USDT All Time High Incoming!Have a quick look at the TA below first.
This ascending channel is going to be the key to pinpointing the bottom of the bitcoin cycle. What we have is a "W" pattern formation on the daily which if completes has a breakout target to the top of this channel.
Now my perspective on the next 60days is that Bitcoin will make a move down to the 200weekly sometime end of May 2022 check out this TA below.
August 2022 is the next Fib time zone date , the last two have been fairly good for pivot points but nothing amazing. What is interesting is that 1.618 Fib , 3.618 time fib and the top of ascending channel come together nicely.
If Bitcoin does infact make a move to the 200 weekly at about 22-23k then that would mean USDT would make a all time high and hit the top of the ascending channel marking the bottom.
Invest
The Triangle Of Death (Bitcoin Event May 2022)We have been here before , August 2019 to be exact. Traded the same type of triangle down to a 7k Bitcoin at the time. Take a look below (First TA so rough around the edges ,also ignore the x50 it was a different time lol)
Just like 2019 I think there is more a chance that we come down than up.
Fib Circle 2.36
Fib Time Zone 2.618
Last week of may 2022 we will most likely break this triangle down to the 200 weekly.
200 Weekly Prices
Today - 21000
May 25th -22400
July 23rd -24100
Price can of course wick down lower than the 200 weekly it has historically but we have never closed a weekly under it , take a look below .
The last Chainlink fib sequence will come into play , May 23rd 2022 , using LINK/BTC dominance chart I discovered this Fib time sequence that has caused massive moves in LINK and BTC so next and last date May 23rd 2022.
So last two death cross on the 3D chart has resulted in Bitcoin moving down to the 200 weekly
Predicted cross 19th of May .
And finally on average it takes Bitcoin 400 days to go from cycle peak to 200 weekly, which end of may would be 400days.
(segment taken from previous TA ,)
The top in April 2022 was the true cycle top the one that followed after was just pure manipulation , that run to 70k was just a trap , with only half of the Bitcoin address active for that run , price still managed to get to all time high and like clockwork the 7-10 year old wallets come in again and sell a massive amount of Bitcoin creating yet another Bitcoin top. So yeah that run was created by the few ,there was no hype , no retail just whales. Take a look at the link below of on-chain data.
ibb.co
So everything all of sudden is coming together for end of may 2022.
1. End of the Fib circle 2.36
2.End of Chainlink sequence May 23rd 2022
3.200/50 Death Cross 3D predicted cross
4.Average of 400 days from Cycle Peak to 200 weekly
Its so crazy seeing everything lining up , Buckle up!
Euphoria BlindnessWouldn't it be amazing if there was an indicator out there that would pint point Bitcoin cycle tops. Does such indicator even exist?
Well what you see in the chart is in fact the best indicator ever created and everyone is quickly to forget what the Pi cycle indicator was telling you three days before the cycle top.
Now I know what your thinking November 2021 technically went higher than April 2021.
April 14th 2021 - 64900
November 10th 2021- 69185
(segment taken from previous TA)
The top in April 2022 was the true cycle top the one that followed after was just pure manipulation , that run to 70k was just a trap , with only half of the Bitcoin address active for that run , price still managed to get to all time high and like clockwork the 7-10 year old wallets come in again and sell a massive amount of Bitcoin creating yet another Bitcoin top. So yeah that run was created by the few ,there was no hype , no retail just whales. Take a look at the link below of on-chain data.
ibb.co
My theory on why April was the true cycle top and not November.
Indicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
www.lookintobitcoin.com
So this indicator predicts cycle tops three days before its peak and guess what we had a cross April 12th 2021 and we peaked three days later on on April 14th 2021 (counting 12 as a day) the Pi cycle crossed marking a Bitcoin cycle top. At the time the euphoria in the market was so powerful that it blinded everyone from what this indicator was telling you.
It was the first time since the last cycle top and cross that everyone used this indicator and I remember countless of traders calling out the Pi cycle indicator for failing. Its incredible how blind euphoria and greed can make you, we had the signal right there in front of us with just a simple cross and yet most of the market disregarded it.
This is the most powerful cycle top indicator ever created and when the next cross comes and euphoria is all time high , will you sell ? or will you disregard it?
