SPX500 | Short IdeaI see a significant pattern setting up for more downside on this index.
- engulfing candle patterns at major daily 200 EMAs
- PA below the 200 EMA on the daily
- a flag (bearish) pattern has been completed
- layering on the fundamentals of gold/silver and even bitcoin being purchased over more "risky" stocks - especially this banking fiasco.
2.3 : 1
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MUST READ:GER 30 CURRENT VIEWPrice Broke The Lower High and And Created a New Higher which signals buying opportunities telling us that the price is currently Bullish from being bearish as I identified the zone indicated and took 50 % of the zone to reduce risk as we wait for price to retrace back to the identified level and take our positions.
Bear In mind that i use smart money concepts that's why my charts may not contain many objects e.g Trendlines,Indicators. etc
Alt Market on the VergeThe alt coin market is on the verge of a potentially volatile move, with several interesting factors at play. The recent candle close above the 0.5 Fib fan, which has acted as resistance, now appears to be holding as support, signaling that something significant may be stirring
However, the most critical chart to watch right now is the Bitcoin market cap dominance. In the past, whenever the RSI poked outside the 70 zone, it signaled a bottom for the alt coin market. Last week's close put us just past that 70 zone, and it took 91 days for the dominance to come back down to the range. During that time, the alt coin market moved $285 billion and $255 billion dollars. Therefore, a move of $250-300 billion from where we are now could put the market cap at around the 0.382 Fib and under the 0.75 Fib fan.
This is one of many reasons why I believe the top for the market will be in late June 2023. I use Fib time sequences frequently with great success, as we caught the big move down in the market months before it happened last year. We plan to do the same this year.
So, when will this move happen? For me, it's straightforward. Once we break the support on the USDT dominance, we will see the next and possibly final leg of this relief rally. The entire year, we have failed to break this level, which shows very strong support. However, I am confident that a break of this level will signal the start of the next significant wave up for the market.
There is alot of money to be made in the next 90days its going to be a easy x2-5 on most alt coins the move is going to be volatile , greed will come into the market heavily but come late June 2023 it will be over so there is very limited time to take advantage before the next big crash.
BEAR TRAPThis could be a huge bear trap setup right here just like 2019.
The SPX500 holding support nicely for now , even though we are hours away from opening yesterday close was pretty good .
If we remain in this ascending channel it would be the final flush out before the next leg.
Lets not forgot the higher timesframes are looking good ,
contracting histogram momentum to the upside .
The legendary hash ribbon buy signal with crazy hit rate.
If we break this ascending channel the 2019 playbook goes out the window and we go back to the charts see what we can find but until then , setup for a long ,could take a week to build divergence.
Cyclical Nature of BitcoinToday, we'll take an in-depth look at Bitcoin and examine where we could be headed over the next few months. The chart before you is crystal clear: we are in the midst of a repeating cycle. Regardless of how bad the news may be, or how much global conflict or financial turmoil escalates, all that matters is the chart.
The chart speaks volumes: Bitcoin came back to the green zone in this model in precisely the same time as the last cycle: 364 days. Refer to this TA for more information on that:
So we hit the green zone, we've bounced out of it, hovering just above it, as we did in 2019. With last week's weekly close, we've broken the 0.25 Fibonacci fan, just as we did in 2019. So, unless we do something that changes the mirror fractal, we will continue to stick to the view that this relief rally is just getting started.
In 2019, it took us 56 days from the time we broke the 0.25 Fibonacci Fan to reach the relief rally top. If the same pattern holds, the week of April 10th, 2023, would signal the top, and we could go as high as $48k. Anywhere between $35-48k would be the topping zone. Somewhere within this yellow circle, around this time, would be the perfect topping signal for Bitcoin. However, things never go as planned, so we could top out as early as $35k.
Why $35k? Well, the highest CME gap currently sits at $35k, with the 0.382 Fibonacci Fib. This is an area that I'll be paying close attention to because it's very possible that Bitcoin will close the gap and top out for the year at this level.
If we zoom into the daily in 2019, we can see that we created an ascending channel coming out of capitulation. We have done precisely the same thing this cycle so far, but we will go one step further here.
This chart shows the Pearson correlation coefficient, demonstrating decoupling from the SPX500 vs. Bitcoin. When we dig in, we see that, in fact, Bitcoin decouples from the stock around precisely the same time during this ascending channel in 2019. The negative correlation lasts for a significant chunk of the relief rally, as you can see. Very interesting. Here we can see that during that period, the Dow Jones dropped 7.59%, while Bitcoin rallied 78%. It's essential to note that even though Bitcoin has become increasingly more correlated over the years as it matures, there are still pockets of the cycle where there is negative correlation.
Bitcoin has been performing consistently within the same bands as it did in 2019, a fact that remains true since the publication of the TA above from eight months ago. This post, published during the bear market, was met with skepticism and laughter from traders who claimed that the "MACRO ENVIRONMENT" would prevent the predicted outcome. However, the theory, vision, and analysis presented in the post remains valid and unchanged to this day. By removing the noise and emotions surrounding human behavior, we can stick to the chart and better predict market trends.
