Narayana Hrudayalaya - Strong Fundamental & TechnicalFundamental plus Technical Analysis on a Financially Strong Company:
Narayana Hrudalaya Ltd is engaged in providing economical healthcare services. It has a network of multispecialty and super specialty hospitals spread across multiple locations.
Focus
Company plans to add 700 plus beds for the next 3-4 years at Bangalore Health City. It intends to invest upto Rs. 1,000 Cr in the West Bengal for setting up a superspecialty hospital.
Capex Plan
Company has planned a total capex of 1136 Cr for FY24 and till Q3 FY24 it has spent 477 Cr.
Stock P/E - 31.7
Industry PE - 56.3
EPS growth 5Years - 67.8 %
Buy Score - 4.56 (Buy Score above 0 for me, is considered very good and above 1, excellent.)
ROCE 5Yr - 19.6 %
Please note that this idea is meant to spread awareness and should NOT be considered a buy recommendation. Do your own research before making any financial commitments.
Investing
GNA Axles Limited Going Towards Its All TIME HIGH's NSE:GNA
GNA Axles is engaged in the Business of manufactures auto components for the four-wheeler industry, primary product being Rear Axles, Shafts, Spindles & other Automobiles Components for sale in domestic and foreign market.
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Key strengths
Extensive experience of promoters/management and long track record of operations
GNA was promoted by Late Rachhpall Singh and his brother Gursaran Singh, the latter being the company’s current managing
director with around five decades of industry experience. His son, Ranbir Singh, and other family members are also involved in
the company’s day-to-day business activities. The company directors are assisted by a team of professionals who are highly
experienced in their respective domains. Being established in 1946, the GNA group, which also includes GNA Gears Limited, has
a long track record of operations.
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Diversified revenue stream across product segments and geographies
The company supplies its products to varied segments of the automotive industry, including commercial vehicles (CV or the onhighway segment), tractors, farm equipment, and earth moving equipment (all three being part of the off-road segment). The
company derives significant income from export of its products to the US, Europe, Asia Pacific (Japan and China among others),
Mexico, Brazil, and so forth, with exports constituting around 53% of its total operating income (TOI) in FY23 (refers to April 1
to March 31) . The company is a Tier-1 vendor for its supplies in domestic off-road segment, while in the
exports markets, it supplies axles and spindles to larger and more established Tier-1 vendors.
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Long and established relationship with customers
The GNA group has been operating in the auto component industry since 1946, thus having built time-tested relationship with
customers – with some ever since the commencement of its operations. Besides, it has been supplying to some of its export
customers since 2000. GNA markets its products through the common group marketing network catering a whole range of
products, including axles, gears, and shafts under one roof. The long and established relationship with customers provides revenue
stability to the company, subject to overall industry demand scenario.
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Reputed, though concentrated customer base
While GNA faces customer concentration with its top-5 and top-10 customers accounting for around 64% and around 80% of its
total gross sales in FY23, the risk is largely mitigated as the top revenue contributors are well-established players and enjoy strong
position in the industry. GNA is the main supplier of axle shafts to most of the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that it
supplies to, and by virtue of its long-standing relationships with the customers, the company has a strong market position. For
some of its export customers, the supplies are made by GNA for their plants in various countries, thereby mitigating the risk
arising from slowdown in one geographical location.
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Comfortable scale of operations with largely steady margins
In FY24, the company achieved TOI of ₹1,508.67 crore compared to a TOI of ₹1,582.93 crore in FY23 driven by moderation in
price realisations owing to weak tractor sales in the domestic market. The profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation and
taxation (PBILDT) margin marginally declined to 13.24% in FY24 (PY: 14.70%). The profit after tax (PAT) margins declined to
6.63% in FY24 from 8.22% in FY23.
