Bitcoin is on a move again. Do you see a bullish reversal?Bitcoin is making good moves for a week now, and trading at around $40,700 at the time of writing, which is also a previous resistance level. If it manages to break this level, we could see a trend reversal changing the overall sentiment towards bullish market bias.
We could also see that on 4H timeframe EMA50 has crossed over EMA200, which is also considered as a golden cross and is seen as a good factor for a bullish move.
RSI was in an overbought zone earlier, dipped a little bit down, retested $37000 levels, and is again in the overbought zone showing bulls are back in control of the market. The Volume is also increasing lately which means the masses are buying the asset and see the market going upwards.
If it manages to break the immediate resistance, it's a good place to put your buy orders or go long.
Always do your own research and employ proper risk management techniques in your trade setups. Use stop losses and take profits to bring discipline to your trading.
Do let us know your thought on this idea in the comment box below.
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Descending triangle with a Death Cross or a trend reversal?This is interesting, EMA50 just crossed below EMA200 recently making a death cross, and a descending triangle forming.
Bitcoin is trading sideways for 44 days now, with no certain trend direction. And with a recently formed death cross, it looks bearish.
What is a death cross?
A death cross is a chart pattern in which a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. For example, the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. As a result, a death cross is generally seen as a bearish indicator.
For an upward move, the price needs to break the descending triangle with good buying volume. MACD is trying to recover and come up from the negative territory. With good buying volume, and if the price can break the descending triangle and make a new high, there might be a reversal, and invalidation of the death cross might occur.
What do you think about it? Share in comments
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Ethereum is sitting on an important support level. Will it hold?This is a 1D analysis for ETHUSDT and it looks pretty bearish. Ethereum is sitting on an important support level, and if it doesn't hold it, it might go as low as $1400 which has acted as a support level previously.
I am using EMA50 and EMA200 which are two most popular EMA's to spot Golden Cross or a Death Cross.
What is a Golden Cross and Death Cross ?
Whenever EMA50 crosses over EMA200, it is called a golden cross and is considered a good buying opportunity. On the other hand, if EMA50 crosses down EMA200, it is called a death cross and is considered bearish and a good selling place, or shorting opportunity or a good place to take profits.
Right now EMA50 is coming very close to EMA200 and if EMA50 crosses down EMA200, this might go more lower and support 1 might hold or not.
On the other hand, if immediate support holds well, it might see an upward move towards the resistance to break.
The area between immediate support and support 1 could also act as a good accumulation zone because that's where the last upward move was from.
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Bitcoin Undervalued (Don't Get Use To These Prices)We go up like and escalator but come down like an elevator. That's Bitcoin... We are slowly but surely grinding our way to the upside above the 200 day moving average and out of this support and resistance channel between $32,000 - $40,000. We recently got rejected at $41,000 but that's ok! A retest and bounce off between $35,000 - $38,000 is a healthy sign. We have been closing with higher weekly candles since the Elon Musk induced market crash a month later.
Fundamentally I personally do not believe we will head back below $30,000. I think that's an overly bearish scenario since the majority of the heavy sell off already happened May 17th. We've remained over $30,000 despite the "Russian" ransomware attacks, antagonizing Elon Musk tweets, and Donald Trumps Bitcoin scam comments. But coming back down to the lower $30k levels is always possible. My target for when we will be steadily back above a solid $40,000 Bitcoin and out of the support & resistance channel is by the end of August if we keep this trend going.
Remember what doesn't kill Bitcoin only makes it stronger. Bitcoin became legal tender for an entire country for the first time in history this month. I'm inclined to believe that by the end of the decade El Salvador will not be the only country to accept Bitcoin as legal tender. It is also only a matter of time before over 80% of all Bitcoin mining will be done using 100% "clean green" renewable energy.
