Investing
DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen!
With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming.
Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!)
Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar.
1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world.
2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper.
3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s.
4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect.
5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified.
6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar.
Techanically how high can the USD go?
-120 is likely. (hopefully not much more)
-Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE!
- What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER!
We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows.
For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))
Adobe (ADBE): Patience Pays Off After 35% RallyFollowing our last analysis of Adobe (ADBE), the stock saw a 35% rally from June to September, only to flush back to our preferred range—a clear reminder of the importance of considering the bigger picture rather than chasing every setup. Six months later, Adobe now trades below our initial analysis levels, reinforcing the value of patience. Currently, the stock has tagged the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, showing a promising reaction. However, reclaiming and flipping the key resistance at $446 with strong momentum is crucial. If this level is reclaimed, we will look for a pullback to bid at this key zone.
Should Adobe fail to reclaim $446, another drop toward the $386–$350 support range becomes highly likely. As such, we are not rushing into long positions for the sake of being positioned.
On the fundamental side, Adobe faces critical challenges as investors question its ability to monetize new AI features and fend off competition from emerging startups. These factors will play a key role in shaping the company’s outlook. For now, we remain patient, watching for clear rejections or reclaiming of the key levels.
Key Resistance: $446
Key Support: $386–$350
47% GROWTH》GODREJPROP SHOWING A GOOD REVERSAL SIGN FROM BOTTOMRecently NSE:GODREJPROP almost drawdown 19% from recent high and we plan for almost 47% upward potentially reward.
🔔 NOTE:
➡️ ENTRY ONLY IF the weekly candle CLOSES ABOVE 2550 INR.
📊 Godrej Properties (GODREJPROP) is exhibiting a positive reversal from its bottom levels. However, ⚠️ signs of weakness remain visible.
✅ Suggestion:
Wait for a strong confirmation with the weekly close above 2550 INR to enter.
Once confirmed, bullish momentum could target long-term profits at the 3802 INR level.
🎯 TARGET LEVELS
TP-1 🟡: 2836.25 INR
TP-2 🟠: 3026.00 INR
TP-3 🟢: 3405.90 INR (50% Profit Booking Recommended Due to Resistance ⚒️)
TP-4 🟩: 3802.00 INR (Long-Term Target – 9 to 12 Months 🚀)
📉 STRICT STOP LOSS (SL):
2240.90 INR 🚫 (Ensure proper risk management here!)
⚡ Action Plan:
If entry conditions are met, follow the targets and risk levels carefully. This stock offers an excellent reward-to-risk ratio, but confirmation is key! 🕒
🔴DISCLAIMER:
I AM NOT A SEBI-REGISTERED ANALYST. SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS. PLEASE READ AND UNDERSTAND THE TRADING IDEA CAREFULLY BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISIONS. INVEST WISELY AND AT YOUR OWN RISK. 📉📈
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Unlocking the Market's Rhythm: Modern Strategy Meets Historical Unlocking the Market's Rhythm: Modern Strategy Meets Historical Insights 🔄📈
🌍 Understanding Economic Rhythms: Investing isn't just about numbers; it's about recognizing the deep currents of demographics, debt, and asset cycles. By combining long-term trends with short-term tools like the ISM Manufacturing Index, you can anticipate market shifts with greater accuracy.
🔄 The Business Cycle in Focus: Markets thrive on cycles. The ISM Index provides a real-time snapshot of economic health, closely tracking GDP, corporate earnings, and asset price movements. It's your compass for navigating the economic landscape.
🏦 Central Banks as Market Guides: Historical texts on economic cycles reveal how central bank policies shape our financial world. Their role in providing liquidity during crises mirrors how modern indicators help investors navigate through market phases.
📊 Merging Historical and Modern Tools:
ISM as Your Navigator: Like central banks use policy to guide economies, the ISM signals potential market turning points.
Timing and Action: Use economic surprise indices to refine your forecasts, understanding that timing and the scale of actions are crucial.