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Comfortable financial risk profile
The company’s capital structure remained comfortable with long-term debt-to equity and overall gearing ratios of 0.04x and
0.24x, as on March 31, 2024, respectively (PY: 0.07x and 0.28x, respectively). The same improved mainly due to reduction in
debt and accretion of profits to the net worth. The company has low reliance on working capital borrowings as it only avails the
pre-shipment credit for exports and substantial portion of its inherently high working capital requirements are funded by internal
accruals. The interest coverage ratio remained healthy at 17.3x in FY24 (PY: 21.22x) due to healthy profitability and low interest
costs on foreign currency borrowings. The company’s total debt to PBILDT stood comfortable at 0.95 as on March 21, 2024 (PY:
0.87x).
Key Differences Between Trading and InvestingTrading vs. Investing: Key Differences and Practical Insights
Trading and investing are often confused, but understanding their differences is essential for success in financial markets. Both terms refer to distinct strategies with unique objectives and methods. In this guide, we break down the differences between the two, explain why they matter, and provide practical tips to help you decide which approach best suits your financial goals and risk tolerance.
What is Trading vs. What is Investing?
Trading involves buying and selling financial instruments such as stocks, commodities, or currencies over short periods. These timeframes could range from seconds to days or weeks, and the goal is to take advantage of small price fluctuations for quick profits. Traders often rely on technical analysis and market trends to time their trades effectively.
Investing, on the other hand, is a long-term strategy. Investors purchase assets like stocks, bonds, or real estate with the expectation that these will appreciate in value over time. They are less concerned with short-term price movements and more focused on broader economic trends and company fundamentals, aiming to build wealth over months, years, or even decades.
The Essence of Investing: Long-Term Wealth
Investing is all about patience. Investors buy assets with the intention of holding them through market ups and downs, ultimately benefiting from compounding returns. For instance, if you invest $10,000 with an average annual return of 7%, your investment could grow to nearly $20,000 in ten years through compounding alone.
To mitigate risks, successful investors diversify their portfolios. Spreading investments across different sectors or asset types (e.g., stocks, bonds, and real estate) helps cushion against downturns in any one market. Investors focus on fundamentals—like company earnings, dividends, and economic conditions—rather than short-term price movements.
The Fast-Paced World of Trading
In contrast, trading is fast-paced and focuses on short-term market movements. Traders aim to capitalize on small, rapid price fluctuations. For example, a trader might buy tech stocks when prices drop 3% in the morning and sell them by afternoon for a quick 5% gain. Unlike investors, traders are not interested in holding assets for the long term. Instead, they react to market news, economic reports, and even political events.
Trading can be especially profitable in volatile markets such as cryptocurrencies or commodities, where price swings occur rapidly. However, this fast-paced environment means traders face higher risks. They must make quick decisions and often rely on technical analysis, such as studying price charts and volume patterns.
Here, we emphasize the importance of risk management and emotional discipline in trading. Successful traders develop a well-thought-out strategy and stick to it, even during moments of market volatility.
Key Differences Between Trading and Investing
To better understand these approaches, here are the key differences between trading and investing:
Time Horizon:
Investing: Long-term (years to decades)
Trading: Short-term (seconds to months)
Risk Tolerance:
Investing: Lower risk due to a longer time horizon
Trading: Higher risk due to volatility and frequent transactions
Profit Objective:
Investing: Building long-term wealth through appreciation
Trading: Making short-term profits from price movements
Decision-Making:
Investing: Based on fundamentals and long-term trends
Trading: Based on technical analysis and short-term market sentiment
For example, during a market downturn, investors might hold onto their stocks, confident in a long-term recovery. Traders, however, may sell quickly to avoid losses, as they are focused on short-term price movements. Including real-world examples like these highlights the importance of choosing the right approach based on your goals.
The Psychological Battle in Trading
While both trading and investing require market knowledge, trading demands a sharper psychological edge. In trading, emotions like fear, greed, and impatience can easily derail a strategy. Traders must learn to stay calm and disciplined in fast-moving markets. Common mistakes, such as becoming emotionally attached to a losing trade, can result in significant financial losses.