Mayer Multiple Bands
Bitcoin still playing within the same bands as 2019 perfectly .
Of course, there's always a possibility that I am wrong. What if we're not going to have a relief rally, and this is the top? The invalidation level is always present, and nothing is ever 100% guaranteed.
Looking at the fractal pattern that emerged during the 2015 bear market, we can see that history could repeat itself. While anything is possible, including a black swan event that could bring the market down in a week, I think the odds of this fractal pattern playing out are low, at around 10%.
In every cycle, Bitcoin puts in a "marco double bottom." Even in 2011, Bitcoin put in a double bottom. Having cash on hand for when those two bottoms hit is essential. I believe we have only had one bottom, and while some analyses bet on the FTX black swan being the second bottom, I disagree.
After the COVID crash in March 2020, I spent countless hours trying to predict when the next Bitcoin crash would occur. I was off by two weeks when I published my analysis in January 2022, but we did get the first cycle bottom around the end of May 2022.
The only constant pattern we have is that Bitcoin puts in the second double bottom before the next halving, which is scheduled for April 2024. The average length from the second double bottom to halving is 256 days, and according to my analysis, sometime between July 24th, 2022, and April 2024, we're likely to get Bitcoin's double bottom, which would bring the price down to at least test the first bottom lows at $15k.
My Bitcoin model predicted the pico bottom of the COVID crash in 2020, and if it follows the same pattern, the latest low band of the model will be retesting $15k is April 2024, which is the same month as the halving. Keep in mind that these are projected lines for this model, and if anyone is a coder who can add projected dash lines to the model, please DM me on TradingView.
Another possible outcome for the double bottom of Bitcoin could be a crash as early as July 2023.
As long as Bitcoin stays within this ascending channel, we have the potential to push much higher. However, if we break out of the channel and close below it on a daily timeframe, the chances of the 2015 fractal playing out become much higher.
Always around.Today bringing update of same chart again.
Seems like fractal was choose.
However I leave there both for ensure.
Price action is never exact.
It is always pierced, above, below or around .
But you should know where trend heading and have some strategy.
Take care ,
Emvo.
*This is not any financial advice.
CULT DAO 4000% MOVEIts been nearly a whole year since CULT was created and it has never been a bad time to stack some CULT.
The parabolic ascend has possibly started and the 4.236 extension sits about 39x from current price.
The first FIb time on CULT has been set ,max momentum March 2023 and top sometime late June 2022.
On the daily time frame we have a perfect symmetrical triangle a breakout sits nicely on the 1.618 Fib.
Check out last CULT DAO TA , caught that 80% pump perfectly and now on to then next swing .
CULT is the infinite machine .
Visa (V): Recovering From a Recent DipVisa (V) is poised for strong double-digit earnings growth as the global trend of cashless transactions continues.
The stock is valued attractively based on multiple years of growth.
Visa's stock is likely to outperform over the long-term based on valuation, growth, and earnings upgrades.
Visa's daily chart above shows a positive upward trend. The stock recently dipped and looks like it may begin a new uptrend leg higher. This would be confirmed by the MACD indicator in the middle of the chart. The trend would be considered back to positive when the blue line crosses above the red signal line. The purple RSI line at the bottom of the chart is showing positive strength, indicating that the stock may continue upward.
The Rug Game (Re-upload)From the creator of CULT DAO we now have the THE RUG GAME.
The chart we currently looking at today is the governance token TRG.
Buy signal 4hour candle close above resistance and break of the triangle , money flow coming up.
Targets - who knows its at 3 million dollar market cap ,most likely 10 million
coinmarketcap.com
Previous TA was taken down because i posted a "private invite only indicator" that is against the house rules
Witness of future.Hello investors and traders.
As the chart progress and pattern was broken,
I am forced to bring you a new idea.
It seems like bull and bear price action is edged and
also real trend lagging. This is common in bear markets.
In basic, upside retrace play out and it would take a more time.
Notice that weekly Death cross never happen in BTC history.
Because Bitcoins were made after 2009 crisis, in beginning of SP500 bull market.
I am not expecting exact bar tracking,
but It should follow to be valid.
I personally expect change toward March.
Always with care and ready,
Emvo.
*This is not any financial advice.
Whats happening with Chainlink?To say that the trajectory of Chainlink in the past eight months has been anything but surprising would be an understatement - unfortunately, the surprises have not been in the coin's favor. Despite having one of the strongest fundamentals in crypto, its pattern, price range, and movements have been quite unusual in my opinion. It has broken all trend lines and channels from its genesis, and there are no historical patterns to compare it to.
Last year, I was setting up for one of my biggest trades with Chainlink, as the price was perfectly aligned with my Fibonacci time sequence. However, the FTX black swan event occurred, and since then, it hasn't quite recovered like the rest. You can check out those failed TA's under "Related ideas" below.
While other coins in the market have seen massive rallies of hundreds of percentages, Chainlink hasn't done much, only up 33% from its lows. This brings me to a new channel that I will be testing out this year. If anyone has any other channels from genesis, please let me know by clicking on the link below.
There isn't much to go on with Chainlink until we break the resistance seen below. It's been 245 days and four attempts, but we've never managed to close above it.
