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Inversion

**Update** $BTC #Bitcoin Inversion Curve ✅ (1W Chart)This is an update on a previous chart, showing the logarithmic regression of $BTC. So far, it seems to actually be holding up pretty strongly with a strong holding of support around $17.5K as expected, were this theory to play out correctly. For anyone who's unfamiliar with my theory, it's that the slow regression of $BTC returns will actually invert, creating a rare "s-curve" formation. Plotting the regression curve, using both the exact highs and the exact lows, you can see that the curves will meet sometime in 2026. This shows that one of those regression curves will need to be broken in order to continue price movement. IMO, there are 2 options here. Either $BTC truly is a bubble and crashes down to nothing (not my belief), or the upper regression curve is broken. In the case of the upper regression curve being broken, this would possibly invert the curve and ~13 years of price suppression will be lifted. This could lead to an insanely strong, fast rally, far above the $100K milestone/dream every investor has these days. To plot this inversion, I have used the exact lows following the 2017-2018 blow-off-top, as this is when the majority of mainstream adoption seems to have occurred. As of today this "inversion-curve" has supported a new low of $17,592.78. A close below $18,400 would possibly invalidate this curve, however. I personally believe the overall theory to be correct, however the exact "inversion-curve" that could be charted out may be subjective. *This is based off of my interpretation of chart data. This is not financial advice.*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest
⚠️⚠️ ✔️ OR ❌️ ? Is it the bottom for #bitcoin? ⚠️⚠️Building on my previous $BTC logarithmic regression chart, there has now been an almost perfect bounce off of the yellow, dotted, inversion-curve line. This coincides with daily, weekly and monthly RSI's being at extremely oversold levels with the 4hr RSI moving down into oversold territory. Personally, all my limit orders were hit perfectly so it seems I may have at least bought "A" bottom here. This abrupt price drop also has now created a broadening edge pattern, which typically will break to the upside when formed at the bottom of a downtrend. All of these confluences may just spell the final bottom price for $BTC in the short term and validate my "inversion-curve" theory. Of course this can still be invalidated by a close below the inversion-curve line. If that occurs, I would still believe an inversion could be possible, but over a much longer time period. In that scenario, my target range for a price bottom would be between $10,770 & $12,694. #btcinversion #btcbottom *These are my personal opinions, based on chat data. This is not financial advice.*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest
2
⚠️⚠️ ✔️ OR ❌️ ? Is it the bottom for #bitcoin? ⚠️⚠️Building on my previous $BTC logarithmic regression chart, there has now been an almost perfect bounce off of the yellow, dotted, inversion-curve line. This coincides with daily, weekly and monthly RSI's being at extremely oversold levels with the 4hr RSI moving down into oversold territory. Personally, all my limit orders were hit perfectly so it seems I may have at least bought "A" bottom here. This abrupt price drop also has now created a broadening edge pattern, which typically will break to the upside when formed at the bottom of a downtrend. All of these confluences may just spell the final bottom price for $BTC in the short term and validate my "inversion-curve" theory. Of course this can still be invalidated by a close below the inversion-curve line. If that occurs, I would still believe an inversion could be possible, but over a much longer time period. In that scenario, my target range for a price bottom would be between $10,770 & $12,694. #btcinversion #btcbottom *These are my personal opinions, based on chat data. This is not financial advice.*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest
Historically LTC Surges, 100% of the time if this Pattern OccursSince the start of 2017, Litecoin's 50 Day SMA average has inverted upwards 12 times. The 12th time is occurring as we speak. 11/12 times this has Chart Pattern occurred, it has been followed to a rise of LTC against BTC. Will this be the 12th repeat?!? Although this type of pattern recognition, is not my favourite sole type of analysis to use in entering a position. I believe this combined with my other reasoning in previous posts, is further confirmation that we will see the predicted rise in the next few days/weeks. Hold the Line.