🔍 Practical Implications for Investors:
Macro to Micro: Start with the big picture - demographics, debt - then use tools like ISM for precise market timing.
Behavioral Economics: Grasp how investor psychology and policy decisions shape market outcomes.
💡 Investment Takeaways:
Embrace Probabilities: Perfect predictions are a myth. Focus on probabilities, much like central banks navigate uncertainties.
Anticipate, Don't React: Use historical cycles and current indicators to prepare for market movements before they happen.
🔥 Timeless Insights:
"Understanding cycles turns the unpredictable into the predictable."
"Intervention without foresight can lead to unforeseen consequences."
📚 Deepen Your Knowledge: Insights from economic history provide the tools to navigate today's complex markets. Historical narratives on central bank roles offer invaluable lessons in market dynamics.
This blend of contemporary analysis with historical wisdom equips you to master the market's rhythmic dance.
#Investing 💰 #BusinessCycle 🔄 #MarketAnalysis 📊 #CentralBanking 🏦 #EconomicTrends 📈 #TradingView 📱 #InvestorEducation 🎓 #EconomicIndicators 📈 #CycleAnalysis 🔍 #InvestmentStrategy 📊
Question for Engagement: How do you incorporate economic cycles into your investment strategy? Share your thoughts! 📝
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 attained our designated downside target of Mean Support at 5775, which initiated a robust rally. This rally enabled the index to reach our target of Mean Resistance at 5920 and advance further to the newly identified Mean Resistance at 6035. The market is currently exhibiting strong and consistent upward movement. The bullish trend appears poised to continue towards our subsequent target, the Outer Index Rally at 6123, which will be approached via Key Resistance at 6090. Following that, additional targets of 6233 and 6418 are also anticipated. However, it is essential to acknowledge that reaching the initial rally level and the subsequent targets will result in a price pullback. Such a pullback is expected to prepare the market for the next phase of the bullish trend.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has seen a notable increase in volatility during this week's trading session after completing our significant Outer Currency Dip at 1.020. The interim rebound reached our target of the Mean Resistance at 1.030, as outlined in last week's chart analysis. We are now anticipating a retest of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, with additional extension levels at Outer Currency Dips of 1.016 and 1.005, respectively.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has reached our significant Key Resistance level of 106000 during the current week's trading session. This development signals a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip of the 108000 cryptocurrency before the expansion of the continued upward movement. Nevertheless, an interim decline may likely occur, leading down to the Mean Support level of 100000, with a potential further extension to the Mean Support level of 95000 before any resurgence in the bull market occurrence.
Freight Report: $JBHT Earnings Miss—But the Real Story Beneath1/ 🚛 Freight Report: NASDAQ:JBHT Earnings Miss—But the Real Story Lies Beneath
J.B. Hunt Transport Services posted Q4 FY24 earnings: $3.15B revenue (-5% YoY) and $1.53 EPS (missed $1.63). Shares slipped 1.5% after hours—but is this a turnaround waiting to happen? 🧵👇
2/ Full-Year Wrap-Up 🎯
Revenue: $12.09B (-6% YoY)
Operating Income: -16%
EPS: -20%
Not great, right? But they bought back 489K shares in Q4, showing commitment to shareholder value. A rebound play in disguise?
3/ Valuation Check: Does NASDAQ:JBHT Have Room to Run? 🤔
P/E ratio: 21.96, near sector average.
Analyst price target: $189.09 = upside potential.
But here’s the kicker: NASDAQ:JBHT ’s return is -2% this year, while the S&P 500 gained +26%. Market mispricing? 💎
4/ Sector Face-Off 🔥
Competitors: Old Dominion Freight Line ( NASDAQ:ODFL ) & XPO Logistics ( NYSE:XPO ).
NASDAQ:JBHT trails peers in total return but bets big on diverse services & tech. Will innovation reignite growth?
5/ Risks to Watch ⚠️
Economic Sensitivity: Freight demand drops with downturns.
Fuel Costs: Volatility = profit pressure.