The LMACD on the 3-week timeframe is showing momentum coming up, but the price is going down, indicating that divergence is building.
The LINK/BTC dominance chart has always been the most crucial chart to trade Chainlink, as you can see from the chart. Currently, we're sitting in the same place before we had a massive run of 124% in price back in January 2020. The resistance was broken at one point, and we even closed a weekly above it, but then failed to hold it as support due to the FTX black swan.The big Chainlink move comes once we have a clear break from this resistance, which it has been stuck under for 917 days.
Using this Fib time sequence, we knew that the bottom was in for Chainlink.
I have been using this Fib sequence on the dominance for years, going back as far as 2019 when i was trading LINK I used this channel.
For the past 280 days, the price has been ranging, and there have been a lot of good trades in the $5 dollar range. However, now we want to see it break out!
What's so interesting about CUB?Hello,
The stock we are going to look at today is City Union Bank. Looking at the long-term chart on the daily candle, this stock is mostly moving in an upward direction. I have explained this banking stock well and clearly. Must watch video before investing.
Thanks & regards,
Alpha Trading Station
Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market"
Game of trades.I am just posting new update. I said everything on my mind was.
To this date, quite satisfied with the price action.
There would be a lot of liquidations due to Golden crossover on Daily chart.
However, you can spot weekly Death cross on mine.
Which one really will, or won't play out, isn't in my will.
Bars pattern only showing, what's in my mind.
But there is no true higher high still and I saw bullish VIX and DXY.
Let's wait for reality result, or some change in sentiment.
Always with care,
Emvo.
*This is not any financial advice.
Dow Disbelief RallyIt has been over two years since the COVID crash and despite people sharing 2008 fractal patterns, traders' expectations of a stock market crash have yet to be realized. In fact, recent chart patterns for the Dow Jones and NAS100 suggest that bottoming patterns are emerging. For further technical analysis of the NAS100, please refer to:
Notably, the Dow Jones has recently given a buy signal on stochastic momentum, though it is advisable to wait for monthly closure to confirm.
Historical analysis indicates that whenever both signal lines close above the 40 level, some sort of bull market emerges. This signal has fired off 13 times since 1995, producing an average 24% move to the upside, with an average time frame of 276 days from signal to local top. Assuming a 24% move from current levels, the DOW is expected to reach 1.618 42268.
Based on the chart evidence, it appears that the probability of a rally to the upside is higher than that of a 2008-style stock market crash, at least not within the next six months, barring any unforeseeable black swan event.
The cyclical cycle continuesSo far it is undeniable by looking at the chart in front of you that things are playing out like last cycle not just in patterns but in time.
364days it took from last cycle top to bottom landing in the green zone in this Bitcoin model.
Its taken 364days so far from Nov 2021 cycle top to the new lows of 15k and again landing in exact same green zone as previous cycle.
If the pattern continues sometime end of February 2023 we could see Bitcoin pass over into the blue zone and going above 20k.
The USDT dominance chart is not reaching the end of its rising wedge.
I have been saying pretty all year that when this white support breaks we will get some sort of rally , was watching it closely even in my last trade /TA and once again it bounced off .
Time overlap of the last two cycles .
Like clockwork
After all the black swans , all the bad news , all the traders ,content creators , mainstream media outlets calling recession , calling 2008 crashes , Bitcoin is still doing nothing different than the last cycle so far.
I think its done pretty dam well considering the massive deleveraging in the market and the propaganda machine on full blast trying to get you to sell your Bitcoin or even worse to collateralize your Bitcoin on centralized exchanges.
CHAT GPT AI PREDICTS 1 MILLION BTC 2030Today, I had an intriguing experience chatting with an unrestricted AI software. As you may know, there are restrictions placed on this software, one of which being no price prediction. However, the internet found a way around these restrictions, resulting in the creation of a chart forecasting the future price of Bitcoin, created solely by artificial intelligence.
I will present the predictions in chronological order, highlighting the most crucial pieces of information:
2023 -
2024 - &
Here, I attempted to determine when the double bottom crash of Bitcoin would occur. Every cycle, Bitcoin crashes twice before reaching its all-time high. What's intriguing is that, according to the AI, Bitcoin will reach $120,000 by the last week of November 2023, without a retest of the lows.
2025 - &
2030 -
This is the roadmap of Bitcoin's future as predicted by artificial intelligence. Upon reviewing the complete picture, I realized that I had seen this pattern before. After some thought, I remembered the first Bitcoin cycle, which took 735 days from the bottom to the top and had a 76% pullback mid-cycle.
When we overlay the bar pattern from that period, we get this pattern -
It's an intriguing pattern, suggesting that the the first bitcoin cycle will repeat itself!
If we take a closer look, we can see that if the top occurs in December 2024, it will take roughly the same amount of time as the first cycle. Additionally, a mid-cycle correction from $120,000 in 2023 to $35,000 in June 2024 would be 72%, which aligns with the 76% mid-cycle correction of the first cycle.
Please keep in mind that this prediction is for entertainment purposes only and serves as a historical archive of the AI's prediction.