We will not be at these low Bitcoin prices for too long. Now is your chance to add to your Bitcoin positions if you haven't. I use to tell my friends and family Bitcoin under $10,000 is a steal a year ago. Now I'm saying Bitcoin under $50,000 is a steal. Don't miss this accumulation phase and don't let the hyper volatility get the best of your emotions. It goes both ways. Bitcoin was the strongest asset class to hold from 2010 -2020 and Bitcoin will remain the strongest asset to hold from 2020 - 2030. Why? More people and capital comes into the network over time than goes out year after year.
As always much peace, love, health, and wealth. If you believe in economic freedom, peace, and integrity then you believe in Bitcoin. We will not be trading at these prices or be below the 200 day moving average for too much longer.
7 Reasons Gold will continue to Grow (Updated) June 2021Hello Traders.
Here is THE XAUUSD UPDATE YOUVE BEEN WAITING FOR!
Here is my Previous Analysis on GOLD -
The economic data, the stock market, and businesses' actual health are completely out of sync. That is because the U.S. stock market is still sitting near its record high while enterprises are consistently forced to close. With the new variant of coronavirus, chances are that lawmakers are likely to keep their guards up entering the first quarter of 2021 and that they can reinstate more lockdowns.
Struggling businesses are more likely to file for more bankruptcies, and there are greater chances that it will create more shocks for the global economy. Such an event could once again help the gold price to move higher.
Something that is surely going to influence the gold price is the trend in the dollar index, which is determined by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. According to the most recent Federal Reserve meeting, it was clear that the Fed is more optimistic about the economic recovery, and this made them upgrade the growth forecast for the U.S. economy.
As Mentioned Before in ( 23th January 2021 ) - I still Think the GOLD Price Will Reach All Time Highs in 2021 & 2022
Here Are the Reasons why I Say that -
7 Reasons Gold will continue to Grow
Correlation to Inflation
Certainly, during times of economic crisis, investors flock to gold . When the Great Recession hit, for example, gold prices rose. But gold was already rising until the beginning of 2008, That said, gold prices rose further, even as the economy recovered . Essentially that means, as more people buy gold , the price goes up, in line with demand. It also means there aren't any underlying "fundamentals" to the price of gold . If investors start flocking to gold , the price rises no matter what shape the economy is or what monetary policy might be. That doesn't mean that gold prices are completely random or the result of herd behavior. Some forces affect the supply of gold in the wider market, and gold is a worldwide commodity market, like oil or coffee .
Supply Factors
Unlike oil or coffee , however, gold isn't consumed. Almost all the gold ever mined is still around and more gold is being mined each day. If so, one would expect the price of gold to plummet over time, since there is more and more of it around. So, why doesn't it? Aside from the fact that the number of people who might want to buy it is constantly on the rise, jewelry and investment demand offer some clues. "It ends up in a drawer someplace." The gold in jewelry is effectively taken off the market for years at a time. Even though countries like India and China treat gold as a store of value, the people who buy it there don't regularly trade it (few pay for a washing machine by handing over a gold bracelet). Instead, jewelry demand tends to rise and fall with the price of gold . When prices are high, the demand for jewelry falls relative to investor demand.
Central Banks
Big market movers of gold prices are often central banks. In times when foreign exchange reserves are large, and the economy is humming along, a central bank will want to reduce the amount of gold it holds. That's because the gold is a dead asset—unlike bonds or even money in a deposit account, it generates no return. The problem for central banks is that this is precisely when the other investors out there aren't that interested in gold . Thus, a central bank is always on the wrong side of the trade, even though selling that gold is precisely what the bank is supposed to do. As a result, the price of gold falls. Central banks have tried to manage their gold sales in a cartel-like fashion, to avoid disrupting the market too much. Something called the Washington Agreement essentially states that the banks won't sell more than 400 metric tons in a year. It's not binding, as it's not a treaty; rather, it's more of a gentleman's agreement—but one that is in the interests of central banks, since unloading too much gold on the market at once would negatively affect their portfolios.