Long
by FortunaAlgoAnalytics
Historically LTC Surges, 100% of the time if this Pattern Occurs>>> LTCUSD note: Since the middle of 2018, Litecoin - USD 50 Day SMA average has inverted upwards 8 times. The 8th time is occurring as we speak 7/8 times this has Chart Pattern occurred, it has been followed to a rise of LTC against USD . Will this be the 8th repeat?!? >>> LTCBTC note: Since the start of 2017, Litecoin - BTC 50 Day SMA average has inverted upwards 12 times. The 12th time is occurring as we speak. 11/12 times this has Chart Pattern occurred, it has been followed to a rise of LTC against BTC . Will this be the 12th repeat?!? Although this type of pattern recognition, is not my favourite sole type of analysis to use in entering a position. I believe this combined with my other reasoning in previous posts, is further confirmation that we will see the predicted rise in the next few days/weeks. Hold the Line.
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by FortunaAlgoAnalytics
2's 10's INVERSION - THE TRUTH😲 2's 10's INVERSIO N😲 A journalist's favourite recession indicator, the “2’s 10’s curve” inverted earlier this month… As the story goes, 𝙩𝙝𝙞𝙨 𝙡𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙨 𝙩𝙤 𝙖 𝙧𝙚𝙘𝙚𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙤𝙣 within 12-24months 😲 👉 But this time… it’s different 😅 Here’s the chart -> (FRED-FRED:T10Y2Y) To clarify, I’m not saying there won’t be a recession, or NSDQ100 crash, in fact it’s a real possibility. But the 2’s 10’s chart is not a good indicator to rely on. WHAT IS THE YEILD CURVE ⤴ The yield curve is just a curve plotted on a graph of the interest paid on debt. The X-axis being the duration of the debt (e.g. a 2yr loan and 3yr loan etc.) and the Y-axis being the interest (e.g. 1%, 2%, 3% etc.). 2️⃣ - 2’s is shorthand for the 2 year US Treasury Note (a 2 year loan to the US gov.) 🔟 - 10’s is shorthand for the 10 year US Treasury Note. 🤔 HOW STRANGE It’s an odd phenomenon that a shorter term loan could pay higher interest than a longer term loan - because why would someone want to lend money for a longer time at a lower interest rate 🤷 But this - otherwise accurate signal for a recession - is no longer credible as a market indicator. Currently the yield curve is (heavily) distorted, with central banks around the world purchasing their own bonds (treasury notes). On top of that the FED has clearly stated they expect the funding rate to get to about 3% in 2023 - but expects a long term rate of 2.5%. So the FED is indicating intentional inversion. It’s possible the yield curve could continue flattening or inverting, further fuelling these “recession imminent” articles. It's good to remember a small inversion is not a concern in this case. There are clear signals of what will trigger a recession, I'll cover those in a future post. (remember to add me to a Watchlist to be notified) HOW COULD YOU TRADE THIS You could short the SHY and go long IEF or TLT to take advantage of the curve normalising over time. In fact, from here, the IEF looks good even without the $SHY short position (saving fees and keeping capital free)
FRED:T10Y2YLong
by woozy-laser
1
CHAOS AND OPPORTUNITY ARE CLOSE FRIENDSOne thing is certain, market uncertainty is here to stay. A bet to the contrary, IMHO, is a huge longshot. Ukraine, Russia, China, Mid East, United States and Europe are all in .... re-arrangement ... Yield Curve has again shown signs of 'flattening . inverting'. What happens when the markets are uncertain? Investors are willing to pay more money for options contracts. I like the S&P to continue into a recess I like the VIX to stay 'elevated' or 'increase'. Speculative Play - I am interested in VIX Calls and SPY Puts on a 1 month expiry Be smart. Will
AMEX:SPY
by WillNixTrading
Rolled: ARKK February 18th 82.22C/104.22P to March 18th... 81.22C/103.22P for a 1.25 credit. Comments: Rolling this out a touch early due to lack of extrinsic in the short put, which ostensibly increases assignment risk. I improved the short put by a strike, but kept the inversion the same -- a 22 wide for which I've collected 19.50 (See Post Below) plus 1.25 or 20.75, with my resulting cost basis in any stock I might be assigned via the short put 103.22 - 20.75 or 82.47 relative to where it closed today at 75.87. I prefer working these inversions to a point where either I can scratch them out or where taking assignment would be at "something close" (a relative term) to where the stock is currently trading. That way I'm not starting out working a covered call way under water such that selling calls against at or above my cost basis wouldn't be productive. Naturally, there's a point where you ask yourself whether you've mitigated enough loss such that you can comfortably take the hit, free up the buying power for something more productive and then move on.
