 305, 309?Look at the daily candle for 13Sep and you would have no idea that U.S. markets tanked on the same day. This is relative strength, and it shows in today's price action as well (see smaller timeframes).
There is a recent inverse H&S pattern, shown by the peach zigzag arrow. In order to move higher, buyers must move price over 304-305 (volume shelf) and then clear 309. That leaves a volume gap which should quickly see price reach 320.
RSI and stochastic, as shown in yellow circles, indicate strength and room for price to move higher. Note that %K (gray line) may zigzag but %D is still rising and if it crosses over 80 then TSLA should see the late buyers come in.
* RSI LESSON (14-day) - On 4 Aug RSI moved over 70, which indicates bullishness. When RSI turned down with price, it stopped just over 40 (green bar) and turned back up. 35-40 is a bull support zone. RSI showed buying strength when it held 40 and moved back over 50 without retesting this level as price kept rising.
*** Note: TSLA crossed 304 and drew in sellers at 306 while I was writing this. Watch for a pullback to 302 on smaller timeframe if you want to buy calls and check indicators for a good trade setup. It may drop lower if market retreats in the afternoon. (based on 30m chart)
$SOND extremely bullish setup. PT's are labelled based on chart patterns.
- MMU (measured move up/ ABC)
- Bull flag breakout imminent and the PT breaks the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders.
- A break of the neckline of the inverse H&S gives us the PT based on Thomas Bulkowski's statistical work.
It is also important to note that the MACD crossed to the upside on the daily and the RSI is still not oversold. No bearish divergences in the momentum indicators. THIS IS EXTREMELY BULLISH.
Shiba Inu - Fake breakout! 60% crash soon | Elliott Wave
We are in the middle of the crypto bear market. Altcoins like SHIB, ADA, XRP, SOL, DOT, and LINK are going to crash hard. You really don't want to buy these coins at this moment.
I think Shiba doesn't deserve to be ranked at #13 on Coinmarketcap with this terrible price action. Yes, we had a massive pump that lasted only 30 days in 2021, but now we've been bleeding for 320 days.
On the daily chart, we have a descending parallel channel on the LOG scale with a fake breakout. It was a trap, and there were clearly missing buyers on this token. The token is still so expensive that buyers are not interested.
The price should go down to the previous swing low at 0.00000510, which is an extremely strong support and potential buying opportunity.
I would like to see a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe, and this divergence will definitely be created if we drop down to 0.00000510.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we need another impulse to the downside to complete a major impulsive wave, so I think we have already started the downtrend.
Maybe Shiba is a great altcoin, but it is very overpriced and expensive. Definitely not a good investment at this time.
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NEAR inverted head and shoulders#NEAR/USDT
$NEAR shaped an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
🐮 if price hold the previous low at $4.088, the right shoulder is completed and price can head up to break out the neck line and rise as high as head.
🐻🐮 I think price can have another leg down to make the low of right shoulder around $3.9 which is around parallel trend line of neckline, then increase to complete the H&S pattern.
Quant testing the top trendline of the 1day symmetrical triangleWe can see that priceaction is currently attempting to both test the top trendline of the symmetrical triangle (in chartreuse) as well as trying to climb back above the 1 day 50ma(in orange). If price action can flip the 1 day 50ma back to solidified support then it can validate the bullish breakout from this symmetrical triangle. The breakout target from that symmetrical triangle will take price action far above this white line which is actually the neckline of an even bigger inverse head and shoulders pattern. If we are to hit 100% of the breakout target for the triangle ($165), this will greatly increase the probability of it also triggering the breakout of the inverse head and shoulders pattern as well which can send it considerably higher afterwards($224). Of course for now the 1 day 50ma is still resistance so we want to see a couple daily candle closes above that and any confirmation candles after that that retest it, testing it as strong support. Flipping tat 1day 50ma back to strong support will also confirm that the golden cross that recently happened will be sustained instead of flipping back into a deathcross and confirming a golden cross fake out. *not financial advice*
$SPY $SPX 5 Reasons to be Bullish vs 5 Reasons to be BearishBULL
1. SPY had an incredible bounce yesterday printing a bullish hammer at the $390 level which is a huge area of support. Inverse Head & Shoulder is still in play.