Practical strategies for controlling emotions in trading include:
Setting Clear Stop-Loss Levels: This ensures that you minimize potential losses by automatically selling an asset if it drops below a pre-set price.
Sticking to a Trading Plan: Develop a strategy and follow it diligently, regardless of market conditions.
Mindfulness and Reflection: Regularly assess your emotional state to avoid impulsive decisions.
Here, we emphasize the importance of emotional discipline, risk management, and consistent evaluation of strategies to help traders succeed.
Investors Have Time on Their Side
Investors benefit from the luxury of time. They aren’t focused on short-term fluctuations, so they can ride out market volatility without panicking. For example, when the stock market drops, an investor might hold onto their assets, knowing that markets generally recover over the long term. This long-term approach allows investors to avoid the emotional rollercoaster that comes with short-term trading.
Investors also focus on the big picture—macroeconomic trends, industry health, and the performance of individual companies. They are less concerned with daily price movements and more focused on overall growth over time.
Can You Be Both a Trader and an Investor?
Yes, it’s possible to adopt both strategies, but it requires discipline to keep the two approaches separate. Some people allocate a portion of their portfolio to long-term investments while actively trading with another portion. For instance, you could invest in index funds for steady, long-term growth while also trading tech stocks for short-term gains.
However, it’s crucial not to confuse the two. Mixing a long-term investment mindset with a trading strategy can lead to poor decision-making, such as holding onto a losing trade in the hope that it will eventually recover.
Final Thoughts: Balancing Trading and Investing
The key to success in both trading and investing lies in understanding your goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. Here, we focus on helping traders navigate fast-paced markets with precision and discipline. However, we also recognize the value of long-term investing as a strategy for building wealth.
If you’re looking to balance both strategies, consider:
Allocating Capital: Divide your portfolio between long-term investments and short-term trades.
Setting Clear Goals: Know what you want to achieve with each strategy.
Reviewing Your Portfolio: Regularly assess both your trading and investing strategies to ensure they align with your financial objectives.
Whether you’re aiming for long-term wealth through investing or seeking short-term gains through trading, understanding the differences between these two approaches is essential for success.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated significant fluctuations, breaching the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and attaining the Inner Index Rally level of 5666 and the Key Resistance level of 5667. The index is on the verge of achieving the targeted Inner Index Rally at 5739. Yet, a potential retraction to 5620 in the upcoming week's session, with the prospect of further descent to the subsequent Mean Support indicated at 5552, could disrupt this progression. Conversely, an expected downward trend may be intercepted by the realization of a robust rebound to the Inner Index Rally at 5739, negating the anticipated decline.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has displayed significant volatility within the defined range of Mean Support at 1.101 and Key Resistance at 1.119. This behavior reflects uncertainty regarding the currency's trajectory amidst the ongoing Dead-Cat rebound activity. The prevailing transient buying pressure is steering the currency towards a downward retreat to the support level of 1.111, with potential further retreats to supplementary support levels at 1.108 and 1.101 in light of the ongoing interim price movement.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The current market activity exhibits a robust recovery from our Mean Support level at 57300, surpassing the Mean Resistance of 60500. It is poised to achieve our secondary rebound target: the Completed Interim Coin Rally denoted at 64500. Nonetheless, prevailing market sentiment suggests a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 61900 before initiating the primary recovery and progressing into the subsequent phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900 and beyond.
Gold (XAUUSD): Swing-Chart-Analyse UpdateWe are now covering Gold (not Barrick Gold) but the commodity. Gold prices are broadly stable after the latest breakout of the consolidation range but still trading at record highs, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and prospects of a long-awaited interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The Federal Open Market Committee is now expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points when it ends its two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon. The CME Fedwatch tool now sees a 65% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut, with a 35% chance of a 25 point cut. A week ago, the tool showed a 70% chance for the smaller drop.
