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EUROPEAN DEFENCE STOCKS SURGE AMID NATO SPENDING DEBATEEUROPEAN DEFENCE STOCKS SURGE AMID NATO SPENDING DEBATE (1/8) Big News: European defence shares soared on Monday 📈🔥, with growing expectations of increased military spending. This rally follows renewed U.S. pressure (re-elected President Trump) calling for NATO allies to ramp up defence budgets to 5% of GDP—far above the usual 2%. Let’s break it all down! 🚀 (2/8) – STOCKS IN FOCUS • Rheinmetall (Germany): +9% (Frankfurt) 💥 • BAE Systems (UK): +5% (London) 🇬🇧 • Thales (France): +4% (Paris) 🇫🇷 • Dassault Aviation: +4% 🛩️ • Kongsberg Gruppen (Norway): +3% 🔧 • Rolls-Royce: +2% 🚀 Stoxx Europe Aerospace and Defence Index hit a 30-year high 🎉 (3/8) – WHY THE SURGE? • EU leaders consider relaxing fiscal rules for bigger defence budgets 💶 • President Trump demands NATO allies go for 5% of GDP 🏛️ • NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte suggests a new target >3% GDP, warning about Russia’s rapid military buildup 🏴‍☠️ (4/8) – GEOPOLITICAL CONTEXT • Russia’s war in Ukraine (nearing 4th year) pushes EU to reassess capabilities ⚔️ • IISS report: Russia’s defence spending surpasses Europe’s combined 💥 • U.S. threatens troop reductions unless Europe meets higher spending goals 🗽 (5/8) – POLICY SHIFT IN BRUSSELS • EU might tweak Stability and Growth Pact—exempt certain defence costs from debt caps 🏛️ • “Dual-use” infrastructure (e.g., shelters) reclassified as defence, bypassing strict borrowing limits ⚙️ • Emergency meeting in Paris: Macron + von der Leyen open to flexing EU budget rules for a military surge 🇪🇺 (6/8) – INVESTOR OPTIMISM VS. CHALLENGES • Many EU nations already beyond debt thresholds—3% or 5% GDP on defence = tough choices 📉 • S&P Global warns big defence boosts could threaten credit ratings 📢 • Germany’s €100B special fund ends 2028; France’s deficit hits 6.6% of GDP by 2025—both face fiscal strain 😬 (7/8) – OPPORTUNITIES FOR EUROPE’S DEFENCE INDUSTRY • Bigger budgets = a wave of investment in European-made weapons 💸 • EU’s €1.5B Defence Industry Programme aims to strengthen the bloc’s military capacity 🇪🇺 • Analysts predict a robust outlook for companies like Rheinmetall, BAE, Thales, etc. 🤝 (8/8) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Investors are betting on a more militarized Europe 🌍, poised to spend big under NATO pressure and looming threats. Balancing fiscal rules with security needs is a tall order, but for defence stocks, it’s their moment to shine. Stay tuned: the NATO summit in June could solidify spending targets—and shape Europe’s defence future! 💪
ICMARKETS:STOXX50
by DCAChampion
1
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL (1/7) Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀 (2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT • Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09) • Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰 • Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔 (3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM • Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates) • Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡 • Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty? (4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON • AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability • Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️ • Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗 (5/7) – RISK FACTORS • NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share • Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉 • TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups • The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high (6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐 Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips Strong cash flow fueling R&D Weaknesses: Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism Opportunities: AI expansions beyond GPU domination Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖 Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology Threats: Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel) Economic slowdowns Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️ (7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA? 1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DCAChampion
1
Breakout or Fakeout? SPX at CrossroadsBreakout or Fakeout? SPX at a Critical Crossroads | SPX Market Analysis 17 Feb 2025 Welcome to another shortened trading week, thanks to Presidents' Day (or maybe an extended Valentine's weekend for the lucky ones). With all the nudge nudge, wink wink out of the way, let’s talk setups. I’m watching two key trade scenarios—a breakout continuation or a break-in reversal (aka a false breakout). For now, it’s time to grab a cuppa and a hobnob while waiting for the markets to open. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: ☕ Tea, biscuits, and breakout confirmations With Tuesday’s open ahead, my focus is on two key setups that could determine the next tradable move. Scenario #1 – The Breakout That Needs to Prove Itself On Friday, SPX tried to break out, but price action was about as decisive as someone staring at a restaurant menu for 20 minutes before ordering a burger. Price meandered sideways, leaving traders guessing I chose to sit this one out, because long weekends can mess with momentum Now, we watch if Tuesday brings real follow-through If this breakout is legit, we should see: ✅ A strong push above Friday’s highs ✅ Sustained momentum without rapid reversals ✅ Clean continuation setups for bullish entries If we get weak price action, I’ll hold off on longs and consider the next setup… Scenario #2 – The ‘Break-In’ (A False Breakout Setup) Now, let’s talk about something you won’t find in trading textbooks—the Break-In setup. Think of it like this: Imagine SPX breaking out, getting everyone excited, then suddenly doing a U-turn and slamming back into the previous range. Traders who chased the breakout get trapped, and those who spot the reversal early have a golden shorting opportunity. Signs of a Break-In setup: ❌ Price fails to hold breakout levels ❌ Quick rejection and reversal back into the previous range ❌ Bearish momentum builds instead of continuation If SPX falls back into the range, I’ll be watching for short setups, because these moves can be quick and brutal. So What’s the Plan? 🧐 1. Watch for Tuesday’s Open – If SPX continues Friday’s breakout, we look for bullish setups. If not, the Break-In trade is on the table. 🎯 2. Avoid Jumping in Too Early – Long weekends can create fake momentum that doesn’t hold. Patience is key. 🍪 3. Keep an Eye on Volatility – If volume is weak, the move could be another dud. But if volatility spikes, we could get a real tradeable move. 🚀 Key Takeaway? SPX has picked a direction, but the real move happens once full liquidity returns. Until then, I’ll be enjoying my tea and biscuits while the market figures itself out. Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest post-holiday market crash happened in 1929, when the Dow plunged 12.8% after a weekend—triggering the Great Depression. 💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t take holidays—they just store volatility for later. That’s why smart traders stay prepared for anything after a break.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
4
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION? (1/9) Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎 (2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago • GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges • Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch! (3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS • Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence • Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024 • Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️ (4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES • 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸 • Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx • Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish (5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON • Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples • P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!) • Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬 (6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP? • Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔 • But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays… • The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles (7/9) – KEY RISKS • Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻 • Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026) • Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧 • Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds (8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Established brand, PC/server CPU leader Foundry expansion, AI PC push Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency Weaknesses: Market share losses, negative FCF Delays in product launches, high CapEx Complex design + manufacturing model Opportunities: AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups Government support (CHIPS Act) Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds Threats: Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA ) Regulatory & trade risks (China) Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind (9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship? 1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable! 2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack 3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DCAChampion
$MU getting accumulated with PT $140-220- NASDAQ:MU GAAP eps is growing substantially in 2025 and 2026 but market hasn't rewarded NASDAQ:MU - It appears that whales are accumulating the stock and/or suspicious of NASDAQ:MU future demand. - If analyst expectation and company's projection is true then this stock is grossly undervalued. Based on the fundamentals: Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 Gaap EPS | 6.32 | 9.65 | 11.27 EPS growth | 730.48% | 52.72% | 16.80% Bear case ( for. p/e = 15 ) | $94.8 | $144.75 | $169.05 Base case ( for. p/e = 20) | $126 | $193 | $225 Base case ( for. p/e = 25 ) | $158 | $241 | $281.75 Bull Case ( for p/e = 35 ) | $189 | $289 | $338
NASDAQ:MULong
by bigbull037
GOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR-$2B CRYPTO ETF BETGOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR- SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B CRYPTO ETF BET (1/8) Goldman Sachs just revealed a massive crypto ETF position—nearly SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds, per an SEC filing. Let’s break down the details and see what it means for traditional finance! 🚀💸 (2/8) – HOLDINGS SNAPSHOT • Bitcoin ETFs: $1.63B total 24,077,861 shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) (~$1.33B) 3,530,486 shares of Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) (~$300M) 49,183 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) (~$3.7M) • Ethereum ETFs: $196.3M total 7,024,747 shares in Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) (~$191.1M) 200,000 shares of Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (~$5.1M) (3/8) – ETFS: BRIDGING TRADFI & CRYPTO • First approved in 2024, BTC & ETH ETFs let institutions gain crypto exposure without holding coins directly • Perfect for “regulated” banks like Goldman, bridging Wall Street with digital assets 🏦 (4/8) – GOLDMAN’S STANCE ON DIRECT CRYPTO • CEO David Solomon: “We’re a regulated bank, can’t own crypto as principal.” ⚖️ • They advise clients & dabble in ETFs, but can’t yet park BTC on their balance sheet due to regs • Hints at how major banks remain cautious, even with big bets (5/8) – WHY IT MATTERS* • SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs = a serious vote of confidence in crypto’s future • Encourages other institutional players to follow suit—if Goldman is in, who’s next? 🤔 • Demonstrates that “indirect” ownership is how TradFi is tiptoeing into crypto markets (6/8) – REGULATORY OVERHANG* • The bank can’t directly hold crypto due to existing rules, but invests heavily via approved ETFs • Raises questions: will we see a day when Goldman (and others) hold actual BTC or ETH on their balance sheets? 🚪 (7/8) – Is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs the start of a bigger Goldman crypto push? 1️⃣ Yes—They’ll expand once regs loosen 🚀 2️⃣ No—They’re staying in the safe zone 🤔 3️⃣ Unsure—Too many regulatory question marks ⚖️ Vote below! 🗳️👇
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DCAChampion
5
Statistically Probable that Bitcoin Has NOT Topped YetBitcoin: No Statistical Evidence of a Top Yet 🚀 Based on the analysis using the indicator: Statistically Extreme Areas by Apex Algo Systems, there is no confirmation that Bitcoin has reached a market top at this time. This indicator is designed to identify historically extreme conditions, signaling when price action is statistically overextended. 🔍 Key Observation: Unlike previous cycle tops, where extreme readings were clearly registered, the current market environment has not yet reached those levels. This suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to run before hitting an exhaustion point. 📊 What This Means for Traders & Investors: ✅ Momentum Still Intact – No statistical evidence of a peak. ✅ Potential for Further Upside – Historically, markets tend to top only after hitting extreme conditions. ✅ Caution & Confirmation Needed – While no extreme has been detected, market conditions can change, and risk management remains essential. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. What do you think? Could Bitcoin be headed higher? Let’s discuss! 👇 🚀
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by QTXAlgoSystems
OSCR - This could be MASSIVE!NYSE:OSCR Still doing my DD on this name but here are my thoughts on the technical side of the house. Monthly Chart Analysis: CupnHandle Breakout = $45 🎯 Bullish: - CupnHandle forming - At the first Volume Shelf with a GAP above - In a bullish up trend - Michael Burry bought at current prices Bearish: - S/R zone range is $10-$13.50 - Volume GAP down to $10ish - Bottom of Bullish channel is $10ish - Wr% is down-trending My Opinion: - I believe we will more than likely form a deeper handle due to the fact that the Wr% is down-trending. I've found that when we break above -20 and then start a bearish channel descent we get to -80 or to the green support beam before we bottom out and then bounce to the opposite end of the spectrum. - This would bring us into the $10-12 range before we see a bounce. - I believe this to be the case as we now have a red H5 Indicator that is almost making a bearish cross as well. As I said I'm still doing my Fundamental DD on this name but if it does turn out to be fundamentally undervalued with a bright future then I would welcome this to fall further in order to buy more. Not financial advice
NYSE:OSCRLong
by RonnieV29
3
SMCI - Climbing out of the GRAVE! 100% UpsideNASDAQ:SMCI 🎯$64 🎯$85 Incoming WOW, from dead company to short attacks into oblivion this company has clawed back from the grave! - Inverse H&S - Fake Out on the S/R Zone - Green H5 with Bullish Cross - Volume shelf with GAP - Up Trending Wr% - RSI/ STOCH breaking out of downtrend If I was to enter this trade I would look for an entry at the retest of the Inverse H&S breakout (Blue Circle) while we also create a WCB! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by RonnieV29
Made in England.. FTSE 100 Triangle BreakoutFinally the long term triangle pattern in blue chip UK stocks has broken - and the weekly chart for the FTSE 100 index is looking very positive. The breakout weekly candle is a long one with a close right near the highs - showing bulls are well in control of the market. We can see the triangle break in more granular detail on the daily chart with the break confirmed on Thursday and a strong follow-through move on Friday. Support is found first at the former all time high (8450-8475) then back at the broken trendline from the triangle pattern. These support levels define our risk - the price back inside the triangle will inform us the breakout has failed - this time at least. But if things move as we expect, using the height of the triangle pattern as a price objective from the breakout point, the UK 100 could reach 9,000. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Comments welcome :) cheers! Jasper The material provided in this article is for information purposes only and should not be understood as trading or investment advice. Any opinion that may be provided on this page does not constitute a recommendation by Trading Writers and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote investment research independence. If you rely on the information on this page, then you do so entirely at your own risk.
TVC:UKXLong
by jasperlawler
XAUUSD LONG🚀 XAUUSD (GOLD) Technical Analysis - Long Trade Setup Current price action suggests a bullish reversal forming near the 2,882 support zone. Strong momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) align with a potential uptrend continuation. Entry Zone: 2,882 - 2,900 (Optimal long entry on retest) Target: 3,100 🎯 (Key resistance level + Fibonacci extension) Risk Management: Always use stops below key support (2,850-2,860). Chart patterns and institutional buying signals support this move. Let’s ride the wave! 🌊 Always trade with discipline and adjust position sizing to your risk tolerance. 👉 Like & Follow for more updates! #XAUUSD #GOLD #TradingView #Forex #Commodities #Investing
FX:XAUUSDLong
by EagleTraderz
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session in the current week, the Euro reached our designated Mean resistance of 1.050 and is establishing a potential resurgence of extending upward momentum to an Inner Currency Rally of 1.060. On the other hand, if the anticipated upward resurgence does not emerge, the cryptocurrency may experience a drop toward the Mean Support of 1.039. Further engaging with the Mean Support level at 1.030 and the Key Support at 1.024, ultimately progressing toward the completed outer Currency Dip target of 1.020 and outermost Outer Currency Dip of 1.005.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has remained closely aligned with the completed Outer Coin Dip at 96000. This development suggests a potential pullback to retest the Mean Support level at 91800, with the possibility of further decline down to the Outer Coin Dip marked at 89000 before a possible resurgence in the bull market. On the other hand, if the anticipated pullback does not occur, the cryptocurrency may experience upward momentum, retesting the Mean Resistance level at 101300. This could lead to an extension toward challenging the completed Outer Coin Rally at 108000 through Key Resistance at 106000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
TESLA ($TSLA) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINSTESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) – PRICE CUTS, NEW MODELS & SHRINKING MARGINS (1/8) Tesla’s Q4 2024 revenue came in at $25.17B (+1% YoY), missing estimates of $25.87B. Full-year revenue hit $97.69B, only slightly above 2023. Let’s break down the numbers! 🚗⚡️ (2/8) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.71 (vs. $0.74 est.) • Net income slipped from $2.51B (Q1 ‘23) to $1.13B (Q1 ‘24) → margin pressures • Full-year EPS: $2.04. Investors are edgy over slowing profit growth 😬 (3/8) – NEW AFFORDABLE EV • Tesla plans to launch a lower-priced EV mid-2025—could spark future growth 🚀 • However, concerns linger about declining margins due to recent price cuts & softening EV demand 🔻 (4/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • P/E trailing: 177.26, forward P/E: 124.35 → major premium vs. Toyota (~8.5) & GM (~8.7) 🔎 • EV/EBITDA: 87.53—again, quite high • Analyst avg. PT: $307.62 vs. current ~$355 → Some see overvaluation 📈 (5/8) – PERFORMANCE & COMPETITION • Tesla’s revenue growth lags behind EV rivals like BYD (especially in China) 🇨🇳 • High valuation is tough to justify if margins keep slipping & demand cools • Others note the potential for a “market correction” if Tesla doesn’t re-accelerate growth 🔻 (6/8) – RISK FACTORS • EV Demand Slowdown: Price cuts & fierce competition in China • Production Delays: Cybertruck & new affordable EV might take time to ramp • Regulatory: Shifts in incentives or rules could slow sales 📉 • Economic Pressure: High interest rates = less consumer cash for big-ticket items • Elon Musk: Diverted focus (X, SpaceX) + polarizing behavior 🌀 (7/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Leading EV brand & loyal customer base 🔥 Diversified streams (storage, solar) → less auto reliance Massive market cap at $1.16T shows confidence Weaknesses: Shrinking margins (~17.86% in 2024) Production hiccups → scaling issues Sky-high valuations vulnerable to correction Opportunities: 2025 mass-market EV could open huge demand 🚗💨 AI & autonomy (FSD, robotaxis) for new revenue Energy storage growth offsetting auto slowdowns 🔋 Threats: Competition from BYD, GM, etc. Lawsuits & regulatory scrutiny (discrimination, product defects) Global economic uncertainty → lower vehicle sales (8/8) – With Tesla trading around $355 & a P/E near 177, is it still worth the premium? 1️⃣ Bullish—Musk’s vision & new EV model = unstoppable 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Waiting to see if margins recover 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Overvalued, competition is heating up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
1