APPLE ($AAPL) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT APPLE ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT
(1/8)
Revenue: $124.3B (+4% YoY) – A new all-time record! Services soared +14% to $26.3B, offsetting a slight dip in iPhone sales. Let’s see how Apple’s holding up. 🍎📈
(2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT
• EPS: $2.40 (beat by $0.06)
• Gross margin: 46.9%, topping estimates 🔥
• Despite China sales dropping 11% to $18.51B, Apple still racked up big gains elsewhere 🌏
(3/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Market cap $3.5T+, P/E ~30
• Some call it pricey vs. tech peers, but brand strength + services + potential AI expansions = possible undervaluation 🤔
• Compares favorably to Microsoft, Samsung, etc., given stable product + services synergy 🌐
(4/8) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Geopolitical: China manufacturing & sales reliance → Trade tensions? Tariffs? 🏭
• Innovation Pace: Competitors could leapfrog Apple in AI or other emerging tech 💡
• Regulatory: Antitrust cases (App Store) could pinch profitability ⚖️
• Economy: Premium pricing in downturn—brand loyalty helps, but can’t ignore recession effects 💸
(5/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Legendary brand loyalty & huge install base
Growing services revenue (+14%!)
Massive cash reserves for R&D & buybacks
Weaknesses:
Heavy dependence on iPhone sales
China manufacturing concentration
Opportunities:
AI, AR/VR expansions (Vision Pro, maybe more)
Emerging markets → untapped smartphone penetration 🌍
Services sector continuing to expand ⚡
Threats:
Fierce competition (especially in China) 🦖
Trade tensions & supply chain hiccups 🌐
Shifts in consumer tech tastes or new disruptors
(6/8) – CHINA SALES DENT
• China down 11%—that’s a chunk given its importance
• Local giants (Xiaomi, Huawei) are snapping at Apple’s heels 🦾
• Will Vision Pro + AI upgrades woo Chinese consumers back? 🤔
(7/8) – Is Apple undervalued at a $3.5T market cap & P/E of 30?
1️⃣ Bullish—Brand power + AI = unstoppable 🍀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but watch those China risks 🔍
3️⃣ Bearish—Too expensive, competition’s rising 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Investing
ETHEREUM ($ETH) – COULD STAKING ETFs TRANSFORM THE NETWORK?ETHEREUM ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) – COULD STAKING ETFs TRANSFORM THE NETWORK?
(1/7)
Ethereum fees (i.e., network revenue) are climbing as DeFi, NFTs, and now potential staking ETFs attract more usage and institutional capital. Let’s see what’s moving the second-largest crypto by market cap! 🚀💎
(2/7) – RECENT “REVENUE” TRENDS
• Network fees jumping with higher on-chain activity (DeFi, NFTs)
• Potential ETF staking could funnel institutional money and supercharge Ethereum’s fees & usage
• ETH price at $2,647—some say undervalued vs. historical highs & future prospects 💸
(3/7) – STAKING NEWS & IMPACT
• CBOE BZX filed to add staking to 21Shares Ether ETF—a first in the U.S. if approved 🏆
• ETH spiked +3% on Feb 13, 2025, after the news broke 📰
• Could pave the way for more institutional ETH adoption & yield opportunities
(4/7) – CRYPTO SECTOR COMPARISON
• NVT ratio (network value to transactions) suggests Ethereum might be undervalued given expected usage hikes
• Competitors (e.g., Solana, Cardano) also have DeFi & smart contracts, but ETH’s brand & developer base remain top-tier 🏅
• If staking ETFs become mainstream, ETH’s yield potential could shine even brighter 🌟
(5/7) – RISK ASSESSMENT
• Regulatory: SEC scrutiny of staking—could they tighten the reins? ⚖️
• Market Volatility: Crypto can pivot from bull to bear in a heartbeat 😱
• Tech Hurdles: Ongoing Ethereum upgrades (sharding) face potential delays ⏳
(6/7) – ETHEREUM SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Leading smart contract platform, huge dev community
Growing staking potential, possibly extended to ETFs
Weaknesses:
High gas fees + ongoing scalability concerns
Regulatory uncertainties around staking
Opportunities:
If ETF staking passes, institutional inflows could surge 💰
DeFi & NFT expansion continue to drive demand
Threats:
Lower-fee rivals like Solana or Polygon on the rise 🌐
Potential crackdowns on staking by regulators
(7/7) – Is Ethereum undervalued at $2,647 given the ETF staking hype?
1️⃣ Bullish—ETH’s about to skyrocket! 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Show me actual adoption first 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & regulation overshadow it 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
ON THE RIGHT $PATH - 100% UpsideNYSE:PATH - About to clear a path higher!
- Green H5 Indicator
- Bullish H5 Cross
- Wr% is up trending into the WCB
- All indicators are firmly pointed upwards
- Massive volume shelf with GAP
- 25 MA is curling up and supporting this stock
- Great fundamental play that is a leader in RPA Ai bots
- Tech Services/ SaaS sector is about to get HOT!
Measure move is $18
PT's are 19.81/28
Not financial advice
I'm $HIMS! 100%+ Since Callout in October!I'm $HIMS! 100%+ Since Callout in October!
Every single profit target has been demolished!
I've been calling out this phenomenal CupnHandle Breakout since October and we have now blew right through our Measure Move!
Patience is key! We held through all the short attacks and FUD!
MASSIVE LT Investment here and MASSIVE Trade gains!!!
Not financial advice
DOORDASH ($DASH) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSEDOORDASH ( NASDAQ:DASH ) – FROM FOOD DELIVERY TO GLOBAL POWERHOUSE
(1/7)
DoorDash just reported 25% YoY revenue growth to $2.9B! That’s a hearty slice of the delivery pie. 🚀🍕 Let’s dig into the numbers, risks, and what might lie ahead for $DASH.
(2/7) – EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT
• GAAP net income: $0.33/share—the second profitable quarter since going public! 💰
• Net revenue margin: 13.5%, inching up from last quarter.
• Plus, a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B share repurchase plan signals management’s confidence in future earnings. 💎
(3/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Market cap ~$80.2B, with the buyback at ~5% of that.
• Analysts (e.g., Oppenheimer) raising price targets → suggests undervaluation vs. Uber Eats & Grubhub. 🤔
• Strong performance in new verticals & international markets = diversification & growth advantage. 🌐
(4/7) – RISK FACTORS
• Market saturation: Competitors might lower prices or offer bigger discounts. 🛍️
• Regulatory: Gig worker laws could drive up costs. ⚖️
• Economic sensitivity: Consumer spending on delivery can be fickle during downturns. 💸
• Restaurant health: If restaurants stumble, so does DoorDash. 🍽️
(5/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Leading U.S. food delivery market share 🍔
• Expanding into grocery & retail → less restaurant dependence 🛒
• Solid international growth 🌍
Weaknesses:
• High operational costs to maintain delivery network 🚚
• Customer loyalty can be promo-driven vs. brand-driven 💳
Opportunities:
• Enter underpenetrated regions → more global share 🌐
• Expand non-restaurant deliveries → bigger wallet share 🏪
• AI-driven efficiency → streamlined ops 🤖
Threats:
• Heavy competition (direct & from self-delivery restaurants) ⚔️
• Consumer shift back to in-person dining if economy improves 🍴
(6/7) – BULL OR BEAR?
With 25% growth and a second profitable quarter, is DoorDash set to dominate? Or are looming regulatory and market saturation risks a speed bump? 🏁
(7/7) Where do you stand on DoorDash?
1️⃣ Bullish—They’ll keep delivering the goods! 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Impressed, but risks loom 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & costs will weigh them down 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
FRESHWORKS ($FRSH): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaSFRESHWORKS ( NASDAQ:FRSH ): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaS
1/7
Revenue Growth: Freshworks just posted $194.6M in Q4 2024 (+22% YoY), with full-year revenue hitting $ 720M (+21% YoY)! ⚡️
Growth is fueled by new customer wins and the rising AI demand in customer service, sales, and IT solutions.
2/7 – EARNINGS BEAT
• Non-GAAP EPS: $0.14 (beat by $0.04) 💰
• Operating profit for FY2024 doubled to $ 99M from $ 44.5M in 2023 🔥
• FY2025 guidance: Revenue $ 809M–$ 821M (12–14% YoY growth) 🚀
3/7 – CASH FLOW & PROFITABILITY
• Free Cash Flow margin at 21% in Q4—showing major profitability strides 💸
• Shifting from less profitable past to a more robust, scalable business model 🏆
4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Competes with Salesforce, HubSpot, Zendesk in the SaaS arena 🌐
• Enterprise Value to Revenue ratio is on the lower end—could be undervalued given its growth 📈
• Mid-market & SMB focus → niche advantage vs. pricier enterprise solutions
5/7 – RISK FACTORS
• Market Competition: Big fish (Salesforce) + fresh entrants (Zendesk) 🏦
• Customer Acquisition: High marketing costs, must maintain ROI 🤝
• Economic Sensitivity: Downturn = possible budget cuts on software 💼
• Tech Shifts: Rapid AI innovation—no resting on laurels! 🤖
6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Strong AI-driven revenue growth
• Wide product portfolio (sales, IT, support, etc.)
• Growing customer base & retention ✅
Weaknesses:
• Less profitable historically (though improving)
• Revenue heavily reliant on core products 😬
Opportunities:
• Expand into untapped global markets
• Double down on AI for new revenue streams 🌍
Threats:
• Market saturation & intense competition 🏁
• Data privacy regs could disrupt operations ⚖️
7/7 Freshworks: undervalued gem or just another SaaS player?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI + mid-market niche = unstoppable! 🏅
2️⃣ Neutral—Need more proof of profitability 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & economy hold it back 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
CONFLUENT ($CFLT) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STARCONFLUENT ( NASDAQ:CFLT ) – DATA STREAMING’S RISING STAR
1/7
Ready for a snapshot of Confluent? Here’s what’s sparking chatter on X: 23% YoY revenue growth, $0.09 EPS (beats by $0.03), and free cash flow at $ 29M—above estimates! Let’s dive in. 🚀💹
2/7 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST
• Overall revenue: +23% YoY
• Subscription revenue: +24% YoY 💳
• Q4 EPS: $0.09 (est. $0.06) ⚡️
• FCF: $ 29M vs. est. GETTEX:27M 💰
3/7 – CONFLUENT CLOUD SHINES
• Cloud revenue: +38% YoY 🌥️
• Big piece of their puzzle—shows they’re nailing the cloud-based approach
• Key to future scaling & recurring income streams 🔑
4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Confluent competes in data streaming & management
• Growth suggests they’re keeping pace—maybe even undervalued if adoption keeps climbing 🤔
• Keep an eye on how they stack up vs. other cloud/data players like Snowflake or Datadog 🏭
5/7 – RISK ASSESSMENT
• Market Saturation: More competitors in cloud/data → potential pricing pressure 💼
• Tech Shifts: Rapid changes could leave older solutions behind 🔄
• Economic Downturn: Slowed IT budgets might delay or shrink deals 🌐
• Customer Concentration: If a few big clients leave, it stings big time 🏹
6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Strong Confluent Cloud growth (+38% YoY!)
Broader customer base (+17%) 🙌
Weaknesses:
Heavily niche in ‘data in motion’ 🤏
High acquisition costs in a crowded market 🏷️
Opportunities:
Expand into new verticals & geographies
AI/ML integration for next-level analytics 🤖
Threats:
Fierce giants with deep pockets 🦖
Regulatory changes in data privacy ⚖️
7/7 – Where do you see Confluent heading next?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cloud growth = unstoppable! 🌟
2️⃣ Neutral—Need more consistent profitability 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Competition is too intense 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
UPSTART ($UPST): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISEUPSTART ( NASDAQ:UPST ): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISE
1/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST
• Q4 2024 revenue: $219M (+56% YoY) 🔥
• Powered by a 68% jump in loan originations 💸
• EPS: $0.26, beating estimates by $0.30 (analysts expected -$0.04) 🚀
• Positive Adj. EBITDA—Upstart’s inching closer to sustained profitability 🏆
2/8 – BIG FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Strong focus on AI model innovation + expanding funding supply 🤖
• Management bullish on earnings call—AI improvements = growth catalyst 🚀
• Renowned for bridging lenders & borrowers via advanced, automated credit assessments 🌐
3/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Some valuation measures say overvalued (e.g., GF Value ~$28 vs. market ~$65) 🧐
• Outpacing fintech peers like SoFi, PayPal, Ally in revenue growth 📈
• Profitability & multiples (P/E, P/S) lag behind due to recent net losses 😬
• Unique AI-lending angle may justify a premium—if it pays off 💡
4/8 – RISK ASSESSMENT
• Partner Dependence: A few big lenders = high exposure ⚠️
• Economic Sensitivity: Loan defaults rise if consumer conditions worsen 🌪️
• Regulatory Hurdles: Shifting financial rules could dent operations 🏛️
• Credit Risk: Holding loans on the balance sheet—watch out in downturns 💥
5/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
• Advanced AI for credit analysis 🤖