Regulation: Green laws hike costs.
Overcapacity: More trucks, fewer profits.
6/ What Keeps NASDAQ:JBHT Rolling? 💪
Broad transportation services = stability.
Tech investments = operational gains.
North American brand power unmatched.
Strengths like these keep them in the game, but the clock’s ticking to outmaneuver competitors.
7/ Strategic Leverage 🚛✨
E-commerce growth = last-mile logistics opportunity.
Expanding rail partnerships = intermodal advantage.
Strategic acquisitions could boost service lines.
8/ What’s Next for NASDAQ:JBHT ?
Q4 was a miss, but the pieces for a rebound are there: cost discipline, e-commerce tailwinds, and tech-driven growth. Can they deliver?
9/ What’s your take on NASDAQ:JBHT ? Let us know below!
🚀 Buy for the long term
🔄 Hold and watch
🚫 Too risky, avoid
MBLY Traders/ Investors have to see this!My NASDAQ:MBLY traders/ investors have to see this!👀
4hr Chart Analysis
1.) We crashed underneath and now reclaimed the Anchored VWAP that's attached to the $11.12 low from 16Oct.
2.) We're forming a Cup&Handle and are sitting on a volume shelf with a GAP.
3.) We are up trending on the Wr%
All leading up to earnings!
🎯$18.48🎯$19.87
Not financial advice
Trump Media Target $100 Possible. Days Away from being in OfficeSomething is up with Tiktok, Donald Trump Jr., Elon Musk, Twitter and Facebook meetings with Trump, Trump WILL reward his shareholders, I know this FOR SURE. One of the best buying opportunities I have seen in a long while. I am buying the March $100 call options on any dips. Right now, as we speak, this is pushing the trend resistance at $42.63. Support at $40.00 - Volume is building over the past few weeks. Trump going into office will propel this big.
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and New TargetsBack in October 2024, we successfully closed our second position at the exact top of wave 3, capturing the peak before XAGUSD dropped by 17%. We’re still holding our first setup, which remains open with the stop loss set at break-even.
We believe the bottom of wave 4 was established around $29, and the chart now points towards a move higher into wave 5. Our focus is on a continuation above the Point of Control (POC) into the $31.35–$32.90 range. At that point, we’ll look for an entry during the pullback (wave (iv)).
Alerts are set, and we’re ready to capitalise when the opportunity arises.
3M (MMM): Patience Before Next StepsWall Street analysts estimate that 3M will report quarterly earnings of $1.66 per share next week, reflecting a significant 31.4% year-over-year decline. Revenues are projected at $5.79 billion, down 27.7% compared to the same quarter last year.
As we mentioned previously, we have not yet set a clear limit for 3M and continue to monitor its chart closely. The current structure suggests that the alternative scenario, where wave 1 is positioned higher, appears increasingly likely. However, a significant surge beyond this point does not seem probable at this time.
We’re keeping a close watch to determine where this wave 1 establishes its top before making any further moves. Patience remains key as we refine our conclusions on NYSE:MMM ’s next steps.
HIMS: BUY NOW OR FOMO LATER📈 Unlock the Secrets of $HIMS! 📈
Join me as I take you through an in-depth analysis of NYSE:HIMS , covering both fundamentals and technical analysis.
🔍 Charts Breakdown:
Massive multi-year cup and handle breakout 🏆
💡 Fundamentals with H5 Investing Strategy:
A comprehensive look at why NYSE:HIMS is a massive buy 📈
Fair value based on a DCF model: $52 💰
Let's dive deep into the numbers and uncover why NYSE:HIMS is a game-changer!
HIMS - T1 Trade Alert! 38% UPSIDE💊 NYSE:HIMS T1 Trade Alert! 💊
While we never left NYSE:HIMS as an investment, we took a brief trading hiatus. But guess what?
WE ARE BACK!!!
🔨 HAMMER TIME, BABY!
🎯 Targets: $30, $35, $38
🖐️ H5 Trading Community was notified about this setup this morning!
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE