Investidea
I might want to own DisneyI might want to own Disney as my first stock. Now this is why!
Are you aware that Netflix stopped allowing users of different IPs to log in and watch the show, even when you had a premium subscription?
That means, even if you are from the same household, but one of you has an extended overseas trip, he could be booted out after he has "used up" the overseas button.
In some countries, the subscription fee of Disney is 3 times cheaper than Netflix. I'm unsure if that's what Disney offers for the first-time sign-up client, but it is worth noticing.
Disney owns some of the biggest brands, such as Marvel, Starwars, 20th Fox Century Studio, and more.
Although I'm not optimistic about some of the new Marvel series, there is so much more potential with Disney.
So when the Bullish Shark Pattern has confirmed at $87.90, it is great news for me to own my first stock and it might be Disney.
What's your take on this?
Tulip mania and $30k bitcoin! What to expect next?🙀 Many peoples are shocked by such a strong and rapid rise in BTC, but Bitcoin loves to surprise everyone.
There was no reason for such growth, however, as Sir Newton said, "I can calculate the movement of celestial bodies, but not the madness of the crowd."
The Fear and Greed Index speedometer went from fear (42) to greed (65) in a few days 🧨
It should be remembered that fundamental problems in world economy have not gone away, central banks are raising rates and the "printing press" still does not smell at all.
Recently, US Ministry of Finance has entered market with borrowings + its being helped by Fed and ECB with their balance sheet cleanups.
And what about technique ⚙️
Bitcoin exited “wedge” up impulsively on low volume.
Growth without a retest of key levels, so it would be logical see a return to FWB:27K level on a retest + at this level there is the main liquidity.
🫡 Ok, but what to do?
At the moment, there is no reason for a sustainable rally in crypto.
If a week ago the “fear and greed index”, which moved into the fear zone, was still speaking in favor of growth, now it is already in greed, which means that the growth potential is not so great.
It's not worth it to go into medium-term and long-term perhaps now, and I think that we'll buy BTC lower.
🎯 Targets for a set of medium-term long positions: $23,400, $20,000.
P.S. 🧙🏻
Historically, BTC has always walked alongside Nasdaq, but with a higher Beta.
Nasdaq and BTC have gone their separate ways in recent months.
Now Nasdaq is already turning down after quarterly expiration of options, all mammoths are heavily overbought and need to be corrected.
Even if BTC meets the falling index, potential for growth is not so great (but anything can happen).
P.P.S.
If the idea of shorting BTC has entered your head - drive it away!
Mr. Market is very fond of catching shorts and then watching them buy back their shorts at a higher price 😼
Shorting is mathematically unprofitable.
Shorting Bitcoin is economically and mathematically unprofitable!
But if you want to find more ideas in great companies with high growth potential, welcome to the profile 🎩
Will Ethereum survive this hot summer? Hardly 🙅♂️Now during FUD from US Department of Finance, we saw what a sale of altcoins was - this may negative affect ETH too.
A large number of coins are written on Ethereum blockchain, so in event of further delisting, this should negatively affect for second coin on market.
📉 From its high this year, BINANCE:ETHUSDT is already down -18%, while BINANCE:BTCUSDT is down -16%.
At the moment, Ethereum looks worse than Bitcoin.
According to technical analysis, ETH has +4+5% growth potential.
But downside potential is much higher up to -25-30%.
Now short looks more advantageous.
Fundamentally, all factors also point to a further fall.
This has been written about more than once in past ideas.
💡 Short term trading idea:
📉 Short: $1732
🛡️ Stop: $1874 (-8%)
🎯 Target: $1356, $1228 (+30%)
⚖️ Risk/Profit 1/3
💼 Volume per trade: up to 5% per trade.
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
Scam exchange Binance - need be afraid of such an event? 😰Attacks from SEC on the Binance exchange continue. What can happen to BNB and the largest cryptocurrency exchanges against backdrop of the ongoing circus with the SEC.
Its important to understand that BNB can only disappear if Binance exchange is scammed.
If this happens, then believe me, a lot of projects will fall off, because the Binance is now, in fact, the so-called crypto market.
📌 Suddenly, someone does not know, this exchange is the main monopolist of crypto industry and it is on it that highest volumes of cryptocurrency turnover take place.
We estimate probability of a Binance exchange scam at only 5%, since the lawsuit is only from the US SEC, and Binance is a global exchange that operates all over the world. So you should not be afraid.
💁♂️ Most likely, many panicked and started selling BINANCE:BNBUSDT BNB, but price fell by only -10%, which is not much for the crypto market.
