btc democracyIt’s time to dismantle the surveillance state engendered by the Patriot Act. It’s also time to invest in and build alternative technologies that would make the law (partially) irrelevant. Issued in the name of collective security, the law eroded some of the most basic protections you might expect in a liberal democracy.
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Gold pressuring to the upside for another rally...Prior chart:
Gold along with all of the recent central bank news has played out well since our last post on it. The recent break above the daily resistance at 1805 is a prerequisite for a bullish continuation and we are now looking at $1,825 as the next upside barrier and profit taking level.
Overall heading into the final stages of 2021, we can see more bullish pressure coming into play and seeing some further drives to this upside comparing to the situation of other markets.
Ethereum is looking strong to see an uptrend!After breaking the strong resistance around $2.9k, Ethereum came back to test it as support and confirm. Together with the horizontal support, there is the EMA21 weekly, also acting as support and preparing to give momentum to the upside.
After the test, there was a close above the $2.9k area followed by a bounce. A great bullish sign, past resistance that becomes support makes it strong support.
There is a MACD cross upon daily, which is again a bullish sign that confluences with RSI making higher lows acting as bullish as well. If we see good buying volume, it will be possible to see a test on the last resistance area. On the other hand, if the major support doesn't hold we should see a test on the $2.3K zone.
There are many indicators pointing the price action to the upside:
- MACD Cross
- RSI making higher lows
- EMA 21 Weekly confined as support
- Past resistance 2,9k confirmed as support
On the balance of probabilities, there is a big chance for the prices to go up.
What do you think about this analysis? Will Ethereum hold the support and break the resistance at $3.9k or will it again retest $2.3k levels.
Let us know in the comment section below.
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The Squid Game Shows Why Most People Don’t Make Money TradingSquid game is the hottest series on Netflix ($NFLX) right now, in which 456 players join a game of death, where they have a chance to win 456 Billion Korean Won (KRW), or 38.5 Milllion US Dollars.
What’s interesting about this series is that it depicts human sentiment in a very realistic way. We could see how market participants think and act by looking at the participants of the squid game.
A random guy appears at the subway station, and offers to play card flip, where he’d slap the player if he wins, and pay $100 if he loses. He actually ends up paying the players, stimulating their curiosity. Later, players are taken to a remote island where they have no clue what game they’re playing, with hopes of potentially winning life-changing money.
Beginners Luck turns to Attribution Bias
People who join the stock market are not different. They don’t know what game they’re playing, and what rules there are. Just as the subway guy invokes curiosity from the players by paying them small amounts of actual money, people are dragged into the stock market through stories of their friends and acquaintances making life-changing money by trading.
You try to remember the name of the stock or cryptocurrency your friend mentioned, and buy it without doing any due dilligence. You participate in the game of the market with 0 understanding of the game and rules.
When the stock/crypto you bought goes up (by chance), you fall into the trap of beginner’s luck. Beginner’s luck refers to a phenomenon or situation in which a beginner experiences a disproportionate ferquency of success against even experts in a certain field or activity. It’s often used in gambling and sports. But beginner’s luck leads to overconfidence and attribution bias.
Overconfidence refers to one’s excessive trust in his decisions based on gut-feeling and his cognitive abilities. This often leads to overtrading, and the market participant ends up paying excessive trading fees. Overconfident traders also tend to neglect statistics, and put all their eggs in one basket. They hardly listen to other people, and tend to choose the stocks/crypto they invest in themselves.
Attribution bias, or cognitive bias, is when people find reasons for their own and others’ behaviors. So when they’re in profit, they think that it’s all thanks to their amazing prediction. When they’re at a loss, it’s because the market was in an unfavorable situation, or simply because they were unlucky. Essentially, they constantly come up with excuses for every situation.
We all know Isaac Newton as a genius physicist, but he was a failure as an investor. He made the wrong investment decision when he invested in South Sea stocks, which led him to lose 20,000 pounds (about $4M today). He lost most of his life savings and famously said that “you can calculate the motions of heavenly stars, but not the madness of people” - a classic example of someone with attribution bias.
Mob Psychology and the Bandwagon Effect
This is accurately reflected in Squid Game. When players play ‘Red Light Green Light’, they are shocked to see other players get massacred. After the game is over, they later vote whether they want to continue playing the game or not. The surviving players fall into the trap of overconfidence and attribution bias.
Only 1 person out or 456 will survive and win the prize money. Statistically, every player has a 0.22% chance of survival. While this is statistically low, they’re taken away by the pile of cash hanging from the ceiling, and start believing that they’re special, and that they can win. Lotteries and gambling work in the same way, in which people bet on a probable case that is close to impossible. Sadly, most people approach trading like gambling.
In Squid Game, right before they play tug of war, a riot breaks out, and players are split into different factions. So when they’re told to team up for tug of war, teams are formed based on the factions that were formed the day before. This shows us mob psychology and the bandwagon effect.
Mob psychology, or mob mentaility, is when people follow the actions and behaviors of their peers when in large groups. The bandwagon effect falls within the scope of mob mentaility, and is a phenomenon in which people do something primarily because others are doing it , regardless of their own beliefs.