2. The RSI has created a bullish divergence (might be temporary - see bearish view).
3. MACD has started curling up after the big corrective decline.
4. Stoch RSI is and has been negative (oversold) for days.
5. The chance of 75bps (interest rate hike) announced at the next meeting is already mostly priced in as the FED gave a hawkish speech at Jackson Hole.
BEAR
1. RSI has not reached oversold territory on the daily (a double bottom could resolve that).
2. The weekly RSI was over-bought and has already began making its way down.
3. POWELL is actively trying to bring the markets lower.
4. Many gaps to the downside.
5. 50MA/100MA are squeezing on the daily - indicating volatility incoming, which also could be a bullish move.
Overall - bullish until proven support is broken.
Litecoin LTC - A new bull market started! | Elliott Wave
Great news for all Litecoin hodlers and traders! As per my technical analysis, this downtrend established in 2018 has finally finished!
This is the LTCBTC pair on the weekly timeframe. It means that it would be better to hold LTC instead of BTC. But there is no guarantee of the USDT value of your holdings.
Regarding my Elliott Wave analysis, a major impulse wave has been completed, and now I expect at least a retracement to the upside.
Also, we can spot very nice local inverse head and shoulders and falling wedge patterns that are very close to a breakout!
The falling wedge has been destroyed by the bulls successfully, and now we are waiting for the head and shoulders pattern.
The last weekly candle of the downtrend is an extremely strong bullish engulfing candle, which is absolutely great to see!
The BTC.D Dominance chart confirms this analysis (I will post the BTC.D technical analysis probably next week).
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SPY inverse h&s within greater patternSpecifically looking at yellow here, although purple, larger pattern in the making may play out as well with a large rally into the end of the year.
With media barking about how September is such a poor month for stocks + a lot now baked in post-Jackson hole meeting, I could see a large rally begin soon into SPY 420ish (5.82% move roughly). Potential of a higher move if it were to bust out of supply levels.
Looking for an easing up of selling pressure at these levels in the short term. Note the VIX in recent days has been net flat/red with a declining market.
Inverse Head & Shoulders : H4 - DPotential head and shoulders on the FRA40.
A lot of news and inflation flying around, this might also just drop?
I'm looking for the price to go back to the 6664 mark, might be a potential double top pattern.
Inverse Head and Shoulders on BTC, Bitcoin might go up despiteVery simple, and early, but in no way guaranteed. Implied Move to about 24K on this, should it play out. 8-hour Time frame. Just throwing this out there, and playing it with very modest stakes (unlevered) small long. I know I have a previous elliot wave study pointing further down, but markets don't move in straight lines, and both ideas are valid until they aren't. I may be premature in drawing the head as I still see a lower move later today. I'm thinking 19600-500 is on deck in the short term. Next few hours will let us know I think.
HANA | Elliott Wave Projection | Inverse Head&ShouldersPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> Elliott wave projection downtrend breakout with inverse head & shoulders pattern
> A possible wave B rebound targeting 0.382 - 0.5 retracement of A
> Entry @ H&S breakout SMA25W
> Target @ 0.382 retracement of Wave A / SMA50W zone +25%
> Stoploss @ right shoulder / SMA400W -12%
> Risk reward ratio: 2:1
Indicator:
> RSI Week bullish divergence, breakout MA line
> MACD Week golden cross below baseline
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
$NVDA Nvidia missed earnings! Next level of support has a gap.$NVDA has a very interesting chart.
Today NVIDIA announces earnings, missed. The price plunged a bit after hours but not as bad imo.
I see a solid accumulation/support near the $157-$161 level.
NVDA previously broke out of a falling wedge on July 15th, however, it didn't back test the break-out zone afterwards, holding the support level this week would set up a textbook INVERSE Head & Shoulder pattern with a first target/resistance near the $190 level. Closing above the $190 neckline would open the door to more possibilities such as filling the gaps above (marked in red) created in APRIL 2022.
Losing the $157 level would break it down to the low $140's setting up a possible double bottom pattern as a best case scenario. Gaming is a billion dollar industry and most of the crypto decline shock is priced in. NVIDIA is poised for continued upside in the coming years as we slowly enter the metaverse.
ADA bearish flag in short-term#ADA/USDT
$ADA shaped ascending channel and price is between the middle line and lower line.
🐻 this channel can act as a bearish flag pattern and possible drop price toward long-term support zone around $0.41 which is the same with the broken line of the falling wedge.
🐻🐮 if price holds the support zone then possible to head up again to shape an inverted head and shoulders.