• High automation in approvals ⚡️
• Scalable via partner expansions 🌍
Weaknesses:
• Limited operating history ⏳
• Recent financial losses 📉
• Reliance on key partners 🤝
Opportunities:
• New loan products (auto, HELOC, etc.) 🚗🏠
• Expanding digital lending market 🌐
• Gaining market share as AI evolves 🔬
Threats:
• Fierce fintech competition 🏁
• Possible regulatory changes ⚖️
• Macro headwinds affecting credit demand 🌩️
6/8 – UN/UNDERVALUATION DEBATE
• Some see big future potential → undervalued by growth prospects 💹
• Others worry about multiples & an over-reliance on economic upswings 😬
• Recovery depends on broader economic rebound & strong risk management 🏦
7/8 Is Upstart a gem or a risk?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI lending will transform fintech 🏅
2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Need more stability 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation & macro risks are too high 🚫
Vote below! 🗳️👇
8/8 – STRATEGY WATCH
• Keep tabs on new loan products & partnerships 🛠️
• Monitor economic indicators (defaults, credit demand) impacting revenue 💼
• Regulatory shifts can either boost or bury AI-lending advantage ⚠️
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES
1/8
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️
2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64)
• Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B)
• Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭
3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS
• $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth
• Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting
• New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐
4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS
• Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report
• CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky
• Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔
5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT
• Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused
• SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x)
• Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀
6/8 – RISKS
• Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell)
• Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes
• Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️
7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks
2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins
3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth
Vote below! 🗳️👇
8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
• 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot
• Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers
• Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
My CPI/ Inflation PredictionECONOMICS:USCIR NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
We are just 15 minutes away from some very important inflation data coming out.
Here is my prediction: 3.1 YoY CPI or Lower
- Double top to drop continues
- Had a small lower high form and deflect off the 9ema
- Curling over and pointed down again
- Bearish WCB is still thriving
- The trend is your friend and the trend says we are going to continue to fall lower
Not financial advice
Sideways Markets? Heres why Im still getting paidSideways Market? Here’s Why I’m Still Getting Paid | SPX Market Analysis 12 Feb 2025
The markets may be moving like molasses, but that’s no problem when you’re getting paid to wait. While others are watching charts in frustration, our Theta decay is quietly dripping profits into our accounts. No rush, no panic—just letting the market do its thing while we collect.
Let’s break it down…
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SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Markets Are Moving Sideways—And That’s OK
SPX is stuck in a range, drifting aimlessly while traders wait for direction. But unlike those who need a big breakout to make money, we’re already profiting while standing still.
💰 Theta Decay – The Power of Getting Paid to Wait
While the market meanders, options lose value
That lost value turns into profits for our income trades
Instead of hoping for a massive move, we collect steady gains
📌 The Current Market View
We still anticipate a move from the upper range to the lower range 📉
No need to force trades—our edge is patience
If SPX moves, great. If not, we still win
🔑 Why Income Trading Wins in a Sideways Market
Unlike traditional trading methods where:
❌ You need a strong directional move to profit
❌ You rely on timing the market perfectly
❌ You risk getting stopped out too soon
We simply:
✅ Let Theta decay work in our favour
✅ Profit even when the market goes nowhere
✅ Have time on our side—no need for constant action
📌 Final Takeaway?
The market may be stuck, but profits aren’t. Theta is working, our positions are intact, and there’s no stress—just steady gains.
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Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The S&P 500 has spent nearly 80% of its time trading sideways rather than trending up or down.
💡 The Lesson? The market isn’t always moving—but smart traders don’t need it to. That’s why income trading thrives when others struggle.