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
5
Another monumental momentNote: FEEVRWS is only meant to be a analysis and early warning system, and is in no way a substitute for your regular work. Please do your own due diligence and if needed, consult a trusted professional. Before I get into this I urge everyone who sees this chart to back track to the .com bubble on this chart, then move up to 08, then check out pre lock downs. With that out of the way, lets get into the FEEVR Analysis! As mentioned above you should look at the historical data provided on this bonds chart. Today and over the weekend we saw the 30yr-20yr invert. This is bad for a number of reasons but mostly having to do with debt and inflation. as stated previously, the inversion marks the start of what can only be assumed as a flee from 'safe haven assets'. This is bad because bonds as a percent, tightening, has historically preluded some of the biggest economic and market wide black swans. Looking at the bond market it is repeating this trend and only seems to be starting which would make me assume through an educated guess that we are about 1 1/2 to 2yrs out from another major black swan, market altering event. Please, please, please be careful. We can time this and there is sure to be lots of money made during this time, just DONT be the last one to the exit. I am currently working on a analysis on the Comms sector of the S&P. That will be out tomorrow. Ic alle dit, telecommunications is rocking and internet is failing. I have identified manipulation in this sector on RRG and now I am just trying to nail it down on the charts here for you all to see. Happy monday everyone!
TVC:US30Y
by Joshuakm
Rolled: ARKK February 18th 89.22 Short Call to 82.22... for a 2.51 credit. Comments: More defense as this underlying continues to implode. Total credits collected of 16.99 (See Post Below) plus the 2.51 here equals 19.50. The resulting inversion is, unfortunately, 22 strikes wide -- 2.50 greater than the total of credits I've collected. This means that I won't be able to scratch it out during this cycle regardless of what happens with price, but will have to roll out for duration if I want to attempt to do that until I've collected more credits than the width of the inversion. Alternatively, I can consider taking the loss and moving on, but the best case loss scenario at the moment is a 2.50 loss (assuming price moves back between the strikes).
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
7
Nearly doneThe dominance chart is one of my favourite charts because it pretty much dictates where all the alts are going. BTC has had an AMAZING run since last December, and now its time for alts and BTC to dip. The support level that is tapping and has yet to hit (should hit in the next couple of days or so) is the same of 2018, The second tap usually signal an inversion of the dominance trend, and makes alts bleed. At the moment BTC has broken the 9 and 21 EMA lines is testing the 50 EMA on the daily time frame, and should be retesting the 200 EMA support on the 4h chart. If the dominance increases in confluence with the BTC dip, it will make last dip look like a walk in the park. Also September is usually a bad month for crypto. In my opinion we should have one last pump and then we are done with the bulls until the next halving as markets should resume the dip for the next couple of years or so. So my prediction is short term is Bullish for the next couple of day, long term Bearish.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by El_Morenito
10
US Treasury Yield Curve and Inversions.This chart shows three times during the past three decades in which the yield curve inverts. An inversion is when the rate of a shorter term debt security is higher than the rate of a longer term debt security. This is identified on this chart in 2000, 2006, 2019. Treasury Debt Securities: Bill; less than one year to maturity at issue. Note; greater than one year but less than 10 years to maturity at issue. Bond; greater than 10 years to maturity at issue. In 2000 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 6.3% while the yields of both the 5 year Note and 30 year Bond were around 5.8%. In 2006 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 5.1% while the yields of both the 5 year Note and 30 year Bond were around 4.9%. In 2019 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 2.3% while the yield of the 2 year Note was around 1.8%.
