Investing In Artificial Intelligence (AI) : Beginner’s GuideThe field of artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a highly attractive investment option, captivating the attention of investors worldwide. With its capacity to reshape industries and drive innovation, AI has gained prominence as a transformative technology. By simulating human intelligence and performing intricate tasks, AI is revolutionizing sectors ranging from transportation to finance and beyond. Given the rapid growth of the AI market, which is projected to reach revenues of up to $900 billion by 2026, having a comprehensive understanding of how to invest in this dynamic field has become crucial for investors.
In this comprehensive guide tailored for beginners, we will delve into the fundamentals of AI, exploring its underlying concepts, methodologies, and applications across various industries. By gaining insight into the inner workings of AI, investors can grasp the potential impact it can have on different sectors, enabling them to identify promising investment opportunities.
Moreover, we will examine diverse investment strategies that investors can consider when venturing into the AI market. These strategies will encompass a range of approaches, from investing in established AI companies and technology giants, to exploring opportunities in startups and early-stage ventures that are driving innovation in the AI space. Additionally, we will explore investment vehicles such as AI-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds, providing investors with a broader exposure to the AI market.
Throughout this guide, we will address the key factors to consider when investing in AI, including the evaluation of AI technologies, understanding regulatory and ethical implications, and staying updated with the latest industry trends. By equipping investors with the necessary knowledge and insights, this guide aims to empower them to make informed investment decisions in the dynamic and evolving landscape of AI.
As AI continues to redefine industries and shape the future, investing in this transformative technology presents an exciting opportunity for investors seeking long-term growth and exposure to cutting-edge innovation. Through this beginner's guide, we invite investors to embark on a journey into the world of AI investment, unlocking the potential for both financial returns and contributions to the advancement of society as a whole.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Explained
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a groundbreaking technology that aims to replicate human intelligence in computers and machines, surpassing human capabilities in terms of speed and accuracy. Leading companies like Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL) utilize AI to develop systems capable of problem-solving, answering inquiries, and executing tasks that were traditionally performed by humans.
The advancement of AI systems has expanded their applications across diverse industries and sectors. One notable transformation is occurring in the transportation industry, where electric and autonomous vehicles are revolutionizing travel and poised to contribute trillions of dollars to the global economy. In the banking sector, AI is employed to enhance decision-making processes in high-speed trading, automate back-office functions such as risk management, and even introduce humanoid robots in branches to reduce costs. These examples only scratch the surface of the extensive range of AI applications.
Analysts at International Data Corp. (IDC), a renowned market intelligence provider, project that the AI market will generate global revenues of up to $900 billion by 2026. This estimate reflects a significant compound annual growth rate of 18.6 percent from 2022 to 2026, underscoring the exponential growth potential of AI.
What was once considered a luxury has now become an essential component of modern businesses. The global pandemic has accelerated the adoption of AI, making it pervasive across all aspects of business operations. From healthcare and manufacturing to finance and customer service, AI has demonstrated its value in enhancing efficiency, optimizing processes, and driving innovation.
Investing in AI presents an opportunity to capitalize on its transformative potential. However, it is essential for investors to approach AI investments with a thorough understanding of the technology, its applications, and the companies leading the way. As AI continues to shape industries and redefine the future, investors who navigate this dynamic landscape stand to benefit from its long-term growth and the potential for significant returns.
How To Invest In Artificial Intelligence
As a retail investor, you may already have exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) through various prominent U.S. public companies that utilize AI or invest in this technology. However, if you're specifically interested in investing in AI, there are several approaches you can consider:
Individual Stocks: Conduct thorough research and invest directly in companies that specialize in AI development, application, or integration. Look for companies with a strong focus on AI, a robust research and development program, and a history of innovation in the field.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): Explore AI-focused ETFs that concentrate on companies involved in AI technologies. These funds offer diversification by investing in a portfolio of AI-related stocks, providing exposure to a broad range of companies in the AI sector.
Index Funds: Invest in broad market index funds that include leading companies at the forefront of AI development. These funds track major market indices like the S&P 500, which often include prominent players in the AI industry.
Additionally, Contract for Difference (CFD) trading is another option for investing in AI. CFDs allow you to speculate on the price movements of AI-related assets without actually owning the underlying assets. By taking long or short positions, you can potentially profit from both upward and downward price movements in the AI sector. However, it's important to note that CFD trading carries a higher level of risk and requires a good understanding of market dynamics.