$GOLD EASES FROM RECORD HIGHS AHEAD OF U.S. INFLATION DATAGOLD EASES FROM RECORD HIGHS AHEAD OF U.S. INFLATION DATA
1/7
Gold hit a record high of $2,942.70/oz on Feb 11, fueled by safe-haven demand amid fresh U.S. tariffs. Today, it’s dipped 0.2% to $2,892.50 as investors take profits and watch U.S. inflation data. Let’s dig in! 💰⚖️
2/7 – RECENT PRICE ACTION
• All-time high at $2,942.70/oz—sparked by President Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel & aluminum
• Spot gold now at $2,892.50 (↓0.2%), with futures at $2,931.40 (↓0.1%)
• The rally’s paused—are we in for a short breather or a bigger correction? 🤔
3/7 – TARIFF TENSIONS
• 25% tariffs raise global trade war fears, boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal
• Markets worried about inflation, as import costs could climb
• Gold remains a hedge against economic uncertainty and currency devaluation 🌐⛔️
4/7 – MACROECONOMIC DRIVERS
• Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish comments on rate policy sent gold lower—higher rates often weigh on non-yielding assets
• U.S. inflation data (due soon) could shape the Fed’s next move—any upside surprise might strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold further
5/7 – INVESTOR SENTIMENT
• Profit-taking: After a massive run-up, traders might lock in gains
• Safe Haven: Still an underlying bullish sentiment if tariffs escalate
• The $2,900–$2,950 range is in focus—will gold consolidate or stage another breakout?
6/7 Where’s gold heading next?
1️⃣ Above $3,000—safe haven demand remains strong ✨
2️⃣ Sideways around $2,900—pausing for data 🏖️
3️⃣ Back under $2,850—hawkish Fed sinks gold ⬇️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – STRATEGY WATCH
• Short-Term: Watch U.S. inflation data & dollar moves—gold typically moves opposite the greenback
• Long-Term: If tariffs stoke inflationary pressure, gold may shine even brighter. Keep an eye on geopolitical developments! 🌎
100% Gains in Walmart! What’s Next at This Key Level?Hello readers,
Back in July 2023, I pointed out a major breakout in Walmart (WMT) after years of struggle around the $150-$154 zone. Fast forward, and here we are – Walmart has doubled in price! 📈
Of course, this isn't the raw $300 we might expect because of the 3-for-1 stock split, but the percentage gain remains a solid 100%+ from our entry.
What Now?
$100 is a round number, and historically, NYSE:WMT has reacted to these psychological levels. The market has started to range in these level, suggesting some hesitation.
Taking partial or full profits could be a smart move – but as always, the choice is yours!
This is just a reminder and a heads-up to stay aware of price action. Trade smart! 💡
Let me know your thoughts – are you holding or booking profits?
Cheers,
Vaido
$5020.T ENEOS HOLDINGS: REVENUE GROWTH, MAJOR IPO ENEOS HOLDINGS: REVENUE GROWTH, MAJOR IPO & DECARBONIZATION STRATEGY
1/8
Big News: Eneos Holdings ($5020.T) reported ¥14.97T revenue for FY 2024 (+9.8% YoY) thanks to higher oil prices & solid refining demand. They’ve also announced a massive JX Advanced Metals ($JXAM) IPO worth up to ¥460B—Japan’s largest in 7 years! 🏭💥
2/8 – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• FY Net Income: ¥320.5B (↓12% YoY) due to rising costs & green investments 🌱⚡️
• Q3 Net Income: ¥85.4B (+3% QoQ) on cost optimization + refining margin boost
• Dividend: ¥22/share—they’re not skimping on shareholder returns 💹💰
3/8 – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• JXAM IPO coming Mar 19, 2025—selling 50.1–58% stake
• Could raise $2.6– SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B —funding Eneos’ decarbonization pivot & fueling shareholder value 🚀
• Market reacted positively (+1% in Eneos stock), while broader Japanese market stayed flat ⚖️
4/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Valuation: P/E ~8.5 vs. global oil refiners (~10.2) & metals (~12.1) 🔎
• Revenue Growth: +9.8% outpacing Shell (6.2%) & ExxonMobil NYSE:XOM (7.8%), but below BHP (12.4%)
• Undervalued? P/B ~0.9 vs. sector avg. 1.3, EV/EBITDA 6.8 vs. peers at 7.5. Looks attractive! 🔥
5/8 – RISK FACTORS
• Oil Price Volatility: Refining margins can flip on a dime ⛽️💥
• Geopolitical Tensions: Japan relies heavily on energy imports 🌏
• Energy Transition Costs: ¥150B budget for renewables—major capex needed ♻️🔋
• JXAM IPO Execution: A poor market reception = potential stock hit ⚠️
6/8 – REGULATORY & DECARBONIZATION
• Japan targets net-zero by 2050—Eneos faces higher compliance costs 🌐
• Carbon capture & hydrogen investments: Could future-proof Eneos, but short-term margins may tighten 🤖⚡️
7/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
• Strengths: Diversified (refining + metals + renewables), top-tier Japanese refiner 🏆
• Weaknesses: Profit margin (2.1%) lags peers, heavy capex for transition 😬
• Opportunities: JXAM IPO frees capital; renewables & hydrogen for growth 🌱💡
• Threats: Shift away from fossil fuels, market skepticism 🚫⚡️
8/8 Where do you see Eneos in 2025?