ETFs
Besides central banks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs)— which allow investors to buy into gold without buying mining stocks—are now major gold buyers and sellers. Both ETFs trade on the exchanges like stock and measure their holdings in ounces of gold . Still, these ETFs are designed to reflect the price of gold , not move it.
Portfolio Considerations
Speaking of portfolios, A good question for investors is what the rationale for buying gold is. As a hedge against inflation , it doesn't work well. However, seen as one piece of a larger portfolio, gold is a reasonable diversifier. It's simply important to recognize what it can and cannot do. In real terms, gold prices topped out in 1980, when the price of the metal hit nearly $2,000 per ounce (in 2014 dollars). Anyone who bought gold then has been losing money since. On the other hand, the investors who bought it in 1983 or 2005 would be happy selling now. It's also worth noting that the 'rules' of portfolio management apply to gold as well. The total number of gold ounces one holds should fluctuate with the price. If, for example, one wants 2% of the portfolio in gold , then it's necessary to sell when the price goes up and buy when it falls.
Retaining Value
One good thing about gold , is that the purchasing power of gold has stayed quite constant and largely unrelated to its current price.
The Bottom Line
If you're looking at gold prices, it's probably a good idea to look at Investing in GOLD Throughout Year 2021
I hope this was clear and informative for all of you, I wish you a good 2021!
Stay Safe!
Global Fx education
What do you think about MINA? Looks goodAbout Mina Protocol
Mina Protocol is on a mission to give users full protection of database without the need to give up a lot of control to third parties. As Mina suggest on its website, in our daily lives we give up a lot of control of intimate data to large tech companies that use our online services. Why do you think you get random popup advertisements on your phone that actually match something that you have said out loud, or something you were thinking of buying?
However, even when people try to eliminate this exposure of data by participating in blockchains it is again inevitable not to include or trust third parties to verify transactions.
Mina was created for this exact purpose. In June 2017, O(1) Labs kicked off an ambitious new open source project to design a layer one protocol that could deliver on the original promise of blockchain—true decentralization, scale and security. Rather than apply brute computing force, Mina offers an elegant solution using advanced cryptography and recursive zk-SNARKs.
Mina finally launched its mainnet on March 23, where it can offer developers powerful applications like Snapps (SNARK-powered applications) to offer financial services without compromising data privacy and programmable money that anyone can access from their phones. And that’s just the beginning.
The network uses the proof-of-stake consensus with the main difference being that users do not need to have expensive hardware or wait days for the blockchain to sync, or use a ton of computing power to stake and participate in it.
Stock To WatchThe Market longer term uptrend still intact, many growth names remain choppy. I try to pick the best of the best. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 21 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 4 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. I also add 5 names that should be on everyone's longer term watchlist. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
USDTRY - Long Breakout?We caught a great trade from March going long (Profit/Loss Box Remains)
I just don't see the economic situation getting better anytime soon for Turkey.
I am actually living in Turkey currently, it's a lovely country with wonderful people, food and and and....
I see the break north, on a technical level the "Rising Wedge" pattern illustrated.
Keep on trucking! or trading whatever...
1% Risk, 2:1RR
BITCOIN | Inside a Buying Area!Hi,
At the moment, the price of Bitcoin trades inside a possible buying zone. Criteria are quite good and at least a short-term bounce should come from the current area.
Considering long-term buyers then, we still might see lower prices so, be careful with that because 50% correction from the top can still happen ;)
Criteria:
1. Equal waves of AB=CD
2. Channel projection
3. Resistance becomes support
4. Daily EMA200 (haven't touched it over a year)
5. Round number 40k
6. Fibonacci rejection
7. Inefficiency around the current price
Target: 46-50k
Stay healthy,
Vaido
Where is LTC heading? #What_ifLTC dominance has never recovered March 2020 till this moment. At 1.05 at the moment makes you wonder where is this coin heading? the chart speaks for itself, it makes the targets i sat very reasonable and small compared to potential price in near future. #what_if dominance reaches 1.8 (dominance before march 2020) or even 3.7 (ATH dominance) with the current market cap?