Looking at it from a technical perspective we can clearly observe the first consolidation range where after its breakout we wanted to bid the retest but couldn't get the entry right and it was going without us. By being invested in the gold mining company, Barrick Gold, we still participated in some kind of this gold rush 🚀
We have now built a smaller but very similar consolidation range and again got the breakout to the upside, which is picture-perfect. If our count is correct, we are about to finish what seems to be Wave ((v)) & 5. We anticipate these two ends to find their top between the 50-60% Fibonacci extension level, which translates to ~2600-2671$. After that, we want to see a structure shift into the bearish structure, and we are going to bid this Wave (4), but until then, we have to wait until we can anticipate this Wave (4) more surely.
Stay tuned for more 🤝
NVIDIA (NVDA): Our Next Move After Predicting the TopJust 14 days ago, we analyzed NVIDIA and concluded that we might see a small push upward followed by a pullback. We were correct, although the last small push didn't materialize. Still, we're pretty happy that we called the top on NVDA accurately, and perhaps some of you were able to capitalize on it. If so, that makes us even happier 😄
Since our last analysis, NVIDIA has fallen by 21%, bringing us into the area where we should be looking for long positions. We're about to do just that, even though it's risky. We're planning to enter a long position on NVIDIA, with our stop loss set below the end of Wave (4) for invalidation. We don't have a specific target set for NVDA, and we'll be monitoring it closely. Given the risk involved, we won't be over-leveraging here.
Let's see if we can get it right again!
INVESTMENT IDEA - PAGE INDUSTRIESPage Industries presents a compelling investment opportunity, supported by both technical indicators and robust fundamentals.
Reasons are listed below :
Technical strengths :
The psychological level of 35,000 has shifted from a resistance point to a strong support level, reflecting market confidence in the company's prospects.
The formation of a hammer candlestick pattern on the weekly chart signals a potential reversal from a downtrend, indicating buyer support at lower price levels.
Finding support at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level suggests a healthy correction within an overall uptrend, reinforcing investor confidence.
Page Industries' stock price is supported by the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the weekly timeframe, highlighting its stability even during market fluctuations.
Fundamental Strengths:
With well-established brands like Jockey and Speedo, Page Industries maintains a competitive edge and market leadership.
Consistent revenue growth and profitability underscore the company's financial health and prudent management.
Strategic partnerships and expansion efforts enhance Page Industries' market presence and growth prospects.
Page Industries' focus on product quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction ensures its offerings remain relevant and competitive.
Target - 43000 // 53000 // 67000
Stoploss - monthly close below 27000
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the trading sessions of the current week, the S&P 500 Index has exhibited notable resilience, demonstrating a movement toward the Mean Resistance level of 5648 and the Key Resistance, and completed the Inner Index Rally level of 5666. A resilient rebound to this level in the upcoming week’s session is highly likely, with the possibility of further movement to the subsequent Inner Index Rally at 5739. Conversely, an anticipated downward movement toward the targeted Mean Support level of 5557 is expected upon achieving a resilient rebound.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a modest decline, briefly breaching the predefined support level of 1.103 and decisively transitioning to the freshly established resistance level of 1.110. The transient selling propels the currency downwards to the support level of 1.101, with a potential extension to the supplementary support levels of 1.097 and 1.091 amidst the interim price movement.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 13, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The recent market activity demonstrated a resilient rebound from our Key Support level at 53000, surpassing the Mean Resistance levels at 56700 and 59700 and peaking at the newly established Mean Resistance level at 60500. Current market sentiment indicates a potential retracement to the Mean Support level at 57300 before initiating the primary rekindled rebound and progressing into the second phase to retest our completed Interim Coin Rally at 64900.
BEPL LONG ENTRYHi guys, In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in BEPL CHART for Positional entry, Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
VINATIORGAHi guys, In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in VINATIORGA CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
CYIENTHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in CYIENT CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
HARDWYNHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in HARDWYN CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
ALLCARGO Logistics are Stablishing and Sustaining in PerformanceNSE:ALLCARGO
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KEY BUSSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
Global events coupled with high demand across trade lanes during the second quarter of 2024 (calendar year) has led toimproved volumes and increased freight rates. Demand is expected to continue through the peak season till end of theyear.