Top AI Stocks To Consider:
Microsoft (MSFT)
As of May 2023, Microsoft, the renowned developer of the Windows operating system, holds the position of the largest Artificial Intelligence (AI) company. In recent times, Microsoft has made significant strides in the field of AI, unveiling a range of new features and initiatives across its product line.
One notable development is the integration of AI-powered enhancements into Edge, Microsoft's web browser. These enhancements leverage AI technology to provide users with improved browsing experiences, including enhanced performance, personalized recommendations, and advanced security features.
Furthermore, Microsoft has incorporated AI capabilities into Bing, its search engine. The integration of AI allows Bing to deliver more accurate and relevant search results, enhancing the overall search experience for users.
Highlighting its commitment to AI, Microsoft announced a substantial investment in OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, a widely used language model. This multiyear and multibillion-dollar partnership have resulted in the deployment of OpenAI models across Microsoft's product range, including the Azure OpenAI Service. Additionally, Microsoft's Azure cloud platform serves as the exclusive provider for OpenAI's cloud-based services.
By investing in OpenAI and integrating AI capabilities into its products and services, Microsoft aims to harness the power of AI to deliver innovative solutions and enhance user experiences. This strategic focus on AI demonstrates Microsoft's recognition of the transformative potential of this technology and its dedication to remaining at the forefront of the AI industry.
Tesla (TSLA)
In the realm of electric vehicles (EVs), Tesla stands apart from technology giants like Microsoft and Alphabet by leveraging AI and robotics to drive innovation. The company has positioned itself as a leader in self-driving cars, an area heavily reliant on AI for tasks such as visual processing and strategic planning.
Tesla is actively pursuing the development of self-driving technology and has been working on AI inference chips that are specifically designed to run its full self-driving software (FSD). These chips enable efficient and powerful processing capabilities, enabling Tesla vehicles to make real-time decisions and navigate autonomously.
Beyond self-driving vehicles, Tesla has expanded its AI endeavors into the realm of humanoid robots. In October 2022, CEO Elon Musk unveiled "Optimus," a highly anticipated robot. Musk envisions a future where Tesla's robot business surpasses the value of its cars, indicating a broader ambition to extend beyond the automotive industry.
In addition to self-driving technology and robotics, Tesla is actively involved in various AI fields. This includes the development of Dojo chips and systems, which aim to enhance AI training and accelerate computational processes. Tesla also focuses on neural networks, autonomy algorithms, code foundations, and evaluation infrastructure to continuously improve and refine its AI capabilities.
By applying AI and robotics to the EV industry, Tesla is at the forefront of technological advancements and aims to shape the future of transportation. Its commitment to developing cutting-edge AI solutions demonstrates the company's dedication to pushing the boundaries of innovation and redefining the possibilities within the automotive industry.
IBM (IBM)
In May 2023, IBM, a computing giant with a long-standing history in the technology industry, made a significant announcement regarding its platform called Watsonx. This platform is designed to empower developers by providing them with a comprehensive set of tools for creating AI models.
Watsonx equips developers with machine learning tools, foundational models, hardware resources, and data storage capabilities, enabling them to build sophisticated AI applications. By offering a range of resources within a unified platform, IBM aims to streamline the AI development process and make it more accessible to developers.
In collaboration with Hugging Face, a prominent provider of open-source AI libraries, IBM has integrated the benefits of Hugging Face's libraries and extensive collection of open models and datasets into the Watsonx.ai studio. This collaboration allows developers to leverage Hugging Face's resources and tap into a vast array of pre-trained models and datasets, accelerating the development of AI solutions.
Beyond its AI offerings, IBM has been actively involved in AI integration research. The company's Global AI Adoption Index explores the impact of AI adoption on businesses and society as a whole. This research initiative aims to provide insights into the current state of AI adoption, identify trends, and understand the potential implications of AI on various industries and sectors.
IBM's commitment to advancing AI technology, as demonstrated by its Watsonx platform and research initiatives, highlights the company's ongoing efforts to drive innovation and facilitate the integration of AI into diverse domains. By empowering developers and exploring the broader implications of AI adoption, IBM continues to play a significant role in shaping the future of artificial intelligence.
Alphabet (GOOGL)
Alphabet, the parent company of Google, has been actively investing in the AI sector, demonstrating its commitment to advancing artificial intelligence technologies. In April, Alphabet's venture capital subsidiary, CapitalG, played a leading role in a $100 million funding round for AlphaSense, an AI startup. This investment not only highlights Alphabet's financial support for AI innovation but also strengthens its presence in the AI industry.
In addition to its investment activities, Google, as a part of Alphabet, has made substantial investments in other AI-related companies. For instance, Google has invested approximately $400 million in Anthropic, a competitor to ChatGPT, further expanding its involvement in the AI landscape. Furthermore, Google has acquired Alter, a startup specializing in AI avatars, which showcases its strategic focus on enhancing AI capabilities and exploring new applications for the technology.
Within its own product ecosystem, Google has introduced various generative AI tools that leverage the power of artificial intelligence. One notable example is Bard, Google's own counterpart to ChatGPT, which provides real-time access to information from the web. This demonstrates Google's efforts to develop AI models capable of generating dynamic and contextually relevant content.
Moreover, Google is incorporating AI functionality into its Workspace suite, starting with popular tools like Gmail and Google Docs. By integrating AI capabilities into these productivity tools, Google aims to enhance user experiences, improve efficiency, and enable new possibilities for collaboration and content generation.
Alphabet's investments in AI startups, acquisitions, and the development of generative AI tools highlight the company's dedication to harnessing the potential of artificial intelligence. Through these initiatives, Alphabet continues to shape the AI landscape and drive innovation in the field.
Amazon (AMZN)
Amazon, a prominent player in the AI field, has established itself as a leader by offering a comprehensive suite of AI and machine learning (ML) services through its cloud computing platform, Amazon Web Services (AWS). AWS provides a wide range of tools and services that empower developers and businesses to integrate AI and ML functionalities into their applications and workflows efficiently.
Notably, Amazon not only provides AI services to other businesses but also harnesses AI capabilities within its own operations. For instance, the company employs sophisticated AI algorithms in its online store to deliver personalized product recommendations to customers, creating a more tailored and engaging shopping experience.
One of Amazon's most recognizable AI applications is Alexa, the virtual assistant powering Echo devices. Powered by natural language processing and ML algorithms, Alexa can comprehend and respond to user commands, enabling users to interact with their devices using voice commands. This integration of AI technology has revolutionized the way people interact with their smart devices and has become a prominent feature in many households.
Amazon's commitment to AI is further evident through its ongoing investments in AI research and development. The company continually seeks to advance AI technologies, exploring new applications and improving existing capabilities. By embracing AI in various aspects of its business, Amazon aims to enhance customer experiences, drive innovation, and remain at the forefront of AI integration in the industry.
Oracle (ORCL)
Oracle (ORCL), a renowned provider of cloud computing solutions, has emerged as a leading player in the AI landscape by offering the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure. This robust cloud platform serves as the foundation for various workloads, including AI applications, empowering businesses to leverage the benefits of AI technology.
Recognizing the growing significance of AI, Oracle has taken steps to enhance its AI capabilities for enterprise customers. Notably, the company has expanded its collaboration with Nvidia, a prominent chipmaker specializing in AI hardware. This strategic partnership allows Oracle to harness the power of Nvidia's advanced AI-focused GPUs (Graphics Processing Units) and other hardware technologies.
By integrating Nvidia's hardware into its infrastructure, Oracle aims to deliver enhanced AI performance to its enterprise customers. This collaboration equips businesses with the ability to process vast datasets and execute complex AI algorithms more efficiently, leading to improved insights and outcomes. By leveraging Nvidia's powerful AI hardware, Oracle demonstrates its commitment to providing cutting-edge AI solutions that address the evolving needs of businesses in the era of digital transformation.
Through its collaboration with Nvidia and its focus on advancing AI capabilities, Oracle solidifies its position as a leading provider of AI-enabled cloud infrastructure and reinforces its commitment to empowering businesses with the tools and technologies needed to harness the potential of AI in their operations.
How To Select The AI Stocks To Invest In :
When selecting AI stocks to invest in, it's important to conduct thorough research and consider various factors. Here are some key considerations to help guide your decision-making process:
1) Company's fundamentals: Review the financial health and performance of the company. Analyze its financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Look at key indicators such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, return on equity (ROE), and debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio to assess its profitability and financial stability.
2) Technical analysis: If you're a short-term trader, utilize technical analysis to study price patterns and trends. Use technical indicators and candlestick charts to identify entry and exit points based on historical price movements.
3) Analyst ratings: Consider the latest analyst ratings and commentary on specific stocks. Analyst opinions can provide valuable insights, but keep in mind that they are subjective and should be considered alongside other factors.
4) Latest company news: Stay updated on a company's news and developments. Look for announcements related to AI investments, acquisitions, R&D initiatives, and new product offerings. This information can indicate a company's growth potential and competitive positioning.
5) Competitive landscape: Assess the company's position within the AI industry and its competitive advantage. Consider its technology, market share, and ability to innovate. Evaluate how it compares to other players in the market.
6) Management team: Evaluate the leadership and management team of the company. Look for experienced executives who have a track record of success and a clear vision for the company's future.
7) Industry trends: Stay informed about the latest trends and advancements in the AI industry. Understand how AI is being adopted across different sectors and the potential impact it may have on the company you're considering.
8) Regulatory environment: Consider the regulatory landscape surrounding AI. Assess how regulations and policies may affect the company's operations and growth prospects.
9) Diversification: Manage risk by diversifying your investments across different AI stocks and sectors. This helps mitigate the impact of individual stock performance and provides exposure to a range of opportunities.
Conclusion:
Investing in AI presents unique opportunities for investors as this cutting-edge technology continues to transform industries and drive innovation. The potential for AI to revolutionize various sectors, enhance efficiency, and create new business models is immense. Whether through individual stock investments, AI-focused ETFs, index funds, or even CFD trading, investors can participate in the AI market and potentially benefit from its growth.
However, investing in AI requires careful consideration and research. It is important to understand the fundamentals of AI, including its applications and potential impact on industries. Analyzing company financials, such as balance sheets and income statements, can provide insights into the financial health and long-term potential of AI-focused companies.
Staying updated on industry trends, news, and developments is crucial. Monitoring AI-related investments, partnerships, research, and product advancements can help identify companies that are at the forefront of AI innovation.
Diversification is also key in AI investing. Spreading investments across different AI stocks, sectors, and geographies can help mitigate risk and capture opportunities in various segments of the AI market.
Lastly, it is important to remain informed and adaptable as AI technology continues to evolve. Regularly assessing and adjusting investment strategies based on market conditions and emerging trends is essential to capitalize on the transformative potential of AI.
By understanding the fundamentals, conducting thorough research, and staying informed, investors can position themselves to potentially benefit from the growth and impact of AI in the years to come.
Invest
Target is 59k (Bitcoin)I have been going on for some months about end of June being the next "Bitcoin event". The secret is that every year Bitcoin has a major pivot point , only one a year , which dictates the momentum for months, until the next date in the time sequence.
Here I go over back in May and state end of June is the time period for the next sequence. The only problem here was atleast for me it was not clear which way it was going to swing , even up until last week it could have flipped either way , last year things where much clearer because momentum was heavily to the downside.
As you can see we are on the 0.618 on this time fib and the reaction has been massive , we could be printing one of the biggest weekly candles in a long-time. These "event periods" are not small moves by any means , targets from here would be 59k.
Why 59k ? well bump and run reversal pattern target is 59k , last cycle Bitcoin did the same thing and hit the technical target.
As you can see it hit 13.5k a near perfect technical target from throwback , so far we have do the same and if we reach the technical target it would 59k.
What is also interesting is my Elliot wave indicator which is pretty dam good and pinpointing waves is signalling that the target range is also 56-59k target range.
Which also lines up with the 8/1 Gann Fan which is hovering around that 59k area also and to finish off we have a perfect 8/1 gann fann rejection of the USDT dominance.
So in the end this "event period" was a pivot to the upside not to the downside it seems that way for now , lets see how the weekly and monthly close.
So the next big date April 2024 which lines up with the Bitcoin halving , this fib date is more for Chainlink but still gives clues on where Bitcoin would be .
Something to note here not expecting all time high till October 2025 period.
Flash Crash or Bear Trap? (Bitcoin)The fact we are so close the Big Fib time date end of June 2023 and I still can't confirm which way this is going to swing is frustrating.
Last year it was so clear coming up to the fib date , this year price could swing either way.
For me there is two ways this is going to play out next 30-45days
1. We Flash crash down to retest the cycle low at 15k every cycle we create a double bottom , right now we keep be forming this crashing pattern that will take us back down to 15.5k.
As you can see it is a very distinct pattern it can appear in any timeframe , the higher the timeframe the longer it takes for the pattern to form .
There crashing patterns form everywhere not just Bitcoin.
So if it did flash crash then it would look very similar to 2015.
2.
Now the second outcome here is a massive bear trap and a massive move up to 40k end of June 2023.
Check this out.
We bounced massively off this moving average last time creating a huge bear trap. If it is going hold and reverse this is it , once we close under this moving average its over.
SPX500 bump and run reversal pattern still not reached its technical target .
We could still see a melt up in June 2023 for the SPX which would give a higher chance that Bitcoin hits 40k aswell.
So as you can see how things can swing each way , we break the yellow triangle and close above it for Bitcoin we go up or we continue making lower lows we will complete the crashing structure , guess we just have to wait.
How many times....At this point , atleast for me since I been looking at these patterns for years its easy to spot when we are going to have reversals , its the same protocol guys
1. Mass FUD
2.Create Fear
3.Flash Crash
4. Reversal
rinse and repeat over and over again. The bigger the timeframe and larger and reversal.
Brazilian bank with space potential 🚀
Warren Buffett is famous for his investments, which he makes right at very bottom, and then holds them for many years and stocks bring him > 1000%!
There is a high probability that history will repeat it self with this cryptocurrency bank, in which he invested $ 1 billion a couple of years ago.
In fact, this is the only bet on the cryptocurrency of an elderly investor.
🏦 Nu provides digital banking services.
Every year the revenue of this bank grows by 100-200%!
The company attracts between 4 and 10 million new customers every quarter.
Given population of Latin America, the fintech company boasts significant growth potential in medium term by capturing market share.
But it should be remembered that while the bank is unprofitable, but as soon as the first profit appears, this rocket will not be stopped!
According to technical analysis, the stock found a bottom in region of $3-4 per share.
Now a new growing channel has been formed, which is confirmed by high volumes, so there is every chance that the uptrend will continue.
60% remains to the historical maximum, we will probably see this goal already this year.
💳 Nubank
Ticker: NYSE:NU
🔰 Entry price from: 7.3$
📊 Repurchase price: $5.6, $4.
🎯 Goals: $12, $15, $18
💼 Volume per trade: up to 0.5-3% per portfolio
📈 Potential return: up to 150%
It is better to keep this deal for the medium term.
You should enter the deal gradually, without rushing.
Initially at 0.5-1% of deposit.
If the stock falls, then you can average the position by 1-2%.
If the stock grows, then the entry point was good and you can increase the position by 1-2%.
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
Forecast completed by Sp500 ✅ Trees have grown to high sky?As we predicted earlier in the short-term forecast, the Sp500 index reached 4300 points, although not many people believed in it.
Now there is euphoria and the FOMO effect: money from private investors has already flowed into US stocks.
There is extreme greed in the market!
And how greed ends in the market - all more or less experienced investors know ...
Small oversold companies still have a large number of shorts, which means that there is a high probability of fast short squeezes from +20 to +80%!
Don't buy stocks just because they've gone up a lot!
Now is not the time to do that.
What to expect next from the Sp500? 🔮
Unfortunately, the situation is not in favor of growth for the index.
In the US, the government debt ceiling has been raised, which means that the US Treasury Department will borrow $1-2 trillion until the end of September 2023.
Also now there is a withdrawal of liquidity from the Fed - all this together will play a negative role on SP:SPX .
In the late month, the index grows by only 5-7 companies, this shows the weakness of the index.
The shares of the IT sector look the best.
But deteriorating conditions in the US economy will weigh heavily on these stocks.
🔰 According to Sp500 forecast 4000p, and then 3800p.
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
Asset which will safe your deposit when everything is on fire💼 If you still think that Bitcoin is the most protective asset, then you are very much mistaken.
Yes, Bitcoin can help protect your funds from theft, seizure and other procedures that states may arrange.
But this asset is still too volatile and this volatility - is price to pay for complete safety of your funds.
In face of major macroeconomic problems in world, we are seeing how Bitcoin begins show weakness and how high-risk an asset it reacts very violently to outgoing negative macro data.
Also, once again we want to remind you of the high correlation of Bitcoin with the main index of planet SP:SPX . This index is now growing due to a small number of companies that are already very overbought by all indicators.