1️⃣ Bullish—Decarbonization + IPO = huge upside! 🐂
2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Valuation looks good, but risks are real 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Oil refining can’t outrun global transitions 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
$FROG - About to fly! 129% Upside potentialNASDAQ:FROG
As I've been calling out for the past month Tech Services and SaaS companies are the next phase of Ai and very hot right now based on the massive moves after meh to good earnings from the likes of NASDAQ:TEAM NASDAQ:MNDY NYSE:NET NASDAQ:CFLT
I believe this trend continues and this small 4B Mkt Cap company could really get going after earnings on Thursday!
- CupnHandle forming while Bull Flag breaking out
- Two year trendline is our safety net
- Massive Volume Shelf with GAP
- H5 Indicator made bullish cross and is GREEN
- WCB has formed
PTs: $43/ $57/ $67/ $84
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Mobileye: The GAP is a TrapNASDAQ:MBLY : Calling it again!
The GAP is a Trap!
I'll gladly buy more with my Covered Calls Premium I made after that last POP! 😋
$20+ is coming! 🎯
Recent Lyft Robotaxi partnership news had them ripping to a tune of 18% at one point yesterday.
A massive pullback today, and I believe we will fill this GAP before continuing higher.
Not financial advice
$ACHR ARCHER AVIATION SCORES 300M BOOST BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDEARCHER AVIATION SCORES $300M BOOST—BLACKROCK JOINS THE RIDE
1/7
🚀 $300M just landed in Archer Aviation’s pocket! Major institutional investors like BlackRock are backing Archer’s quest to dominate the eVTOL game. Ready to see why this funding is a big deal? Let’s go! ⚡️✈️
2/7 – WHAT’S ARCHER BUILDING?
Midnight Aircraft: Designed for short urban flights (~20 miles) with rapid turnarounds.
Targets commercial operations by 2025, battling congestion & pollution. 🌆
Hybrid Approach: Electric + other propulsion to boost range and expedite FAA certification.
3/7 – BLACKROCK’S INVOLVEMENT
Big Vote of Confidence: World’s largest asset manager sees serious potential. 💪
Aligns with green investing—eVTOLs can slash emissions compared to helicopters. ♻️
Could draw more partnerships and capital to Archer’s runway.
4/7 – WHY COMPOSITES & BATTERIES MATTER
Composites: Lighter & stronger materials = extended range & higher efficiency. 🏋️♀️
Batteries: High-energy density is critical for flight duration & payload. 🔋⚡️
Archer’s push here signals they’re tackling the industry’s biggest hurdles head-on.
5/7 – FINANCIAL & STRATEGIC IMPACT
Stronger Balance Sheet: $300M for R&D, testing, manufacturing. 💼
Timing is key: Archer eyes FAA approval soon—this cash could speed up that process. ⏱️
Competing with Joby, Vertical Aerospace, Lilium—the race is on! 🏁
6/7 Are eVTOLs the future of urban travel?
1️⃣ Absolutely—Game-changer for city traffic! 🏙️
2️⃣ Maybe—Need more proof and better tech. 🤔
3️⃣ Nope—I’m still skeptical about costs & safety. ❌
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – INDUSTRY CONTEXT
Market could hit $1.5T by 2040 (Morgan Stanley). 💰
Key markets: US, UAE, Japan, India—Archer is eyeing them all. 🌏
eVTOLs promise faster, greener commutes, but hurdles remain: regulations, infrastructure, battery tech.
Strengths: Archer’s recent $300 million funding, strategic partnerships, and regulatory progress position it well to compete in the eVTOL market. Its focus on composites and batteries aligns with industry needs.
Weaknesses: High R&D costs, limited manufacturing capacity, and lack of commercial revenue highlight financial and operational challenges.