LCL volume for the quarter ended June’24 stood at 2.25 million CBM, similar on YoY basis and representing a QoQ growth of6%. FCL volume for the quarter stood at 156K TEUs, similar to last quarter and up 9% on a YoY basis.
ECU Worldwide onboarded a new leadership team in Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay as part of growth initiatives in LatinAmerica.
Contract Logistics business has reported a revenue growth of 13% on a QoQ basis and 22% on a YoY basis on the back ofincreased wallet share from existing clients.
Express Business: Operating cost continues to get optimized to bring about future growth in EBITDA. For Q1FY25 EBITDAstood at Rs. 20 crores, up 11% YoY and 33% on QoQ basis
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Supply chain market is estimated to be at ₹63,000
crores.
• ASCPL is a leading pan india 3PL player with an
expansive network
• Market leadership in chemical warehousing and
dominance in western India
• Building strengths in auto & engineering and ecommerce
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SWSOLAR Getting Ready to Break its 2019's & All Time HighNSE:SWSOLAR
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| KEY HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1Q FY25
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• Unexecuted order value at ~INR 9,396 crore as of June 2024
compared to ~INR 8,084 crore as of Mar 2024
• Company has received new orders / LOI in three domestic
projects worth ~INR 1,016 crore during the quarter
• Company received two turnkey international orders from South
Africa amounting to ~USD 140 mn
• Commenced a pilot project for Solar plus BESS for Reliance
Industries at Jamnagar, Gujarat
• P&L of the company continues to improve
• Consol revenues up ~78% YoY in 1QFY25
• Gross margins at ~11%
• Second consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA, PBT and PAT
at a consolidated level
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• The company’s balance sheet continues to de-leverage
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• Total net debt of ~INR 97 crore as of Jun 2024, compared
to net debt of ~INR 116 crore in Mar 2024
• No upcoming debt repayments till 3QFY25
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Received order of 900 MW DC in 1QFY25
• Received a turnkey solar PV order from AMEA Power in South
Africa for a ~140 MW DC project
• Through this project, SWREL has achieved a key breakthrough in
the rapidly growing South African solar market.
• We have successfully executed a 90 MW DC order in South
Africa in 2016 previously, and continue to maintain O&M
operations there
• Bagged our second international order from South Africa with a
turnkey package for a 80 MW AC project from Energy Group
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Shopify (SHOP): Is It Just the Beginning?Shopify has been one of our best entries this year, and we remain very bullish on it. From a technical analysis perspective, it's hard to make a bearish case for this stock. We've even seen a change of structure after catching the bottom on SHOP.
We've already taken some profits off the table and moved our stop loss to break even for the initial trade. We're now expecting this surge to continue, and as a result, we're planning to place another limit order on Shopify, aiming to buy more if the price moves into the $59.38-$54.59 area. We prefer to enter manually to avoid getting triggered by any sudden news events.
If our analysis is correct and this is indeed Wave 2, we could see a really nice rally in the near future on Shopify, potentially breaking the $90 mark and moving even higher.
Let's see what Shopify has in store for us next.
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Oversold and Ready for a ReboundIt has been quite some time since we last took a look at e.l.f. Beauty, and our previous conclusion was that we could be seeing some more selling pressure. We were right about it; after a brief relief pump, the stock sold off by more than 45%.
In the end, our prediction about ELF being due for a sell-off was correct, and we are now back in the targeted area. Although we haven't touched the HVN POC yet, the situation looks both promising and concerning at the same time.
Additionally, the RSI is oversold for the first time since October 2023. Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainty, we are not planning to go long on ELF at this time. However, it does appear ready to either fall a bit more or take off. We will continue to monitor it closely and have already set alerts. If we see an upward push, we might consider entering on a retest, but for now, we're staying on the sidelines.
We hope this update has been helpful to you 🔥