We dont expect landslide sales for this coin, a maximum of -30-40% from the current ones, and not because of current reasons, but because of the withdrawal of liquidity from the system (read previous posts).
Binance simply will not allow a strong collapse of coin, as this will affect the credibility of their business.
We think that Binance is and will continue to conduct so-called buybacks (buyback of tokens), especially if the price falls.
📌 For an example, just look at how weak the BNB coin fell in bear market.
Do you think the stock exchange has nothing to do with it? We strongly doubt it.
🎯 Technical analysis
Coin is trading above medium-term uptrend and is now testing this trend from above.
The support level of $258 passes directly below trend line.
Above the key resistance level of $339, which price has not been able to break through for more than a year.
In case of panic, the price can break through the trend line down and the support level of $258.
But below is a very important support level of $223 along which the long-term moving MA200w passes. Below is emptiness up to $ 138 ...
The price may well fall to the key level of $223 or even lower, but we think that at any price below this level, the exchange itself will actively buy back tokens, since below it is essentially just emptiness. Therefore, around the $223 level, you definitely need to make purchases, even though it will be very scary!
And for those who do not yet have positions on this coin, it makes sense to make the first purchases now, when fear reigns and the price is right at trend line.
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
Forecast complete ✅ HOT summer for bitcoin has begun NOW! Since beginning of June, Bitcoin has already fallen by -9%, why this is happening and what to expect next - I have already detail told in Tradingview post month ago.
Now the news about SEC lawsuit against Binance has begun to appear, but all this is «market noise», friends.
The fact that Bitcoin will fall was said in advance by technical analysis and macro factors.
What to expect next? 🔮
Unfortunately, the situation isnt in favor of growth for the main cryptocurrency.
In the US, the government debt ceiling has been raised, which means that the US Financian Department will borrow $1-2 trillion until the end of September 2023.
Also now there is a withdrawal of liquidity from the FED - all this together will play negatively on Bitcoin.
The dominance of Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D in market is still kept at level of 47-49, which acted as a "ceiling" in last 2 years.
This means that altcoins are still holding on very well and we have not yet seen real sales in the crypt. But we will definitely see.
If you have altcoins in your portfolio, there is still a good chance to sell them at a good price.
🔰 By the end of June, we can see BINANCE:BTCUSDT at $20-22k levels.
This will be a good level to start forming a mid-term long position.
Keep strong, buddy.
And have enough cash for buys!
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
Forecast completed by Sp500 ✅ Trees have grown to high sky?As we predicted earlier in the short-term forecast, the Sp500 index reached 4300 points, although not many people believed in it.
Now there is euphoria and the FOMO effect: money from private investors has already flowed into US stocks.
There is extreme greed in the market!
And how greed ends in the market - all more or less experienced investors know ...
Small oversold companies still have a large number of shorts, which means that there is a high probability of fast short squeezes from +20 to +80%!
Don't buy stocks just because they've gone up a lot!
Now is not the time to do that.
What to expect next from the Sp500? 🔮
Unfortunately, the situation is not in favor of growth for the index.
In the US, the government debt ceiling has been raised, which means that the US Treasury Department will borrow $1-2 trillion until the end of September 2023.
Also now there is a withdrawal of liquidity from the Fed - all this together will play a negative role on SP:SPX .
In the late month, the index grows by only 5-7 companies, this shows the weakness of the index.
The shares of the IT sector look the best.
But deteriorating conditions in the US economy will weigh heavily on these stocks.
🔰 According to Sp500 forecast 4000p, and then 3800p.
You can find even more profitable ideas in the profile header 🎩
If you are interested in analysis of any other asset - write in the comments and I will do it.
Asset which will safe your deposit when everything is on fire💼 If you still think that Bitcoin is the most protective asset, then you are very much mistaken.
Yes, Bitcoin can help protect your funds from theft, seizure and other procedures that states may arrange.
But this asset is still too volatile and this volatility - is price to pay for complete safety of your funds.
In face of major macroeconomic problems in world, we are seeing how Bitcoin begins show weakness and how high-risk an asset it reacts very violently to outgoing negative macro data.
Also, once again we want to remind you of the high correlation of Bitcoin with the main index of planet SP:SPX . This index is now growing due to a small number of companies that are already very overbought by all indicators.
Therefore, a strong fall in crypto market and stocks is only a matter of time.
And in general, all assets will fall.
🔎 But there is one asset that will grow up!
And in current economic conditions, each more or less large deposit should have it at least 20% of deposit.
This asset is CURRENCYCOM:GOLD , which, in principle, we have already written about many times before.
We remind you that you can buy tokenized gold, ticker BINANCE:PAXGUSDT .