Is it part of your wallet today? think twise #What_if ?
Soybeans - Short IdeaI see price has had a great run up, this is the 4H chart but the daily is speaking to me. Price has confirmed by a small pullback and now showing rejection at the 50-61.8% Fib levels, price showing an engulfing pattern at those levels.
Soybeans is a touchy commodity, I would think.. like all commodities right now, more upside.. but certainly room for a relaxation of price here, 2:1 tucked in before hitting the 4H 200 EMA.
Its a solid short setup... that is all we can do, take good setups and manage risk...rinse & repeat.
1% Risk.
S&P500 - Short IdeaThis one is a 4:1 idea here. I just don't see the upside.
Price strongly dropped and with basically EVERYONE on the planet long stocks...a perfect time for a dump.
I see price making a bearish Flag even on the 4 hour (a touch early to tell)
Let's see where this goes!
Happy Trading!
Stock To WatchThe Market has resumed its uptrend, but I still see growth names not fully participating. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 27 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 7 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Coinbase goes to hit $1500IPO investing idea
Coinbase, Inc. is an American cryptocurrency exchange platform that operates remote-first without an official physical headquarters.
The reference price is $250, I suppose the price will rise much higher at 1 day and later. The market cap at $250 per share is $65bln.
Why?
Let's check some fundamentals.
In 1Q2021 Coinbase reported the next estimated results:
trading volume — $335bln volume
sales — $1.8bln
income — $760mln
Also let's check all the market volume data:
Volume MA30 in 2018: minimum was at 10bln per day, maximum -- 40bln per day
Volume MA90 at 1APR21 was 300bln per day
Maximum volume MA30 in 2021 was 360bln per day
Volume MA90 at 1JAN21 was 150bln per day
On 01.01.2020 volume MA365 was at 50
On 01.01.2021 volume MA365 was at 100
So, we have 4 scenarios of valuation
1) Pessimistic — the crypto hype will end in APR2021
If the hype ends, average volume will fall to 100bln per day at the end of 2021 (like in 2018 from 40bln to 10bln). And will be the same in 2022 and later.
So, yearly sales will be at $1.8bln, yearly net income — $760mln.
Using SPY P/E multiplier (42), we have market cap at 750mln*42 = $32bln, share price at $125.
Using TSLA P/S multiplier (25), we have market cap at 1.8bnl*25 = $45bln, share price at $170.
2) Current market — the market condition will be stable
On 01.01.2022 volume MA365 can be at 200 (like x2 from 2020 to 2021)
It means:
sales — $1.8bln*4*200/360 = 4bln
income — $760mln*4/1.8= 1.7bln
Using SPY P/E multiplier (42), we have market cap at 1.7bln*42 = $70bln, share price at $270 — almost as a reference price.
Using TSLA P/S multiplier (25), we have market cap at 4bnl*25 = $120bln, share price at $385.
3) Optimistic — the crypto hype will continue
Trading volume bill be 400bln per day
sales — $8bln
income — $3.4bln
Using SPY P/E multiplier (42), we have market cap at 3.4bln*42 = $143bln, share price at $550
Using TSLA P/S multiplier (25), we have market cap at 8bnl*25 = $200bln, share price at $770.
4) TOTHEMOON scenario
trading volume will twice every quarter in 2021.
We have 300+600+900+1200/4 = 750bln per day
sales — $8bln*750/400 = 15
income — $6.4bln
Using SPY P/E multiplier (42), we have market cap at 6.4bln*42 = $270bln, share price at $1000
Using TSLA P/S multiplier (25), we have market cap at 15bnl*25 = $375bln, share price at $1500.
So, a pessimistic scenario says it is better to wait for $125 and invest there.
In optimistic scenario says it is better to send MOO today, and set 3 targets:
650
1000
1500
So do I :)
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
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