Therefore, a strong fall in crypto market and stocks is only a matter of time.
And in general, all assets will fall.
🔎 But there is one asset that will grow up!
And in current economic conditions, each more or less large deposit should have it at least 20% of deposit.
This asset is CURRENCYCOM:GOLD , which, in principle, we have already written about many times before.
We remind you that you can buy tokenized gold, ticker BINANCE:PAXGUSDT .
In the past 2022, gold was bought at a record pace by global central banks. Since it is the most liquid asset on the planet with a capitalization of more than 13 trillion dollars!
Of course, the largest buyers of this asset are clearly doing it for a reason.
📊 According to fundamentals, gold is ready for a new growth cycle 📈
Gold has almost 100% correlation with the dynamics of 10-year US bonds and dollar index (DXY).
The Fed has already reached the limit in raising rates.
This means that the yield on 10-year bonds will no longer grow (for gold, this opens the way above the historical maximum).
Of course, we will still see a local drop in gold, but the result is obvious. Gold will break through the three-year resistance level of $2074 and go to renew its highs.
🔽 Technically, gold continues to move within the medium-term upward channel and is already approaching the key resistance zone.
The indicators are already overbought and a bearish diver has formed. Therefore, when all markets fly down, it is worth starting to look for an entry point into PAXG tokenized gold, for those who dont yet have it in their portfolio.
Judging by the chart, minimum pullback target may be in region of $1800-1850 (-10%).
But this pullback is so small compared to the volatility in crypto market that it might make sense to take gold at current prices.
Write in the comments on what other assets you want to get an analysis!
If you are interested in receiving promising ideas on market, dont forget subscribe to channel! In profile you will find a lot of interesting things.
Sponge's Kraby Patty analysis for May.Hello fans of Meme coins.
Today I decided to post some of my holding.
It is more for fun, like PEPE.
There's not too much history, so I made some Fibo's and waves and want to monitor futher.
Especially, if it's a new coin.
Let 's wait if SPONGE coin find a way to Golden spatula : )
Yours Emvo.
MT technical Breakdown on watchIf retail earnings come in negative this stock could see further weakness.
A head & shoulders pattern has triggered which means we have to be aware of continued weakness to the downside.
A close above the neckline negates the pattern but being below key moving averages does not display signs of strength.
2023 is THE year to invest in Bitcoin ??? (Benner Cycle)🚀🌟 2023: THE year to Invest in Bitcoin according to the Benner Cycle 🌟🚀
Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! 😄 If you're wondering whether 2023 is the right time to jump into the Bitcoin market, read on. In this article, we'll be exploring a fascinating concept called the Benner Cycle, which might just give us a clue about what's in store for Bitcoin this year and in the coming years.
📜 Who is Samuel Benner and what is the Benner Cycle? 📜
The Benner Cycle is a fascinating market prediction model developed by Samuel Benner, a 19th-century American farmer who turned his attention to market forecasting after he bankrupted in 1873. Wanting to learn more why this happened, he started to look at markets and observed cycles in commodity prices and discovered that specific timeframes tended to see major market movements. By studying these patterns, he managed to predict market highs and lows with surprising accuracy. 🎯
🔑 The Key Concepts of the Benner Cycle 🔑
The Benner Cycle is built on the idea that market movements follow predictable patterns over time. At the heart of the cycle are three key periods: 8, 9, and 10 years. Benner observed that market highs typically occurred at 8-year intervals, while lows happened at 9- or 10-year intervals. By identifying these patterns, Benner was able to forecast future market movements with uncanny precision. Just have a look at the image below to see how accurate it has been:🔮
You might be wondering how the 2008 financial crisis fits into the Benner Cycle, especially since 2007 was called as a top in the cycle. It's important to note that while the Benner Cycle can accurately predict general market trends, it's not a crystal ball that can foresee every market event. The 2008 crisis was an anomaly caused by factors beyond the scope of the Benner Cycle. However, the fact that the cycle called 2007 as a market top does lend credibility to its predictive powers. 🔮📈
🤔 Potential Criticisms and Limitations of the Benner Cycle 🤔
While the Benner Cycle has its fair share of supporters, it's not without its critics. Some argue that the cycle is too simplistic to predict the complexities of modern financial markets. Additionally, the crypto market is still relatively young and may not follow the same patterns as traditional markets. That being said, the Benner Cycle can still offer valuable insights for investors looking to navigate the ever-changing landscape of cryptocurrencies. 🧭
🔗 Applying the Benner Cycle to the Bitcoin Market 🔗
Now that we've got the basics covered, let's dive into how the Benner Cycle might apply to the Bitcoin market. Like any market, cryptocurrencies are subject to cycles of growth and decline. By studying historical price data and applying Benner's principles, we can potentially identify key turning points in the market and make more informed investment decisions. 🧠💡
Looking at the graph above, we can see that according to the Benner Cycle, 2023 should be the low of the markets and this suggests that we're on the cusp of a significant uptrend in the cryptocurrency market lasting till 2026. Additionally, with growing mainstream adoption and technological advancements, there's never been a better time to invest in Bitcoin. 💰🚀
In conclusion, 2023 might just be the perfect year to invest in Bitcoin, according to the Benner Cycle. By understanding this fascinating market prediction model and considering its implications for the cryptocurrency market, you'll be better equipped to make informed investment decisions. Remember, though, that no prediction model is foolproof, so always conduct thorough research and seek professional advice if needed.