Don't be like Bully Maguire...If you are feeling the emotional swings of Bitcoins price and you want to trade with confidence then this is for you.
The following things I am about to talk about drastically changed the way I approach trading.
They are so powerful in their application...
No need for cheap gimmicks and fancy tricks.
So here it goes:
Operate on first principles.
Millions of traders have SOS...
Shiny object syndrome.
They chase every "new" technique that hits the market, it doesn't matter if it works, aslong as they got to try it and didn't miss out on anything they will be happy - for a time.
It is marketing 101 to rile up those emotion in traders, don't fall for it.
Be stoic, hold your ground and stick to first principles.
If you don't I can tell you in my experience (9 years), you will chase strategies and ideas like they are a sold gold brick but they will just turn out to be gold dust that will fall through your fingers at a moments notice.
You will move throughout life with a chip on your soldier, negatively affecting those around you like a cheap knock-off Bully Maguire meme.
So...
What are the first principles of trading?
And how do you act from first principles?
I am not allowed (house rules) to provide you with a link to these questions so instead use your deduction methods Sherlock to find your answers.
Stocks To Watch This WeekMany names are holding up well in this market. Get a pen and paper because I go quickly and make the trade your own.. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 23 total stocks on this list Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
XRP Long ThesisAs I study the daily chart, I realize the EMA Clouds have been converging for a while. In my opinion, this only means one thing, and that is, XRP is ready to make a big move. Due to Swift restrictions, I believe this coin will play a substantial role in the transfer of capital in the coming months. It's on sale if you were considering investing long-term. I'm very confident in this.
Capitulation down to the 200 weeklyI think this week has been a very important week for Bitcoin and I have not seen anyone talk about the fact that the 200 weekly moving average is now at the previous all time high at 20k.
This is a very important thing to take note of because we have never closed a weekly candle under the 200 week moving average in Bitcoins history it has been a hard bottom for Bitcoin in bear markets and even the Covid crash 2020 , take a look below
Also found something interesting in this chart and that is the last time the 200 weekly hit the previous all time high in December 2017 it was the top of that current cycle, just something to keep in mind.
So there are three projections I'm currently following right now , take a quick look at my previous TA to get an idea on where I come from with this TA.
Any price action under the 0.5 or 0.618 Fib means nothing , until we close and hold 0.618 as support we are still in a setup for a much larger distribution leg down. The leg down will most likely find a bottom at the 200 weekly moving average which as of right now is at 20k but if we quick estimate we find the 200 weekly would be somewhere around 23k-24k by May 16th 2022.
So I have laid out three different outcomes I'm following right now .
Green Circle - This would be the lowest probability outcome out of the three ,come May 16th price breaks 0.618 and the bull market resumes.
Red Circle - This would be the highest probability outcome , come May 16th major pivot for a huge leg down to the 200 weekly.
Blue Circle- I would say this one is somewhere in the middle , come May 16th price will find a new cycle bottom at 23-24k at the 200 weekly.
It all comes down to how price reacts in this orange box ,if we do get any sort of rejection of this area or a double top pattern forming that would be the confirmation that the red or blue circle will play out.
We already had two 55% draw downs , whats one more to the 200weekly at 65%? historically it would be the best time to buy Bitcoin , one thing is for sure if we do hit 200 weekly you can expect OTC outflow to hit all time high.
VETUSDT TECHNICAL ANALYSISThe candles break out down trendline and one candle open-close above to down trendline. Also, MA changed to direction as well. Not only that, we have received multiple buy signals from @EngineeringRobo as well and Candle is staying above to support line as well. If market not get any correction in short time, we may earn approximately 46%. Let's follow our analysis together and do not forget the follow me.
"NFA"
DOGEUSDT TECHNICAL ANALYSISDogeCoin lost over 82% of value since May 2021 till now and hasn't reached ATH yet. The candles are in triangle and we have got couple signals from our robo advisor @EngineeringRobo . Cloud hasn't turned green colour yet in daily time frame but when i was looking for 3H time frame, cloud already turned green. The candle break out first down trendline and any of the candle hasn't open close above to first down trendline yet. If one candle open close above to trendline (Hopefully it will not be fake break out) and candles need to stay above to up trendline then we my start earn something. Let's follow our chart/analysis together.