TVC:US30YEducation
by ThrivingProject
1
An Uncanny ObservationThe last two major stock market retracements occurred in 2000, and in 2007, respectively. Each of these was assigned an underlying cause and an overarching title. Yet, it could just be that both of these were caused by the same de facto trigger; rather than the convenient set of societal circumstances surrounding each at the time. Nomenclature and true cause aside, there seems to be an uncanny mechanism embedded in our broader financial market system that can be actualized when described in time units. That is, the number of calendar days in between the first local instance of US Government Bond yield curve inversion and the next major corresponding top of the S&P 500 Index is strangely consistent, at least when comparing the lead-time between that of the 2000 Tech Bubble and the 2007 Mortgage Crisis. Approximately 640 Calendar Days (440 Trading Days) separate the first day that the 10-Year/2-Year rate inflects and the subsequent orthodox high of the equity markets. Now, it is fairly known that since 1955, this 10Y/2Y yield inversion has set the stage for an incumbent recession. In fact, there hasn't been an instance where such an inversion did not lead to a significant pullback in equity prices 6 months - 2 years thereafter. While this fact above is astonishing, in and of itself, the observation regarding the two most recent equity crashes is almost too weird to accept. However, what would be even more extraordinary is if it proved out for a third time in a row. It just so happens that the same yield inversion occurred for three days in a row back in late August of 2019. When you add ~640 calendar days to this date, you arrive at a two-week date range that starts on 05/26/2021 and ends on 06/04/2021. That means that if the uncanny pattern, is in fact, uncanny, then we should expect a major market top to have already occurred last week or that will occur by the end of this week. We would then also have to expect a major, subsequent selloff - the likes of which have only transpired twice in the past 20 or so years. Time will tell. -UncannyPig TVC:SPX TVC:DXY TVC:NDX TVC:DJI CURRENCYCOM:US500 TVC:IXIC CURRENCYCOM:US30 CURRENCYCOM:US100 TVC:US10Y
Editors' picks
TVC:SPX
by UnknownUnicorn5511258
84
SENSO / USDT ( 4 Investment ) + 21,000% Profit --- Read Description before interpreting the graph --- _________________________________________________ Are you looking for NEW projects with great growth potential? This is one of them. Endorsed by large companies working on this project. Here we are not going to explain what it consists of, we will only make an analysis for the long term. In this type of projects, the technical analysis is not usually very helpful (accurate) but what it will help us is to get an idea. We will use Fibonacci to measure rebound projections and profit projections. We will apply market structure and analyze the VOLUME of the currency together with its market capitalization. The technical analysis or the figures shown is a representation. They do not have to be fulfilled. We will only pay attention to the IMPORTANT BUY zones ! and to the SELL zones in the FUTURE. Right now there is very little volume of investment, this will make that when the investor decides to buy it... it will generate an exorbitant volume. For this reason it is preferable to be able to buy before larger investors enter. LUCK !!!
S
by Pro_Trade_Robots
Top Inversion i can do from now to the future to meI think it ´s important to the community to inform about this big project The Chart only saids UP and UP for now i believe it ´s the future as always judge by yourself and consider risk before investing and get advice from a profesional. Charlie, Hedera, is a Distributed Ledger Technology which use the most advanced to date encrypted transaction network, Find your self info at Hedera.com Chart Transaction per seconds, delay and price TPS Fees Time (delay) Bitcoin 3+ 0.20$ 10-60 min Ethereum [ETH 12+ 0.13$ 10-20 seg Hedera 10000+ 0.0001$ 3-5 seg (this will surpass easily 500.000 transaction per second on the net expand in the future, VISA does 60.000 TPS) CEO ´s : Dr. Leemon Baird (hashgraph technology inventor) Mance Harmon Hedera is owned and governed by the world's leading organizations Governing council: from A-Z Avery Dennison Boing Dentons DeutscheTelecom DLA PIPER EDF eftpos AUSTRALIA FIS GOOGLE IBM LG Magalu NOMURA STANDARD BANK Swirlds TATA COMUNICATIONS UCL WIPRO ZAIN
BINANCE:HBARUSDLong
by Charlie2029
1
$RKDAArcadia Biosciences, Inc., a consumer-driven agricultural technology company, engages in developing various crop productivity traits primarily in hemp, wheat, and soybean. The company's crop productivity traits are designed to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the field, as well as their value as food ingredients, health and wellness products, and their viability for industrial applications. Its products include GoodHemp, a commercial pipeline of non-GMO hemp seed varieties developed with modern crop innovation tools focused on genetic improvement of hemp; GoodWheat that redesigns wheat as a functional food adding value to the wheat supply chain by enabling a range of choices to meet consumer demands; nutritional oils; and HB4, a drought and herbicide tolerant soybean trait. The company has collaborations with Ardent Mills, LLC, Corteva AgriScience, and Arista Cereal Seeds Pty Ltd, and Bay State Milling Company. It operates in the United States, Canada, Africa, and India. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Davis, California.
NASDAQ:RKDALong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
1