⚠️ The above is not financial advice ⚠️
If you're considering entering the Bitcoin market in 2023, keep these tips in mind:
1️⃣ Do your own research : 📚 Don't rely solely on the Benner Cycle or any single market prediction model. Make sure to study a variety of sources and consult experts when making investment decisions.
2️⃣ Diversify your portfolio : 💼 Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Consider investing in more traditional assets as well to spread risk and maximize potential gains.
3️⃣ Set realistic expectations : 📊 Cryptocurrencies can be highly volatile, and there are no guarantees in the world of investing. Be prepared for potential losses and keep a long-term perspective. Only invest the funds you can afford to lose.
4️⃣ Stay informed : 📰 Keep up-to-date with the latest news, developments, and trends in the cryptocurrency market. This will help you make more informed decisions and stay ahead of the curve.
5️⃣ Have a plan : 🗺️ Develop a clear investment strategy and stick to it. This includes setting goals, defining your risk tolerance, and establishing a timeframe for your investments.
Thanks for reading till the end! You're a champ! 🏆🍾
If you found this post useful consider a like 👍🏽🚀 and a follow.
Share freely with anyone you think should read this! 📜
Oh, and surely let me know what do you think of the Benner Cycle and the prospect of 2023 being the start of a new rally in the comments below! Looking forward to reading your opinions!
The Bitcoin Event Of 2023The Next Big Bitcoin Event
Its getting to that time again the next Fib time sequence is around the corner, for months I have been going on about the next date, the last week of June 2023. Last year we managed to predict the biggest move of 2022 end of May/June 2022.
I would say I was pretty dam close and if you look at the date of that publication that was January 2022 so months before this timeframe, I already knew the outcome and it was all because of this Fib time sequence I have been using for over a year now.
When it comes to technical analysis I focus a lot on time, I think time is the key to be ahead when these macro pivots come and so far on a macro timeframe, we been successful since the start of 2022. The Fibonacci time sequence you see the main chart about is one I’m currently following closely even though is not the one, I have been following for over a year it still lines up to last week of June 2023.
If we look at the last cycle when can see that the timeframe between 0.5-0.618 happen to be a major pivot.
If we zoom in, we can see how closely 2019 its following, if we continue mirroring then its possible we see 38k top by end of June 2023 and come May 8th (0.5 Fib) we shall start seeing the pivot to the upside. Many traders are pointing to a retest of the top of previous resistance which was 25k , I think that is also possible but we would have to close above the 0.382 fib Fan to keep this rally alive , so a wick down to 25k and a close above 26k , just like it did march 6th 2023 with that massive weekly candle wick.
This date May 8th is lines up closely with the next FOMC meeting where will see what rate hike we will get if we get a pause, it would be setting up perfectly for one leg up, history shows that pauses cause short term rallies which are then followed by massive drops.
USDT dominance broke and closed above the 2/1 Gann Fann that I was watching closely which is not a good sign at all , if Bitcoin did wick to 25k then its most likely USDT would go up to the 3/1 Gann fan which is where it got rejected last time again march 6th 2023.
The bump and run that took Bitcoin out of a bear market last cycle gave us the pico top at 13.8k which was the 0.618 , this was the technical breakout target of the bump and run reversal
So this is where things getting interesting, the technical breakout target of this years bump and run that did the same thing as last cycle, took us out of a bear market is 60k , that’s right folks that’s the target of this Marco pattern.