"NFA"
Stocks To Watch This WeekMany names are holding up well in this market. Get a pen and paper because I go quickly and make the trade your own.. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 25 total stocks on this list Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Big dumps of Btc is getting smallerBitcoin is just growing and these little dumps are just ,Water for the Plant; Necessary.
If we take a look to the long term ,after every ATH ,Bitcoin starts to correction.
But these corrections are getting smaller in percent;
Eg :First time 85% but then 72% and 55% ,50% and what you think is next ???
Of course its lower
See you at the next ATH 100K.
Keep in profits.
Bitcoin Bottoms May 2022Interesting Time Fib lands May 18 2022 which also lines up with 4.236 circle fib.
This date could be the bottom for Bitcoin , price could easily wick down to 25k before closing at the 1.618 Fib at 28k.
Best time to take profit would be sometime late March at 0.618 Fib at 51k.
Fractal of Doom Part 2Check out the TA below first .
At the time didn't think of it much but then I took a closer look and what I found is the most amazing mirror fractal from the 2018 Bear market.
God dam its hard to swallow this one , seems we have been in a distribution phase all along.
Mirror fractal with the double top divergence exactly the same unreal question is do we get the retrace up to 0.618 before dumping again , if so Febauary will be a green month followed by dump mid March 2022.
The fractal from 2018
-_-
ICX - DCA LONG TERM CYCLE from 0,66+ until 3 usd +Hello trading friends,
This is not a day trade update, this update is for the long term and DCA UPDATE for ICX.
Expecting in the long term that ICX has much to show into trends, and as we are now into breakdown trends of more coins, is this a great time for ICX.
When all people talking about it, know it's into the hype, and when people leave the coins is the moment to watch the trends.
Long term goal ICX still on 3 USD +
- Into the chart, you see more blue line trends, which means every time price goes higher, depending on DCA a buy, and same time when a trend return to a line a new buy trend, so its a small investment trend with long term vision and split of amounts, as the DCA should be on any coin.
Yes most of the coins are into breakdown trends - and this is the moment to get watch the red trends, also if prices go down for DCA it should be not a problem, as you never invest 100%. the goal is to get at long term a really good trend price action what will result in good % +
Have a great day.
@ this is not a trading call to buy ICX or any coin, study always your trend and make your trading setups.
What now?Bitcoin failed yet again to break and close above the 3/1 Gann , check out the TA below .
It completed a W formation, broke out of the 3/1 and then got nuked. Daily did not close above. We had a massive fake out here , since November 15th we have failed time and time to break this 3/1 gann.
So my whole thesis on May 2022 being the top is highly unlikely at this point with just 100 days till May I don't see it happening. So what does May bring then , the bottom most likely where is the bottom who knows , 1.618 Fib is the orange line of support you see so hopefully that holds till May 2022.
We are close to the bottom I think if we just take a look at the USDT Market dominance we can see its hit resistance , this is a chart I follow to find tops and bottoms in Bitcoin it works like a charm take a look
We have this very clear ascending channel and everytime we hit the tops and bottoms of the channel it's a major bottom or top for Bitcoin, last two times it was July 2021 and September 2020 both bottoms , at the moment USDT dominance has never passed this level but I expect it getting to the top of the ascending channel sometime late April 2022 bringing Bitcoin down to somewhere around 28--30k.
Beware of the False relief rally that is coming, a rejection of price anywhere in the orange box will be setting up for Bitcoin to go lower.
The weekly RSi is at historic lows for Bitcoin and we are still at 35k which is good , take a look below.
As always if you have been here more than one year you know the drill stack more crypto everything is on discount. I have picked up more ETH and AAVE today ,and saw a very interesting video on AAVE and how it's undervalued and also version 3 is just around the corner .
www.youtube.com
There is a small long scalp I will throw in here since it's not very often you get this setup. Market cipher printed four yellow "x"s meaning price has been exhausted and since everything is extremely oversold a bounce should be coming in soon .
Stop Loss =34300
Take Profit =37600
I think we can now say the four year cycle pattern is out the window. Maybe we have much shorter cycles now much faster , maybe we don't blow off tops anymore , who knows Bitcoin always seems to do the unexpected and no matter how much you go over previous cycles it still remains one step ahead.