In the past 2022, gold was bought at a record pace by global central banks. Since it is the most liquid asset on the planet with a capitalization of more than 13 trillion dollars!
Of course, the largest buyers of this asset are clearly doing it for a reason.
📊 According to fundamentals, gold is ready for a new growth cycle 📈
Gold has almost 100% correlation with the dynamics of 10-year US bonds and dollar index (DXY).
The Fed has already reached the limit in raising rates.
This means that the yield on 10-year bonds will no longer grow (for gold, this opens the way above the historical maximum).
Of course, we will still see a local drop in gold, but the result is obvious. Gold will break through the three-year resistance level of $2074 and go to renew its highs.
🔽 Technically, gold continues to move within the medium-term upward channel and is already approaching the key resistance zone.
The indicators are already overbought and a bearish diver has formed. Therefore, when all markets fly down, it is worth starting to look for an entry point into PAXG tokenized gold, for those who dont yet have it in their portfolio.
Judging by the chart, minimum pullback target may be in region of $1800-1850 (-10%).
But this pullback is so small compared to the volatility in crypto market that it might make sense to take gold at current prices.
Write in the comments on what other assets you want to get an analysis!
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Bet on metaverse now? 📲
Unity - company provides its own engine for creating games with virtual reality support.
For example, almost all multiplayer cryptocurrency games are made on the Unity engine: BINANCE:SANDUSDT , BINANCE:AXSUSDT , DAR, MANA and others.
Also, a huge number of games without the use of blockchain technologies.
This tells us about the growing demand for services of this company.
From the historical maximum, the stock has already fallen by -85%!
The company is currently unprofitable, but revenue is growing at a good pace.
Company's P/S multiplier is normal: P/S~7.
The company is expected to reach net income next year: Forward P/e ~33.
Should you buy Unity stock now?
According to technical analysis, stock has been moving sideways for a year now.
During this time, volumes of paper have grown, which means that investors are accumulating shares.
However, there are no insider buying yet, which means we haven't seen great prices yet.
📊 Outcome:
According to fundamental analysis, the business still looks bad, but the Unity direction is very promising.
According to technical analysis, the paper looks attractive for long-term purchases, but we can still see a lower price.
Ticker: NYSE:U
❇️ Forecast "optimistic in long term"
💵 Recommended buy prices: $25, $21, $16
💰 Volume per idea: up to 1.5% of the deposit
🎯 Goals: $45, $58, $76
📈 Growth potential up: to 150% by the end of 2023.
📉 Potential to drop up: to 50% by the end of summer.
Write in the comments on what other assets you want to get an analysis 🔍
If you are interested in receiving promising ideas on market, dont forget subscribe to channel! In profile you will find a lot of interesting things.
Best AI stock for 2023 🤖 Recently, everyone is talking about AI.
So which companies to buy and is it worth it now?
At the moment, leader among commercial implementation of artificial intelligence is a non-public company OpenAi.
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has made a big contribution to development of OpenAi - therefore its a direct beneficiary of spread of GPT chat.
📱 The rest of Big Tech shares: NVDIA, Tesla, Meta - also have a direct participation in development and popularization of AI.
That is, now AI is about the growth of Big Tech shares, which have already grown by + 50+70% since the beginning of this year!
It's a lot.
For example, Apple is generally ~4-5% of its historical maximum 😱
In context of incoming data, we see that conditions in world's economies are destroying, which means that IT sector will not be able to pull market for a long time and will go into correction. Sp500 will also go down accordingly.
And this means that the hype around AI will soon cool down ♨️
But, we would like to highlight one company that will be interesting in the medium term.
She is engaged in development and training of AI.
➖ Of the minuses, the company has no profit.
Strongly overbought by P/S ~12 (up 200% YtD).
➕ The company has no debt.
There is a very promising direction.
There is a revenue of $266 million.
Huge stock volumes starting in 2023 📊
The next report will be June 1st.
If the company makes a profit, there is a chance to grow by +50%, but then the stock will fall.
❇️ Ticker: NYSE:AI
✳️ Buy limit orders: $25, $20, $17
📈 Growth potential: up to 200% by the end of the year.
📉 Downside potential: up minus 50% by the end of summer.
Write in the comments on what other assets you want to get an analysis 🔎
If you are interested in receiving promising ideas on market, dont forget subscribe to channel! In profile you will find a lot of interesting things.
Opportunity to buy some Gold$1824.47 is a Great price for me to engage the Gold on a buying opportunity, especially a Bullish Shark Pattern has shown me an opportunity to get involved.
Normally I don't like to engage the trade on a Friday evening(SGT), but a trade like this with RSI Divergence it's hard to say no.