Opportunities: The growing eVTOL market, international expansion, and defense applications offer significant growth potential.
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$BP’S COMEBACK? ELLIOTT’S STAKE & UNDERVALUATION BUZZBP’S COMEBACK? ELLIOTT’S STAKE & UNDERVALUATION BUZZ
1/7
BP ( NYSE:BP ) just got a jolt of activist energy ⚡️ as Elliott Management took a significant stake. Shares surged 7% to 464.75 pence—the highest since August. Are we witnessing the start of a big turnaround? Let’s break down the numbers.
2/7 – REVENUE RUNDOWN
• 12-month revenue (ending Sept 2024): $199.1B (↓13.72% YoY)
• Big contrast to 2022’s 51.58% revenue jump
• Post-pandemic swings? The energy rollercoaster keeps rolling. 🎢
3/7 – EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
• Q4 2023 net income: $371M vs. $10.8B the previous year 🤯
• Lower refining margins + weaker oil & gas production = big dent
• Still holding a “GOOD” Financial Health score—some resilience under the hood.
4/7 – ELLIOTT’S INVOLVEMENT
• BP’s 2023 performance: -16%—underperforming Shell (-4%) & ExxonMobil (+8%)
• Elliott sees untapped value? Activists typically target companies trading below intrinsic worth
• Market loves it: 7% daily pop signals new optimism. 🚀
5/7 – VALUATION SNAPSHOT
• TTM P/E ratio at 7.89—notably below Shell & Exxon’s multiples
• Some analysts call BP “undervalued” and point to further upside potential
• If Elliott drives restructuring or divestitures, could we see a sustained rally?
6/7 Is BP primed for a major comeback with Elliott on board?
1️⃣ Yes—Activists will unlock hidden value!
2️⃣ No—BP’s challenges run too deep.
3️⃣ Maybe—Need more clarity on strategy.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – RISK FACTORS
• Commodity Volatility: Oil & gas prices can swing hard
• Regulatory & ESG Pressure: Green-energy pivot demands big $$
• Debt Levels: ~$20.9B net debt could limit agility
• Competition: Shell, Chevron, & Exxon aren’t standing still. ⛽️
$GAIL REVIVES US LNG PLANS POST-TRUMP BAN LIFTNSE:GAIL REVIVES US LNG PLANS POST-TRUMP BAN LIFT
1/7
Good morning, energy traders! ☀️⚡️
Major shake-up in the LNG world: India’s GAIL is back on the hunt for a US LNG stake or long-term deals. What’s fueling this move? Let’s break it down!
2/7 – THE BACKSTORY
• Trump administration lifts the ban on new LNG export permits.
• GAIL had plans on ice since 2023—now they’re back in action.
• Sandeep Kumar Gupta (GAIL’s chairman) says: “We’re reviving our plans to buy a stake or sign long-term LNG contracts.”
3/7 – WHY IT MATTERS
• LNG Prices: Expected to soften post-2026 as supply ramps up.
• Impact on India: Cheaper energy imports, eye on boosting gas to 15% of energy mix by 2030. ♻️
• US Benefit: Strengthens position as a global LNG exporter—hello, bullish signals for Cheniere Energy (LNG) and Venture Global!
4/7 – MARKET IMPACT
• Prices: More supply could translate to downward pressure on LNG prices.
• Investment Angle: US LNG producers & infrastructure might see capital inflows. Keep an eye on relevant tickers!
• Energy Security: India aims for a cleaner, more reliable energy mix—this is long-term strategy at play.
5/7 – STRATEGIC ANGLE
• Aligns with India’s push to expand natural gas usage from ~6% to 15% by 2030.
• US Gains: Jobs, economic boost, and stronger foothold in global energy markets.
• Trade Partnerships: Could deepen economic ties between US & India.
6/8 What’s your take on GAIL’s US LNG strategy?
1️⃣ Bullish on US LNG exports 🐂
2️⃣ Bearish on LNG prices post-2026 🐻
3️⃣ Waiting for more clarity ↔️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
7/7 – YOUR TRADING PLAYBOOK
• Short-Term: Watch for volatility in LNG stocks (like LNG, Venture Global). GAIL might see a spike on renewed interest.
• Long-Term: Growing LNG supply + India’s energy push = potential contrarian bet on energy stocks before the broader market catches up.