So now to the doom and gloom the red dashed projection on the main chart. Every cycle we make a Marco double bottom , it will be a black swan event , last cycle it was covid this cycle war/banking etc many catalysts out there pick one , here it does not matter if it comes we go in heavy because we will be expecting it.
As you can see the double bottom happens before the halving event always and we are about 300days off the next which is in April 2024 so it is possible that we get the “pivot” for the crash coming last week of June 2023 if we keep on making lower lows on the daily week after week.
This year it is definitely much harder to call a direction, most of the market thinks we have plenty of time to move up but for me its 60days for the move whether is up or down it all depends for me on holding that 0.382 fan fib , we start closing under it come end of June then red projection is likely to play out , one thing for sure coming into this timeframe things are going to get crazy.
Bitcoin Long Trade (High Risk)Interesting fractal appearing here on the 1hour , this is the same fractal that appeared when Bitcoin made that massive bear trap down to 19.5k.
This fractal appears in all timeframes and it is a bottoming fractal most of the time.
The higher the timeframe the bigger the move , this was the fractal that formed at 15-18k range.
Closing above the blue line within this pattern would be key here to long ,risky one no doubt.
MILLIONARES ARE MADE IN THE BEAR MARKETS! 🐻Hello Team this is for long-term investing ONLY!
As we enter MAX PAIN ZONES that we warned of on May 21, 2021, & on our Socials make sure to keep your psychology straight.
- Remember one thing: "Millionaires are made in the bear markets." meaning this is the time to start planting seeds. -
The Lower we go the Better:
Looking at Bitcoin from a macro view of a long-term holder we have started to enter the top of the accumulation zone. Bitcoin can continue lower down towards 10-15K, along the way is a great time to start adding to your Bitcoin & Crypto positions. Bear markets tend to last a long-time with a lot of price volatility and sideways movement.
Our Strategy:
1) Have a HODL portfolio with some positions you believe in (BTC/ETH & Some main alts) that you never sell & keep on the Blockchain.
2) Swing positions that you enter during the bear markets & exit during the bull markets. These usually consist of speculative alt-coins.
3) Trading account. This is the account you use the scalp/swing trade the markets on the daily basis.
4) THE HEDGES against the markets. You know what they are :)
Remember Crypto is still highly speculative do NOT put your lifesaving in DEFI or any Crypto. Only invest what you can afford to lose... there were many lessons in this crypto cycle.
Wish you all the best! Be ready for more MAX PAIN and do not fear. Following us, you were well prepared for this outcome and played it perfectly! Have cash reserves ready and plant small seeds along the way.
Long Trade (Bitcoin)It is beautiful sight seeing these patterns again, ascending triangles on bitcoin uptrends have very high chance to break to the upside in my experience.
Here are some examples last bull run. The momentum is heavily to the upside guys its time to long the trend.
Its time to use moon cycles again this equinox? will it be as easy again as 2021?, lets take a look at the chart .
Since October 2022 we have had 6 full moons that have resulted to fairly good moves to the upside. We just to happen to have one today aswell so something to look at it, in 2021 it had a crazy hit rate.
what a run that was using moon cycles , could we be entering the same period again now?
Breakout target is 32.4k
Stop loss :27.5k
OCEAN/USDT bullish, more than 2xBINANCE:OCEANUSDT
altcoin taking support on trendline
entry = 0.31 - 0.33 $
sl = 0.27 $
target = more than 100 %
invest at your own risk. this is nota recommendation . educational purpose only
BlackRock says the market is WRONG ....The World’s Biggest Asset Manager With $9 Trillion AUM, BlackRock are saying that the markets Are WRONG By Pricing In Interest Rate Cuts. There is a divergence between what the Fed is saying that they are going to do and what the markets are pricing in terms of interest rate bets. The Fed is saying “We aren’t going to cut rates”, but the market is focusing on the banking crises and thinks that will force their hand.
BlackRock says the market is WRONG and they don’t see any rate cuts this year.
I think the US 10Y Yield bounced off some key support last week down to 3.25 and currently the market is side lined. There are some very clear levels to watch on the US 10Y yield. But while above 3.25 the longer term up move for the US 10Y Yield is intact and only a close below this level would trigger a correction lower toward 3.00 and 2.80.
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