CRUDE OIL PRICE ACTION I have marked the zone above which I am becoming bullish and expect testing at least POC of the same range and daily 89.30.
After filling the gap we got a strong reaction.
We are currently above 50 daily MA, above VAL and closing today we get a bullish divergence on the weekly RSI.
We are monitoring the price and if they show weakness, I do not rule out the possibility that there will not be a test of $80
USA has also begun to use its reserves, which are currently at a minimum.
Investing
DXY HOW I LOOK AT THIS CHART The last two analyzes that I will mark below showed that I was bearish below the weekly level. After that, a bullish divergence appeared and the shorts were manipulated.
Therefore, this zone was retested and if it is only 1 hour of the saint, we got a strong reaction. Zones that I watch, below the weekly level 106 - bearish, the last price for me.
Above closing if possible daily 106.7 for me the door is open for 108 and the deviation is not yet confirmed.
Below, see my predictions since the beginning of this manipulation
BITCOIN IDEA FOR LONG After rejection of 100 and 200 DMA for the second time, at the same time they were at the same price weekly and daily level at 27980.
The zone I marked is supported by a daily level, two weekly levels, a monthly level and a Fibonacci level of 0.618.
Above that zone we have the fibonacci level of 0.382, which is at the same price as the daily level, below the 0.5 fibonacci level, below which the 50DMA occurs.
Wait for the setup, if the price appears before this zone, try long.
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S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 13, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz index price exceeded our previous Mean Resistance point of 4336 and closed at the location of a notable event. The recent downward trend suggests that the Mean Support level of 4294 may be reached, with a possibility of extending to the Mean Support of 4228 or even the next Inner Index Dip at 4150. If the index finds support at 4294, it may move up to the newly established Mean Resistance at 4378.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 13, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
As our analysis of the EUR/USD daily chart for the week of October 6 indicated, the Eurodollar hit our mean resistance level of 1.062 a few times and is drifting lower toward the mean support level of 1.047. The price may rebound strongly from this zone of upcoming week price action.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 13, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week, the coin remained within the Mean Resistance of 28000 and drifted down to a Mean Support of 26900. It is heading toward testing the next level of Mean Support, 26200, and could extend to the additional Mean Support level of 25100. However, in the meantime, the upside rebound to Mean Res 27400 is highly probable.
DXY NEW MACRO ANALYSISClosing of the day or week below or above this level will determine the DXY movement.
Before this jump in the last analysis, I wrote that divergences were formed and that dxy should now jump.
News along with divergences pushed the price.
If the price keeps this level, the expectation is 108, as was the plan all this time, but we will see what the price shows
DXY NEW WEEKLY LEVEL In the last analysis, we expected 108 final peak, but also below the level of 106,200 is bearish. With what we see now, we got a new weekly level and currently higher probabilities show that we are going into a correction.
Things to watch eurusd and spx primarily.
Closing above this level cancels this setup.
You can check below my opinion about DXY
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Strategy Breakdown:
Range Calculation: Begin by calculating the range, which is the difference between the daily high and low prices (Range = High - Low).
Base Price: Determine the base price or entry price for the next day. It's calculated as the previous day's candle close plus a constant multiplier (K) times the range. Typically, K hovers around 0.6 to account for market noise.
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Exit: The following day, sell all your positions at the market's open price.
Let's Illustrate with an Example:
Consider an asset with a daily range of $100. Calculating the base price gives us $1020. If the asset's price surpasses $1020 on the second day, you buy and ride the momentum. On the third day, you sell all positions at the market open. If the price reaches $1100 on the third day, that's a remarkable 7.84% return. Even if it retraces to $1000 at the opening, you still incur only a 1.96% loss. This showcases not just an attractive risk/reward ratio but also a statistical edge thanks to following the trend.
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Conclusion:
While applying this strategy directly in today's markets may require some adjustments, understanding how legendary traders like Larry Williams approached the market is invaluable. The key takeaway is to remove emotion from your trading equation, maintain strict rules, and define clear invalidation points. These principles are fundamental to finding success in the dynamic world of trading.
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