The same psychological phenomena can be applied to investors and traders in the market. Instead of trading based on their own trading rules, strategies, and analyses, they simply follow the actions of other market participants. These are the people who end up panic buying or selling, and falling victim to pump and dump schemes.
Conclusion
These psychological phenomena prevents us from making the right decisions in the market, and making the wrong decisions indicates that we lose money. Just like how most people in the Squid Game end up dying, there are many other people who entered the market with dreams of becoming a millionaire, only to lose everything. But unlike the Squid Game, the financial markets isn’t a winner-takes-all. If you can understand the characteristics and rules of each market, and do your due diligence on different ways to beat the market, you can have a statistical edge. As a trader, I would say that technical knowledge accounts to less than 5% of what it takes to be successful. It’s more about understanding your cognitive bias and controlling your emotions and psychological state.
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If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
CGTX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Cognition Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company engaged in the discovery and development of innovative, small molecule therapeutics targeting age-related degenerative diseases and disorders of the central nervous system, or CNS, and retina.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $12.87;
stop-loss — $11.78;
take-profit — $16.14/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
THRX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Theseus Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company focused on improving the lives of cancer patients through the discovery, development and commercialization of transformative targeted therapies.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $21.40 ;
stop-loss — $17.06;
take-profit — $34.42/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$HLTH is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $19,01;
stop-loss — $16,23;
take-profit — $27,35/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
TCN is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Tricon Residential is an owner and operator of single-family rental homes and multi-family rental apartments in the United States and Canada.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $12.78 ;
stop-loss — $12.43;
take-profit — $13.83/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
LPTUSDT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS LPT Has joined in short time on @TradingView and @Binance
LPT Lost approximately 90% since June till now. The candles are in triangles add moving average strategies are getting cross. Sure if the move-in cover and strategies change the direction, it may an opportunity for us to buy. If the candles break down/out down trend line And one of the candle Open close completely about the down trend line it’s may second opportunities for us to buy then We may earn approximately 66%. We need to be careful at the same times as well on our trade because all candles are in triangle at the moment. If candles break down/out uptrend line and the next candle open clause below the uptrend line, it may lose value more. Let’s follow our chat closely.
“NFA”
$EXAI is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $29,01;
stop-loss — $26,50;
take-profit — $36,54/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$OLPX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $25,02;
stop-loss — $23,39;
take-profit — $29,99/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$AMPL is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $52,27;
stop-loss — $47,74;
take-profit — $65,86/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$CWAN is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $24,00;
stop-loss — $22,28;
take-profit — $29,16/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$ARBK is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $15,76;
stop-loss — $14,26;
take-profit — $20,26/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
$BRLT is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $16,12;
stop-loss — $11,75;
take-profit — $29,77/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Types of Trading IndicatorsTraders use different types of indicators to gauge the market conditions. Let's take a look at what are those types of indicators
Trend Indicators measures the direction and strength of a trend. When price moves above the average it can be thought of as a bullish trend. When price moves below the average, it's a bearish trend.
Momentum Indicators are helpful as they are used to identify price movements by comparing prices over time. Can also be used to analyze volume by comparing current closing prices with previous closing prices.
Volatility Indicators are used to analyze the periods of high and low volatility. The big swings created by the volatility can provide good trading opportunities.
Volume Indicators plays an important role in technical analysis in confirming trends and patterns which makes volume indicators popular amongst traders.
There are hundreds of indicators that can be categorized within these four categories. Also, a volume indicator can be used as a trend indicator or a volatility gauging indicator. The same goes for momentum or trend indicators. Some traders use one indicator to gauge volume while another trader can use the same indicator for another purpose.
What kind of Indicators do you use in trading the most and why? It all depends upon the type of trading we are doing off course. Would love to know your opinions in the comment box below.
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Happy Trading!
$MATIC READY FOR BLAST OFF?!I can see Matic performing a cup which hopefully leads to a handle and then an aggressive breakout. However, Matic can just keep going up from here it is trying to break resistance once the resistance is broken this will then become a new support level.
Retail vs Institutional InvestorsRetail
✔️Retail Traders are individual traders who buy or sell stocks, securities, or assets from their personal accounts.
✔️Retail Investors mostly focus on technical analysis, price patterns, and Indicators.
✔️Because of low volume, orders submitted by a retail trader cannot affect the price of an asset.
✔️Retail traders can come out of trades or their positions easily at any time with minimum slippage.
✔️Retails investors have more quality of life as they don't have to trade on a regular basis and can take a break whenever they want.
Institutions
✔️Institutional traders are highly skilled individuals who have a degree in finance, economy, or math and are employed by large institutions to do the trading.
✔️Institutional traders carry out the most trades over any major exchanges and greatly influence the price of a security, commodity, stock, or cryptocurrency.
✔️Institutional Traders have access to a large amount of capital and exotic products. They also have early access to the latest news and buzz as they have the
ability to pay a good amount to various media outlets.
✔️Institutional Traders manage accounts for larger groups or institutions, banks, hedge funds to buy and sell stocks.
✔️Because of large volume orders, institutional traders can greatly impact the prices of a security
✔️Institutional traders focus on fundamentals, sentiments, and trading psychology.
What kind of trader are you? And let us know more differences between these two in the comments box below.
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Happy Trading!